Reidis Sena
P
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 25
RHP
5'10" / 160 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.17
FIP5.17
K%23.1%
BB%17.3%
K-BB%5.8%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 164 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.0 | 13.3% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 4.05 | 4.17 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 164 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.0 | 19.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 4.05 | 3.12 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 9 | 3 | 22 | 96 | 31 | 13 | 1 | 33% | 2.5 | 22.0% | 16.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 3.22 | 4.28 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 9 | 3 | 22 | 96 | 31 | 13 | 1 | 33% | 2.5 | 32.3% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 1.0% | 3.22 | 2.65 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 11 | 10 | 21 | 102 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 91% | 1.9 | 15.2% | 13.9% | 1.4% | 5.1% | 5.91 | 6.38 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 11 | 10 | 21 | 102 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 91% | 1.9 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 5.91 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 35 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.8% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 3.64 | 3.09 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 35 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.6% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 0.0% | 3.64 | 2.26 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 59 | 260 | 84 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 4.40 | 4.94 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 59 | 260 | 84 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.7 | 32.3% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 3.5% | 4.40 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 2 | 42 | 179 | 49 | 29 | 1 | 8% | 1.7 | 22.2% | 17.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 3.46 | 3.78 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 2 | 42 | 179 | 49 | 29 | 1 | 8% | 1.7 | 27.4% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 0.6% | 3.46 | 3.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 24 | 1 | 40 | 186 | 53 | 36 | 5 | 4% | 1.7 | 23.5% | 20.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.22 | 5.47 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BOS | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 58 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 5.17 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BOS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 5.17 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 99 | 437 | 111 | 80 | 12 | — | — | 25.4% | 18.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 5.19 | 5.29 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.1% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 59 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 16.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 58 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 16.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 56 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 5.10 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 16.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 36 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 16.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 42 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 107 | 453 | 106 | 73 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.69 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 136 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 26 | 254 | 1114 | 234 | 171 | 27 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.0% | 15.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 4.25 | 4.59 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 20 | 200 | 877 | 184 | 135 | 21 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.0% | 15.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 4.25 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reidis Sena (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.17 | 23.1% | 17.3% | 2.6% | — | 5.07 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 175 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 89 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 86 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 86 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 86 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 85 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 83 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.65 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.35 | 4.30 | 107 | 83 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 83 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 83 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 82 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 82 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.42 | 24.2% | 17.0% | 4.0% | .282 | 5.50 | 19.1% | -3.8% | 30 | +0.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.12 | 26.5% | 19.8% | 3.2% | .403 | 4.00 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 93 | -1.12 | 2.72 | 153 | 81 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 81 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 81 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 80 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 80 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 80 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 21.4% | 19.3% | 1.6% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 168 | 80 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 23.3% | 16.4% | 1.06 | 5.08 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |