GJ Hill

SS Hartford Yard Goats
Age 26 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+/ACOL336.267/.361/.528201671—.199/.270/.385
202524AA/A+COL229.175/.267/.34561525—.127/.204/.229
202625AACOL395.233/.302/.440163355—.192/.245/.348
2027PROJMLE26MLBCOL3.198/.254/.3630060-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBCOL45.200/.257/.3641262-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed89
ISO77
wRC+44
wOBA43
BB%24
K%22
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsMax Burt (age 26) · Michael Reed (age 26) · Josh Stowers (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .254 / .363
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%6
BABIP276
ISO140
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201918 ROKACL D-backs — 181160 33463 17632 195 206291362653 156316 359 290 4 — — — — — —
202120 AVisalia Rawhide — 420368 782037 3816810 313 212303340643 128366 409 291 15 — — — — — —
202221 AVisalia Rawhide — 135114 17212 17573 32 149276237513 88268 4213 246 -4 — — — — — —
202423 A+Spokane Indians — 187163 466114 17504 100 282364589953 307323 279 406 79 — — — — — —
202423 AFresno Grizzlies — 149125 31706 17354 60 248356448804 200291 2311 353 61 — — — — — —
202524 AAHartford Yard Goats — 192165 27734 18725 100 164266315581 152253 389 261 22 — — — — — —
202524 A+Spokane Indians — 3735 8302 1111 51 229270486756 257273 303 329 39 — — — — — —
202625 AAHartford Yard Goats — 395348 8122116 311194 336 233302440742 207302 308 318 55 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201918 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 181166 20232 11912 195 120184205389 84236 506 174 4 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 420380 521225 2623110 313 137212218430 82308 556 190 15 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 135120 11111 11773 32 92187142328 50230 578 162 -4 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 187170 354110 10684 100 206266418684 212259 365 285 79 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 149131 25505 11474 60 191274344617 153231 327 259 61 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 192170 21622 13865 100 124207218425 94223 457 200 22 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 3735 5201 1151 51 143189286475 143220 413 226 39 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 395359 6918112 211454 336 192245348593 156263 375 250 55 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 181166 20232 11912 195 120184205389 84243 506 174 4 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWACL D-backs — 181160 33463 17632 195 206291362653 156316 359 290 4 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 420380 521225 2623110 313 137212218430 82324 556 190 15 — — — — — —
202120 A RAWVisalia Rawhide — 420368 782037 3816810 313 212303340643 128366 409 291 15 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 135120 11111 11773 32 92187142328 50233 578 162 -4 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWVisalia Rawhide — 135114 17212 17573 32 149276237513 88268 4213 246 -4 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 336301 599114 211158 160 196267372639 176259 346 273 71 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAW2 teams — 336288 7713120 34858 160 267361528888 260308 2510 382 71 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 229205 28824 141006 151 137213254467 117233 446 204 24 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 229200 351036 19836 151 175267345612 170257 368 272 24 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 395359 6918112 211454 336 192245348593 156279 375 250 55 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAWHartford Yard Goats — 395348 8122116 311194 336 233302440742 207302 308 318 55 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 181166 20232 11912 195 120184205389 84236 506 174 4 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 420381 521225 2623110 313 136212218429 81308 556 190 15 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 135120 11111 11773 32 92187142328 50230 578 162 -4 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 336304 599114 211158 160 194267368635 174247 346 273 71 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 229207 28824 141006 151 135213251465 116223 446 204 24 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 395367 6918112 211454 336 188245341585 153263 375 250 55 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 336304 599114 211158 160 194267368635 174247 346 273 71 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 229207 28824 141006 151 135213251465 116223 446 204 24 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 395367 6918112 211454 336 188245341585 153263 375 250 55 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLECOL 2% 380350 6615211 221355 173 187244334578 147262 366 257 60 -18 +2 +0 +4 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXCOL 2% 33 0000 010 00 198254363617 164276 330 273 60 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLECOL 27% 167153 30715 10582 71 189247335582 146263 356 259 62 -8 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202827 MLB CTXCOL 27% 4541 8201 3161 20 200257364621 164277 367 275 62 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4541 8201 3161 20 195267317584 122292 367 275 38 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 11529014 4323114 290 194265314579 120291 367 275 38 -30 +6 +0 +7 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 20181827 295631247 12387237 13119 161229286515 125270 436 225 38 -15 +2 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 9520415 4028112 426 162230286515 124270 436 225 38 -30 +4 +0 +7 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAHartford Yard Goats · 395 PAwOBA .311 → .250 (−61)K% 30.1% → 36.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.13%÷1.000×1.220——36.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.85%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9885.43%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.850—×0.9880.85%
Singles /BIP18.34%÷1.000×0.970×0.962×0.98816.90%
Doubles /BIP9.61%÷1.000×0.860×0.962×0.9887.85%
Triples /BIP0.44%÷1.000×0.950×0.962×0.9880.39%
Home runs /BIP6.99%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9885.38%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .311 → .250; ISO .207 → .160; BABIP .302 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAHartford Yard Goats · 192 PAwOBA .257 → .200 (−57)K% 37.5% → 44.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.50%÷1.025×1.220——44.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.38%÷0.940×0.700—×0.9986.97%
HBP% /PA2.60%—×0.850—×0.9982.21%
Singles /BIP13.98%÷1.008×0.970×0.958×0.99812.86%
Doubles /BIP7.53%÷0.913×0.860×0.958×0.9986.77%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷1.150×0.950×0.958×0.9982.55%
Home runs /BIP4.30%÷1.255×0.780—×0.9982.67%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .257 → .200; ISO .152 → .107; BABIP .253 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Spokane Indians · 37 PAwOBA .319 → .226 (−92)K% 29.7% → 39.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.73%÷1.005×1.350——39.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.70%÷1.030×0.710—×0.9781.82%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.810—×0.9782.14%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷1.068×0.910—×0.97810.41%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.002×0.830—×0.97810.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.820—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷0.999×0.830—×0.9786.77%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 114, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .319 → .226; ISO .257 → .181; BABIP .273 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Spokane Indians · 187 PAwOBA .393 → .285 (−108)K% 26.7% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.74%÷0.996×1.350——36.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.56%÷1.106×0.710—×0.9885.43%
HBP% /PA2.14%—×0.810—×0.9881.71%
Singles /BIP22.12%÷0.999×0.910×0.950×0.98818.92%
Doubles /BIP5.31%÷1.098×0.830×0.950×0.9883.77%
Triples /BIP0.88%÷0.907×0.820×0.950×0.9880.75%
Home runs /BIP12.39%÷1.086×0.830—×0.9889.36%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 81, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .393 → .285; ISO .307 → .217; BABIP .323 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFresno Grizzlies · 149 PAwOBA .348 → .259 (−90)K% 23.5% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.49%÷1.011×1.360——31.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.41%÷1.064×0.690—×0.9807.25%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.780—×0.9802.05%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.015×0.920×0.950×0.98016.87%
Doubles /BIP7.78%÷1.081×0.830×0.950×0.9805.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.950×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷1.002×0.800—×0.9805.21%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 103, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .348 → .259; ISO .200 → .149; BABIP .291 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AVisalia Rawhide · 135 PAwOBA .243 → .162 (−81)K% 42.2% → 57.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA42.22%÷1.001×1.360——57.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.59%÷1.023×0.690——8.50%
HBP% /PA2.22%—×0.780——1.73%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷0.997×0.920×0.950—18.46%
Doubles /BIP3.51%÷0.942×0.830×0.950—2.94%
Triples /BIP1.75%÷1.000×0.910×0.950—1.52%
Home runs /BIP3.51%÷1.062×0.800——2.64%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .243 → .162; ISO .088 → .053; BABIP .268 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AVisalia Rawhide · 420 PAwOBA .284 → .190 (−93)K% 40.0% → 55.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.00%÷0.988×1.360——55.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.81%÷1.013×0.690—×1.0156.09%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.780—×1.0151.88%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷1.006×0.920×0.950×1.01521.17%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.056×0.830×0.950×1.0157.58%
Triples /BIP1.50%÷1.054×0.910×0.950×1.0151.25%
Home runs /BIP3.50%÷0.923×0.800—×1.0153.08%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .284 → .190; ISO .128 → .081; BABIP .366 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKACL D-backs · 181 PAwOBA .284 → .174 (−110)K% 34.8% → 50.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.81%÷1.000×1.440——50.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.39%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0085.87%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.720—×1.0080.80%
Singles /BIP20.62%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×1.00816.18%
Doubles /BIP4.12%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×1.0082.84%
Triples /BIP6.19%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×1.0084.26%
Home runs /BIP3.09%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0082.43%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .284 → .174; ISO .156 → .091; BABIP .316 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).