Layne Henderson
P
Asheville Tourists
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%23.5%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Astros | 7 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 2.6 | 15.4% | 16.7% | -1.3% | 0.0% | 3.93 | 3.91 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Astros | 7 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 3.93 | 2.88 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 38 | 176 | 55 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 4.00 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 38 | 176 | 55 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 31.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 1.7% | 4.46 | 2.97 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 53 | 226 | 67 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 3.57 | 4.37 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 53 | 226 | 67 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 29.6% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 2.2% | 3.57 | 3.44 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 53 | 217 | 68 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 3.54 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 53 | 217 | 68 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.3% | 10.6% | 20.7% | 2.3% | 3.54 | 3.06 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 58 | 268 | 79 | 43 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 17.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.80 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 58 | 268 | 79 | 43 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.5% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 2.2% | 4.47 | 3.94 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 35 | 162 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.21 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 35 | 162 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.4% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 2.5% | 4.37 | 3.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.29 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 99 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 165 | 0 | 256 | 1124 | 262 | 163 | 27 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.3% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 4.04 | 4.28 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 0 | 200 | 877 | 205 | 127 | 21 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.3% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 4.04 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Layne Henderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 23.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.67 | 23.1% | 12.4% | 20 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 90 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 82 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 81 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 80 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 79 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 79 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 79 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 79 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 76 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 76 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 76 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 76 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 76 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 76 |
| Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 75 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 75 |