Wilmer Flores

1B San Francisco Giants
Age 35 R/R 6'3" / 225 lbs MLB HR -15%H -3% Svc 14.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLBExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202331INTLNavegantes de…96.305/.406/.42710142—
202331MLBSF454.284/.357/.5092301482.3
202432MLBSF242.206/.283/.3184069-1.0
202533MLBSF463.241/.309/.3791611000.0
202634No MLB games played
2027PROJ35MLBSF254.231/.301/.37272950.0
2028PROJ36MLBSF183.218/.287/.3455083-0.9
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service14.000First FA2028
2027Ext / FA-deal$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025
xwOBA46
Barrel%35
Avg EV10
Speed10
Bat Spd10
CompsEdgard Clemente (age 34) · Leobardo Arauz (age 36) · Izzy Alcantara (age 34)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9695vR 90
AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .301 / .372
PA254
HR7
K%19
BB%7
BABIP259
ISO139
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +5.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.92728
Tools · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT
xAVG
300.235
POWER
Barrel%
356.2
Avg EV
1085.6
Bat Spd
1065.5
SPEED
Sprint
1024.5
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 705 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
259
446
—
wRC+
78
87
▶R
wOBA
284
296
▶R
ISO
143
121
◀◀L
BABIP
242
256
▶R
K%
16.2%
17.7%
◀L
BB%
6.2%
8.3%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2013
Service   14.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$1M———
Totals $1M $0.0M -$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200816 ROKKingsport Mets — 265245 761248 12285 21 310355490845 180322 115 368 76 — — — — — —
200917 ASavannah Sand Gnats — 528488 1292023 22729 33 264308332640 68301 144 286 52 — — — — — —
201018 A+St. Lucie Mets — 290277 831814 9402 24 300326415742 116336 143 328 80 — — — — — —
201018 ASavannah Sand Gnats — 307277 771827 23375 21 278344433777 155298 127 345 86 — — — — — —
201018 INTLBravos de Margarita — 116103 33602 7142 10 320375437812 117344 126 352 124 — — — — — —
201119 A+St. Lucie Mets — 559516 1392629 27686 22 269313380693 110291 125 306 64 — — — — — —
201119 INTLBravos de Margarita — 152133 40602 17261 20 301384391775 90358 1711 351 124 — — — — — —
201220 AABinghamton Mets — 275251 781828 20301 00 311364494858 183326 117 374 111 — — — — — —
201220 A+St. Lucie Mets — 272242 7012010 18303 32 289346463809 174286 117 347 86 — — — — — —
201220 INTLBravos de Margarita — 218195 531015 17303 01 272340410750 138298 148 332 111 — — — — — —
201321 MLBNew York Mets — 10195 20501 5230 00 211250295545 84264 235 244 56 -5 +0 +1 +2 +2 0.1
201321 AAALas Vegas 51s — 463424 13636415 25633 13 321363531893 210342 145 382 103 — — — — — —
201321 INTLBravos de Margarita — 9988 33603 9101 02 375439545984 170395 109 431 178 — — — — — —
201422 MLBNew York Mets — 274259 651316 12311 10 251287378665 127265 114 294 87 -4 +0 +6 +7 +6 1.5
201422 AAALas Vegas 51s — 241220 7111213 16391 02 323371568939 245339 167 403 112 — — — — — —
201422 INTLBravos de Margarita — 9690 29306 3133 30 322365556920 233324 143 403 159 — — — — — —
201523 MLBNew York Mets — 510483 12722016 19634 01 263296408704 145273 124 310 99 -0 -0 +4 +6 +11 2.0
201523 INTLBravos de Margarita — 1714 4201 221 00 2864126431.055 357273 1212 452 192 — — — — — —
201624 MLBNew York Mets — 335307 8214016 23482 11 267322469791 202268 147 346 125 +10 -0 -5 +1 +7 1.3
201624 AABinghamton Mets — 1917 4000 120 00 235278235513 250 115 227 36 — — — — — —
201725 MLBNew York Mets — 362336 9117118 17543 11 271312488800 217270 155 345 123 +10 -0 -7 +1 +8 1.3
201826 MLBNew York Mets — 429386 10325011 29425 00 267326417743 150269 107 325 111 +6 +0 -1 -8 +9 0.6
201927 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 285265 841809 15314 00 317363487849 170332 115 375 136 +12 +0 +0 +1 +6 2.0
202028 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 213198 5311112 13361 10 268316515831 247272 176 360 135 +9 +0 +1 +1 +5 1.6
202129 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 436389 10216118 41563 10 262337447784 185264 139 346 127 +14 +0 +0 +2 +9 2.6
202230 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 602525 12028119 5910311 00 229319394714 166246 1710 318 105 +4 +0 -3 +2 +13 1.6
202331 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 454405 11522023 41635 00 284357509866 225286 149 378 148 +26 +0 -3 -10 +10 2.3
202331 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 9682 25701 1391 00 305406427833 122333 914 378 142 — — — — — —
202432 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 242214 441204 20333 00 206283318600 112220 148 270 69 -9 +0 -2 -4 +5 -1.0
202533 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 463419 10110016 34887 10 241309379688 138267 197 309 100 +0 +0 -2 -8 +10 0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 47064281 11072135169 32867149 63 259319429748 171269 147 329 109 +50 +0 -10 -7 +102 13.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200816 ROK MLEKingsport Mets — 265250 62937 7405 21 248282392674 144258 153 281 76 — — — — — —
200917 A MLESavannah Sand Gnats — 528495 1161623 15979 33 234270293563 59275 183 245 52 — — — — — —
201018 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 290279 761714 7562 24 272295384679 111318 192 287 80 — — — — — —
201018 A MLESavannah Sand Gnats — 307289 741527 11505 21 256295394690 138280 164 296 86 — — — — — —
201119 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 559525 1232417 181026 22 234268324592 90269 183 263 64 — — — — — —
201220 AA MLEBinghamton Mets — 275256 731627 15371 00 285327445773 160305 135 332 111 — — — — — —
201220 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 272248 621107 12463 32 250293379672 129260 174 296 86 — — — — — —
201321 MLB MLENew York Mets — 10195 20501 5230 00 211250295545 84264 235 251 56 -5 +0 +1 +2 +2 0.1
201321 AAA MLELas Vegas 51s — 463432 12030311 17853 13 278310438747 160307 184 321 103 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLENew York Mets — 274261 671416 10311 10 257287387674 130265 114 297 87 -4 +0 +6 +7 +6 1.5
201422 AAA MLELas Vegas 51s — 241225 618211 11531 02 271308471779 200299 225 333 112 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLENew York Mets — 510485 13023016 17634 01 268298414713 146273 123 315 99 -0 -0 +4 +6 +11 2.0
201624 MLB MLENew York Mets — 335307 8415016 23482 11 274328479807 205268 147 353 125 +10 -0 -5 +1 +7 1.3
201624 AA MLEBinghamton Mets — 1917 4000 120 00 235278235513 235 115 222 36 — — — — — —
201725 MLB MLENew York Mets — 362337 9318118 16543 11 276315496810 220270 154 350 123 +10 -0 -7 +1 +8 1.3
201826 MLB MLENew York Mets — 429387 10727011 28425 00 276333432765 155269 107 332 111 +6 +0 -1 -8 +9 0.6
201927 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 285265 8316010 15314 00 313359487846 174332 115 369 136 +12 +0 +0 +1 +6 2.0
202028 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 213199 5411113 12361 10 271316533849 261272 176 368 135 +9 +0 +1 +1 +5 1.6
202129 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 436389 10416119 41563 10 267342460802 193264 139 355 127 +14 +0 +0 +2 +9 2.6
202230 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 602526 12328121 5810311 00 234323411733 177246 1710 324 105 +4 +0 -3 +2 +13 1.6
202331 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 454406 11822025 40635 00 291361530891 239286 149 387 148 +26 +0 -3 -10 +10 2.3
202432 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 242215 441204 19333 00 205278316595 112220 148 271 69 -9 +0 -2 -4 +5 -1.0
202533 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 463419 10310017 34887 10 246313391704 146267 197 317 100 +0 +0 -2 -8 +10 0.0
200816 ROK MLEKingsport Mets — 265250 62937 7405 21 248282392674 144268 153 281 76 — — — — — —
200816 ROK RAWKingsport Mets — 265245 761248 12285 21 310355490845 180322 115 368 76 — — — — — —
200917 A MLESavannah Sand Gnats — 528495 1161623 15979 33 234270293563 59282 183 245 52 — — — — — —
200917 A RAWSavannah Sand Gnats — 528488 1292023 22729 33 264308332640 68301 144 286 52 — — — — — —
201018 A MLE3 teams — 713674 17738312 221279 55 263295381676 119304 183 292 84 — — — — — —
201018 A RAW3 teams — 713657 19342313 39919 55 294342426768 132321 135 339 84 — — — — — —
201119 A+ MLE2 teams — 711670 1583129 231297 42 236269328597 93275 183 263 64 — — — — — —
201119 A+ RAW2 teams — 711649 17932211 44947 42 276329382711 106304 136 315 64 — — — — — —
201220 AA MLE3 teams — 765705 19039220 381167 33 270313416729 146293 155 314 99 — — — — — —
201220 AA RAW3 teams — 765688 20140323 55907 33 292351459810 167304 127 353 99 — — — — — —
201321 AAA MLE3 teams — 663620 16542314 261274 15 266300411711 145309 194 309 95 — — — — — —
201321 AAA RAW3 teams — 663607 18947419 39964 15 311357496853 185339 146 368 95 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLE3 teams — 611576 15126320 241005 42 262298422719 160285 164 314 99 -1 +0 +6 +7 +13 2.5
201422 MLB RAW3 teams — 611569 16527325 31835 42 290332480812 190301 145 354 99 -1 +0 +6 +7 +13 2.5
201523 MLB MLE2 teams — 527500 13524017 18655 01 270302420722 150281 123 315 99 -0 -0 +4 +6 +11 2.0
201523 MLB RAW2 teams — 527497 13124017 21655 01 264300414715 151273 124 315 99 -0 -0 +4 +6 +11 2.0
201624 MLB MLE2 teams — 354324 8815016 24502 11 272326466792 194275 147 346 120 +9 -0 -5 +1 +8 1.2
201624 MLB RAW2 teams — 354324 8614016 24502 11 265320457777 191267 147 339 120 +9 -0 -5 +1 +8 1.2
201725 MLB MLENew York Mets — 362337 9318118 16543 11 276315496810 220277 154 350 123 +10 -0 -7 +1 +8 1.3
201725 MLB RAWNew York Mets — 362336 9117118 17543 11 271312488800 217270 155 345 123 +10 -0 -7 +1 +8 1.3
201826 MLB MLENew York Mets — 429387 10727011 28425 00 276333432765 155280 107 332 111 +6 +0 -1 -8 +9 0.6
201826 MLB RAWNew York Mets — 429386 10325011 29425 00 267326417743 150269 107 325 111 +6 +0 -1 -8 +9 0.6
201927 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 285265 8316010 15314 00 313359487846 174324 115 369 136 +12 +0 +0 +1 +6 2.0
201927 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 285265 841809 15314 00 317363487849 170332 115 375 136 +12 +0 +0 +1 +6 2.0
202028 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 213199 5411113 12361 10 271316533849 261272 176 368 135 +9 +0 +1 +1 +5 1.6
202028 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 213198 5311112 13361 10 268316515831 247272 176 360 135 +9 +0 +1 +1 +5 1.6
202129 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 436389 10416119 41563 10 267342460802 193268 139 355 127 +14 +0 +0 +2 +9 2.6
202129 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 436389 10216118 41563 10 262337447784 185264 139 346 127 +14 +0 +0 +2 +9 2.6
202230 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 602526 12328121 5810311 00 234323411733 177249 1710 324 105 +4 +0 -3 +2 +13 1.6
202230 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 602525 12028119 5910311 00 229319394714 166246 1710 318 105 +4 +0 -3 +2 +13 1.6
202331 MLB MLE2 teams — 550493 14327030 48766 00 290360527888 237290 149 387 148 +31 +0 -3 -10 +12 3.1
202331 MLB RAW2 teams — 550487 14029024 54726 00 287366495860 207294 1310 378 148 +31 +0 -3 -10 +12 3.1
202432 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 242215 441204 19333 00 205278316595 112219 148 271 69 -9 +0 -2 -4 +5 -1.0
202432 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 242214 441204 20333 00 206283318600 112220 148 270 69 -9 +0 -2 -4 +5 -1.0
202533 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 463419 10310017 34887 10 246313391704 146271 197 317 100 +0 +0 -2 -8 +10 0.0
202533 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 463419 10110016 34887 10 241309379688 138267 197 309 100 +0 +0 -2 -8 +10 0.0
200816 ROK MLEKingsport Mets — 265251 62937 7405 21 247282390673 143258 153 281 76 — — — — — —
200917 A MLESavannah Sand Gnats — 528499 1161623 15979 33 232270291560 58275 183 245 52 — — — — — —
201018 A MLE3 teams — 713676 17738312 221279 55 262295380675 118298 183 292 84 — — — — — —
201119 A+ MLE2 teams — 711675 1583129 231297 42 234269326594 92269 183 263 64 — — — — — —
201220 AA MLE3 teams — 765714 19039220 381167 33 266313410724 144283 155 314 99 — — — — — —
201321 AAA MLE3 teams — 663628 16542314 261274 15 263300406706 143299 194 309 95 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLE3 teams — 611577 15126320 241005 42 262298421719 159281 164 314 99 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLE2 teams — 527499 13524017 18655 01 271302421723 150273 123 315 99 — — — — — —
201624 MLB MLE2 teams — 354325 8815016 24502 11 271326465790 194267 147 346 120 — — — — — —
201725 MLB MLENew York Mets — 362340 9318118 16543 11 274315491806 218270 154 350 123 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLENew York Mets — 429393 10727011 28425 00 272333425758 153269 107 332 111 — — — — — —
201927 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 285264 8316010 15314 00 314359489848 174332 115 369 136 — — — — — —
202028 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 213198 5411113 12361 10 273316535851 263272 176 368 135 — — — — — —
202129 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 436389 10416119 41563 10 267342460802 193264 139 355 127 — — — — — —
202230 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 602528 12328121 5810311 00 233323409732 176246 1710 324 105 — — — — — —
202331 MLB MLE2 teams — 550491 14327030 48766 00 291360530890 238286 149 387 148 — — — — — —
202432 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 242218 441204 19333 00 202278312590 110220 148 271 69 — — — — — —
202533 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 463419 10310017 34887 10 246313391704 146267 197 317 100 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202432 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 242218 441204 19333 00 202278312590 110220 148 271 69 — — — — — —
202533 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 463419 10310017 34887 10 246313391704 146267 197 317 100 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202735 MLB MLESF 100% 365329 7713111 28695 31 236305385690 149263 198 308 95 -2 +0 +1 -7 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202735 MLB CTXSF 100% 254230 53917 19483 21 231301372673 141259 197 301 95 -2 +0 +1 -5 +6 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202836 MLB MLESF 100% 183166 37605 13362 00 223291357647 134252 207 290 83 -4 +0 -6 -3 +4 -0.9
202836 MLB CTXSF 100% 183166 36605 13362 00 218287345632 127249 207 284 83 -4 +0 -6 -3 +4 -0.9
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 48894447 11432195174 34170751 63 257317426743 169268 147 328 99 +47 +0 -16 -11 +106 12.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 15229123 45947 10 257317426744 169269 147 328 99 +6 +0 -2 -1 +14 1.7
Career— MLE — 91568440 218742023274 5001454101 2925 259308412720 153281 165 315 99 +45 +0 -15 -15 +111 12.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 15530219 351037 22 259307411718 152281 165 315 99 +6 +0 -2 -2 +14 1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AABinghamton Mets · 19 PAwOBA .234 → .222 (−12)K% 10.5% → 12.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.53%÷1.062×1.220——12.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷0.996×0.700—×0.9983.69%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.034×0.970—×0.99824.96%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.070×0.860—×0.9980.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.956×0.950—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.085×0.780—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 107, 2B 114, 3B 91, K 112, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .234 → .222; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALas Vegas 51s · 241 PAwOBA .395 → .333 (−62)K% 16.2% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.18%÷0.945×1.290——22.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.22%÷1.060×0.710—×1.0504.38%
HBP% /PA0.41%—×0.980—×1.0500.43%
Singles /BIP24.86%÷0.991×0.900×0.961×1.05022.77%
Doubles /BIP6.08%÷1.057×0.810×0.961×1.0504.70%
Triples /BIP1.10%÷0.900×0.810×0.961×1.0501.00%
Home runs /BIP7.18%÷0.925×0.780—×1.0506.36%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .395 → .333; ISO .245 → .206; BABIP .339 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALas Vegas 51s · 463 PAwOBA .376 → .321 (−55)K% 13.6% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.61%÷0.952×1.290——18.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.97%÷0.994×0.710—×1.0503.73%
HBP% /PA0.65%—×0.980—×1.0500.67%
Singles /BIP22.44%÷1.018×0.900×1.016×1.05021.16%
Doubles /BIP9.97%÷1.023×0.810×1.016×1.0508.42%
Triples /BIP1.11%÷1.150×0.810×1.016×1.0500.83%
Home runs /BIP4.16%÷1.078×0.780—×1.0503.16%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .376 → .321; ISO .210 → .165; BABIP .342 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AABinghamton Mets · 275 PAwOBA .367 → .332 (−35)K% 10.9% → 13.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.91%÷0.989×1.220——13.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.27%÷0.990×0.700—×1.0505.40%
HBP% /PA0.36%—×0.850—×1.0500.32%
Singles /BIP22.62%÷1.036×0.970×0.972×1.05021.60%
Doubles /BIP8.14%÷0.967×0.860×0.972×1.0507.39%
Triples /BIP0.90%÷1.093×0.950×0.972×1.0500.80%
Home runs /BIP3.62%÷0.932×0.780—×1.0503.18%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 107, 2B 93, 3B 119, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .367 → .332; ISO .183 → .164; BABIP .326 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+St. Lucie Mets · 272 PAwOBA .345 → .296 (−49)K% 11.0% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.03%÷0.933×1.420——16.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷1.034×0.750—×1.0274.38%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.930—×1.0271.05%
Singles /BIP22.64%÷1.020×0.920×0.991×1.02720.79%
Doubles /BIP5.66%÷1.036×0.960×0.991×1.0275.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.016×0.810×0.991×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP4.72%÷1.239×0.880—×1.0273.44%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .345 → .296; ISO .174 → .137; BABIP .286 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+St. Lucie Mets · 559 PAwOBA .300 → .263 (−37)K% 12.2% → 18.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.16%÷0.947×1.420——18.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.29%÷1.042×0.750—×1.0423.22%
HBP% /PA1.07%—×0.930—×1.0421.04%
Singles /BIP22.77%÷1.009×0.920×0.975×1.04221.07%
Doubles /BIP5.80%÷1.013×0.960×0.975×1.0425.58%
Triples /BIP0.45%÷1.097×0.810×0.975×1.0420.33%
Home runs /BIP2.01%÷1.095×0.880—×1.0421.68%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 119, K 89, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .300 → .263; ISO .110 → .095; BABIP .291 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 307 PAwOBA .331 → .296 (−34)K% 12.1% → 16.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.05%÷0.988×1.340——16.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.54%÷1.072×0.660—×1.0453.56%
HBP% /PA1.63%—×0.770—×1.0451.31%
Singles /BIP20.83%÷0.968×0.920×0.997×1.04520.61%
Doubles /BIP7.50%÷1.050×0.820×0.997×1.0456.10%
Triples /BIP0.83%÷1.105×0.940×0.997×1.0450.74%
Home runs /BIP2.92%÷0.920×0.820—×1.0452.72%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 110, 3B 121, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .331 → .296; ISO .155 → .137; BABIP .298 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+St. Lucie Mets · 290 PAwOBA .321 → .287 (−34)K% 13.8% → 19.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.79%÷1.008×1.420——19.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.10%÷1.020×0.750—×1.0502.40%
HBP% /PA0.69%—×0.930—×1.0500.67%
Singles /BIP25.32%÷1.018×0.920×0.993×1.05023.86%
Doubles /BIP7.59%÷1.024×0.960×0.993×1.0507.42%
Triples /BIP0.42%÷1.150×0.810×0.993×1.0500.31%
Home runs /BIP1.69%÷0.942×0.880—×1.0501.66%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .321 → .287; ISO .116 → .106; BABIP .336 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .