Travis Bazzana
2B Cleveland Guardians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+CLE | 122 | .238/.369/.396 | 3 | 5 | 65 | — | .179/.287/.283 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA/AA/ROKCLE | 374 | .245/.389/.424 | 9 | 12 | 85 | — | .209/.322/.353 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAACLE | 117 | .287/.422/.511 | 2 | 8 | 120 | — | .260/.362/.460 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBCLE | 517 | .245/.338/.408 | 15 | 19 | 111 | 2.2 | |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBCLE | 485 | .234/.329/.379 | 12 | 19 | 102 | 1.6 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 25 | MLBCLE | 571 | .237/.332/.389 | 15 | 22 | 106 | 2.1 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 26 | MLBCLE | 553 | .236/.332/.389 | 15 | 21 | 106 | 2.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2020 | 17 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 30 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 448 | 435 | 883 | 130 | 368 | 13 | 20 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 122 | 101 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 238 | 369 | 396 | 765 | 158 | 313 | 25 | 14 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 120 | 89 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 420 | 438 | 858 | 213 | 302 | 27 | 24 | 386 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 228 | 195 | 50 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 55 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 256 | 364 | 426 | 790 | 169 | 333 | 24 | 13 | 355 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 26 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 462 | 333 | 795 | 111 | 286 | 15 | 31 | 383 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 517 | 449 | 110 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 107 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 245 | 338 | 408 | 745 | 163 | 286 | 21 | 11 | 332 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 117 | 94 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 287 | 422 | 511 | 933 | 223 | 373 | 21 | 18 | 408 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 517 | 449 | 110 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 107 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 245 | 338 | 408 | 745 | 163 | 286 | 21 | 11 | 332 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 122 | 106 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 179 | 287 | 283 | 570 | 104 | 265 | 31 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 120 | 97 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 196 | 345 | 361 | 705 | 165 | 286 | 33 | 18 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 228 | 202 | 44 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 71 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 356 | 663 | 139 | 311 | 31 | 10 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 26 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 346 | 286 | 632 | 95 | 216 | 23 | 19 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 517 | 450 | 111 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 107 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 247 | 338 | 413 | 751 | 167 | 286 | 21 | 11 | 332 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 117 | 100 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 30 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 260 | 362 | 460 | 822 | 200 | 346 | 26 | 13 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 17 | INTL MLE | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 30 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 448 | 435 | 883 | 130 | 368 | 13 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 17 | INTL RAW | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 30 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 448 | 435 | 883 | 130 | 368 | 13 | 20 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 122 | 106 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 179 | 287 | 283 | 570 | 104 | 258 | 31 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 122 | 101 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 238 | 369 | 396 | 765 | 158 | 313 | 25 | 14 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 321 | 66 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 116 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 206 | 316 | 346 | 662 | 140 | 298 | 31 | 13 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 374 | 302 | 74 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 91 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 245 | 389 | 424 | 813 | 179 | 322 | 24 | 18 | 367 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 634 | 550 | 137 | 32 | 6 | 17 | 70 | 137 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 249 | 342 | 422 | 764 | 173 | 299 | 22 | 11 | 334 | 112 | +9 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 634 | 543 | 137 | 33 | 5 | 17 | 77 | 132 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 252 | 354 | 425 | 779 | 173 | 301 | 21 | 12 | 346 | 112 | +9 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 122 | 105 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 181 | 287 | 286 | 573 | 105 | 265 | 31 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 319 | 66 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 116 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 207 | 316 | 348 | 664 | 141 | 296 | 31 | 13 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 634 | 551 | 137 | 32 | 6 | 17 | 70 | 137 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 249 | 342 | 421 | 763 | 172 | 297 | 22 | 11 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 122 | 105 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 181 | 287 | 286 | 573 | 105 | 265 | 31 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 319 | 66 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 116 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 207 | 316 | 348 | 664 | 141 | 296 | 31 | 13 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 634 | 551 | 137 | 32 | 6 | 17 | 70 | 137 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 249 | 342 | 421 | 763 | 172 | 297 | 22 | 11 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 554 | 480 | 112 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 62 | 117 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 234 | 330 | 381 | 711 | 147 | 280 | 21 | 11 | 320 | 102 | +2 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 485 | 422 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 54 | 102 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 234 | 329 | 379 | 708 | 145 | 279 | 21 | 11 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 583 | 506 | 119 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 123 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 237 | 332 | 392 | 724 | 155 | 280 | 21 | 11 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +13 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 564 | 489 | 116 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 63 | 119 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 237 | 332 | 391 | 724 | 155 | 280 | 21 | 11 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 548 | 474 | 112 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 62 | 116 | 7 | 20 | 5 | 235 | 331 | 389 | 720 | 153 | 279 | 21 | 11 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 532 | 461 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 60 | 114 | 6 | 18 | 4 | 233 | 329 | 384 | 713 | 150 | 278 | 21 | 11 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 518 | 449 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 58 | 112 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 231 | 326 | 377 | 703 | 146 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 317 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 504 | 437 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 111 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 227 | 323 | 369 | 691 | 141 | 275 | 22 | 11 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 490 | 428 | 95 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 54 | 110 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 317 | 358 | 675 | 135 | 271 | 22 | 11 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 406 | 355 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 93 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 310 | 343 | 654 | 127 | 266 | 23 | 11 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB MLE | CLE | 98% | 369 | 323 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 87 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 302 | 326 | 628 | 118 | 259 | 24 | 11 | 287 | 80 | -9 | -0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 571 | 495 | 117 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 64 | 120 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 237 | 332 | 389 | 722 | 153 | 280 | 21 | 11 | 324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 553 | 479 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 62 | 116 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 236 | 332 | 389 | 721 | 153 | 280 | 21 | 11 | 324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 537 | 466 | 109 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 114 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 235 | 331 | 386 | 718 | 151 | 279 | 21 | 11 | 322 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 521 | 451 | 105 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 59 | 112 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 233 | 329 | 382 | 711 | 148 | 278 | 21 | 11 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 508 | 440 | 102 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 57 | 110 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 231 | 326 | 375 | 701 | 144 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 494 | 431 | 98 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 109 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 227 | 322 | 367 | 689 | 139 | 274 | 22 | 11 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 480 | 419 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 108 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 222 | 317 | 356 | 673 | 133 | 271 | 22 | 11 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 398 | 348 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 91 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 310 | 342 | 652 | 126 | 266 | 23 | 11 | 296 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB CTX | CLE | 98% | 362 | 317 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 302 | 325 | 627 | 116 | 259 | 23 | 11 | 286 | 80 | -9 | -0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4941 | 4295 | 988 | 194 | 29 | 123 | 548 | 1072 | 56 | 134 | 35 | 230 | 325 | 375 | 700 | 145 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 315 | 98 | -1 | +13 | -19 | +18 | +107 | 12.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 565 | 130 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 72 | 141 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 230 | 325 | 375 | 700 | 145 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 315 | 98 | -0 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6159 | 5344 | 1226 | 245 | 46 | 148 | 691 | 1382 | 74 | 183 | 45 | 229 | 326 | 376 | 701 | 146 | 280 | 22 | 11 | 313 | 98 | +1 | +15 | -20 | +20 | +120 | 13.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 564 | 130 | 26 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 146 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 230 | 327 | 379 | 707 | 149 | 281 | 22 | 11 | 313 | 98 | +0 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 117 PAwOBA .398 → .345 (−53)K% 21.4% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.37% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 12.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.048 | 17.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.048 | 13.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.048 | 2.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.13% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .398 → .345; ISO .223 → .198; BABIP .373 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 228 PAwOBA .346 → .291 (−55)K% 24.1% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.12% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.72% | ÷0.953 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.968 | ×1.027 | 20.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×0.968 | ×1.027 | 7.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | ×1.027 | 2.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.09% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .346 → .291; ISO .169 → .142; BABIP .333 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 120 PAwOBA .378 → .307 (−71)K% 26.7% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.17% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 17.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.30% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 19.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 3.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.72% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .378 → .307; ISO .213 → .167; BABIP .302 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Guardians · 26 PAwOBA .376 → .262 (−114)K% 15.4% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.041 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.018 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 18.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.985 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 11.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.982 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 10.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.388 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .376 → .262; ISO .111 → .088; BABIP .286 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lake County Captains · 122 PAwOBA .342 → .264 (−78)K% 25.4% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.41% | ÷1.023 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.93% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 10.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.012 | 17.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.810 | ×0.951 | ×1.012 | 7.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.850 | ×0.951 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.190 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .342 → .264; ISO .158 → .113; BABIP .313 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .