Jimmy Obertop — OGILVIE

Jimmy ObertopC Hartford Yard Goats

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 65 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .260 / .257

PA65

HR1

K%37

BB%9

BABIP270

ISO86

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A	2 teams	—	150	136	26	2	2	4	9	70	3	3	1	191	257	324	580	132	349	47	6	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A	2 teams	—	150	129	36	4	2	5	16	48	3	3	1	279	372	457	829	178	403	32	11	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	COL	—	98	84	13	4	0	2	13	50	1	1	0	155	276	274	549	119	344	51	13	245	46	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
YTD	26	AA	COL	—	98	78	16	5	0	2	19	39	1	1	0	205	367	346	714	141	378	40	19	334	114	+2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.6
ROS	26	AA	COL	2%	65	58	10	2	0	1	6	24	1	1	0	171	260	257	517	86	274	37	9	260	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	26	MLB	COL	2%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						295	0	0	269	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	AA	COL	—	99	85	13	4	0	2	13	50	1	1	0	153	273	271	543	118	333	51	13	245	46	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
TOT	26	AA	COL	—	163	142	23	6	0	3	19	74	2	2	0	162	269	267	536	105	306	45	12	251	50	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	COL	27%	209	185	35	7	1	5	20	73	2	3	1	189	275	319	594	130	276	35	10	265	61	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2028	28	MLB	COL	40%	276	245	46	9	1	6	26	95	3	4	1	188	274	306	580	118	277	34	9	268	63	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2029	29	MLB	COL	45%	310	275	52	10	1	7	29	105	3	5	1	189	274	309	583	120	277	34	9	269	64	-13	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.1
2027	27	MLB	COL	27%	56	50	9	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	180	268	280	548	100	298	36	9	275	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB	COL	40%	110	98	21	4	1	3	10	38	1	2	0	214	294	367	661	153	299	35	9	279	72	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	29	MLB	COL	45%	139	124	26	5	1	4	13	47	1	2	1	210	290	363	653	153	299	34	9	280	72	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	306	273	56	11	2	8	28	105	3	5	1	205	286	348	634	143	296	34	9	279	71	-10	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	118	23	4	17	59	223	6	11	2	203	283	345	628	141	294	34	9	279	71	-21	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	1010	899	169	30	5	23	90	367	12	16	4	188	271	309	580	121	284	36	9	265	61	-45	+2	-2	+18	+29	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	108	19	3	15	58	236	8	10	3	187	270	307	578	121	281	36	9	265	61	-29	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	53	46	11	1	1	3	6	16	0	0	1	239	327	500	827	261	286	30	11	354	129	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	25	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	97	83	25	3	1	2	10	32	3	3	0	301	396	434	830	133	469	33	10	371	142	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	308	7	5	191	273	314	+5	+4	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	15	10	191	273	314	+11.9	+8.6	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jimmy Obertop (OGILVIE)	26	20	44	46	53	162/269/267	105	306	3	2	45%	12%	50	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jake Means 2022 · A	26	35→31	47→45	49→45	45	184/268/318	135	269	14	6	36%	10%	63	-0.9	179/252/309	130	257	16	9	35%	8%	53	-1.5	156/231/282	125	215	17	10	35%	8%	34	-1.6
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	37	45	44→30	40	191/250/309	118	275	13	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	208/275/344	136	298	17	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	192/268/324	132	267	19	2	34%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA	26	36	43→45	43→30	39	187/243/298	110	248	11	5	29%	5%	46	-2.0	186/244/314	128	236	16	4	28%	6%	51	-1.7	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	35	45	47→30	43	183/250/307	124	260	13	4	34%	8%	51	-1.7	187/258/294	107	293	10	5	37%	8%	51	-1.7	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Dave Wallace 2006 · A	26	35	44→45	44→40	40	179/263/296	117	278	12	5	38%	8%	56	-1.3	190/264/315	125	262	15	5	32%	8%	60	-1.0	177/251/299	123	226	17	3	29%	8%	48	-0.6
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	193/245/318	125	242	13	7	26%	5%	52	-1.6	210/257/336	126	284	14	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	192/227/334	142	252	20	17	33%	4%	45	-0.4
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	44→50	45→50	38	185/252/306	121	279	11	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	189/263/296	107	295	8	13	36%	7%	54	-1.4	160/248/262	103	254	7	16	37%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2017 · AA	26	40	45	46→50	47	201/275/317	116	256	13	9	26%	8%	65	-0.7	194/265/291	97	267	8	12	29%	8%	53	-1.5	168/244/247	79	236	5	15	29%	8%	31	-2.0
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1