Cory Lewis — OGILVIE

Cory Lewis P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.63

FIP5.63

K%20.6%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%3.1%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 110 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	101	412	118	33	6	100%	4.6	21.7%	9.3%	12.3%	1.8%	2.49	3.43	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	101	412	118	33	6	100%	4.6	21.7%	9.3%	12.3%	1.8%	2.49	3.43	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	101	412	118	33	6	100%	4.6	28.6%	8.0%	20.6%	1.5%	2.49	2.52	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	17	79	330	92	40	7	89%	4.2	23.3%	13.5%	9.9%	3.6%	2.51	4.80	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	17	79	330	92	40	7	89%	4.2	23.3%	13.5%	9.9%	3.6%	2.51	4.80	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	19	17	79	330	92	40	7	89%	4.2	27.9%	12.1%	15.8%	2.1%	2.51	3.44	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	11	73	366	87	68	13	46%	3.0	19.7%	16.7%	3.0%	3.1%	7.27	5.26	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	11	73	366	87	68	13	46%	3.0	19.7%	16.7%	3.0%	3.1%	7.27	5.26	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	24	11	73	366	87	68	13	46%	3.0	23.8%	18.6%	5.2%	3.6%	7.27	5.83	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	29	24	99	428	116	52	14	83%	3.4	22.0%	12.6%	9.4%	4.1%	4.10	5.08	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	29	24	99	428	116	52	14	83%	3.4	22.0%	12.6%	9.4%	4.1%	4.10	5.08	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	MIN	4	3	9	40	12	6	1	75%	2.2	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	2.5%	4.15	3.84	—
2026	25	A RAW	MIN	1	1	0	5	0	2	0	100%	0.3	0.0%	40.0%	-40.0%	0.0%	54.00	8.17	—
2026	25	AA RAW	MIN	24	20	90	383	104	44	13	83%	3.7	27.2%	11.5%	15.7%	3.4%	3.91	4.13	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	MIN	2	2	11	46	10	8	1	100%	5.5	20.6%	17.4%	3.1%	3.1%	5.63	5.63	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	110	474	126	60	15	—	—	26.5%	12.7%	13.8%	3.3%	4.26	5.13	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	20	20	121	512	107	84	16	100%	6.1	21.0%	16.4%	4.5%	3.1%	5.48	5.47	-0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	20	20	120	505	106	80	16	100%	6.0	21.0%	15.8%	5.2%	3.1%	5.40	5.41	-0.7
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIN	19	19	116	489	103	76	16	100%	6.1	20.9%	15.6%	5.4%	3.2%	5.40	5.44	-0.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIN	18	18	111	467	97	73	16	100%	6.2	20.7%	15.6%	5.1%	3.3%	5.47	5.54	-0.8
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIN	17	17	104	440	90	70	16	100%	6.1	20.4%	15.9%	4.5%	3.5%	5.62	5.72	-0.9
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	9	9	53	224	47	37	7	100%	5.9	21.0%	16.4%	4.5%	3.1%	5.48	5.47	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	13	13	76	321	67	51	10	100%	5.8	21.0%	15.8%	5.2%	3.1%	5.40	5.41	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIN	15	15	88	372	78	58	12	100%	5.9	20.9%	15.6%	5.4%	3.2%	5.40	5.44	-0.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIN	15	15	90	380	79	59	13	100%	6.0	20.7%	15.6%	5.1%	3.3%	5.47	5.54	-0.6
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIN	15	15	89	376	77	60	13	100%	5.9	20.4%	15.9%	4.5%	3.5%	5.62	5.72	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	66	396	1674	348	265	55	100%	6.0	20.8%	15.8%	5.0%	3.3%	5.48	5.15	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	176	134	28	100%	6.0	20.8%	15.8%	5.0%	3.3%	5.48	5.15	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		94	74	352	1536	332	198	48	79%	3.7	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	3.1%	3.94	4.62	-4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	42	200	873	189	113	27	79%	3.7	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	3.1%	3.94	4.62	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cory Lewis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.63	20.6%	17.4%	3.1%	—	5.44	21.0%	5.0%	357	-0.19	—	—	—
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	81
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.83	22.0%	10.4%	160	+0.06	3.75	326	80
Phillippe Aumont R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP-	4.61	19.6%	18.2%	1.6%	.262	5.01	22.3%	10.4%	64	+0.40	4.61	147	79
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	79
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	77
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	77
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	77
Jacob Watters R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	22	SP	4.87	18.3%	17.1%	2.1%	.319	4.38	17.0%	5.1%	81	-0.49	3.85	165	75
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	75
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	74
Carlos Tavera R 2023 · 5.86 FIP	24	SP-	5.86	19.6%	17.3%	4.0%	.267	5.23	18.9%	5.6%	114	-0.63	3.91	263	74
Mason Pelio R 2023 · 6.38 FIP	23	SP-	6.38	13.3%	17.4%	4.0%	.255	5.88	9.0%	-12.8%	26	-0.50	5.88	122	73
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.70	18.8%	3.1%	77	+0.03	3.95	270	73
Jamison Hill R 2023 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.2%	15.6%	1.8%	.248	5.44	16.0%	6.4%	84	+0.72	4.72	326	72
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	72
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.41	25.9%	11.8%	106	-0.76	3.84	202	72
Ryan Atkinson R 2018 · 5.08 FIP	25	SP-	5.08	21.1%	13.5%	3.7%	.303	4.14	21.2%	7.3%	54	-0.94	4.14	338	71
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.30	22.5%	7.6%	102	-0.46	3.74	283	71
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	71
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.5	115	20.8%	16.2%	1.24	5.50
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25