Jimmy Obertop

C Hartford Yard Goats
Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2145MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202525A+/ACOL150.279/.372/.4575359—.207/.277/.348
202626AACOL171.226/.376/.3875571—.192/.306/.315
2027PROJMLE27MLBCOL2.199/.293/.33100690.0
2028PROJ27% MLB28MLBCOL35.200/.292/.33111690.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%94
BB%93
wRC+67
wOBA65
ISO58
Speed40
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsAndrés Alvarez (age 27) · Quincy McAfee (age 26) · Jake Means (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .293 / .331
PA2
HR0
K%50
BB%11
BABIP283
ISO110
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.02728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER43
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202525 A+Spokane Indians — 5346 11113 6160 01 239327500827 261286 3011 354 61 — — — — — —
202525 AFresno Grizzlies — 9783 25312 10323 30 301396434830 133469 3310 371 58 — — — — — —
202626 AAHartford Yard Goats — 171137 31705 29664 50 226376387763 161394 3917 349 71 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202525 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 5348 9112 4210 01 188250375625 188234 408 259 61 — — — — — —
202525 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 9787 19212 6463 30 218292333625 115401 476 254 58 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 171146 28604 20814 50 192306315621 123376 4712 273 71 — — — — — —
202525 A MLE2 teams — 150135 28324 10673 31 207277348625 141369 457 256 59 — — — — — —
202525 A RAW2 teams — 150129 36425 16483 31 279372457829 178403 3211 365 59 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 171146 28604 20814 50 192306315621 123393 4712 273 71 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAWHartford Yard Goats — 171137 31705 29664 50 226376387763 161394 3917 349 71 — — — — — —
202525 A MLE2 teams — 150136 28324 10673 31 206277346623 140342 457 256 59 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 171145 28604 20814 50 193306317623 124376 4712 273 71 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202525 A MLE2 teams — 150136 28324 10673 31 206277346623 140342 457 256 59 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 171145 28604 20814 50 193306317623 124376 4712 273 71 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLECOL 2% 221193 37715 23733 41 188283306589 118269 3310 270 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXCOL 2% 22 0000 010 00 199293331624 132283 500 284 69 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLECOL 27% 131115 22413 13432 21 189283306589 117269 3310 270 69 -5 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.0
202828 MLB CTXCOL 27% 3531 6101 4110 10 200292331624 132283 3111 283 69 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3531 6101 4110 10 194286323608 129263 3111 283 67 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 11219019 742040 190 194286326613 132263 3111 283 67 -24 +4 -3 +12 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 545478 9316313 5322210 122 195288322611 128327 4110 267 67 -8 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 11219416 6326512 142 196289328618 132330 4110 267 67 -24 +1 -2 +12 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAHartford Yard Goats · 171 PAwOBA .341 → .273 (−68)K% 38.6% → 47.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.60%÷1.000×1.220——47.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.96%÷1.000×0.700—×0.98811.73%
HBP% /PA2.34%—×0.850—×0.9881.96%
Singles /BIP26.76%÷1.000×0.970×1.046×0.98826.82%
Doubles /BIP9.86%÷1.000×0.860×1.046×0.9888.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.046×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP7.04%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9885.43%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .341 → .273; ISO .161 → .123; BABIP .394 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFresno Grizzlies · 97 PAwOBA .362 → .254 (−107)K% 33.0% → 47.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.99%÷0.951×1.360——47.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.31%÷1.096×0.690—×0.9706.30%
HBP% /PA3.09%—×0.780—×0.9702.34%
Singles /BIP37.25%÷1.022×0.920—×0.97032.54%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.055×0.830—×0.9704.49%
Triples /BIP1.96%÷1.017×0.910—×0.9701.70%
Home runs /BIP3.92%÷0.870×0.800—×0.9703.50%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 103, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .362 → .254; ISO .133 → .095; BABIP .469 → .401. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Spokane Indians · 53 PAwOBA .351 → .259 (−91)K% 30.2% → 40.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.19%÷1.005×1.350——40.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.32%÷1.030×0.710—×0.9787.63%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.068×0.910—×0.97816.66%
Doubles /BIP3.33%÷1.002×0.830—×0.9782.70%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷0.900×0.820—×0.9782.97%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷0.999×0.830—×0.9788.12%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 114, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .351 → .259; ISO .261 → .197; BABIP .286 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).