Michael Prosecky
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 134
ERA5.11
FIP5.11
K%18.2%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%5.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.29 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 21 | 21 | 109 | 453 | 125 | 41 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 0.8% | 2.72 | 3.19 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 21 | 21 | 109 | 453 | 125 | 41 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 27.6% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 0.9% | 2.72 | 2.41 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 13 | 49 | 216 | 78 | 21 | 3 | 93% | 3.5 | 24.4% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 4.44 | 3.67 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 13 | 49 | 216 | 78 | 21 | 3 | 93% | 3.5 | 36.1% | 9.7% | 26.4% | 1.4% | 4.44 | 1.99 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 127 | 550 | 127 | 63 | 13 | 100% | 4.7 | 18.0% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 127 | 550 | 127 | 63 | 13 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 11 | 2 | 16 | 77 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 18% | 1.5 | 7.5% | 18.6% | -11.1% | 3.7% | 5.06 | 6.85 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.11 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 86 | 373 | 61 | 51 | 10 | — | — | 16.3% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.10 | 5.43 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.2% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 56 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 55 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.01 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 52 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.09 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.01 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.09 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 30 | 179 | 754 | 145 | 95 | 22 | 97% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 4.68 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 106 | 25 | 96% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 74 | 63 | 301 | 1299 | 251 | 164 | 25 | 85% | 4.1 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 3.73 | 4.12 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 42 | 200 | 862 | 167 | 109 | 16 | 85% | 4.1 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 3.73 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Prosecky (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.11 | 18.2% | 13.2% | 2.7% | — | 5.02 | 19.2% | 6.6% | 206 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.69 | 17.8% | 15.2% | 2.1% | .290 | 6.22 | 20.1% | 1.7% | 13 | +1.53 | 3.89 | 176 | 86 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 81 |
| Connor Oliver L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 80 |
| Justin Marks L 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 80 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 79 |
| Bryan Radziewski L 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.19 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 106 | 79 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2027 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 78 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 78 |
| Caden Grice L 2025 · 5.28 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.28 | 17.3% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 77 |
| Brett Adcock L 2024 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.22 | 17.4% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 301 | 77 |
| Scott DeCecco L 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 125 | 77 |
| Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 77 |
| Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.23 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.23 | 105 | 76 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 75 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 74 |
| Pat Peterson L 2023 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 108 | 74 |
| Trey Dombroski L 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 395 | 74 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 73 |
| Dominic Perachi L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.83 | 13.7% | 11.3% | 2.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 273 | 73 |
| Joe Miller L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.54 | 16.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | 4.08 | 19.8% | 6.6% | 45 | -0.46 | 3.65 | 328 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 68 | 19.0% | 12.7% | 1.11 | 5.04 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Junior Guerra ('21) | 6 | 84 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 1.16 | 4.04 |