Brayner Sánchez P FCL Orioles
Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 189 lbs ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%23.1%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: +0.02 (8 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201918ROKDSL Orioles 11302410518710%1.811.7%8.3%3.3%1.3%4.183.90
201918ROKDSL Orioles 11302410518710%1.817.1%6.7%10.5%1.0%4.183.02
202120ROKDSL Orioles 1142301412014014%2.29.6%12.4%-2.8%0.0%3.863.86
202120ROKDSL Orioles 1142301412014014%2.214.2%9.9%4.3%0.0%3.863.17
202221ROKFCL Orioles134431984826331%3.316.5%16.4%0.1%2.1%5.024.93
202221ROKFCL Orioles134431984826331%3.324.2%13.1%11.1%1.5%5.023.59
202322MIX2 levels19028124371110%1.521.8%12.5%9.3%0.0%4.502.84
202322MIX2 levels19028124371110%1.529.8%8.9%21.0%0.8%4.502.10
202423ADelmarva Shorebirds1101266151110%1.116.8%19.7%-2.8%2.2%9.755.37
202423ADelmarva Shorebirds1101266151110%1.122.7%16.7%6.1%1.5%9.754.43
202524ROKFCL Orioles10140000%1.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.003.10
202524ROKFCL Orioles10140000%1.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.003.10
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBBAL808358310%1.023.1%9.7%13.4%3.0%4.394.39+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBBAL190208420830%1.123.3%9.6%13.7%3.0%4.374.36+0.0
202726MLBBAL909389410%1.023.3%9.6%13.7%3.0%4.374.36+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career809368310%1.123.3%9.6%13.7%3.0%4.373.98+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084418770230%1.123.3%9.6%13.7%3.0%4.373.98+3.3
Career716138638978778%1.915.1%13.7%1.5%1.1%4.884.15+2.0
/ 200 IP1039200922140126108%1.915.1%13.7%1.5%1.1%4.884.15+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Brayner Sánchez (OGILVIE) 4.39 23.1%9.7%3.0% 4.36 23.3%13.7%20 -0.03
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 86
Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 25 SU 3.75 25.5%8.4%3.2%.340 4.62 22.5%13.6%185 +0.87 3.75 223 85
Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP 25 SU 3.53 26.4%10.9%2.3%.301 4.31 28.4%19.1%97 +0.78 3.48 138 82
Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 25 SU 3.88 25.6%8.0%3.5%.299 5.10 22.4%6.5%121 +1.22 3.88 158 82
Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 81
Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP 26 SU 3.80 22.0%7.5%2.9%.333 4.41 18.1%6.6%151 +0.61 3.74 185 81
Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 80
Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP 24 SU 4.08 21.3%7.5%3.3%.312 4.08 100 80
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 25 SU 4.36 21.7%10.1%3.3%.311 5.39 24.0%10.9%22 +1.03 4.36 152 80
Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 80
Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 25 SU 3.72 28.1%11.7%2.8%.282 4.81 20.3%2.9%127 +1.09 3.72 197 80
Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 25 SU 3.70 21.9%10.3%2.1%.291 3.67 18.9%6.4%50 -0.03 3.17 153 79
Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.1%8.6%4.1%.278 3.35 101 79
Kelly Austin R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 25 SU 4.58 21.6%8.3%4.1%.264 4.15 119 79
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 25 SU 3.24 22.1%7.8%1.8%.274 4.67 24.1%8.8%38 +1.43 3.24 172 78
Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 25 SU 4.04 19.9%10.4%2.4%.272 3.57 19.6%9.7%129 -0.47 3.26 386 78
Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SU 4.24 21.1%10.6%2.9%.286 6.43 14.1%7.0%24 +2.19 4.09 183 78
Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 20.7%9.6%3.5%.281 4.91 21.2%5.7%55 +0.40 4.51 121 78
Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.35 FIP 25 SU 4.35 22.8%10.7%3.3%.313 4.49 26.9%16.0%47 +0.14 2.52 275 78
Boby Johnson R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 25 SU 4.31 20.3%8.8%3.3%.318 3.70 145 78