GJ Hill — OGILVIE

GJ HillSS Hartford Yard Goats

Age 25 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION231 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .248 / .352

PA154

HR5

SB9

K%39

BB%6

BABIP282

ISO162

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	181	167	20	2	3	2	10	91	2	19	5	120	179	204	382	84	240	50	6	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	181	160	33	4	6	3	17	63	2	19	5	206	291	362	653	156	316	35	9	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	381	50	11	2	5	25	234	10	31	3	131	204	210	414	79	315	56	6	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	368	78	20	3	7	38	168	10	31	3	212	303	340	643	128	366	40	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	119	11	1	1	1	12	76	3	3	2	92	194	143	337	50	233	56	9	165	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	114	17	2	1	2	17	57	3	3	2	149	276	237	513	88	268	42	13	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	336	303	58	8	1	15	19	116	8	16	0	191	258	373	631	182	247	35	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	336	288	77	13	1	20	34	85	8	16	0	267	361	528	888	260	308	25	10	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	229	204	27	8	2	4	15	104	6	15	1	132	213	250	463	118	235	45	7	200	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	229	200	35	10	3	6	19	83	6	15	1	175	267	345	612	170	257	36	8	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	COL	—	231	209	42	10	1	9	14	95	3	22	5	201	261	388	649	187	308	41	6	269	64	-9	+2	+0	+2	+7	0.2
YTD	25	AA	COL	—	231	203	51	13	1	10	20	74	3	22	5	251	327	473	800	222	339	32	9	345	122	+6	+2	+0	+2	+7	1.8
ROS	25	AA	COL	2%	154	142	27	6	1	5	9	60	2	9	2	190	248	352	600	162	273	39	6	263	60	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	COL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						296	33	0	273	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	AA	COL	—	234	212	42	10	1	9	14	96	3	22	5	198	258	382	640	184	303	41	6	269	64	-9	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.2
TOT	25	AA	COL	—	385	351	69	16	2	14	23	155	5	31	7	197	256	373	629	177	297	40	6	267	62	-16	+3	+0	+4	+11	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	COL	31%	310	282	54	12	1	10	20	115	5	14	3	191	257	348	605	156	274	37	6	268	63	-13	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2028	27	MLB	COL	42%	347	316	62	13	2	11	23	125	5	15	3	196	262	354	616	158	276	36	7	272	67	-13	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2029	28	MLB	COL	48%	370	337	67	14	2	12	25	132	5	14	3	199	264	359	623	160	277	36	7	274	68	-13	+2	-1	+4	+10	0.2
2027	26	MLB	COL	31%	96	89	18	4	0	4	6	36	1	4	1	202	260	382	642	180	298	38	6	279	72	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	27	MLB	COL	42%	146	133	28	6	1	5	10	53	2	6	1	211	276	383	659	173	299	36	7	284	75	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	28	MLB	COL	48%	177	160	34	8	1	6	12	63	3	7	1	212	280	388	667	175	300	36	7	286	77	-5	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	422	385	80	18	2	15	28	153	6	17	3	208	272	382	654	174	297	36	7	283	75	-12	+2	-0	+5	+12	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	123	28	3	23	43	236	9	26	5	207	271	381	652	174	297	36	7	283	75	-18	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	2482	2251	376	75	15	65	158	1053	46	136	22	167	236	300	537	133	271	42	6	236	39	-171	+18	-1	+27	+70	-5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	99	20	4	17	41	276	12	36	6	168	236	302	538	134	272	42	6	236	39	-45	+5	-0	+7	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	181	160	33	4	6	3	17	63	2	19	5	206	291	362	653	156	316	35	9	290	80	-4	+2	—	—	+5	0.3
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	420	368	78	20	3	7	38	168	10	31	3	212	303	340	643	128	366	40	9	291	81	-9	+5	—	—	+12	0.8
2022	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	135	114	17	2	1	2	17	57	3	3	2	149	276	237	513	88	268	42	13	246	47	-8	-0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	187	163	46	6	1	14	17	50	4	10	0	282	364	589	953	307	323	27	9	406	169	+15	+2	—	—	+5	2.2
2024	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	125	31	7	0	6	17	35	4	6	0	248	356	448	804	200	291	23	11	353	128	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	192	165	27	7	3	4	18	72	5	10	0	164	266	315	581	152	253	38	9	261	58	-9	+2	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	37	35	8	3	0	2	1	11	1	5	1	229	270	486	756	257	273	30	3	329	110	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	424	14	18	195	257	352	+5	+3	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	21	28	195	257	352	+7.1	+4.7	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
GJ Hill (OGILVIE)	25	20	45	55	40	197/256/373	177	297	14	31	40%	6%	62	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	201/257/327	126	300	13	21	36%	6%	59	-1.1	206/282/327	121	313	11	26	35%	7%	70	-0.3	189/280/319	130	291	11	39	35%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	41	46→45	55	45	205/283/337	131	276	14	16	30%	8%	73	-0.1	203/285/327	124	281	12	18	30%	9%	72	-0.2	177/272/296	119	247	11	23	31%	10%	56	-0.5
✕Hutton Moyer 2018 · AA	25	42→43	46→55	53→50	36	209/259/340	131	300	14	14	34%	5%	63	-0.8	205/252/334	129	320	14	16	39%	5%	59	-1.1	160/194/310	151	246	22	22	45%	4%	27	-0.8
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	36→39	46→45	54→50	38	184/255/307	124	295	15	15	41%	8%	54	-1.4	186/245/294	108	295	12	14	39%	6%	45	-2.1	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→33	50→55	56→55	36	199/252/348	149	299	18	20	39%	6%	63	-0.9	198/244/367	169	274	22	18	36%	5%	65	-0.7	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Eduardo Diaz 2022 · AA	25	38→44	50	51→50	35	202/248/350	149	274	19	13	34%	4%	62	-0.9	208/253/335	127	294	13	13	33%	4%	59	-1.1	203/244/323	120	284	10	14	32%	4%	48	-1.4
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	37→43	51→50	54→55	39	198/262/353	154	282	19	23	36%	7%	69	-0.4	186/253/322	136	267	16	20	35%	7%	57	-1.2	163/237/289	126	233	14	21	35%	7%	38	-1.6
✕Zach Watson 2022 · AA	25	37→32	48→45	53→50	33	196/238/335	139	281	17	18	36%	4%	53	-1.5	181/224/290	109	286	12	14	39%	4%	35	-2.8	153/195/249	95	247	10	13	41%	4%	10	-2.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Andrew Velazquez 2019 · AAA	25	42→51	44→50	57→60	37	209/251/325	116	292	12	24	32%	5%	56	-1.3	221/271/349	128	310	11	24	31%	6%	70	-0.3	219/267/352	132	313	12	31	32%	5%	66	-0.3
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40→39	46→50	51→50	41	201/260/336	135	284	13	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	214/277/356	142	303	15	12	32%	7%	75	-0.0	238/304/382	144	312	16	12	28%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→32	47→50	54→55	36	197/256/332	135	300	15	18	38%	6%	60	-1.0	189/254/303	114	365	13	16	48%	7%	52	-1.6	115/188/208	93	250	14	21	57%	7%	-2	-1.5
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→30	49→45	56→50	44	199/276/344	145	290	18	20	36%	9%	72	-0.2	196/259/311	115	283	12	12	33%	7%	56	-1.3	183/243/282	99	262	10	8	33%	6%	39	-1.4
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Cody Puckett 2012 · AA	25	39	50	50	37	204/255/361	157	274	17	12	32%	5%	68	-0.5	202/248/336	134	252	17	10	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/234/311	121	230	17	9	25%	5%	43	-1.6