Yordys ValdesSS Columbus Clippers
Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA
wRC+†11
AVG/OBP/SLG.155 / .202 / .235
PA320
HR4
SB9
K%38
BB%5
ISO80
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -32.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-32BATRUN: +1.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -1.90-1.9WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-13M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKAZL Indians Red 181168 20211 10760 154 119169161329 42207 426 147 -29
201917 ROKAZL Indians Red 181162 29312 16530 154 179253247500 68250 299 230 34
202119 ALynchburg Hillcats 349320 551010 161233 164 172218209428 38272 355 192 5
202119 ALynchburg Hillcats 349312 661220 24923 164 212274263537 51293 267 243 44
202220 A2 teams 472437 921112 261443 138 211260254514 43305 316 234 37
202220 A2 teams 472424 1031323 39993 138 243311304615 61307 218 281 73
202321 A+Lake County Captains 317297 601512 141054 162 202248279527 77304 334 231 35
202321 A+Lake County Captains 317292 691513 19824 162 236292325617 89317 266 279 72
202422 AAAkron RubberDucks 411373 73827 311652 192 196261284545 88327 408 246 46
202422 AAAkron RubberDucks 411360 83938 441232 192 231318339657 108326 3011 297 86
202523 AAAColumbus Clippers 337319 441113 91423 102 138169207376 69232 423 167 -14
202523 AAAColumbus Clippers 337315 591725 131083 102 187227302528 114263 324 233 36
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBCLE 320300 47914 151222 91 157202233435 77243 385 200 11 -32 +1 +0 +3 +9 -1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBCLE 35% 366341 581126 191343 102 170220267487 97249 375 217 24 -31 +1 +0 +4 +10 -1.6
202826 MLBCLE 46% 404375 651227 231433 112 173227272499 99253 356 227 32 -31 +1 +0 +4 +11 -1.4
202927 MLBCLE 50% 418387 691328 251463 122 178234284518 106255 356 232 36 -30 +2 +0 +4 +12 -1.3
203028 MLBCLE 52% 424392 701328 261473 112 179235283518 105256 356 233 37 -30 +1 -1 +5 +12 -1.3
202725 MLBCLE 35% 127118 20412 7461 31 169222271493 102250 366 212 20 -11 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.6
202826 MLBCLE 46% 187173 30613 11661 51 173227272499 98254 356 221 28 -15 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.8
202927 MLBCLE 50% 209193 34614 12732 61 176232280512 104256 356 226 31 -16 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.7
203028 MLBCLE 52% 221204 36714 13772 61 176233279512 103256 356 228 32 -17 +1 -0 +2 +6 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career 744688 12023413 432626 204 174229276505 102257 356 223 29 -60 +2 -0 +8 +21 -2.9
/ 162G 650601 10420311 382295 173 173228271499 98255 356 223 29 -52 +2 -0 +7 +18 -2.6
Career 39993709 6531151648 214144729 14231 176227255481 78270 365 216 24 -344 +16 -1 +43 +113 -17.6
/ 162G 650603 1071938 352355 235 177229259488 81272 365 216 24 -56 +3 -0 +7 +18 -2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKAZL Indians Red 181162 29312 16530 154 179253247500 68250 299 230 34 -13 +1 +5 -0.7
202119 ALynchburg Hillcats 349312 661220 24923 164 212274263537 51293 267 243 44 -22 +2 +10 -1.1
202220 A+Lake County Captains 4037 9100 2100 01 243282270552 27321 255 248 48 -2 -0 +1 -0.2
202220 ALynchburg Hillcats 432387 941223 37893 137 243314307621 65305 219 284 75 -12 -0 +12 0.0
202321 A+Lake County Captains 317292 691513 19824 162 236292325617 89317 266 279 72 -10 +2 +9 0.1
202422 AAAkron RubberDucks 411360 83938 441232 192 231318339657 108326 3011 297 86 -7 +3 +12 0.8
202523 AAAColumbus Clippers 337315 591725 131083 102 187227302528 114263 324 233 36 -24 +1 +10 -1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20
career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA
153,0035312194253300+54+13611.310.9
/162664123+11.9+30.12.5pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27771421174226276+8+6-2.7-1.4
/1626641218+7.1+5.1-2.3pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yordys Valdes (OGILVIE) 24 30 40 50 25 155/202/235 79243 49 38% 5% 11 -2.3
Yeison Coca
2022 · AAA
23 38→29 37→40 46→50 36 181/236/247 66304 512 40% 6% 29 -3.2 185/247/258 73311 413 39% 7% 37 -2.7 149/218/2065625821640%8%10-2.3
Chris Okey
2019 · AA
24 34 41→45 48→40 36 174/228/264 89257 95 35% 6% 30 -3.1 192/248/306 114290 134 36% 6% 50 -1.7 203/255/30710428610231%5%49-0.5
Carlos Herrera
2021 · AA
24 37→41 40→45 47→50 35 185/226/276 91274 711 34% 4% 31 -3.0 214/251/332 118296 1016 30% 4% 57 -1.2 213/241/342129290102130%2%52-0.9
Trey Martin
2017 · AA
24 37→39 36→40 53→55 34 182/220/242 60276 419 35% 4% 20 -3.8 195/237/286 91306 814 37% 5% 40 -2.4 188/231/28697298101439%4%36-1.7
Casey Martin
2023 · A
24 30→31 40 51→50 36 158/209/247 88227 714 33% 5% 18 -3.9 165/218/263 98256 1015 38% 5% 26 -3.4 147/202/24295231121641%6%12-2.9
Deiner Lopez
2019 · AAA
25 42 40 49→50 35 204/238/292 88296 713 33% 4% 40 -2.4 184/225/268 84308 611 40% 5% 29 -3.2 116/150/1644822021147%4%-34-2.5
Jack Conley
2022 · AAA
25 34 40→45 50→45 38 172/234/264 91270 87 38% 7% 33 -2.9 198/262/311 113286 108 32% 7% 57 -1.2 182/252/29611425610531%7%45-1.0
Cale Iorg
2010 · AA
24 38→41 43→45 48→50 34 193/236/296 103287 1114 36% 4% 42 -2.3 177/212/273 96266 1012 36% 4% 25 -3.5 158/191/2478923591237%3%6-3.0
Yuber Rodriguez
2008 · A
24 38→30 38→40 48→50 37 185/240/263 78287 613 36% 6% 34 -2.8 201/251/288 87322 79 37% 6% 46 -2.0 164/208/208442920342%5%4-0.9
Bryan Mejia
2018 · A
24 39→42 37→45 45→50 31 191/217/264 73285 511 34% 3% 24 -3.6 188/217/269 81273 69 32% 3% 25 -3.5 181/205/263822536831%3%17-2.0
Edgardo Fermin
2021 · AA
23 39→29 40 50→45 33 189/234/284 95297 611 37% 4% 37 -2.6 209/273/317 108340 119 38% 7% 63 -0.8 172/248/2699628412741%8%37-0.7
Kevin Merrell
2021 · AA
25 40→35 37→40 53→55 36 194/231/266 72275 416 30% 4% 30 -3.1 213/266/333 120277 1413 28% 6% 65 -0.7 203/260/324121252181327%6%58-0.3
Kevin Vicuña
2022 · AAA
24 42→39 36→40 50 38 200/253/266 66278 415 29% 4% 41 -2.3 217/269/305 88288 512 25% 5% 58 -1.2 219/269/3088928841024%4%55-0.5
Branden Fryman
2023 · AAA
25 37 39→30 50 37 184/227/263 79255 715 30% 5% 29 -3.2 202/240/304 102292 911 33% 4% 45 -2.1 190/214/2931032719933%2%27-1.1
Shaver Hansen
2011 · A
23 36 39→40 53→45 35 174/230/262 88292 610 40% 6% 30 -3.1 196/243/283 87297 68 34% 5% 40 -2.4 191/233/269782794632%5%30-1.8
Jonathan Guzmán
2023 · AA
23 30→40 37→30 50 35 158/197/230 71229 512 33% 4% 7 -4.7 180/231/250 70271 610 34% 6% 27 -3.3 165/226/206412575935%7%11-1.1
Oliver Marmol
2010 · A
24 37 37→40 51→55 38 177/252/249 72262 415 32% 5% 38 -2.6 200/280/300 100309 712 35% 6% 63 -0.8 168/266/28711828281239%7%54-0.3
Taylor Sparks
2017 · AA
24 34→40 44→45 48→50 32 178/228/290 112283 139 41% 5% 37 -2.6 173/230/296 123293 146 44% 5% 40 -2.4 146/210/27512925616347%6%24-2.0
Jake Skole
2016 · AA
24 38→43 38→40 51→50 42 187/248/267 80273 613 32% 7% 40 -2.4 195/252/300 105309 1113 38% 7% 50 -1.7 153/211/265111252151044%6%21-1.5
Jordan Betts
2017 · AA
25 34→27 41→45 45→40 34 174/219/271 97274 84 39% 5% 27 -3.3 190/236/303 113293 124 38% 5% 43 -2.2 180/226/29311327214338%5%36-1.7