Jhonkensy Noel

RF Norfolk Tides

Age 26 R/R 6'4" / 250 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAAArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	MLBCLE	198	.218/.289/.486	13	115	-0.1
2025	24	MLBCLE	153	.162/.184/.297	6	29	-1.6
2026	25	AAABAL	120	.121/.217/.243	3	-1	—	.091/.167/.173
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBBAL	20	.205/.263/.384	1	75	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	27	MLBBAL	96	.204/.262/.381	4	74	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.7 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2025

Bat Spd90

Barrel%68

Avg EV53

Speed42

xwOBA18

Whiff%10

CompsJohan Mieses (age 26) · Lewin Díaz (age 26) · Josh Breaux (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7875vR 64

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .263 / .384

PA20

HR1

K%30

BB%5

BABIP256

ISO211

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT30

Whiff%

1018.1%

xAVG

100.193

POWER55

Barrel%

6810.9

Avg EV

5389.3

Bat Spd

9077.9

EYE20

Chase%

1048.8%

SPEED50

Sprint

4227.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 351 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

149

202

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

305

263

◀L

ISO

268

167

◀◀L

BABIP

219

235

▶R

32.9%

32.7%

—

BB%

4.0%

5.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	260	218	53	11	0	10	25	58	14	6	4	243	358	431	789	188	285	22	10	352	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	178	51	12	0	6	18	39	4	5	1	287	365	455	820	169	317	19	9	351	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	111	100	28	3	0	8	9	31	2	3	1	280	351	550	901	270	328	28	8	393	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	150	59	10	1	11	7	27	3	2	1	393	431	693	1.125	300	421	17	4	481	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Indians	—	17	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	200	294	267	561	67	273	24	6	266	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	300	39	6	211	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	278	240	58	16	2	13	30	63	6	2	0	242	341	487	828	246	271	23	11	362	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	252	228	50	9	0	19	18	80	4	1	0	219	288	509	797	289	237	32	7	343	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	585	519	114	23	0	27	49	145	14	1	3	220	304	420	724	200	249	25	8	322	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	35	30	5	1	0	3	5	10	0	1	0	167	286	500	786	333	118	29	14	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	198	179	39	7	1	13	13	63	5	0	0	218	289	486	775	268	250	32	7	337	115	+3	+0	-3	-5	+4	-0.1
2024	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	284	258	76	15	2	18	19	60	7	1	0	295	359	578	937	283	322	21	7	407	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	153	148	24	2	0	6	4	52	0	0	0	162	184	297	482	135	198	34	3	211	29	-13	+0	-2	-5	+3	-1.6
2025	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	252	227	62	14	0	12	21	67	2	1	1	273	340	493	833	220	333	27	8	364	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	38	33	4	0	0	2	3	10	2	0	0	121	237	303	540	182	95	26	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	120	107	13	4	0	3	10	36	3	0	0	121	217	243	460	121	147	30	8	217	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	351	327	63	9	1	19	17	115	5	0	0	193	244	401	644	208	226	33	5	282	77	-10	+0	-5	-10	+8	-1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	—	260	225	32	6	0	5	18	71	14	6	4	142	249	236	485	93	176	27	7	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	185	39	8	0	5	11	56	4	5	1	211	270	335	605	124	242	27	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	111	105	21	2	0	5	4	41	2	3	1	200	243	362	605	162	274	37	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	154	50	8	1	9	3	36	3	2	1	325	350	565	915	240	362	22	2	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	17	15	3	1	0	0	1	6	1	0	1	200	294	267	561	67	218	35	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	291	44	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	278	248	52	15	2	10	22	79	6	2	0	210	290	407	697	198	261	28	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	252	235	39	7	0	13	11	100	4	1	0	166	216	362	578	196	201	40	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	585	532	100	19	0	19	36	173	14	1	3	188	258	331	589	143	234	30	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	198	179	39	7	1	13	13	63	5	0	0	218	289	486	775	268	250	32	7	338	115	+3	+0	-3	-5	+4	-0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	284	264	64	12	2	12	13	77	7	1	0	242	296	439	735	197	297	27	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	153	148	24	2	0	6	4	52	0	0	0	162	184	297	482	135	198	34	3	211	29	-13	+0	-2	-5	+3	-1.6
2025	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	252	233	52	11	0	8	15	84	2	1	1	223	276	373	649	150	299	33	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	120	110	10	3	0	2	7	43	3	0	0	91	167	173	339	82	135	36	6	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	—	260	225	32	6	0	5	18	71	14	6	4	142	249	236	485	93	180	27	7	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	—	260	218	53	11	0	10	25	58	14	6	4	243	358	431	789	188	285	22	10	352	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	185	39	8	0	5	11	56	4	5	1	211	270	335	605	124	256	27	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	178	51	12	0	6	18	39	4	5	1	287	365	455	820	169	317	19	9	351	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	290	274	74	11	1	15	8	83	6	5	3	270	306	482	787	212	331	29	3	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	290	265	90	14	1	19	17	62	6	5	3	340	392	615	1.007	275	382	21	6	435	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	548	500	94	23	2	23	34	187	10	3	0	188	254	380	634	192	241	34	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	548	485	111	26	2	32	49	150	10	3	0	229	312	489	801	260	257	27	9	348	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	620	565	106	20	0	20	38	183	14	2	3	188	256	329	585	142	236	30	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	620	549	119	24	0	30	54	155	14	2	3	217	303	424	727	208	243	25	9	323	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	443	103	19	3	25	26	140	12	1	0	233	293	458	751	226	280	29	5	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	482	437	115	22	3	31	32	123	12	1	0	263	331	540	871	277	296	26	7	378	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	443	415	82	14	0	15	21	149	4	1	1	198	243	340	583	142	264	34	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	443	408	90	16	0	20	28	129	4	1	1	221	277	407	684	186	267	29	6	301	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	120	110	10	3	0	2	7	43	3	0	0	91	167	173	339	82	123	36	6	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	120	107	13	4	0	3	10	36	3	0	0	121	217	243	460	121	147	30	8	217	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	—	260	226	32	6	0	5	18	71	14	6	4	142	249	235	484	93	176	27	7	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	192	39	8	0	5	11	56	4	5	1	203	270	323	593	120	242	27	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	290	274	74	11	1	15	8	83	6	5	3	270	306	482	787	212	320	29	3	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	548	499	94	23	2	23	34	187	10	3	0	188	254	381	634	192	234	34	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	620	563	106	20	0	20	38	183	14	2	3	188	256	330	586	142	234	30	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	441	103	19	3	25	26	140	12	1	0	234	293	460	753	227	278	29	5	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	443	415	82	14	0	15	21	149	4	1	1	198	243	340	583	142	261	34	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	120	109	10	3	0	2	7	43	3	0	0	92	167	174	341	83	135	36	6	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	441	103	19	3	25	26	140	12	1	0	234	293	460	753	227	278	29	5	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	443	415	82	14	0	15	21	149	4	1	1	198	243	340	583	142	261	34	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	120	109	10	3	0	2	7	43	3	0	0	92	167	174	341	83	135	36	6	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	10%	200	183	38	7	1	8	12	62	3	1	0	201	259	373	632	172	252	31	6	280	75	-6	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	20	19	4	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	205	263	384	647	179	256	30	5	285	75	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	31%	308	283	57	10	1	12	18	96	4	2	0	200	258	371	628	170	251	31	6	278	74	-9	+0	-1	-3	+7	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	31%	96	89	18	3	0	4	6	30	1	0	0	204	262	381	643	177	255	31	6	284	74	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	447	416	81	12	1	23	23	145	6	0	0	195	247	394	641	200	232	32	5	282	70	-13	+0	-5	-11	+10	-1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	116	17	1	33	33	211	9	0	0	192	244	387	631	195	228	32	5	282	70	-18	+0	-8	-16	+14	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3480	3183	635	121	8	130	193	1070	74	26	12	199	261	365	627	166	251	31	6	272	70	-25	+1	-6	-15	+19	-2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	118	23	1	24	36	200	14	5	2	198	261	361	622	163	250	31	6	272	70	-19	+0	-5	-12	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	467	24	1	196	246	396	-5	-6	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	34	1	-7.1	-8.9	-0.8	pk7: -0
#5Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonkensy Noel (OGILVIE)	26	30	55	50	20	200/257/370	171	252	8	1	31%	6%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	50→55	49→50	41	203/260/349	146	252	19	7	28%	6%	71	-0.8	214/287/385	171	278	22	9	31%	8%	89	+0.5	197/278/378	180	249	24	7	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Lewin Díaz 2023 · MLB	26	37→46	55→60	49→30	42	206/261/383	178	239	24	3	26%	6%	79	-0.2	217/285/359	142	268	17	5	25%	8%	82	-0.0	211/288/332	120	260	15	2	24%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Josh Breaux 2024 · AAA	26	36→30	52→55	49→40	37	200/243/359	158	257	22	4	32%	5%	66	-1.1	197/247/317	120	280	14	5	33%	6%	58	-1.7	171/225/271	100	249	11	0	35%	5%	37	-0.9
✕Kevin Padlo 2022 · MLB	26	38→42	52→55	48→50	42	205/272/372	168	280	21	10	34%	8%	80	-0.1	197/267/330	133	274	15	13	32%	8%	68	-1.0	180/260/303	122	249	13	14	32%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Richie Shaffer 2016 · MLB	25	39→40	54→55	47→40	43	211/278/394	183	272	22	5	31%	8%	88	+0.4	192/263/338	146	285	17	5	37%	8%	69	-0.9	169/242/297	128	261	16	3	39%	8%	50	-1.7
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→43	54→55	45→50	38	212/260/385	173	276	24	9	33%	6%	79	-0.2	220/281/379	159	281	20	11	28%	7%	85	+0.2	217/282/374	157	273	19	11	27%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	36→32	48→50	43→40	42	193/258/328	135	252	17	5	31%	7%	65	-1.2	199/277/337	138	247	17	5	26%	8%	75	-0.5	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Mike Bianucci 2012 · AA	26	37→40	51→60	44→40	37	204/248/360	157	257	20	4	30%	4%	69	-0.9	221/266/386	165	272	22	4	27%	5%	82	-0.0	225/268/403	178	265	25	2	26%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Kiel Roling 2013 · AA	26	39→37	50→55	42→30	37	207/254/357	150	286	19	4	34%	6%	70	-0.9	213/262/365	152	279	18	4	30%	6%	75	-0.5	200/249/358	159	249	20	0	28%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Moisés Gómez 2024 · AAA	25	36→42	55	48→45	34	196/250/371	175	289	24	7	40%	6%	72	-0.7	197/250/322	125	297	14	8	37%	6%	60	-1.6	181/236/272	91	279	8	7	36%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Sean Roby 2024 · AA	26	34→32	53→55	48→30	33	187/242/351	164	297	23	3	44%	6%	64	-1.3	199/252/323	124	303	15	6	37%	6%	61	-1.5	163/214/249	86	234	13	0	36%	6%	28	-1.1
✕Brad Glenn 2013 · AA	26	38→46	52→55	45	37	206/252/368	162	276	20	6	33%	5%	72	-0.7	223/270/368	145	295	17	4	29%	6%	78	-0.3	223/272/362	139	291	16	2	28%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Brett Carroll 2009 · MLB	26	42→46	53→55	42→50	40	223/275/396	173	279	20	5	28%	5%	87	+0.4	214/277/361	147	267	16	7	26%	6%	80	-0.2	205/272/343	137	252	15	8	25%	6%	72	-0.5
●Luken Baker 2023 · AAA	26	35→45	51→60	45→30	39	195/245/341	146	250	21	2	31%	6%	63	-1.3	213/289/404	191	262	26	2	29%	9%	94	+0.9	205/291/406	201	244	27	0	28%	10%	94	+0.7
✕Brandon Waring 2012 · AA	26	37→40	51→55	44→40	37	197/254/355	157	279	19	2	36%	6%	70	-0.9	193/260/357	164	285	20	3	38%	6%	73	-0.6	177/249/340	163	268	21	1	40%	7%	63	-1.0
✕Chris Williams 2023 · AAA	26	36→31	53→55	44→40	43	194/268/360	166	280	22	4	38%	9%	76	-0.4	189/270/349	160	282	21	6	38%	9%	75	-0.5	168/258/327	159	245	22	6	39%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Nicholas Northcut 2024 · AAA	25	32→36	53→55	47→30	31	183/227/346	164	276	22	2	42%	4%	58	-1.7	180/227/335	155	256	21	4	38%	5%	55	-1.9	140/188/306	165	169	25	0	37%	4%	31	-2.6
✕Adam Brett Walker 2018 · AAA	26	34→43	53→55	47→45	31	187/232/354	167	294	22	8	44%	5%	61	-1.5	199/260/344	145	322	16	8	41%	7%	69	-0.9	151/241/285	134	259	13	3	44%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA	27	42→39	52→55	43→40	34	215/277/379	164	309	21	5	36%	5%	84	+0.2	200/258/332	132	313	16	6	39%	6%	66	-1.1	168/219/294	126	260	19	3	42%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Jakson Reetz 2023 · AAA	27	36→33	54→55	44→45	39	201/277/379	178	263	23	4	32%	6%	85	+0.2	203/279/369	166	262	19	6	30%	7%	83	+0.1	183/265/338	155	233	18	5	29%	7%	68	-0.4

Jhonkensy Noel

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps