Jimmy Obertop — OGILVIE

Jimmy ObertopC Hartford Yard Goats

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION167 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .312 / .286

PA16

HR0

K%38

BB%12

BABIP304

ISO71

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	53	46	11	1	1	3	6	16	0	0	1	239	327	500	827	261	286	30	11	354	126	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	25	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	97	83	25	3	1	2	10	32	3	3	0	301	396	434	830	133	469	33	10	371	137	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	53	48	8	1	1	2	4	22	0	0	1	167	231	354	585	188	229	42	8	250	55	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	25	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	97	87	19	2	1	2	6	45	3	3	0	218	292	333	625	115	409	46	6	266	66	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	135	27	3	1	4	10	67	3	3	1	200	270	326	596	126	354	45	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A RAW	2 teams	—	150	129	36	4	2	5	16	48	3	3	1	279	372	457	829	178	403	32	11	365	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	136	27	3	1	4	10	67	3	3	1	199	270	324	594	125	345	45	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	136	27	3	1	4	10	67	3	3	1	199	270	324	594	125	345	45	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	COL	—	167	142	27	6	0	4	20	78	4	4	0	190	307	317	624	127	383	47	12	276	73	-5	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	COL	—	167	133	30	7	0	5	29	64	4	4	0	226	380	391	770	165	391	38	17	352	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	COL	2%	16	14	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	214	312	286	598	71	288	38	12	276	73	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	26	AA MLE	COL	—	183	156	30	7	0	4	22	84	4	4	0	192	308	314	622	122	382	46	12	276	73	-6	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	27%	209	183	37	7	1	5	21	70	3	4	1	202	295	333	628	131	287	33	10	280	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	40%	276	243	48	9	1	6	27	91	4	5	1	198	288	317	605	119	287	33	10	282	77	-8	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	COL	45%	310	272	55	11	1	7	31	101	4	5	1	202	293	327	620	125	286	33	10	282	77	-8	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2030	30	MLB MLE	COL	48%	333	293	59	11	1	8	33	109	4	5	1	201	291	328	619	126	285	33	10	281	76	-9	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2031	31	MLB MLE	COL	49%	320	282	56	11	1	7	31	105	4	5	1	199	287	319	606	121	282	33	10	277	73	-10	+1	-3	+6	+7	0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	27%	56	49	10	2	0	1	6	19	1	1	0	204	304	306	610	102	304	34	11	285	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	40%	110	96	21	4	1	3	11	36	2	2	0	219	312	375	687	156	303	33	10	287	77	-3	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	COL	45%	139	122	27	5	1	4	14	45	2	2	0	221	312	377	689	156	303	32	10	288	77	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2030	30	MLB CTX	COL	48%	158	139	30	6	1	4	16	52	2	3	0	216	306	360	665	144	301	33	10	286	76	-5	+1	-1	+3	+3	0.1
2031	31	MLB CTX	COL	49%	157	139	30	6	1	4	15	52	2	2	0	216	301	360	661	144	298	33	10	281	73	-5	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	620	545	118	23	4	16	62	204	9	10	0	217	307	361	668	145	310	33	10	285	75	-18	+2	-3	+11	+13	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	124	24	4	17	65	214	9	10	0	217	307	363	669	145	311	33	10	285	75	-19	+2	-3	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1614	1422	285	53	6	37	155	549	22	27	6	200	289	324	613	124	293	34	10	278	75	-42	+3	-7	+26	+32	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	114	21	2	15	62	221	9	11	2	199	287	321	608	122	290	34	10	278	75	-19	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	623	14	10	201	288	326	+11	+8	1.1	1.1
/162	664	15	11	+11.9	+8.5	1.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jimmy Obertop (OGILVIE)	26	20	44	48	54	193/285/315	122	288	3	3	35%	10%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/322	128	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	219/295/348	129	314	13	16	32%	8%	83	+0.1	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA	26	41→39	46→50	47→45	47	202/290/335	132	294	13	8	33%	10%	78	-0.3	190/285/318	128	262	14	9	31%	11%	74	-0.6	177/277/301	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	65	-0.9
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	46→45	52→50	42	198/262/325	127	277	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	189/270/297	108	298	10	14	37%	9%	63	-1.4	173/262/275	101	278	9	12	37%	10%	52	-1.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	47→30	45	202/266/307	106	274	11	4	30%	8%	63	-1.4	220/287/341	121	307	13	4	31%	8%	78	-0.3	213/285/332	119	296	14	1	31%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	40→42	47→50	54→55	46	201/285/337	136	272	14	18	30%	9%	78	-0.3	212/290/348	136	290	16	23	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/285/337	134	276	17	26	31%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA	26	38	45→50	43→30	40	195/251/314	119	251	12	5	28%	6%	59	-1.7	194/251/327	133	244	16	4	27%	6%	62	-1.4	217/296/335	118	314	12	1	32%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jakson Reetz 2022 · AAA	26	37→33	43→55	45	40	186/266/297	111	275	11	5	34%	7%	61	-1.5	202/279/375	173	264	21	5	32%	7%	84	+0.2	193/274/380	187	243	23	4	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2018 · A	25	41→37	47→50	46→50	37	205/267/344	139	294	15	11	34%	6%	72	-0.7	219/294/369	150	305	17	8	32%	8%	88	+0.4	210/308/381	171	273	23	2	30%	11%	98	+0.4
✕Jeremy Sy 2015 · A	25	38	49→50	49→50	45	198/271/345	146	259	17	12	30%	8%	74	-0.6	209/276/324	115	302	11	13	32%	8%	70	-0.8	199/270/292	93	300	7	15	34%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	38→41	48→50	45	41	201/263/342	141	261	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	216/279/360	144	284	15	8	28%	7%	80	-0.2	212/276/353	142	282	15	7	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	47	188/290/298	110	270	9	9	31%	9%	72	-0.7	197/285/289	92	286	7	7	31%	8%	67	-1.1	185/274/262	78	273	5	4	31%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Michael Helman 2022 · A	26	38→41	49→50	52→55	45	202/261/351	149	244	17	14	25%	7%	71	-0.8	218/278/362	144	268	17	24	25%	7%	80	-0.2	209/267/365	156	250	18	20	24%	5%	74	-0.3
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40→41	47→45	48→45	41	209/271/344	135	260	16	9	26%	6%	74	-0.6	209/289/333	124	251	14	8	22%	7%	78	-0.3	203/308/311	108	241	12	6	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	36→32	50	50	45	188/277/342	154	270	17	12	35%	9%	76	-0.4	180/262/323	143	295	17	12	42%	8%	66	-1.1	156/241/293	137	264	18	12	45%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Vinny DiFazio 2012 · A	26	40	48→45	49→40	45	204/292/349	146	282	16	4	32%	9%	83	+0.1	194/274/292	98	268	8	5	29%	8%	63	-1.3	168/253/247	79	228	6	2	27%	8%	43	-1.8
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	199/279/309	110	267	11	4	28%	9%	69	-0.9	206/297/296	90	292	7	5	29%	10%	73	-0.6	185/301/243	58	270	3	0	28%	13%	59	-0.8
✕Jake Means 2022 · A	26	36→32	48→45	49→45	45	187/271/326	139	273	15	6	36%	10%	70	-0.9	179/252/296	117	256	13	9	34%	8%	56	-1.9	156/230/263	106	217	13	10	33%	8%	37	-1.9
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	44→45	46	198/281/301	102	271	11	5	30%	8%	68	-1.0	227/321/361	134	295	13	10	25%	11%	96	+1.0	222/324/360	138	289	14	11	26%	12%	95	+0.5
✕Brady Policelli 2021 · A	26	41→39	43→45	51→50	43	201/265/317	115	273	10	13	29%	7%	64	-1.3	192/253/305	113	274	11	13	32%	7%	57	-1.8	160/217/269	108	224	11	18	33%	6%	32	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps