Raúl Rangel prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Raúl Rangel P FCL Orioles

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%20.7%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP37

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	12	9	36	152	45	9	4	75%	3.0	20.1%	7.4%	12.7%	3.9%	3.25	4.47	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Black	12	9	36	152	45	9	4	75%	3.0	29.6%	5.9%	23.7%	2.6%	3.25	2.79	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	4	13	64	18	14	1	50%	1.6	28.1%	21.9%	6.2%	1.6%	6.23	4.35	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	4	13	64	18	14	1	50%	1.6	28.1%	21.9%	6.2%	1.6%	6.23	4.56	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	7	53	239	36	24	2	39%	2.9	10.5%	12.3%	-1.8%	1.1%	4.44	4.39	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	7	53	239	36	24	2	39%	2.9	10.5%	12.3%	-1.8%	1.1%	4.44	4.39	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	7	53	239	36	24	2	39%	2.9	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	0.8%	4.44	3.59	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.7%	10.6%	10.1%	3.0%	4.70	4.70	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	7	7	38	160	34	16	5	100%	5.4	21.5%	9.9%	11.6%	2.9%	4.58	4.53	+0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	3	3	16	68	15	7	2	100%	5.3	21.5%	9.9%	11.6%	2.9%	4.58	4.53	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	68	15	7	2	100%	5.4	21.5%	9.9%	11.6%	2.9%	4.58	4.15	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	186	87	25	100%	5.6	21.5%	9.9%	11.6%	2.9%	4.58	4.15	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		38	20	102	455	74	55	10	53%	2.7	16.2%	12.0%	4.2%	2.1%	4.25	4.41	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	39	200	895	145	107	19	53%	2.7	16.2%	12.0%	4.2%	2.1%	4.25	4.41	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raúl Rangel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	20.7%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.53	21.5%	11.6%	38	-0.17	—	—	—
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	86
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	85
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	85
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	85
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	85
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	84
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.9%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	83
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.6%	11.6%	249	-0.34	4.54	318	82
Dustin McGowan R 2005 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	16.6%	8.3%	3.4%	.286	3.65	19.1%	10.3%	308	-0.97	3.36	690	82
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	81
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	80
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	80
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	80
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	79
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	79
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	79
Michael Santos R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	17.4%	9.1%	2.9%	.289	4.87	15.0%	6.4%	49	+0.46	2.26	276	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	78
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	21.1%	10.2%	1.14	4.64
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71