Adrian Alcantara

Adrian Alcantara P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 178 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%20.9%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals	13	0	34	141	33	13	1	0%	2.6	15.9%	11.5%	4.4%	1.0%	2.38	3.76	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals	13	0	34	141	33	13	1	0%	2.6	23.4%	9.2%	14.2%	0.7%	2.38	2.69	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	12	7	45	205	33	30	4	58%	3.7	10.9%	18.3%	-7.3%	2.7%	6.04	5.99	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	12	7	45	205	33	30	4	58%	3.7	16.1%	14.6%	1.5%	2.0%	6.04	4.80	—
2021	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	24	20	96	427	98	30	18	83%	4.0	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	4.4%	5.33	5.15	—
2021	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	24	20	96	427	98	30	18	83%	4.0	23.0%	7.0%	15.9%	4.2%	5.33	4.43	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	116	495	130	40	21	75%	4.8	20.6%	9.0%	11.6%	4.9%	4.95	5.21	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	18	116	495	130	40	21	75%	4.8	26.3%	8.1%	18.2%	4.2%	4.95	4.24	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	7	38	170	30	22	4	58%	3.1	10.0%	13.0%	-3.0%	3.2%	4.30	5.63	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	7	38	170	30	22	4	58%	3.1	10.0%	13.0%	-3.0%	3.2%	4.30	5.63	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	7	38	170	30	22	4	58%	3.1	17.6%	12.9%	4.7%	2.4%	4.30	4.64	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	KC	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.9%	10.3%	10.6%	3.0%	4.67	4.67	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	KC	3	3	20	84	18	9	3	100%	6.7	21.1%	10.3%	10.9%	3.1%	4.65	4.67	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	KC	1	1	7	30	6	3	1	100%	7.0	21.1%	10.3%	10.9%	3.1%	4.65	4.67	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	7	31	7	3	1	100%	7.3	21.1%	10.3%	10.9%	3.1%	4.65	4.29	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	191	82	27	100%	6.3	21.1%	10.3%	10.9%	3.1%	4.65	4.29	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		85	52	329	1438	237	156	56	61%	3.9	16.5%	10.8%	5.6%	3.9%	4.87	5.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	32	200	874	144	95	34	61%	3.9	16.5%	10.8%	5.6%	3.9%	4.87	5.21	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adrian Alcantara (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	20.9%	10.3%	3.0%	—	4.67	21.1%	10.9%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	79
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	77
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.89	14.8%	0.9%	72	+1.86	3.51	261	75
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	74
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	74
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	73
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	73
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	72
Jake Walkinshaw R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP-	4.61	17.5%	6.4%	4.0%	.296	4.84	13.0%	3.5%	116	+0.23	2.84	307	72
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	72
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	72
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	72
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	72
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	71
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	70
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	69
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	69
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.85	13.9%	4.7%	81	+1.14	4.43	239	69
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	382	68
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	68