Jordan Leasure
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.72
FIP4.70
xFIP5.37
SIERA4.94
K%26.7%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%16.0%
IP53
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL3535
CMD5050
K†6565
FB+1.3 (53%)
SI (4%)
SL-1.3 (44%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 8 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 13 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 5.23 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 49 | 0 | 59 | 241 | 84 | 21 | 8 | 25.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 3.37 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 44 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 79 | 23 | 9 | 31.8% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 3.91 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 44 | 0 | 41 | 182 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 18.3% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 6.15 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 68 | 1 | 64 | 269 | 81 | 29 | 12 | 30.1% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 3.92 | 4.52 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 9 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 3.48 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CWS | 11 | — | 11 | 46 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 29.0% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 4.64 | 4.58 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 21 | 86 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 26.0% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 4.08 | 2.36 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 62 | 25 | 9 | 27.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 4.74 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 59 | 24 | 9 | 27.4% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 4.78 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 56 | 24 | 9 | 26.9% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 4.85 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 4.94 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 50 | 23 | 8 | 25.7% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 5.04 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 47 | 22 | 8 | 25.0% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 5.16 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 43 | 21 | 8 | 24.3% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 5.29 | 5.38 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 39 | 20 | 8 | 23.5% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 5.43 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 35 | 19 | 7 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 5.59 | 5.69 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 222 | 2 | 233 | 980 | 262 | 106 | 46 | 26.8% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 4.21 | 4.78 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 2 | 200 | 841 | 225 | 91 | 39 | 26.8% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 4.21 | 4.78 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Leasure (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 29.0% | 11.2% | 3.9% | — | 4.80 | 27.4% | 16.1% | 154 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.81 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 4.7% | .281 | 4.92 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | +0.11 | 3.23 | 179 | 78 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.00 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.2% | .256 | 4.51 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 39 | -0.49 | 2.65 | 315 | 78 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 77 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.55 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.15 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.40 | 4.02 | 328 | 77 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 77 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 76 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.09 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .277 | 5.99 | 11.9% | -5.1% | 16 | +1.90 | 3.86 | 134 | 76 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 75 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 75 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 75 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 75 |
| Alan Busenitz R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.14 | 23.2% | 7.5% | 3.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 436 | 75 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.63 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 206 | 75 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 75 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .280 | 4.05 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.19 | 3.02 | 363 | 74 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.49 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 2.83 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.66 | 2.83 | 239 | 74 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 74 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 74 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.