Vladimir Frias
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 25 | A+Daytona Cubs | 43 | .316/.395/.368 | 0 | 3 | 80 | — | .282/.349/.333 |
| 2013 | 26 | A+Salem Red Sox | 30 | .192/.250/.192 | 0 | 1 | -7 | — | .148/.179/.148 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAJackson Gener… | 121 | .223/.275/.250 | 0 | 4 | 22 | — | .191/.225/.217 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 23 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 421 | 476 | 526 | 1.003 | 105 | 381 | 0 | 4 | 408 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 64 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 196 | 286 | 214 | 500 | 18 | 256 | 20 | 9 | 238 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 278 | 252 | 62 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 246 | 307 | 317 | 624 | 71 | 290 | 14 | 5 | 281 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 339 | 313 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 201 | 249 | 288 | 537 | 86 | 236 | 18 | 4 | 240 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 118 | 112 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 282 | 339 | 621 | 89 | 301 | 17 | 3 | 277 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 84 | 71 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 197 | 313 | 380 | 694 | 183 | 212 | 19 | 11 | 312 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 43 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 316 | 395 | 368 | 764 | 53 | 400 | 19 | 9 | 352 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 30 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 250 | 192 | 442 | 238 | 17 | 7 | 197 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 30 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 121 | 112 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 223 | 275 | 250 | 525 | 27 | 258 | 13 | 6 | 243 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 23 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 368 | 429 | 474 | 902 | 105 | 304 | 0 | 4 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 64 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 172 | 238 | 190 | 428 | 17 | 242 | 27 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 278 | 257 | 58 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 226 | 274 | 292 | 566 | 66 | 273 | 19 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 339 | 318 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 81 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 170 | 207 | 230 | 437 | 60 | 208 | 24 | 3 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 118 | 113 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 239 | 283 | 523 | 71 | 270 | 21 | 2 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 84 | 75 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 160 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 160 | 182 | 29 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 43 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 282 | 349 | 333 | 682 | 51 | 362 | 26 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 30 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 207 | 23 | 3 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 121 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 191 | 225 | 217 | 442 | 26 | 227 | 17 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 23 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 368 | 429 | 474 | 902 | 105 | 333 | 0 | 4 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 23 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 421 | 476 | 526 | 1.003 | 105 | 381 | 0 | 4 | 408 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 315 | 68 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 70 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 216 | 267 | 273 | 540 | 57 | 276 | 20 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 342 | 308 | 73 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 52 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 237 | 303 | 299 | 601 | 62 | 284 | 15 | 6 | 273 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 339 | 318 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 81 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 170 | 207 | 230 | 437 | 60 | 219 | 24 | 3 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 339 | 313 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 201 | 249 | 288 | 537 | 86 | 236 | 18 | 4 | 240 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 202 | 188 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 197 | 245 | 303 | 548 | 106 | 248 | 24 | 3 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 202 | 183 | 42 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 230 | 295 | 355 | 650 | 126 | 269 | 18 | 6 | 292 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 43 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 282 | 349 | 333 | 682 | 51 | 393 | 26 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ RAW | Daytona Cubs | — | 43 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 316 | 395 | 368 | 764 | 53 | 400 | 19 | 9 | 352 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 30 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 200 | 23 | 3 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 30 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 250 | 192 | 442 | 238 | 17 | 7 | 197 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 121 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 191 | 225 | 217 | 442 | 26 | 229 | 17 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 121 | 112 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 223 | 275 | 250 | 525 | 27 | 258 | 13 | 6 | 243 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 23 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 333 | 429 | 429 | 857 | 95 | 304 | 0 | 4 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 317 | 68 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 70 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 215 | 267 | 271 | 538 | 57 | 267 | 20 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 339 | 321 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 81 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 168 | 207 | 227 | 435 | 59 | 208 | 24 | 3 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 202 | 188 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 197 | 245 | 303 | 548 | 106 | 233 | 24 | 3 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 43 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 282 | 349 | 333 | 682 | 51 | 362 | 26 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 30 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 138 | 179 | 138 | 317 | 207 | 23 | 3 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 121 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 191 | 225 | 217 | 442 | 26 | 227 | 17 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1100 | 1021 | 203 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 238 | 21 | 53 | 22 | 199 | 244 | 262 | 506 | 63 | 252 | 22 | 4 | 218 | 33 | -87 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +24 | -5.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 119 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 141 | 12 | 31 | 13 | 197 | 242 | 259 | 501 | 61 | 251 | 22 | 4 | 218 | 33 | -51 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAJackson Generals · 121 PAwOBA .239 → .200 (−39)K% 13.2% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.22% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.79% | ÷0.987 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.940 | 3.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.940 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.940 | 20.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×0.940 | 2.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .239 → .200; ISO .027 → .023; BABIP .258 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Salem Red Sox · 30 PAwOBA .193 → .158 (−34)K% 16.7% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.994 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.054 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.958 | 3.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.036 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.958 | 20.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.129 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 126, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .193 → .158; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .238 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Daytona Cubs · 43 PAwOBA .344 → .286 (−58)K% 18.6% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷1.051 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷0.995 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 30.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.112 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.968 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.240 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 94, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 110, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .344 → .286; ISO .053 → .042; BABIP .400 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 118 PAwOBA .272 → .231 (−41)K% 16.9% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.95% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.54% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 1.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 18.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.034 | ×0.860 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 8.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .272 → .231; ISO .089 → .071; BABIP .301 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Salem Red Sox · 84 PAwOBA .304 → .232 (−72)K% 19.0% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.949 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 3.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.73% | ÷0.966 | ×0.940 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 11.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.800 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 4.83% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 85, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .304 → .232; ISO .183 → .146; BABIP .212 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AGreenville Drive · 339 PAwOBA .235 → .185 (−51)K% 18.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.99% | ÷1.012 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.42% | ÷0.971 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 2.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.25% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.980 | 16.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.030 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | ×0.980 | 3.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.048 | ×0.940 | ×1.030 | ×0.980 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.826 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 0.70% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 265, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 110, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .235 → .185; ISO .086 → .055; BABIP .236 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAugusta GreenJackets · 278 PAwOBA .275 → .243 (−32)K% 14.0% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 3.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×0.990 | 22.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.045 | ×0.990 | 2.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.045 | ×0.990 | 2.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .275 → .243; ISO .071 → .066; BABIP .290 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+San Jose Giants · 64 PAwOBA .233 → .198 (−35)K% 20.3% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 22.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .233 → .198; ISO .018 → .015; BABIP .256 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).