Matt Allan
P
St. Lucie Mets
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%23.0%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP9
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 80% | 1.7 | 32.4% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 1.86 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 80% | 1.7 | 32.4% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 1.90 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 20 | 96 | 23 | 16 | 1 | 82% | 1.8 | 18.2% | 18.8% | -0.6% | 2.7% | 3.60 | 5.40 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 20 | 96 | 23 | 16 | 1 | 82% | 1.8 | 24.0% | 16.7% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 3.60 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 8.6 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.04 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 13 | 28 | 130 | 29 | 22 | 3 | 81% | 1.8 | 21.9% | 17.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.86 | 4.47 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 113 | 92 | 200 | 918 | 201 | 156 | 18 | 81% | 1.8 | 21.9% | 17.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.86 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Allan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 20 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 77 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 68 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 67 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 66 |
| Sauryn Lao R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.48 | 21.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 182 | 64 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 64 |
| DJ Myers R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.12 | 22.9% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .375 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 257 | 63 |
| Spencer Howard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.82 | 24.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.90 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 208 | +1.08 | 2.29 | 484 | 63 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 63 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 61 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.74 | 31.3% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .256 | 4.66 | 24.1% | 7.0% | 72 | +0.92 | 2.26 | 256 | 61 |
| Leonardo Pestana R 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.53 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .324 | 5.35 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 66 | -0.18 | 3.61 | 155 | 61 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 61 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 61 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 61 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.19 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .375 | 4.22 | 20.3% | 13.1% | 252 | -0.97 | 3.52 | 473 | 60 |
| Michael Murray R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.45 | 16.2% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 116 | 60 |
| Riley Thompson R 2027 · 5.29 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.29 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .289 | 5.20 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 189 | -0.09 | 4.52 | 340 | 60 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.64 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .283 | 4.15 | 18.9% | 11.0% | 79 | -0.49 | 3.87 | 247 | 60 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 59 |