Christian Franklin

LF Norfolk Tides

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 195 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEFG #722Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	AATennessee Smo…	427	.268/.401/.366	5	34	90	—	.242/.342/.332
2025	25	AAAWSH	535	.272/.391/.427	12	19	95	—	.241/.333/.359
2026	26	MLBBAL	59	.180/.305/.220	0	3	60	-0.6
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBBAL	25	.238/.333/.343	0	1	92	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	28	MLBBAL	167	.236/.330/.342	2	5	91	0.1
2029PROJ39% MLB	29	MLBBAL	152	.234/.327/.338	2	4	89	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.6M2030Arb-2$0.6M2031Ext$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV95

Chase%91

BB%88

Speed77

Whiff%51

Z-Con%51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsMax Schuemann (age 27) · Drew Ferguson (age 28) · Jonathan Davis (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .333 / .343

PA25

HR0

K%28

BB%12

BABIP321

ISO45

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT47

xAVG

100.192

POWER42

Barrel%

538.6

Avg EV

1085.4

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

5827.8

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.6M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	87	65	13	3	0	1	17	23	5	1	4	200	402	292	695	92	293	26	20	340	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	288	234	58	11	0	9	42	74	9	9	6	248	382	410	793	162	320	26	15	358	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	42	10	3	1	1	5	14	4	4	0	238	373	429	801	190	333	27	10	363	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	30	25	9	1	2	2	5	5	0	0	1	360	467	800	1.267	440	389	17	17	526	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	21	20	6	2	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	300	333	400	733	100	400	24	5	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	427	347	93	15	2	5	71	89	6	34	7	268	401	366	767	98	344	21	17	354	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	535	445	121	23	5	12	80	110	7	19	9	272	391	427	818	155	336	21	15	368	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	59	50	9	2	0	0	7	15	2	3	0	180	305	220	525	40	257	25	12	259	60	-3	+1	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2026	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	443	362	90	17	2	7	70	109	7	20	4	249	380	365	745	116	335	25	16	342	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	59	50	9	2	0	0	7	15	2	3	0	180	305	220	525	40	257	25	12	259	61	-3	+1	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	87	70	11	2	0	1	12	33	5	1	4	157	322	229	550	71	266	38	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	288	248	49	8	0	6	28	97	9	9	6	198	302	302	604	105	277	34	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	43	8	2	1	1	4	19	4	4	0	186	314	349	663	163	279	37	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	30	27	6	1	1	1	3	7	0	0	1	222	300	444	744	222	281	23	10	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	427	368	89	14	2	5	50	111	6	34	7	242	342	332	674	90	323	26	12	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	535	468	113	20	4	9	57	128	7	19	9	241	333	359	692	118	313	24	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	59	50	9	2	0	0	7	15	2	3	0	180	305	220	525	40	257	25	12	256	60	-3	+1	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2026	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	443	384	86	15	2	5	48	131	7	20	4	224	321	312	634	89	318	30	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	87	70	11	2	0	1	12	33	5	1	4	157	322	229	550	71	278	38	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	87	65	13	3	0	1	17	23	5	1	4	200	402	292	695	92	293	26	20	340	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	390	338	65	11	2	8	36	130	13	13	8	192	295	308	602	115	282	33	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	390	321	83	17	3	12	53	98	13	13	8	259	385	442	827	184	333	25	14	370	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	427	368	89	14	2	5	50	111	6	34	7	242	342	332	674	90	329	26	12	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	427	347	93	15	2	5	71	89	6	34	7	268	401	366	767	98	344	21	17	354	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	535	468	113	20	4	9	57	128	7	19	9	241	333	359	692	118	313	24	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	535	445	121	23	5	12	80	110	7	19	9	272	391	427	818	155	336	21	15	368	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	502	434	95	17	2	5	55	146	9	23	4	219	319	302	621	83	316	29	11	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	502	412	99	19	2	7	77	124	9	23	4	240	371	347	719	107	325	25	15	332	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	87	70	11	2	0	1	12	33	5	1	4	157	322	229	550	71	266	38	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	390	338	65	11	2	8	36	130	13	13	8	192	295	308	602	115	278	33	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	427	368	89	14	2	5	50	111	6	34	7	242	342	332	674	90	323	26	12	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	535	466	113	20	4	9	57	128	7	19	9	242	333	361	693	118	313	24	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	502	433	95	17	2	5	55	146	9	23	4	219	319	303	622	83	311	29	11	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	427	368	89	14	2	5	50	111	6	34	7	242	342	332	674	90	323	26	12	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	535	466	113	20	4	9	57	128	7	19	9	242	333	361	693	118	313	24	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	502	433	95	17	2	5	55	146	9	23	4	219	319	303	622	83	311	29	11	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BAL	10%	380	330	77	14	2	5	41	101	6	14	3	234	330	336	666	102	317	27	11	305	92	-3	+2	+1	-4	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	25	22	5	1	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	238	333	343	676	105	321	28	12	309	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	566	492	115	21	3	8	61	150	8	18	5	232	327	335	662	102	314	27	11	303	91	-6	+2	+1	-6	+12	0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	BAL	39%	390	341	78	14	2	5	41	103	5	11	3	230	323	331	655	101	311	26	11	300	89	-5	+1	-0	-4	+8	-0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	BAL	45%	388	340	77	14	2	5	40	103	5	9	2	227	319	326	646	99	307	27	10	296	86	-6	+1	-1	-4	+8	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	167	145	34	6	1	2	18	44	2	5	1	236	330	342	672	105	319	26	11	307	91	-2	+1	+0	-2	+4	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	BAL	39%	152	133	31	6	1	2	16	40	2	4	1	234	327	338	665	104	315	26	11	304	89	-2	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	BAL	45%	176	154	36	6	1	3	18	47	2	4	1	231	322	333	655	102	312	27	10	300	86	-3	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	554	482	110	20	3	7	59	146	8	16	3	228	322	326	648	98	310	26	11	298	86	-9	+2	-0	-11	+12	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	129	23	4	8	69	171	9	19	4	228	321	325	647	97	309	26	11	298	86	-11	+2	-0	-13	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3535	3068	693	122	18	49	379	970	62	137	44	226	323	325	648	99	312	27	11	295	86	-23	+5	+1	-22	+36	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	127	22	3	9	70	178	11	25	8	225	322	323	645	98	311	27	11	295	86	-9	+2	+0	-9	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Mike Felder'85-'94 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,497 PA	3.8	2,497	14	161	247*	300*	340*	-18	+17	0.9	2.8
/162	664	4	43	-4.9	+4.4	0.2	pk7: 5
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	579	7	18	226	319	322	-6	+4	0.1	0.1
/162	664	8	20	-7.1	+5.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Franklin (OGILVIE)	27	40→47	38→42	51→50	61	232/327/333	101	317	3	9	26%	11%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Schuemann 2024 · AAA	27	49→51	43→45	56→60	49	233/323/349	116	312	10	25	27%	9%	94	+0.9	222/312/329	107	286	10	18	24%	10%	85	+0.2	211/306/314	103	267	10	18	23%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	49	44→45	54→55	49	235/323/354	118	318	11	21	28%	10%	95	+0.9	214/288/319	105	333	10	21	35%	9%	74	-0.6	149/238/185	35	271	3	35	42%	10%	23	-0.8
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	48→52	43→45	54→55	47	232/305/345	113	294	9	20	24%	7%	86	+0.3	217/304/337	120	285	11	19	26%	8%	84	+0.2	208/298/312	104	282	9	26	27%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Cal Stevenson 2024 · MLB	27	48→56	43→45	54→60	55	230/323/340	110	302	11	24	26%	12%	92	+0.7	237/323/358	121	312	10	26	25%	11%	95	+1.0	234/323/358	124	310	9	27	25%	11%	94	+0.5
✕Andruw Monasterio 2024 · MLB	27	51→54	42→45	51→55	50	244/319/351	107	314	9	16	24%	9%	93	+0.8	235/307/347	112	302	10	19	24%	9%	87	+0.4	225/295/341	116	286	10	18	24%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Marty Costes 2023 · AAA	27	52→59	43→45	48→50	49	250/329/362	112	314	9	15	22%	8%	99	+1.2	230/300/330	100	287	8	13	22%	7%	80	-0.1	220/290/301	82	273	6	11	21%	6%	68	-0.4
✕David Hensley 2024 · MLB	28	50→60	44→45	52→55	51	234/320/357	123	334	10	15	30%	11%	94	+0.9	208/291/323	115	306	10	16	32%	10%	76	-0.4	205/288/315	110	288	9	22	30%	10%	69	-0.7
✕Conner Capel 2024 · MLB	27	47→48	44→45	53→55	49	230/300/350	120	289	11	21	24%	9%	85	+0.2	209/275/330	121	261	13	19	24%	8%	71	-0.8	194/256/316	121	233	14	16	23%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Victor Robles 2024 · MLB	27	49→54	41→50	54→60	45	233/301/332	99	295	8	21	23%	6%	82	-0.0	262/330/371	109	325	8	38	20%	7%	101	+1.4	268/336/365	97	337	5	49	20%	6%	102	+0.6
✕Anthony Prato 2024 · AAA	26	46→49	43→45	52→55	50	219/312/336	117	302	10	17	28%	10%	87	+0.4	217/318/318	101	289	7	19	25%	10%	86	+0.3	210/320/297	87	281	4	21	23%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2021 · MLB	28	49→56	40→45	57→65	51	232/306/325	92	301	7	27	24%	9%	81	-0.1	213/303/289	76	301	5	28	28%	11%	73	-0.6	201/300/259	58	298	3	31	30%	11%	63	-0.8
✕Phillip Ervin 2019 · MLB	27	47→51	46→50	54→55	46	234/300/370	136	290	13	23	24%	7%	90	+0.6	227/299/367	140	293	14	15	26%	8%	89	+0.5	215/285/358	143	281	15	16	27%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Joey Rickard 2018 · MLB	27	51→61	42→45	52→55	47	247/305/353	106	303	8	14	21%	7%	87	+0.4	239/304/376	137	294	13	9	22%	7%	93	+0.8	239/309/383	144	293	14	8	22%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Junior Lake 2017 · MLB	27	46→56	44→50	48→55	42	223/280/338	114	311	11	17	31%	7%	74	-0.5	233/301/365	132	298	13	16	25%	8%	88	+0.5	243/319/391	148	290	15	21	21%	9%	99	+0.8
✕Manuel Margot 2022 · MLB	27	50→55	46→50	51→60	51	249/308/378	129	281	13	21	17%	8%	94	+0.9	255/308/368	113	299	9	14	17%	7%	91	+0.7	255/306/357	102	300	7	12	17%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Danny Worth 2013 · MLB	27	47→51	43→45	51→50	47	227/295/343	116	300	10	16	27%	8%	81	-0.1	203/265/292	89	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	217/283/314	97	316	7	9	31%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Kevin Thompson 2007 · MLB	27	50→53	46→50	56→60	50	244/311/385	141	293	12	25	21%	8%	97	+1.1	234/298/354	120	289	10	29	21%	8%	84	+0.2	236/301/346	111	294	8	38	21%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Dalton Guthrie 2023 · MLB	27	51→55	44→45	52→50	41	247/299/366	119	320	10	19	26%	5%	88	+0.4	232/292/325	93	307	7	18	25%	6%	76	-0.4	222/288/291	69	300	4	17	25%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Jack Dunn 2024 · AAA	27	48	38→40	53→55	53	227/314/302	74	294	6	23	23%	10%	80	-0.2	213/302/302	89	272	8	19	23%	10%	76	-0.4	196/293/279	83	238	9	16	20%	10%	65	-0.9
✕Tyler Saladino 2015 · AAA	26	49→47	41→45	55	47	237/297/339	102	293	8	20	22%	7%	81	-0.1	239/289/345	106	291	10	22	21%	6%	79	-0.2	227/287/327	100	289	10	17	24%	7%	74	-0.3

Christian Franklin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps