Jordan Leasure
P
Chicago White Sox
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
MLB
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.41
FIP4.54
K%27.4%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%16.2%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6895.8
Whiff%
p5826.5%
K%
p5523.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.406
FB+1.3 (56%)
SI (4%)
SL-1.3 (41%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.0% | 7.1% | 23.8% | 7.1% | 5.23 | 5.31 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.0% | 7.1% | 23.8% | 7.1% | 5.23 | 5.23 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 241 | 84 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 4.8% | 3.37 | 4.77 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 241 | 84 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.9% | 8.7% | 26.1% | 3.3% | 3.37 | 3.08 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 79 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 4.2% | 3.91 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 79 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 38.3% | 11.2% | 27.2% | 4.4% | 3.91 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 41 | 182 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.3% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.15 | 5.40 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 41 | 182 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.9% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 6.15 | 5.22 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 68 | 1 | 64 | 269 | 81 | 29 | 12 | 1% | 0.9 | 30.1% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 4.3% | 3.92 | 4.29 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 68 | 1 | 64 | 269 | 81 | 29 | 12 | 1% | 0.9 | 30.1% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 4.5% | 3.92 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 22 | 1 | 23 | 94 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 5% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 5.48 | 6.51 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CWS | 31 | 0 | 32 | 137 | 37 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 4.3% | 4.41 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CWS | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 37 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 4.3% | 4.41 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 55 | 231 | 60 | 23 | 12 | — | — | 26.2% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 5.1% | 4.85 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 51 | 216 | 60 | 23 | 12 | — | — | 28.0% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 5.5% | 5.27 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 70 | 0 | 74 | 312 | 86 | 35 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 4.4% | 4.88 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 298 | 81 | 34 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 4.5% | 5.03 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 82 | 33 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 4.4% | 4.88 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 77 | 33 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 4.5% | 5.03 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 280 | 2 | 284 | 1205 | 321 | 135 | 56 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 4.6% | 4.89 | 4.80 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 1 | 200 | 849 | 226 | 95 | 39 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 4.6% | 4.89 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 235 | 2 | 246 | 1034 | 275 | 110 | 49 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 4.8% | 4.36 | 4.83 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 2 | 200 | 842 | 224 | 90 | 40 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 4.8% | 4.36 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Leasure (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 29.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | — | 5.04 | 27.4% | 16.0% | 144 | +0.50 | — | — | — |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 79 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 79 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .277 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 2.7% | 45 | +0.84 | 3.74 | 163 | 78 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 28.4% | 12.5% | 4.8% | .264 | 3.41 | 31.8% | 17.2% | 44 | -1.52 | 3.30 | 323 | 78 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 77 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 77 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.59 | 27.5% | 13.4% | 3.8% | .226 | 4.22 | 18.8% | 1.7% | 68 | -0.37 | 3.20 | 314 | 76 |
| Justin Sterner R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.92 | 27.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .262 | 4.36 | 24.8% | 18.3% | 107 | +0.44 | 3.92 | 294 | 76 |
| Alan Busenitz R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.48 | 23.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 436 | 76 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 75 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 75 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.70 | 27.2% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 103 | 75 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 75 |
| Joe Harvey R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.13 | 24.9% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .258 | 5.83 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 17 | +0.70 | 2.55 | 197 | 75 |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 27.2% | 11.8% | 2.0% | .331 | 3.99 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 159 | +0.60 | 1.58 | 578 | 75 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.41 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 3.9% | .293 | 3.51 | 25.9% | 17.2% | 158 | -0.90 | 2.74 | 469 | 74 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 74 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 74 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.01 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .261 | 4.52 | 30.7% | 16.5% | 88 | -0.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 65 | 27.8% | 11.5% | 1.64 | 4.81 |
| Michael Feliz ('21) | 5 | 47 | 30.5% | 9.8% | 1.48 | 5.05 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |