Damon Dues
SS San Antonio Missions| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | A+/ROK2 orgs | 313 | .287/.418/.362 | 1 | 31 | 69 | — | .221/.321/.280 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 128 | .167/.291/.194 | 0 | 4 | 28 | — | .165/.253/.176 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 107 | .301/.458/.470 | 1 | 6 | 136 | — | .234/.355/.375 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 29 | MLBSD | 2 | .217/.289/.332 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 30 | MLBSD | 27 | .215/.287/.328 | 1 | 0 | 76 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 98 | 78 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 256 | 396 | 321 | 716 | 64 | 345 | 22 | 14 | 333 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 18 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 455 | 647 | 455 | 1.102 | 625 | 17 | 33 | 484 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 57 | 38 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 368 | 579 | 500 | 1.079 | 132 | 412 | 7 | 33 | 487 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 41 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 378 | 439 | 514 | 953 | 135 | 560 | 29 | 10 | 421 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 250 | 210 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 52 | 2 | 25 | 4 | 290 | 399 | 362 | 761 | 71 | 384 | 21 | 14 | 350 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | — | 63 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 273 | 492 | 364 | 856 | 91 | 344 | 17 | 29 | 408 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 96 | 81 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 185 | 305 | 198 | 503 | 12 | 278 | 29 | 14 | 247 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 32 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 250 | 185 | 435 | 74 | 130 | 12 | 16 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 76 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 259 | 434 | 414 | 848 | 155 | 326 | 18 | 24 | 388 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 31 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 400 | 516 | 600 | 1.116 | 200 | 417 | 3 | 16 | 488 | 216 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 98 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 179 | 281 | 214 | 496 | 36 | 259 | 33 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 18 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 462 | 588 | 462 | 1.050 | 568 | 22 | 22 | 436 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 57 | 45 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 333 | 474 | 444 | 918 | 111 | 374 | 11 | 21 | 405 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 41 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 256 | 293 | 333 | 626 | 77 | 432 | 41 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 250 | 220 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 69 | 2 | 25 | 4 | 227 | 315 | 282 | 596 | 55 | 320 | 28 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 63 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 196 | 349 | 275 | 624 | 78 | 249 | 25 | 17 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 96 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 165 | 253 | 176 | 429 | 12 | 265 | 34 | 9 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 76 | 64 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 234 | 355 | 375 | 730 | 141 | 297 | 21 | 16 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 98 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 179 | 281 | 214 | 496 | 36 | 278 | 33 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK RAW | ACL Giants Orange | — | 98 | 78 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 256 | 396 | 321 | 716 | 64 | 345 | 22 | 14 | 333 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 116 | 96 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 27 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 312 | 426 | 396 | 822 | 83 | 435 | 23 | 16 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 116 | 86 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 384 | 539 | 500 | 1.039 | 116 | 493 | 16 | 25 | 463 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 271 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 85 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 218 | 318 | 273 | 591 | 55 | 312 | 27 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 313 | 254 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 63 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 287 | 418 | 362 | 780 | 75 | 377 | 20 | 17 | 362 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 114 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 167 | 252 | 175 | 427 | 9 | 268 | 34 | 9 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 128 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 167 | 291 | 194 | 486 | 28 | 234 | 25 | 14 | 240 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 89 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 364 | 371 | 735 | 135 | 308 | 21 | 16 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 107 | 83 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 301 | 458 | 470 | 928 | 169 | 358 | 14 | 21 | 417 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 98 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 174 | 281 | 209 | 491 | 35 | 259 | 33 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 116 | 96 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 27 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 312 | 426 | 396 | 822 | 83 | 425 | 23 | 16 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 270 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 85 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 219 | 318 | 274 | 592 | 56 | 306 | 27 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 114 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 167 | 252 | 175 | 427 | 9 | 265 | 34 | 9 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 364 | 375 | 739 | 136 | 297 | 21 | 16 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 114 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 167 | 252 | 175 | 427 | 9 | 265 | 34 | 9 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 364 | 375 | 739 | 136 | 297 | 21 | 16 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | SD | 2% | 200 | 180 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 292 | 337 | 628 | 117 | 291 | 28 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | SD | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 289 | 332 | 620 | 115 | 286 | 50 | 0 | 280 | 78 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | SD | 23% | 120 | 108 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 290 | 333 | 623 | 115 | 290 | 28 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | SD | 23% | 27 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 287 | 328 | 615 | 113 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 278 | 76 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 27 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 296 | 400 | 696 | 160 | 294 | 26 | 7 | 278 | 73 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 144 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 48 | 169 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 295 | 399 | 694 | 159 | 293 | 26 | 7 | 278 | 73 | -18 | +0 | -11 | +7 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 966 | 838 | 185 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 110 | 267 | 11 | 60 | 14 | 221 | 319 | 295 | 614 | 74 | 314 | 28 | 11 | 276 | 73 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 564 | 124 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 74 | 180 | 7 | 40 | 9 | 220 | 317 | 293 | 610 | 73 | 313 | 28 | 11 | 276 | 73 | -18 | +3 | -7 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 76 PAwOBA .380 → .320 (−59)K% 18.4% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷1.054 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.68% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 15.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.036 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 4.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.950 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .380 → .320; ISO .155 → .144; BABIP .326 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 96 PAwOBA .245 → .207 (−38)K% 29.2% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.54% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 9.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 25.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.110 | ×0.860 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 1.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .245 → .207; ISO .012 → .009; BABIP .278 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Eugene Emeralds · 250 PAwOBA .343 → .268 (−75)K% 20.8% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.80% | ÷1.021 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.40% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 10.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.11% | ÷1.047 | ×0.910 | ×1.001 | ×0.978 | 24.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.49% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×0.978 | 7.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .343 → .268; ISO .071 → .055; BABIP .384 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Black · 63 PAwOBA .400 → .276 (−124)K% 17.5% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.979 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 17.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.053 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 2.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 2.17% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .400 → .276; ISO .091 → .069; BABIP .344 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ASan Jose Giants · 57 PAwOBA .477 → .405 (−72)K% 7.0% → 10.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.02% | ÷0.943 | ×1.360 | — | — | 10.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 21.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 26.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷0.957 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 7.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 2.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 89, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .477 → .405; ISO .132 → .137; BABIP .412 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Giants Orange · 41 PAwOBA .410 → .266 (−144)K% 29.3% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.27% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷0.970 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 44.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 34.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 5.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .410 → .266; ISO .135 → .080; BABIP .560 → .432. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Eugene Emeralds · 18 PAwOBA .474 → .436 (−38)K% 16.7% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.029 | ×1.350 | — | — | 21.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 23.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 62.50% | ÷0.989 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 56.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.120 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .474 → .436; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .625 → .568. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Giants Orange · 98 PAwOBA .333 → .227 (−106)K% 22.4% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.45% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.971 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.965 | 23.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.369 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.965 | 2.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.965 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 94, 2B 174, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .333 → .227; ISO .064 → .034; BABIP .345 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .