Blaze Jordan — OGILVIE

Blaze Jordan1B Memphis Redbirds

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs AAA HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2029

wRC+†104

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .290 / .389

PA320

HR9

K%16

BB%5

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗50

PWR

50↗52

SPD

30→30

FLD

40↗45

EYE

38↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.0	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.0	$9M	+$8M
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.7	$3M	+$1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.5M
Totals		$8M		$31M	+$23M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	2 teams	114	109	28	5	1	6	4	30	0	1	0	.257	.283	.486	.769	.229	.297	26	4	.319	103	+0	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.2
2022	19	A	2 teams	521	481	116	25	2	11	30	133	7	5	1	.241	.295	.370	.665	.129	.309	26	6	.289	80	-12	+1	+0	-9	+15	-0.6
2023	20	A+	2 teams	525	493	123	25	1	16	23	98	3	2	0	.249	.287	.402	.689	.152	.278	19	4	.297	85	-9	+0	+0	-9	+15	-0.3
2024	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	380	358	82	16	1	6	13	57	6	2	1	.229	.268	.330	.598	.101	.255	15	3	.259	56	-19	+0	+0	-7	+11	-1.5
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	544	506	126	23	2	18	30	77	4	5	1	.249	.296	.409	.705	.160	.260	14	6	.304	91	-5	+1	+0	-10	+15	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	83	79	23	5	0	3	3	13	1	2	1	.291	.325	.468	.794	.177	.317	16	4	.353	128	+3	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	STL	237	222	57	11	1	7	11	37	2	2	1	.257	.298	.410	.708	.153	.276	16	5	.310	95	-1	+0	-1	-4	+7	0.1
TOT	23	MLB	STL	320	301	80	16	1	10	14	50	3	4	2	.266	.305	.425	.730	.159	.289	16	4	.321	104	+1	+0	-1	-6	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 19%	STL	536	496	129	25	2	16	30	77	5	6	2	.260	.309	.415	.724	.155	.274	14	6	.318	101	+1	+0	-1	-10	+15	0.6
2028	25	MLB 27%	STL	566	522	136	26	2	18	34	84	5	6	2	.261	.312	.421	.733	.161	.276	15	6	.322	105	+3	+0	-1	-10	+16	0.8
2029	26	MLB 36%	STL	583	536	140	27	2	19	37	89	5	6	2	.261	.315	.425	.740	.164	.278	15	6	.325	107	+4	+0	-1	-10	+17	1.0
2030	27	MLB 44%	STL	589	540	140	27	2	19	38	91	6	6	2	.259	.315	.422	.737	.163	.278	15	6	.325	107	+4	+0	-1	-11	+17	1.0
2031	28	MLB 47%	STL	588	540	140	27	2	19	38	92	5	5	1	.259	.314	.422	.736	.163	.278	16	6	.324	106	+4	+1	-2	-10	+17	0.9
2032	29	MLB 50%	STL	581	533	136	26	2	18	38	93	5	4	1	.255	.311	.413	.724	.158	.277	16	7	.321	104	+3	+0	-3	-10	+16	0.7
2033	30	MLB 55%	STL	572	524	133	25	2	18	38	93	5	3	0	.254	.310	.412	.723	.158	.276	16	7	.318	102	+1	+1	-3	-10	+16	0.5
2034	31	MLB 59%	STL	559	512	128	24	1	17	37	94	5	0	0	.250	.307	.400	.707	.150	.274	17	7	.315	99	-1	+0	-4	-10	+16	0.1
2035	32	MLB 62%	STL	541	496	122	23	1	16	35	93	5	0	0	.246	.302	.393	.695	.147	.273	17	6	.310	95	-3	+0	-5	-10	+15	-0.2
2036	33	MLB 64%	STL	512	470	113	21	1	14	33	92	4	0	0	.240	.296	.379	.675	.138	.271	18	6	.304	91	-5	+0	-5	-9	+15	-0.5
2037	34	MLB 67%	STL	465	428	101	19	1	12	30	87	4	0	0	.236	.292	.369	.661	.133	.270	19	6	.297	86	-7	+0	-6	-8	+13	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8413	7766	1950	375	26	250	499	1417	76	53	14	.251	.303	.403	.705	.152	.276	17	6	.310	96	-42	+5	-33	-150	+238	1.8
/ 162G	—			650	600	150	29	2	19	39	109	6	4	1	.250	.303	.400	.703	.150	.275	17	6	.310	96	-3	+0	-3	-12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	A	Salem Red Sox	38	36	9	1	0	2	2	8	0	0	0	.250	.289	.444	.734	.194	.269	21	5	.323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	76	69	25	7	1	4	6	13	0	1	0	.362	.413	.667	1.080	.304	.396	17	8	.459	209	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2022	19	A+	Greenville Drive	106	93	28	1	0	4	11	27	2	1	0	.301	.387	.441	.828	.140	.387	25	10	.373	144	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	415	370	106	29	3	8	37	67	5	4	1	.286	.359	.446	.805	.159	.329	16	9	.356	131	+15	+0	—	—	+12	2.7
2023	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	203	189	48	10	0	6	12	28	0	0	0	.254	.299	.402	.701	.148	.268	14	6	.309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2023	20	A+	Greenville Drive	322	287	93	22	1	12	28	47	3	2	0	.324	.390	.533	.923	.209	.349	15	9	.401	165	+24	+0	—	—	+9	3.4
2024	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	380	353	92	22	1	7	18	46	6	2	1	.261	.308	.388	.696	.127	.281	12	5	.309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+11	0.9
2025	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	368	343	85	17	2	13	21	41	1	2	1	.248	.293	.423	.716	.175	.247	11	6	.314	98	-1	+0	—	—	+10	1.0
2025	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	176	150	48	11	0	6	22	19	3	3	0	.320	.417	.513	.930	.193	.333	11	12	.410	172	+14	+1	—	—	+5	2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blaze Jordan (OGILVIE)	23	40→50	50→52	30	30	.245/.290/.389	.144	.268	9	2	16%	5%	90	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tommy Joseph 2014 · AAA	23	42→49	46→60	37→30	39	.215/.258/.342	.127	.275	15	3	28%	5%	63	-0.8	.224/.270/.370	.146	.267	18	4	23%	5%	76	+0.1	.240/.292/.434	.194	.274	27	1	23%	6%	100	+1.3
●Frank Schwindel 2016 · AA	24	44→52	46→60	37→30	36	.225/.248/.356	.132	.266	14	2	22%	2%	62	-0.9	.234/.258/.382	.148	.273	18	2	22%	3%	74	-0.1	.244/.284/.427	.183	.263	23	2	18%	4%	93	+1.0
●Jesus Montero 2014 · MLB	24	50→59	50→55	38→30	44	.254/.299/.402	.148	.301	18	2	22%	6%	96	+1.5	.255/.294/.402	.147	.308	17	3	23%	5%	94	+1.3	.269/.302/.407	.138	.324	16	2	22%	4%	96	+1.2
●Wilmer Flores 2015 · MLB	23	50→56	49→60	40	43	.253/.288/.401	.147	.282	16	3	17%	4%	91	+1.1	.264/.302/.427	.163	.282	21	3	15%	5%	104	+2.0	.253/.334/.440	.187	.264	24	0	15%	9%	117	+2.4
✕Chris Marrero 2011 · AA	23	48→52	47→50	37→30	41	.242/.288/.378	.135	.306	16	2	26%	5%	85	+0.7	.246/.293/.360	.114	.305	12	3	23%	6%	82	+0.5	.231/.272/.383	.153	.269	18	0	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Brian Rey 2022 · AAA	24	47	46→50	40→45	43	.235/.293/.361	.125	.271	14	7	19%	5%	83	+0.6	.224/.280/.329	.105	.277	10	9	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.197/.246/.272	.076	.244	6	9	22%	2%	36	-0.7
●Matt Miller 2008 · AAA	25	51→61	48→50	36→40	45	.254/.301/.393	.139	.281	16	4	17%	5%	95	+1.4	.274/.326/.384	.110	.319	9	4	16%	6%	102	+1.9	.285/.341/.389	.104	.338	8	3	17%	7%	107	+2.2
●Brandon Drury 2016 · MLB	23	51→55	45→60	38→40	43	.250/.290/.382	.132	.295	12	3	20%	5%	87	+0.8	.258/.306/.399	.141	.313	13	3	21%	6%	98	+1.6	.254/.305/.458	.204	.301	25	1	24%	6%	112	+2.0
✕Willie Cabrera 2010 · AA	23	50→56	44→50	39→45	45	.245/.284/.361	.116	.273	11	5	15%	5%	78	+0.2	.248/.290/.366	.118	.277	9	8	14%	5%	82	+0.5	.251/.292/.364	.113	.277	7	8	12%	4%	79	+0.2
●Gio Urshela 2015 · AAA	23	47→57	48→55	41→40	42	.234/.264/.377	.143	.255	15	3	16%	3%	75	-0.0	.231/.264/.344	.113	.262	11	2	17%	4%	66	-0.6	.288/.333/.469	.182	.335	21	2	20%	6%	126	+2.1
✕Roberto Lopez 2011 · AA	25	49→48	47→50	38→45	46	.244/.307/.382	.138	.278	14	5	18%	6%	95	+1.4	.231/.285/.373	.142	.265	15	5	19%	5%	83	+0.6	.251/.300/.384	.132	.285	17	5	18%	5%	89	+0.4
●Enrique Hernández 2016 · MLB	24	49→55	46→60	42→45	45	.244/.288/.377	.133	.277	14	6	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.236/.308/.403	.167	.279	18	6	22%	9%	100	+1.7	.236/.317/.426	.190	.265	22	5	20%	10%	104	+1.4
✕Jimmy VanOstrand 2009 · AA	24	49→52	44→50	40→30	44	.243/.289/.364	.121	.283	11	4	19%	5%	82	+0.5	.238/.287/.363	.125	.283	13	3	20%	6%	80	+0.4	.262/.311/.407	.145	.289	16	1	15%	5%	99	+1.0
●Mark Trumbo 2009 · AA	23	42→51	51→65	42→45	41	.221/.261/.378	.157	.260	20	6	24%	5%	74	-0.1	.241/.278/.418	.177	.287	22	6	24%	5%	92	+1.2	.252/.302/.481	.230	.287	33	6	25%	6%	114	+2.8
✕Rich Poythress 2012 · AA	24	47→48	49→50	41→40	44	.239/.293/.386	.146	.288	17	4	23%	6%	89	+1.0	.239/.299/.377	.138	.277	15	5	19%	7%	90	+1.0	.234/.298/.368	.134	.264	16	4	18%	8%	83	+0.3
●Andrew Vaughn 2022 · MLB	24	46→55	49→55	42→30	50	.232/.306/.379	.147	.274	16	3	22%	8%	94	+1.3	.256/.314/.417	.161	.296	19	2	20%	7%	106	+2.2	.256/.311/.416	.160	.296	19	1	20%	6%	104	+2.0
●Jeimer Candelario 2017 · AAA	23	46→55	45→60	37→45	45	.229/.284/.364	.136	.283	11	2	23%	7%	79	+0.3	.233/.305/.392	.159	.294	15	3	25%	9%	96	+1.5	.247/.323/.429	.182	.296	19	3	22%	9%	111	+2.3
●Neftali Soto 2012 · AAA	23	42→52	53→55	40	37	.225/.262/.394	.169	.275	22	2	28%	4%	79	+0.3	.227/.265/.364	.137	.288	16	3	27%	4%	72	-0.2	.253/.295/.380	.127	.313	13	1	23%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Justin Foscue 2023 · AA	24	45→46	55	40→50	45	.235/.301/.423	.188	.275	23	5	24%	7%	103	+1.9	.224/.307/.384	.160	.254	18	9	19%	9%	96	+1.5	.213/.303/.373	.160	.234	18	9	18%	10%	88	+0.6
✕Dayan Viciedo 2013 · MLB	24	48→53	51→55	41→40	42	.249/.293/.402	.153	.286	21	3	22%	5%	94	+1.3	.247/.294/.405	.158	.287	20	2	21%	6%	95	+1.4	.246/.293/.403	.157	.286	19	0	21%	5%	88	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)