Jordan Leasure — OGILVIE

Jordan Leasure P Chicago White Sox

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 99

ERA4.20

FIP4.34

K%27.3%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%16.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6895.8

Whiff%

p5826.5%

p5523.1%

xwOBA vs

p100.406

FB+1.3 (56%)

SI (4%)

SL-1.3 (41%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	10	42	13	3	3	0%	1.3	31.0%	7.1%	23.8%	7.1%	5.23	5.31	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	10	42	13	3	3	0%	1.3	31.0%	7.1%	23.8%	7.1%	5.23	5.23	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	59	241	84	21	8	0%	1.2	25.0%	9.2%	15.8%	4.7%	3.37	4.75	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	59	241	84	21	8	0%	1.2	34.9%	8.7%	26.1%	3.3%	3.37	3.08	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	48	206	79	23	9	0%	1.1	31.3%	11.5%	19.8%	4.6%	3.91	4.45	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	48	206	79	23	9	0%	1.1	31.3%	11.5%	19.8%	4.6%	3.91	4.45	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	48	206	79	23	9	0%	1.1	38.3%	11.2%	27.2%	4.4%	3.91	3.68	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	41	182	38	24	7	0%	0.9	18.3%	12.7%	5.6%	4.2%	6.15	5.44	-0.4
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	41	182	38	24	7	0%	0.9	18.3%	12.7%	5.6%	4.2%	6.15	5.44	-0.4
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	41	182	38	24	7	0%	0.9	20.9%	13.2%	7.7%	3.8%	6.15	5.22	-0.3
2025	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	68	1	64	269	81	29	12	1%	0.9	30.1%	10.8%	19.3%	4.4%	3.92	4.33	+0.2
2025	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	68	1	64	269	81	29	12	1%	0.9	30.1%	10.8%	19.3%	4.4%	3.92	4.33	+0.2
2025	26	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	68	1	64	269	81	29	12	1%	0.9	30.1%	10.8%	19.3%	4.5%	3.92	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			119	2	114	489	125	54	24	2%	1.0	25.6%	11.0%	14.5%	4.9%	4.96	5.06	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	22	1	23	94	23	8	6	5%	1.0	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	7.6%	5.48	6.44	-0.5
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	22	1	23	94	23	8	6	5%	1.0	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	7.6%	5.48	6.44	-0.5
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	CWS	4	0	4	16	5	1	0	0%	1.1	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	0.0%	2.08	1.25	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	CWS	18	1	19	78	18	7	6	6%	1.0	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	7.7%	6.27	6.51	-0.4
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	CWS	18	1	19	78	18	7	6	6%	1.0	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	7.7%	6.27	6.51	-0.4
ROS	27	MLB MLE	CWS	1	0	1	6	2	1	0	0%	1.4	27.3%	11.1%	16.2%	3.9%	4.20	4.34	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	CWS	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	27.3%	11.1%	16.2%	3.9%	4.20	4.34	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	24	100	25	9	6	—	—	24.6%	8.7%	16.0%	6.2%	5.41	6.32	-0.5
FULL	27	MLB A+C	CWS	—	—	20	85	25	9	6	—	—	29.1%	10.2%	18.8%	7.4%	6.57	5.98	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CWS	70	0	74	312	86	35	14	0%	1.1	27.7%	11.3%	16.4%	4.4%	4.89	4.98	-0.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	CWS	67	0	70	298	81	34	14	0%	1.1	27.1%	11.5%	15.6%	4.5%	5.04	5.14	-0.5
2029	30	MLB MLE	CWS	63	0	66	280	74	33	13	0%	1.1	26.4%	11.8%	14.6%	4.7%	5.23	5.35	-0.6
2027	28	MLB CTX	CWS	67	0	70	296	82	33	13	0%	1.0	27.7%	11.3%	16.4%	4.4%	4.89	4.98	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	CWS	64	0	67	283	77	33	13	0%	1.0	27.1%	11.5%	15.6%	4.5%	5.04	5.14	-0.4
2029	30	MLB CTX	CWS	60	0	63	266	70	31	13	0%	1.1	26.4%	11.8%	14.6%	4.7%	5.23	5.35	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		311	2	316	1340	355	152	63	1%	1.0	26.5%	11.3%	15.2%	4.7%	5.01	4.87	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	1	200	848	225	96	40	1%	1.0	26.5%	11.3%	15.2%	4.7%	5.01	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		235	2	246	1034	274	109	50	1%	1.0	26.5%	10.6%	15.9%	4.9%	4.36	4.88	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		191	2	200	842	223	89	41	1%	1.0	26.5%	10.6%	15.9%	4.9%	4.36	4.88	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Leasure (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	29.0%	11.6%	3.8%	—	5.15	27.1%	15.6%	211	+0.59	—	—	—
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	80
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	79
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	77
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	77
Alan Busenitz R 2018 · 4.37 FIP	27	SU	4.37	23.2%	7.5%	4.1%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	436	77
Cristofer Ogando R 2021 · 4.83 FIP	27	SU	4.83	26.8%	10.9%	4.8%	.281	4.90	20.6%	9.0%	53	+0.07	3.23	179	77
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	76
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	75
Brian Ellington R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	26	SU	4.75	25.5%	14.9%	3.5%	.283	5.61	22.4%	5.3%	29	+0.86	2.75	233	75
Kyle Barraclough R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	27	SU	3.42	26.6%	12.2%	1.8%	.282	4.99	24.5%	12.2%	89	+1.57	1.95	523	75
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	75
Joe Harvey R 2019 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	24.9%	14.3%	4.8%	.258	6.09	26.7%	6.8%	17	+0.66	2.56	197	74
Hansel Robles R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	24.4%	9.9%	3.6%	.293	3.48	25.9%	17.2%	158	-0.82	2.67	469	74
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	74
Brooks Kriske R 2021 · 4.95 FIP	27	SU	4.95	28.6%	12.1%	5.0%	.261	4.35	29.0%	16.8%	88	-0.60	3.15	246	74
Jason Stoffel R 2016 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	27.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	103	74
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	74
Peyton Williams R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	25	SU	5.06	25.0%	11.1%	4.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	123	74
Jason Adam R 2019 · 3.39 FIP	27	SU	3.39	24.2%	9.0%	2.2%	.237	2.64	33.1%	24.9%	88	-0.75	2.42	394	74
Juan Minaya R 2018 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	27.0%	11.4%	2.1%	.282	3.82	24.0%	13.2%	131	+0.42	3.20	446	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	70	27.6%	11.5%	1.69	4.89
Michael Feliz ('21)	1.2	47	30.5%	9.8%	1.48	5.05
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22