Cory Lewis
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 131
ERA5.81
FIP5.81
K%21.4%
BB%20.0%
K-BB%1.5%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 118 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 101 | 412 | 118 | 33 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 1.7% | 2.49 | 3.39 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 101 | 412 | 118 | 33 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 28.6% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 1.5% | 2.49 | 2.52 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 17 | 79 | 330 | 92 | 40 | 7 | 89% | 4.2 | 23.3% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 2.51 | 5.24 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 17 | 79 | 330 | 92 | 40 | 7 | 89% | 4.2 | 27.9% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 2.1% | 2.51 | 3.44 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 24 | 11 | 73 | 366 | 87 | 68 | 13 | 46% | 3.0 | 20.9% | 19.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 7.27 | 5.23 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 24 | 11 | 73 | 366 | 87 | 68 | 13 | 46% | 3.0 | 23.8% | 18.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 7.27 | 5.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 17 | 16 | 53 | 240 | 59 | 34 | 7 | 94% | 3.1 | 19.5% | 14.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.09 | 5.34 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 59 | 55 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.4% | 20.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.81 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 20.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.81 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 118 | 514 | 118 | 89 | 15 | — | — | 22.9% | 17.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.60 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.4% | 20.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 20 | 20 | 121 | 512 | 111 | 96 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.7% | 18.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.64 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 20 | 20 | 120 | 505 | 110 | 91 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.55 | 5.56 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 19 | 116 | 489 | 106 | 86 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.6% | 17.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.55 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.7% | 18.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.64 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 76 | 321 | 70 | 58 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.55 | 5.56 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 15 | 15 | 88 | 372 | 80 | 65 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 17.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.55 | 5.58 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 36 | 36 | 218 | 919 | 199 | 165 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 18.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.57 | 5.21 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 152 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 18.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.57 | 5.21 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 66 | 306 | 1348 | 290 | 189 | 40 | 80% | 3.7 | 21.5% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.69 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 43 | 200 | 880 | 189 | 124 | 26 | 80% | 3.7 | 21.5% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cory Lewis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.81 | 21.4% | 20.0% | 2.9% | — | 5.59 | 21.7% | 3.6% | 357 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.91 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 160 | +0.18 | 3.93 | 323 | 80 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.31 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.67 | 4.64 | 147 | 79 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 78 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .319 | 4.17 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 196 | -0.99 | 4.00 | 512 | 77 |
| Bryce Conley R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 76 |
| Deylen Miley R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 76 |
| Reid Johnston R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .256 | 5.86 | 17.2% | 2.4% | 31 | +0.96 | 3.72 | 234 | 72 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.24 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .286 | 5.57 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 51 | +0.33 | 3.81 | 527 | 71 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 71 |
| Carlson Reed R 2024 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 71 |
| Trystan Vrieling R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.66 | 16.8% | 17.2% | 3.3% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 297 | 71 |
| Patrick Reilly R 2023 · 4.75 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.75 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 119 | 71 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.79 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.16 | 19.9% | 6.6% | 108 | +0.37 | 4.09 | 414 | 70 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.94 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 5.3% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 358 | 69 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.18 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 3.9% | .303 | 4.07 | 21.2% | 7.3% | 54 | -1.11 | 4.07 | 338 | 69 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.10 | 17.4% | 13.7% | 3.1% | .277 | 6.80 | 21.0% | 8.1% | 34 | +1.70 | 4.19 | 285 | 69 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .308 | 4.47 | 22.9% | 7.2% | 102 | -0.15 | 3.72 | 283 | 68 |
| Casey Steward R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 68 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 68 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 120 | 21.6% | 18.6% | 1.16 | 5.64 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |