GJ Hill — OGILVIE

GJ HillSS Hartford Yard Goats

Age 25 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION391 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP278

ISO149

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	181	160	33	4	6	3	17	63	2	19	5	206	291	362	653	156	316	35	9	290	82	-4	+2	—	—	+4	0.2
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	368	78	20	3	7	38	168	10	31	3	212	303	340	643	128	366	40	9	291	83	-8	+5	—	—	+9	0.6
2022	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	114	17	2	1	2	17	57	3	3	2	149	276	237	513	88	268	42	13	246	53	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	187	163	46	6	1	14	17	50	4	10	0	282	364	589	953	307	323	27	9	406	161	+14	+2	—	—	+4	2.0
2024	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	125	31	7	0	6	17	35	4	6	0	248	356	448	804	200	291	23	11	353	125	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	192	165	27	7	3	4	18	72	5	10	0	164	266	315	581	152	253	38	9	261	63	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	37	35	8	3	0	2	1	11	1	5	1	229	270	486	756	257	273	30	3	329	109	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	181	167	20	2	3	2	10	91	2	19	5	120	179	204	382	84	234	50	6	173	3	-21	+2	—	—	+4	-1.5
2021	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	381	51	12	2	5	25	231	10	31	3	134	207	215	422	81	303	55	6	188	13	-43	+5	—	—	+9	-3.0
2022	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	119	11	1	1	1	12	76	3	3	2	92	194	143	337	50	226	56	9	166	-1	-16	-0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2024	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	187	171	34	4	1	10	9	70	4	10	0	199	255	409	665	211	249	37	5	273	71	-6	+2	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	131	25	5	0	5	11	46	4	6	0	191	274	344	617	153	235	31	7	274	72	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	192	170	21	6	2	2	13	86	5	10	0	124	207	218	425	94	219	45	7	199	21	-18	+2	—	—	+4	-1.2
2025	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	37	35	5	2	0	1	1	15	1	5	1	143	189	286	475	143	211	41	3	215	32	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	181	167	20	2	3	2	10	91	2	19	5	120	179	204	382	84	240	50	6	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	181	160	33	4	6	3	17	63	2	19	5	206	291	362	653	156	316	35	9	290	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	381	51	12	2	5	25	231	10	31	3	134	207	215	422	81	315	55	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	368	78	20	3	7	38	168	10	31	3	212	303	340	643	128	366	40	9	291	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	119	11	1	1	1	12	76	3	3	2	92	194	143	337	50	233	56	9	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	114	17	2	1	2	17	57	3	3	2	149	276	237	513	88	268	42	13	246	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	302	59	9	1	15	20	117	8	16	0	195	264	381	644	185	256	35	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	336	288	77	13	1	20	34	85	8	16	0	267	361	528	888	260	308	25	10	382	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	229	205	27	8	2	4	14	101	6	15	1	132	209	249	458	117	225	44	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	229	200	35	10	3	6	19	83	6	15	1	175	267	345	612	170	257	36	8	272	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	181	167	20	2	3	2	10	91	2	19	5	120	179	204	382	84	234	50	6	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	382	51	12	2	5	25	231	10	31	3	134	207	215	421	81	303	55	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	119	11	1	1	1	12	76	3	3	2	92	194	143	337	50	226	56	9	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	305	59	9	1	15	20	117	8	16	0	193	264	377	641	184	243	35	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	229	207	27	8	2	4	14	101	6	15	1	130	209	246	455	116	218	44	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	305	59	9	1	15	20	117	8	16	0	193	264	377	641	184	243	35	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	229	207	27	8	2	4	14	101	6	15	1	130	209	246	455	116	218	44	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	COL	—	391	354	67	18	1	12	22	145	4	32	6	189	245	347	592	158	276	37	6	251	56	-20	+4	+0	+4	+8	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	COL	—	391	344	80	22	1	16	31	119	4	32	6	233	303	442	744	209	303	30	8	319	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	COL	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		261	40	10	257	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	COL	—	401	363	68	18	1	12	23	149	4	33	6	187	244	342	585	154	275	37	6	251	56	-21	+4	+0	+4	+9	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	31%	316	290	55	13	1	10	19	111	4	15	3	190	249	345	594	155	265	35	6	264	65	-13	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	42%	351	322	63	15	1	11	22	120	4	16	3	196	256	351	607	155	267	34	6	269	68	-13	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	48%	373	342	66	15	1	11	24	126	4	16	3	193	254	339	593	146	268	34	6	271	69	-14	+2	-1	+4	+8	-0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	49%	378	346	66	15	1	11	25	128	4	14	2	191	253	335	589	145	268	34	7	270	69	-14	+2	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	50%	381	349	66	15	1	11	25	130	4	13	2	189	251	332	584	143	267	34	7	268	67	-15	+2	-2	+4	+8	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	31%	98	91	17	4	0	3	6	35	1	5	1	187	245	330	575	143	281	36	6	273	65	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	42%	148	136	29	7	1	5	9	51	2	7	1	213	272	390	662	176	284	34	6	278	68	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	48%	179	163	34	8	1	6	12	61	2	8	1	209	271	380	652	172	285	34	7	280	69	-7	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	49%	187	171	35	8	1	6	12	63	2	7	1	205	265	368	633	164	284	34	6	279	69	-7	+1	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	50%	191	174	35	8	1	6	13	65	2	6	1	201	265	362	627	161	283	34	7	276	67	-7	+1	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	803	735	150	35	4	26	52	275	9	33	5	204	265	369	634	165	283	34	6	278	51	-30	+5	-2	+9	+17	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	121	28	3	21	42	223	7	27	4	203	264	366	630	163	282	34	6	278	51	-25	+4	-2	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3110	2832	485	105	14	81	197	1235	49	159	24	171	237	304	542	133	264	40	6	243	51	-69	+10	-4	+19	+39	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	102	22	3	17	41	258	10	33	5	172	238	306	544	133	265	40	6	243	51	-25	+4	-2	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	807	25	33	195	254	349	+9	+6	0.4	0.4
/162	664	20	27	+7.1	+4.9	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
GJ Hill (OGILVIE)	25	20	45	55	40	182/239/333	151	261	7	15	37%	6%	60	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hutton Moyer 2018 · AA	25	41→42	45→50	53→50	36	207/257/332	126	297	12	14	34%	5%	65	-1.2	205/252/326	121	316	13	16	37%	5%	61	-1.5	160/195/293	133	245	19	22	43%	4%	31	-0.9
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→31	49→45	56→50	45	201/278/345	144	282	17	20	34%	9%	76	-0.4	201/264/313	112	285	11	12	32%	7%	63	-1.3	191/251/288	96	270	9	8	31%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Gabriel Cancel 2022 · AAA	25	37→45	51→50	54→50	35	197/245/352	154	283	19	19	37%	5%	65	-1.2	196/259/313	117	311	12	14	38%	7%	61	-1.5	171/246/267	96	277	10	10	39%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	37→35	45→50	51→55	39	190/251/306	117	268	13	16	34%	6%	57	-1.8	204/278/330	126	297	13	15	34%	8%	73	-0.6	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Zach Watson 2022 · AA	25	38→33	49→45	53→50	34	200/241/343	143	280	18	18	35%	4%	62	-1.4	185/227/298	113	281	12	14	37%	4%	46	-2.6	160/201/259	99	245	11	13	39%	4%	25	-2.0
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→34	52→55	56→55	37	202/257/363	161	296	21	20	38%	6%	72	-0.7	199/247/360	161	273	20	18	34%	6%	68	-1.0	187/237/352	165	264	21	15	37%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	40→41	45	55	46	202/282/324	121	272	12	16	29%	8%	73	-0.6	200/281/310	110	279	10	18	30%	9%	70	-0.9	175/267/275	101	249	8	23	30%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	38→44	50	54→55	41	198/264/345	148	281	18	23	35%	7%	71	-0.8	184/252/310	126	262	14	20	34%	7%	59	-1.7	162/235/275	113	230	12	21	34%	7%	42	-1.8
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	38→41	47→45	55→50	39	191/262/320	129	299	15	15	39%	8%	64	-1.3	190/248/296	106	296	11	14	37%	6%	53	-2.1	164/223/265	101	276	11	8	42%	6%	34	-2.5
✕Kevin Smith 2021 · AA	25	38→45	50→55	49→50	35	201/246/353	152	281	19	13	35%	5%	66	-1.1	206/260/360	154	284	18	15	33%	6%	72	-0.7	202/253/359	157	273	20	15	33%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Eduardo Diaz 2022 · AA	25	39→45	50	51→50	36	207/254/358	151	276	19	13	32%	4%	70	-0.8	214/260/341	127	297	13	13	31%	5%	68	-1.0	212/255/331	118	294	10	14	30%	4%	60	-1.2
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2016 · AAA	24	40→36	49→50	52→50	39	204/265/349	145	298	18	13	37%	7%	72	-0.7	180/241/279	99	283	9	10	37%	7%	47	-2.5	152/215/239	86	241	7	9	38%	7%	25	-2.0
✕Cody Puckett 2012 · AA	25	39→40	49→50	50	38	205/256/358	153	272	16	12	31%	5%	71	-0.8	203/249/331	128	250	15	10	25%	5%	61	-1.5	192/237/307	114	230	15	9	24%	5%	50	-1.7
✕Kalian Sams 2013 · AA	26	34→27	51→55	56→55	33	187/233/344	157	281	20	17	41%	5%	59	-1.7	212/272/373	161	298	20	16	34%	7%	80	-0.1	189/263/369	180	243	26	18	34%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Brett Auerbach 2023 · AA	24	40→33	50→45	50→55	40	206/268/353	148	297	19	17	36%	7%	75	-0.5	195/254/299	104	292	11	16	35%	7%	56	-1.9	182/244/269	88	271	8	17	34%	7%	43	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps