Luke BrownOF Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 27 L/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .263 / .295
PA110
HR2
K%31
BB%8
ISO110
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.32627
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 42
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER42
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 ROKFCL Pirates Gold 5347 6010 3150 10 128180170350 43171 286 156 -22
202122 ROKFCL Pirates Gold 5345 7010 5110 10 156240200440 44189 219 199 10
202223 A2 teams 218193 30511 16795 81 155238207446 52250 367 208 17
202223 A2 teams 218185 37712 23575 81 200304281585 81271 2611 270 65
202324 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 239213 39724 16846 135 183260291551 108276 357 248 48
202324 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 239204 551328 25636 135 270366471837 201348 2610 366 138
202425 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 240215 27215 21953 101 126213214427 88191 409 197 9
202425 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 240206 36318 30753 101 175289316604 141228 3112 279 72
▸ 2026 Season
202627 MLBPIT 11099 18312 9341 21 182257293550 111258 318 257 55 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728 MLBPIT 26% 129116 23413 11391 31 198273328601 129262 309 263 59 -6 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.4
202728 MLBPIT 26% 3431 6101 3100 10 194265323587 129260 299 253 52 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 3431 6101 3100 10 194265323587 129250 299 253 52 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G 650593 11419019 571910 190 192263320583 128248 299 253 52 -35 +4 -4 -4 +18 -2.1
Career 989883 14321715 7634616 379 162241253494 91241 358 225 30 -78 +4 -1 -6 +28 -5.4
/ 162G 650580 9514510 5022711 246 164244257501 93243 358 225 30 -51 +2 -0 -4 +18 -3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 ROKFCL Pirates Gold 5345 7010 5110 10 156240200440 44189 219 199 10 -5 +0 +2 -0.4
202223 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 10191 15511 5291 30 165214275489 110222 295 214 22 -9 +1 +3 -0.6
202223 ABradenton Marauders 11794 22201 18284 51 234379287667 53318 2415 319 102 +0 +1 +3 0.4
202324 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 239204 551328 25636 135 270366471837 201348 2610 366 138 +10 +1 +7 1.8
202425 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 240206 36318 30753 101 175289316604 141228 3112 279 72 -8 +2 +7 0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luke Brown (OGILVIE) 27 20 42 53 52 186/263/295 109258 22 31% 8% 55 -0.3
Connor Hoover
2023 · AA
27 34→29 46→50 50 43 180/253/311 131257 1412 35% 8% 54 -1.4 199/273/346 147278 1812 33% 8% 72 -0.2 173/257/338165221241234%9%60-0.5
Mark Contreras
2021 · AA
26 36→37 44→50 47→55 38 184/248/300 115271 1213 35% 6% 49 -1.8 201/261/346 145293 1719 36% 6% 66 -0.6 197/258/338141284182436%6%60-0.8
Ryan Aguilar
2022 · AA
27 36→40 43→45 51→50 40 173/258/271 97302 1213 43% 9% 46 -2.0 207/298/337 130337 1413 39% 10% 80 +0.4 218/319/374157335171336%11%93+0.8
Jackson Cluff
2023 · AA
26 36→29 40→45 48→60 36 176/240/269 93284 811 39% 6% 37 -2.6 186/269/308 122285 1221 36% 9% 60 -1.0 181/273/314133265152835%10%61-0.6
Seth Fortenberry
2010 · AA
26 37→43 43→45 51→50 42 184/258/300 116276 1110 36% 8% 53 -1.5 191/255/292 101310 79 38% 7% 49 -1.8 158/216/249912980444%7%17-0.7
Jake Lowery
2017 · AA
27 36 44→45 47→30 43 185/254/299 114263 115 33% 8% 51 -1.7 195/267/300 105315 106 38% 9% 56 -1.3 118/199/170522533050%9%-6-1.3
Justin Toerner
2023 · AAA
26 39 43→45 48→50 44 192/283/299 108293 1110 36% 9% 65 -0.7 194/282/315 121288 1311 34% 9% 68 -0.5 127/238/24511817514935%11%31-1.0
Jake Means
2023 · AA
27 35→31 47→45 51→45 43 182/258/317 135266 159 36% 8% 58 -1.2 187/257/316 129263 1610 34% 8% 57 -1.2 134/210/25011616419833%8%18-1.7
Anderson Miller
2021 · AA
27 39→45 43→45 47→50 36 199/237/307 108271 1212 31% 4% 45 -2.1 205/268/345 140282 1815 33% 7% 69 -0.4 166/237/308143210221833%7%45-0.9
Colin Simpson
2023 · A
27 39 44→45 52→40 39 195/248/310 115276 117 33% 6% 50 -1.7 200/258/321 121292 126 34% 7% 58 -1.2 168/232/29712924613036%8%38-1.0
Jameson Fisher
2021 · AA
27 39→36 40→45 44→45 42 186/257/276 90290 86 36% 8% 46 -2.0 215/267/333 118308 116 32% 6% 65 -0.7 227/273/36614030315229%5%72-0.1
JJ Muno
2021 · A
27 42 39→40 52→60 41 199/274/287 88291 716 32% 7% 56 -1.3 195/280/289 94287 826 33% 7% 61 -1.0 176/270/2608426383533%6%46-0.9
Willie Argo
2017 · AA
27 44→38 40 52→55 48 210/293/296 86292 717 29% 9% 67 -0.5 198/255/335 137308 1514 39% 6% 61 -1.0 159/218/296137243161741%6%35-1.4
Caleb Hamilton
2022 · AAA
27 35 44→45 47→45 44 179/260/291 112277 129 38% 10% 52 -1.6 180/266/322 142275 196 39% 10% 63 -0.8 145/239/28213720521340%10%39-0.8
Erick Monzon
2009 · AA
27 38→43 41→45 51→50 43 191/245/290 98255 912 28% 7% 43 -2.2 201/251/308 107284 1212 32% 6% 51 -1.7 178/220/27394244151333%5%26-1.0
Chris Roller
2023 · AA
26 36 39→50 50→55 40 177/243/264 88262 614 33% 6% 37 -2.6 198/276/337 139318 1616 40% 8% 71 -0.3 186/272/335149306191942%9%67-0.4
Gabe Snyder
2021 · A
26 40→35 47→50 46→40 41 204/267/335 131282 155 32% 7% 66 -0.6 212/284/358 146304 158 33% 8% 79 +0.3 176/267/35417823919734%10%68-0.1
McCarthy Tatum
2023 · AA
27 36→24 45→55 49→50 35 185/239/305 121279 139 38% 5% 46 -2.0 212/273/327 115298 1010 31% 5% 66 -0.6 207/279/300932876928%4%59-0.3
Cory Vaughn
2015 · AAA
26 38→41 44→45 54→50 40 191/262/305 114272 1315 33% 7% 56 -1.3 193/257/300 107289 1012 35% 7% 53 -1.5 149/216/240912328938%7%17-1.5
Brian O'Grady
2018 · AA
26 35→37 42→60 54→50 46 179/261/285 106258 1014 33% 9% 51 -1.7 213/273/391 178285 2214 32% 7% 83 +0.6 207/269/398192270241532%7%82+0.3