Onix Vega

C Syracuse Mets

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 200 lbs AAA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	A+NYM	78	.214/.286/.343	1	0	19	—	.164/.208/.274
2025	26	INTLCriollos de C…	82	.239/.341/.366	3	0	106	—
2026	27	AAANYM	23	.150/.261/.300	1	0	24	—	.143/.217/.286
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBNYM	17	.212/.279/.325	0	0	75	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	29	MLBNYM	79	.211/.278/.323	2	1	74	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	30	MLBNYM	133	.209/.276/.319	2	1	73	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+

Z-Con%94

Whiff%85

K%81

ISO62

Chase%54

wRC+44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsStevie Berman (age 28) · Danny Mendick (age 28) · Humberto Sosa (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .279 / .325

PA17

HR0

K%24

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO62

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	71	58	16	2	0	0	9	4	3	2	1	276	400	310	710	34	296	6	13	334	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	289	240	56	12	0	3	34	47	10	5	0	233	352	321	673	88	273	16	12	311	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	INTL	RA12	—	27	24	5	3	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	208	296	333	630	125	250	15	11	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	23	20	6	1	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	300	391	350	741	50	429	26	4	347	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	253	215	57	10	1	4	34	52	4	4	2	265	375	377	752	112	333	21	13	346	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	44	36	7	2	0	1	3	15	4	0	0	194	326	333	659	139	286	34	7	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	62	54	11	1	0	0	6	11	1	0	1	204	295	222	517	19	250	18	10	246	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	149	122	31	5	0	0	22	29	3	1	0	254	381	295	676	41	326	19	15	319	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	69	57	10	3	1	1	7	7	3	1	0	175	299	316	614	140	176	10	10	278	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	97	79	16	2	0	0	11	12	6	0	0	203	344	228	572	25	239	12	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	124	105	20	1	0	1	17	21	0	2	0	190	303	229	532	38	226	17	14	254	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	38	31	9	1	0	0	7	7	0	1	0	290	421	323	744	32	375	18	18	353	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	85	69	17	3	0	1	14	16	1	0	0	246	381	333	714	87	302	19	16	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	78	70	15	4	1	1	7	14	0	0	1	214	286	343	629	129	250	18	9	280	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	82	71	17	0	0	3	9	7	2	0	0	239	341	366	708	127	230	9	11	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	23	20	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	150	261	300	561	150	118	9	9	262	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	71	61	15	2	0	0	6	6	3	2	1	246	343	279	622	33	245	8	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	289	254	52	11	0	2	20	66	10	5	0	205	289	272	560	67	251	23	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	23	20	6	1	0	0	1	7	2	0	0	300	391	350	741	50	411	30	4	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	253	229	49	8	1	3	20	68	4	4	2	214	289	297	585	83	285	27	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	62	56	10	1	0	0	4	13	1	0	1	179	246	196	442	18	228	21	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	149	129	28	4	0	0	15	35	3	1	0	217	313	248	561	31	291	23	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	69	60	10	3	1	1	4	9	3	1	0	167	254	300	554	133	150	13	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	124	111	19	1	0	1	11	25	0	2	0	171	246	207	453	36	205	20	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	38	34	8	1	0	0	4	9	0	1	0	235	316	265	580	29	312	24	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	78	73	12	3	1	1	4	18	0	0	1	164	208	274	482	110	188	23	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	23	21	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	143	217	286	503	143	107	9	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	71	61	15	2	0	0	6	6	3	2	1	246	343	279	622	33	273	8	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	—	71	58	16	2	0	0	9	4	3	2	1	276	400	310	710	34	296	6	13	334	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	316	279	56	12	0	2	22	72	10	5	1	201	283	265	548	65	258	23	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	316	264	61	15	0	3	37	51	10	5	1	231	347	322	669	91	271	16	12	309	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	320	285	63	10	1	4	24	87	10	4	2	221	304	305	609	84	303	27	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	320	271	70	13	1	5	38	73	10	4	2	258	370	369	739	111	335	23	12	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	377	326	64	10	1	1	32	78	13	2	1	196	294	242	536	46	250	21	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	377	312	68	11	1	1	46	59	13	2	1	218	342	269	612	51	261	16	12	290	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	247	220	40	3	0	1	23	53	1	3	0	182	262	209	471	27	232	21	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	247	205	46	5	0	2	38	44	1	3	0	224	348	278	626	54	273	18	15	296	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	160	149	24	6	2	2	8	37	2	0	1	161	214	268	482	107	198	23	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	160	141	32	4	1	4	16	21	2	0	1	227	314	355	669	128	239	13	10	303	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	23	21	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	143	217	286	503	143	111	9	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Syracuse Mets	—	23	20	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	150	261	300	561	150	118	9	9	262	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	71	62	15	2	0	0	6	6	3	2	1	242	343	274	617	32	245	8	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	316	281	56	12	0	2	22	72	10	5	1	199	283	263	546	64	251	23	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	320	283	63	10	1	4	24	87	10	4	2	223	304	307	611	85	295	27	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	377	329	64	10	1	1	32	78	13	2	1	195	294	240	534	46	242	21	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	247	221	40	3	0	1	23	53	1	3	0	181	262	208	470	27	230	21	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	160	149	24	6	2	2	8	37	2	0	1	161	214	268	482	107	188	23	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	23	21	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	143	217	286	503	143	107	9	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	247	221	40	3	0	1	23	53	1	3	0	181	262	208	470	27	230	21	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	160	149	24	6	2	2	8	37	2	0	1	161	214	268	482	107	188	23	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	23	21	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	143	217	286	503	143	107	9	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYM	10%	200	181	39	7	1	4	15	50	2	3	1	218	285	335	620	116	276	25	8	279	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYM	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	212	279	325	605	114	267	24	6	273	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYM	33%	243	220	48	9	1	5	18	61	3	3	1	217	284	332	616	115	275	25	7	278	74	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	NYM	46%	290	264	56	11	1	5	21	73	3	3	1	216	282	328	610	113	274	25	7	275	73	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYM	33%	79	72	15	3	0	2	6	20	1	1	0	211	278	323	601	112	267	25	8	272	74	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	NYM	46%	133	121	26	5	1	2	10	34	1	1	0	209	276	319	595	110	266	26	8	269	73	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	212	193	41	8	1	4	16	54	2	2	0	212	280	326	606	114	272	25	8	270	57	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	126	25	3	12	49	166	6	6	0	213	280	326	606	113	273	26	8	270	57	-21	+1	-4	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2217	1978	402	69	7	24	168	511	48	25	9	203	282	282	563	78	259	23	8	252	57	-22	+1	-3	+13	+15	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	118	20	2	7	49	150	14	7	3	203	281	281	563	78	259	23	8	252	57	-20	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Lew Ritter'02-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,580 PA	2.4	1,580	1	55	218*	275*	335*	+26	-1	2.8	2.8
/162	664	0	23	+10.8	-0.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#5Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	229	4	3	217	281	331	+4	+4	0.3	0.3
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+11.6	0.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Onix Vega (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	216/283/332	115	276	3	3	25%	7%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	48	196/284/317	121	252	12	5	26%	9%	73	-0.6	215/295/329	114	287	12	7	27%	9%	79	-0.2	193/288/250	57	260	7	0	26%	11%	57	-0.4
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→47	43→45	43→50	47	229/290/338	109	280	12	8	22%	7%	78	-0.3	232/292/351	119	285	13	12	22%	7%	82	+0.0	224/281/347	123	270	13	15	22%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Humberto Sosa 2014 · AAA	28	44→48	46→45	48→45	44	222/268/348	126	263	14	8	22%	6%	72	-0.7	221/266/323	102	274	11	5	23%	6%	65	-1.2	203/254/315	112	253	14	2	25%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	44→50	46→45	50	189/283/307	119	262	12	9	31%	11%	70	-0.8	188/281/306	118	260	13	10	30%	11%	69	-0.9	169/268/284	115	227	13	8	30%	11%	59	-1.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	40	47→45	46→30	43	208/272/340	132	278	16	4	31%	8%	73	-0.6	198/261/307	109	336	12	5	41%	7%	61	-1.5	182/246/266	84	328	9	1	44%	7%	44	-0.9
✕Mike Rivera 2005 · MLB	28	45	45→55	49→45	47	227/285/353	126	275	13	8	22%	7%	80	-0.2	227/266/405	178	249	24	7	21%	4%	86	+0.3	207/243/376	168	224	24	6	21%	3%	70	-0.5
✕Brian O'Keefe 2021 · AA	28	41→42	46→50	45→40	47	208/278/334	126	258	14	5	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/271/365	150	287	19	5	31%	7%	78	-0.3	197/258/354	157	242	18	1	27%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→39	44→45	44→40	44	213/272/330	117	266	11	3	24%	6%	70	-0.8	216/279/311	95	281	7	3	24%	7%	68	-1.0	206/274/297	91	259	8	0	22%	7%	61	-0.6
✕William Simoneit 2024 · AAA	27	43	44→45	48→45	43	211/286/328	116	300	11	6	32%	8%	76	-0.4	194/259/307	113	315	11	6	39%	6%	60	-1.6	165/229/267	102	285	10	2	43%	6%	38	-1.0
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	41→45	52→50	48	215/287/317	102	280	7	8	25%	8%	72	-0.7	199/275/278	79	270	6	10	26%	8%	59	-1.6	176/257/227	52	243	3	10	27%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Justin Knoedler 2008 · AAA	28	45	43→45	50→45	40	219/270/336	117	301	9	10	29%	6%	70	-0.8	195/243/332	137	259	15	8	30%	5%	59	-1.6	132/184/277	145	156	18	4	31%	4%	25	-1.7
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	44→45	47→40	45	235/286/345	109	285	13	3	22%	6%	78	-0.3	223/277/322	99	272	12	4	22%	6%	70	-0.8	233/301/333	100	289	11	3	22%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→45	47→30	44	202/270/322	120	264	10	6	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/277/345	129	299	14	6	31%	7%	76	-0.4	199/260/322	122	279	16	0	33%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Alan Trejo 2024 · MLB	28	46	48→55	45	41	233/280/378	146	290	15	9	25%	5%	84	+0.2	220/272/348	128	279	13	8	25%	6%	74	-0.6	208/258/332	123	263	13	5	26%	6%	63	-0.8
✕J.C. Escarra 2024 · AAA	29	44→45	44→45	52→45	45	216/287/331	115	279	11	11	26%	7%	76	-0.4	224/292/345	121	261	11	6	18%	8%	81	-0.1	220/289/338	117	255	10	3	17%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2024 · MLB	28	40→42	47→55	49→50	46	204/276/339	135	275	15	12	31%	9%	74	-0.6	196/275/323	127	279	14	14	32%	9%	70	-0.8	141/233/249	109	200	13	15	35%	10%	38	-1.6
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	47	42→45	46→40	44	228/272/324	96	274	10	5	21%	6%	68	-1.0	238/291/374	136	284	14	5	21%	7%	87	+0.4	242/299/402	160	282	16	0	20%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Gavin Collins 2024 · AAA	29	43	45	45→40	45	215/290/332	117	276	13	7	26%	7%	78	-0.3	215/272/325	110	250	11	7	18%	6%	69	-0.9	200/257/293	93	228	9	4	16%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Shawn McGill 2012 · AAA	28	48	42→45	46→45	43	235/283/338	103	289	9	9	22%	5%	76	-0.4	220/270/317	97	269	7	9	20%	5%	66	-1.1	210/260/304	93	254	5	7	19%	4%	57	-0.5
✕Beamer Weems 2015 · AAA	28	44→48	44→45	47→40	42	220/275/333	114	291	11	9	28%	6%	72	-0.7	208/261/306	98	255	8	7	21%	6%	60	-1.6	179/229/251	72	218	3	0	19%	6%	32	-1.4

Onix Vega

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps