Cory Lewis
P
St. Paul Saints
+0.0
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
AAA
ERA5.16
FIP5.16
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.0%
BB%15.3%
K-BB%6.7%
IP74
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL2020
CMD3535
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 22 | 22 | 101 | 412 | 118 | 33 | 6 | 21.7% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 2.49 | 3.42 | +2.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 19 | 17 | 79 | 330 | 92 | 40 | 7 | 23.3% | 13.5% | 3.7% | 2.51 | 4.85 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 24 | 11 | 73 | 366 | 87 | 68 | 13 | 20.9% | 19.5% | 2.7% | 7.27 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 74 | 311 | 68 | 56 | 9 | 22.0% | 18.0% | 2.9% | 5.50 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 74 | 311 | 70 | 53 | 9 | 22.3% | 17.1% | 2.9% | 5.37 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 69 | 51 | 9 | 22.4% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 72 | 304 | 68 | 49 | 9 | 22.4% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 5.26 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 66 | 48 | 9 | 22.3% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 64 | 47 | 9 | 22.1% | 16.2% | 3.1% | 5.32 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 61 | 45 | 9 | 21.9% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 5.38 | 5.43 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 63 | 267 | 58 | 44 | 9 | 21.6% | 16.5% | 3.2% | 5.46 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 54 | 42 | 8 | 21.3% | 16.6% | 3.3% | 5.55 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 58 | — | 58 | 243 | 51 | 41 | 8 | 21.0% | 16.8% | 3.4% | 5.65 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 54 | — | 54 | 229 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 20.6% | 17.1% | 3.5% | 5.77 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 43 | 37 | 8 | 20.1% | 17.3% | 3.7% | 5.89 | 5.98 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 65 | 50 | 253 | 1108 | 243 | 154 | 29 | 21.9% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 3.87 | 4.46 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 39 | 200 | 875 | 192 | 122 | 23 | 21.9% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 3.87 | 4.46 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cory Lewis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.50 | 22.0% | 18.0% | 2.9% | — | 5.31 | 22.4% | 5.8% | 219 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.78 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.91 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 160 | +0.13 | 3.92 | 306 | 92 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.93 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.44 | 3.65 | 197 | 89 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 2.0% | .329 | 4.39 | 26.4% | 6.5% | 85 | -0.40 | 4.22 | 289 | 87 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.05 | 3.49 | 237 | 87 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.48 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.17 | 4.31 | 107 | 86 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.36 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 2.9% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 129 | 86 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 85 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 85 |
| Kyle Wilcox R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.17 | 25.1% | 21.2% | 2.7% | .310 | 5.55 | 25.1% | -1.5% | 13 | +0.38 | 2.78 | 310 | 84 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.12 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.9% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 104 | 84 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.20 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.9% | .229 | 4.33 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.87 | 3.84 | 272 | 84 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 103 | 84 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.45 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.74 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.29 | 3.86 | 242 | 82 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.39 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 1.8% | .326 | 4.50 | 20.2% | 0.2% | 47 | +0.11 | 4.39 | 178 | 81 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 21.4% | 19.3% | 1.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 168 | 81 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2025 · 4.97 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.97 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.0% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 81 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.00 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.1% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 120 | 81 |
| Yunior Montero R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.22 | 21.3% | 17.6% | 3.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 127 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.07 | 26.5% | 19.8% | 3.1% | .403 | 3.96 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 93 | -1.11 | 2.84 | 153 | 81 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 80 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.