Layne Henderson — OGILVIE

Layne Henderson P Asheville Tourists

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%23.4%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	7	0	18	75	17	10	0	0%	2.6	15.4%	16.7%	-1.3%	0.0%	3.93	3.91	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	7	0	18	75	17	10	0	0%	2.6	22.7%	13.3%	9.3%	0.0%	3.93	2.88	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	38	176	55	22	3	0%	1.7	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	2.0%	4.46	4.02	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	38	176	55	22	3	0%	1.7	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	1.7%	4.46	2.97	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	53	226	67	29	5	0%	1.8	22.9%	14.8%	8.1%	2.6%	3.57	4.46	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	53	226	67	29	5	0%	1.8	29.6%	12.8%	16.8%	2.2%	3.57	3.44	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	53	217	68	23	5	0%	1.6	24.9%	12.7%	12.2%	2.5%	3.54	4.00	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	53	217	68	23	5	0%	1.6	31.3%	10.6%	20.7%	2.3%	3.54	3.06	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	58	268	79	43	6	0%	1.4	24.2%	15.8%	8.4%	2.7%	4.47	4.54	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	58	268	79	43	6	0%	1.4	24.2%	15.8%	8.4%	2.7%	4.47	4.54	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	58	268	79	43	6	0%	1.4	29.5%	16.0%	13.4%	2.2%	4.47	3.94	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	35	162	46	17	4	0%	1.2	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.1%	4.37	4.32	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	35	162	46	17	4	0%	1.2	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.1%	4.37	4.32	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	35	162	46	17	4	0%	1.2	28.4%	10.5%	17.9%	2.5%	4.37	3.41	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	HOU	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.67	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	HOU	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.0%	11.0%	3.2%	4.75	4.83	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	HOU	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	12.0%	11.0%	3.2%	4.75	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	12.0%	11.0%	3.2%	4.75	4.45	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.0%	11.0%	3.2%	4.75	4.45	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		165	0	256	1124	260	159	27	0%	1.6	23.1%	14.1%	9.0%	2.4%	4.04	4.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	0	200	877	203	124	21	0%	1.6	23.1%	14.1%	9.0%	2.4%	4.04	4.26	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Layne Henderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	23.4%	11.9%	3.0%	—	4.83	23.0%	11.0%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	89
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	83
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	79
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	78
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	76
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	76
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	75
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	75
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	75
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	75
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	75
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	75
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	74
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	74
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	73
Daniel Hudson R 2017 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	4.01	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.06	1.68	468	73
Blake Wood R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	30	SU	3.76	24.5%	10.6%	2.5%	.307	3.44	25.3%	16.0%	74	-0.32	2.92	210	73