Yordan Nodal prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Yordan Nodal P Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 195 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%20.0%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP54

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	13	6	39	181	42	30	2	46%	3.0	15.8%	20.7%	-4.9%	1.5%	3.26	5.24	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	13	6	39	181	42	30	2	46%	3.0	23.2%	16.6%	6.6%	1.1%	3.26	3.93	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	3	26	121	28	20	1	30%	2.6	15.7%	20.7%	-4.9%	1.2%	6.49	5.02	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	10	3	26	121	28	20	1	30%	2.6	23.1%	16.5%	6.6%	0.8%	6.49	3.75	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	14	5	51	213	53	21	5	36%	3.6	16.9%	12.3%	4.6%	3.1%	3.18	4.94	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros Orange	14	5	51	213	53	21	5	36%	3.6	24.9%	9.9%	15.0%	2.3%	3.18	3.53	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	11	77	371	66	52	6	44%	3.1	13.2%	16.5%	-3.4%	2.1%	6.55	5.25	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	11	77	371	66	52	6	44%	3.1	13.2%	16.5%	-3.4%	2.1%	6.55	5.25	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	11	77	371	66	52	6	44%	3.1	17.8%	14.0%	3.8%	1.6%	6.55	4.42	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	HOU	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.0%	13.4%	6.7%	3.0%	5.11	5.11	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52	0	55	231	48	28	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.0%	8.8%	3.0%	4.93	4.86	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	52	0	55	231	49	27	7	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.8%	9.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.80	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	22	0	23	97	20	12	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.0%	8.8%	3.0%	4.93	4.86	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	34	0	36	152	32	18	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.8%	9.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		57	0	60	251	53	30	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.9%	9.2%	3.0%	4.88	4.45	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	101	24	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.9%	9.2%	3.0%	4.88	4.45	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		62	25	193	886	132	150	19	40%	3.1	15.0%	16.9%	-2.0%	2.1%	4.99	5.14	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	26	200	918	137	156	19	40%	3.1	15.0%	16.9%	-2.0%	2.1%	4.99	5.14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yordan Nodal (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	20.0%	13.4%	3.0%	—	4.83	21.0%	9.2%	109	-0.28	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	86
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	82
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	81
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	81
Doug Davis L 2000 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	14.7%	12.2%	3.1%	.302	4.41	13.0%	4.1%	355	-0.71	3.47	1,713	79
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	79
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	79
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	78
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	78
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	78
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	77
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	76
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.79	17.1%	7.8%	206	-0.85	2.95	250	76
Ismael Guillón L 2016 · 4.38 FIP	24	SW	4.38	24.9%	12.5%	3.3%	.206	4.43	20.1%	6.0%	100	+0.05	4.35	193	75
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	75
Colin Rodgers L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	24	SW	4.36	16.8%	9.7%	2.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	313	74
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	74
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.40	21.9%	12.6%	296	-0.41	3.32	331	74
Brian Burres L 2007 · 4.50 FIP	26	SW	4.50	17.2%	11.6%	2.5%	.328	4.71	11.3%	3.1%	209	+0.21	4.50	344	74
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	20.7%	12.4%	1.15	4.96
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Jose Paniagua ('03)	1.8	60	17.3%	11.8%	1.01	4.49