Evan Fitterer
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131121vR 112
ERA4.94
FIP4.94
K%17.8%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%4.6%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 137 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 9 | 8 | 23 | 105 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 89% | 2.5 | 12.3% | 14.3% | -2.0% | 1.3% | 2.38 | 4.60 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 9 | 8 | 23 | 105 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 89% | 2.5 | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 2.38 | 3.59 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 8 | 30 | 134 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 89% | 3.4 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 4.15 | 3.21 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 8 | 30 | 134 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 89% | 3.4 | 24.6% | 7.5% | 17.2% | 0.7% | 4.15 | 2.34 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 22 | 22 | 107 | 464 | 80 | 46 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 13.3% | 11.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.96 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 22 | 22 | 107 | 464 | 80 | 46 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 4.28 | 3.86 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 123 | 557 | 118 | 84 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 0.3% | 3.1% | 4.26 | 5.47 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 123 | 557 | 118 | 84 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 21.2% | 15.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.93 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 121 | 549 | 114 | 68 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 17.2% | 13.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.92 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 121 | 549 | 114 | 68 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 4.92 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 33 | 10 | 95 | 398 | 94 | 41 | 4 | 30% | 2.9 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 3.42 | 3.47 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 33 | 10 | 95 | 398 | 94 | 41 | 4 | 30% | 2.9 | 23.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 1.0% | 3.42 | 2.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 19 | 13 | 69 | 311 | 46 | 40 | 2 | 68% | 3.6 | 13.0% | 13.5% | -0.5% | 0.7% | 3.80 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 68 | 289 | 51 | 38 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.8% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 4.94 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 17.8% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 4.94 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SD | — | — | 137 | 600 | 97 | 78 | 9 | — | — | 16.2% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 4.37 | 4.52 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SD | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 17.8% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 4.94 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 73 | 307 | 56 | 40 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.4% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 4.90 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 55 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 4.95 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 53 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SD | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 24 | 17 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.4% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 4.90 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SD | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 35 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SD | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 22 | 22 | 131 | 552 | 102 | 71 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.5% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 4.94 | 4.60 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 109 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.5% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 4.94 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 112 | 567 | 2518 | 404 | 330 | 50 | 78% | 4.0 | 16.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.13 | 4.50 | +6.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 40 | 200 | 888 | 142 | 116 | 18 | 78% | 4.0 | 16.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.13 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Fitterer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.94 | 17.8% | 13.3% | 2.3% | — | 4.97 | 18.5% | 5.7% | 210 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 88 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 87 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 82 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.31 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.67 | 4.64 | 147 | 80 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 78 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 77 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 77 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 77 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2029 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 77 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 11.7% | 11.7% | 1.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 371 | 76 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 76 |
| Luke Irvine R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 76 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 76 |
| Braydon Tucker R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.80 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 1.4% | .268 | 4.76 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 78 | +0.96 | 3.24 | 289 | 76 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 76 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.79 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 0.9% | .379 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 143 | 76 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 75 |
| André Rienzo R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.00 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 74 | -0.24 | 3.58 | 200 | 75 |
| Luis Niebla R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 11.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 156 | 75 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 71 | 18.3% | 13.0% | 0.98 | 4.93 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |