Orelvis Martinez

2B Buffalo Bisons

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP30ETA2030MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	AAATOR	319	.267/.347/.523	17	0	93	—	.227/.290/.416
2024	22	INTLTigres del Li…	17	.143/.294/.357	1	0	88	—
2025	23	AAATOR	394	.176/.289/.348	13	2	41	—	.140/.233/.275
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBTOR	32	.191/.269/.347	1	0	73	-0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	26	MLBTOR	97	.196/.274/.358	3	1	77	-0.0
2029PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBTOR	136	.197/.275/.358	4	1	78	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

Max EV87

BB%64

Z-Con%56

Speed41

Chase%32

K%25

CompsRodolfo Durán (age 25) · Cam Devanney (age 26) · Jason Vosler (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .269 / .347

PA32

HR1

K%31

BB%6

BABIP255

ISO138

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

1018.2%

POWER60

Bat Spd

9076.2

EYE30

Chase%

1050.0%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	142	39	8	5	7	14	29	4	2	0	275	354	549	903	275	296	18	9	385	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	125	112	24	4	0	9	10	28	1	0	1	214	282	491	773	277	197	22	8	332	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	326	283	79	22	2	19	33	85	8	4	1	279	369	572	942	293	333	26	10	406	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	433	88	15	0	30	40	140	12	6	3	203	287	446	733	242	217	28	8	320	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	246	209	55	16	1	11	26	66	2	2	0	263	347	507	854	244	317	27	11	362	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	292	239	54	9	1	17	41	60	2	0	0	226	337	485	822	259	223	21	14	353	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	38	32	7	2	0	0	3	10	2	0	0	219	324	281	606	62	304	26	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	319	281	75	19	1	17	27	76	8	0	0	267	347	523	870	256	305	24	8	378	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	17	14	2	0	0	1	3	7	0	0	1	143	294	357	651	214	167	41	18	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	336	59	17	1	13	47	112	7	2	0	176	289	348	637	173	215	28	12	289	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	148	28	5	3	5	9	42	4	2	0	189	255	365	620	176	221	26	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	125	115	20	3	0	8	8	38	1	0	1	174	234	409	643	235	179	30	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	326	292	65	16	2	15	25	110	8	4	1	223	302	445	747	223	290	34	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	444	75	12	0	23	32	169	12	6	3	169	244	351	595	182	198	34	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	246	218	48	13	1	9	19	81	2	2	0	220	289	413	702	193	275	33	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	292	260	52	9	1	15	26	76	2	0	0	200	278	415	693	215	205	26	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	319	291	66	17	1	12	18	91	8	0	0	227	290	416	706	189	278	29	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	349	49	12	1	11	35	136	7	2	0	140	233	275	508	135	183	35	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	148	28	5	3	5	9	42	4	2	0	189	255	365	620	176	223	26	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	142	39	8	5	7	14	29	4	2	0	275	354	549	903	275	296	18	9	385	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	451	407	85	20	2	22	33	148	9	4	2	209	283	430	713	221	264	33	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	451	395	103	26	2	28	43	113	9	4	2	261	345	549	895	289	293	25	10	386	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	444	75	12	0	23	32	169	12	6	3	169	244	351	595	182	203	34	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	433	88	15	0	30	40	140	12	6	3	203	287	446	733	242	217	28	8	320	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	576	510	106	23	2	25	48	168	6	2	0	208	284	408	692	200	246	29	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	576	480	116	27	2	28	70	136	6	2	0	242	340	481	822	240	268	24	12	352	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	308	69	17	1	13	18	96	8	0	1	224	284	412	697	188	279	29	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	336	295	77	19	1	18	30	83	8	0	1	261	344	515	860	254	301	25	9	374	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	349	49	12	1	11	35	136	7	2	0	140	233	275	508	135	185	35	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	336	59	17	1	13	47	112	7	2	0	176	289	348	637	173	215	28	12	289	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	149	28	5	3	5	9	42	4	2	0	188	255	362	617	174	221	26	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	451	406	85	20	2	22	33	148	9	4	2	209	283	431	714	222	259	33	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	445	75	12	0	23	32	169	12	6	3	169	244	351	594	182	198	34	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	576	517	106	23	2	25	48	168	6	2	0	205	284	402	686	197	237	29	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	307	69	17	1	13	18	96	8	0	1	225	284	414	698	189	278	29	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	349	49	12	1	11	35	136	7	2	0	140	233	275	508	135	183	35	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	307	69	17	1	13	18	96	8	0	1	225	284	414	698	189	278	29	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	349	49	12	1	11	35	136	7	2	0	140	233	275	508	135	183	35	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	10%	380	341	65	15	1	12	29	123	7	3	1	191	269	346	615	155	254	32	8	276	73	-12	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	32	29	5	1	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	191	269	347	616	155	255	31	6	276	73	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	28%	353	317	62	14	1	12	27	112	6	3	1	195	273	358	631	162	256	32	8	282	77	-10	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	36%	380	340	68	15	1	13	30	120	7	2	1	197	274	358	632	161	257	32	8	283	78	-10	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	41%	395	354	70	15	1	13	31	123	7	2	0	197	275	356	630	158	258	31	8	282	77	-11	+0	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	43%	397	357	69	15	1	12	31	123	6	0	0	197	274	352	626	155	259	31	8	281	76	-11	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	396	356	70	15	1	12	31	122	6	0	0	197	273	347	620	150	258	31	8	278	74	-12	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	28%	97	87	17	4	0	3	8	31	2	1	0	196	274	358	632	163	257	32	8	283	77	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	36%	136	122	23	5	0	4	11	43	2	1	0	197	275	358	633	161	258	32	8	283	78	-4	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	41%	162	145	29	6	1	5	13	51	3	1	0	198	275	356	631	158	259	31	8	283	77	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	43%	170	152	30	6	1	5	13	53	3	0	0	198	275	353	627	155	259	31	8	281	76	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	174	155	31	7	1	5	14	54	3	0	0	197	273	348	621	150	259	31	8	279	74	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	739	661	130	28	3	22	59	232	13	3	0	197	276	348	624	151	263	31	8	282	75	-21	+1	-4	+3	+16	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	115	25	3	19	52	204	11	3	0	198	276	349	626	151	265	31	8	282	75	-18	+1	-3	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4653	4176	805	175	15	171	350	1462	84	26	8	193	269	365	633	172	246	31	8	280	75	-64	+1	-10	+8	+49	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	112	24	2	24	49	204	12	4	1	192	269	364	632	172	244	31	8	280	75	-19	+0	-3	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	771	25	3	197	271	355	+3	-1	0.2	0.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	-1.2	0.2	pk7: 0
#3Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Clyde Beck'26-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	12	9	204*	292*	307*	+10	-6	-2.3	-2.3
/162	664	5	3	+3.7	-2.4	-0.9	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Orelvis Martinez (OGILVIE)	25	40	60	45	30	189/267/343	154	254	10	3	32%	8%	73	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodolfo Durán 2023 · AAA	25	38	48→50	47→45	37	203/240/343	141	256	16	4	28%	4%	61	-1.5	224/267/369	145	282	16	5	26%	5%	77	-0.3	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	39→42	48→50	45	41	203/264/347	144	262	16	6	29%	6%	72	-0.7	218/280/363	145	287	15	8	28%	7%	81	-0.1	212/277/355	142	283	15	7	29%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Jason Vosler 2019 · AAA	25	39→44	50→55	44→40	40	204/268/355	151	270	18	2	31%	6%	75	-0.5	219/282/386	167	283	21	3	29%	7%	87	+0.4	215/279/377	162	266	21	3	27%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Brandon Barnes 2011 · AAA	25	38→48	50→55	47→50	35	205/246/359	154	277	18	8	33%	4%	68	-1.0	220/269/358	138	293	14	13	29%	6%	76	-0.4	242/288/365	123	327	11	16	28%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Mike Olt 2014 · MLB	25	36→42	50→55	46→40	45	192/268/338	146	269	18	4	35%	9%	72	-0.7	197/265/354	157	284	21	3	36%	8%	74	-0.6	192/260/351	160	270	22	1	37%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→43	54→55	45→50	38	212/260/385	173	276	24	9	33%	6%	79	-0.2	220/281/379	159	281	20	11	28%	7%	85	+0.2	217/282/374	157	273	19	11	27%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Joe DeCarlo 2019 · AA	25	39→38	49→50	44→30	42	204/278/352	148	275	17	3	32%	7%	78	-0.3	190/258/283	93	284	9	4	34%	7%	54	-2.0	150/218/193	43	239	5	0	37%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Rodolfo Castro 2024 · MLB	25	42	50→55	42→50	43	215/281/365	149	285	18	8	30%	7%	82	-0.0	211/277/347	136	276	16	12	29%	7%	76	-0.4	198/265/337	139	251	16	17	27%	7%	68	-0.9
✕Brandon Waring 2012 · AA	26	37→40	51→55	44→40	37	197/254/355	157	279	19	2	36%	6%	70	-0.9	193/260/357	164	285	20	3	38%	6%	73	-0.6	177/249/340	163	268	21	1	40%	7%	63	-1.0
✕Brian McFall 2009 · AA	25	40→44	51→55	44→50	40	210/271/367	157	280	19	8	32%	6%	79	-0.2	217/282/353	136	294	15	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	201/271/327	126	271	14	6	30%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	50→55	49→50	41	203/260/349	146	252	19	7	28%	6%	71	-0.8	214/287/385	171	278	22	9	31%	8%	89	+0.5	197/278/378	180	249	24	7	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Luke Montz 2008 · AA	25	38→44	48→55	43→40	43	201/266/342	141	263	16	4	30%	7%	71	-0.8	203/266/327	124	257	14	3	26%	8%	68	-1.0	196/269/392	196	229	27	4	28%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Gabriel Quintana 2018 · AA	25	40→44	50→55	44→45	32	210/237/364	154	284	18	4	33%	3%	65	-1.2	203/246/325	122	308	13	6	37%	4%	59	-1.7	137/184/204	67	233	9	0	44%	3%	5	-1.5
✕Travis Demeritte 2019 · AA	24	37→46	49→55	47→50	40	194/256/345	151	279	17	7	36%	7%	68	-1.0	219/285/391	172	317	20	8	35%	8%	90	+0.6	211/277/384	173	306	21	9	36%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Lucas May 2009 · AA	24	38→43	50→55	46→45	38	204/250/356	151	263	18	6	30%	5%	68	-1.0	219/273/355	136	288	15	6	28%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/348	133	283	14	4	28%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Carter Aldrete 2023 · AA	25	41	49→50	42→45	39	213/264/359	145	291	18	7	33%	6%	74	-0.5	204/250/332	128	280	15	5	32%	6%	62	-1.4	182/224/297	114	246	14	1	32%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Eric Wood 2018 · AAA	25	42→50	49→55	47→45	44	216/276/365	149	277	16	7	28%	7%	80	-0.2	221/277/377	156	293	18	8	30%	6%	83	+0.1	215/269/369	154	284	18	5	30%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Mike Bianucci 2012 · AA	26	37→40	51→60	44→40	37	204/248/360	157	257	20	4	30%	4%	69	-0.9	221/266/386	165	272	22	4	27%	5%	82	-0.0	225/268/403	178	265	25	2	26%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	36→32	48→50	43→40	42	193/258/328	135	252	17	5	31%	7%	65	-1.2	199/277/337	138	247	17	5	26%	8%	75	-0.5	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Josh Breaux 2023 · AAA	25	36→30	52→55	49→40	37	198/242/359	161	262	21	4	34%	5%	66	-1.1	197/244/335	138	267	18	4	33%	5%	61	-1.5	179/228/301	122	240	16	1	32%	5%	44	-0.8

Orelvis Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps