Kazuma Okamoto — OGILVIE

Kazuma Okamoto3B Toronto Blue Jays

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION584 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†114

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP283

ISO219

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 65

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT35

xAVG

170.224

POWER65

Barrel%

8613.6

Avg EV

7290.6

Bat Spd

6973.3

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED44

Sprint

2726.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▲▲23% over 102 PA (30d) · proj 28%

BB%9%·9% over 152 PA (45d) · proj 9%

ISO.215·.212 over 184 AB (60d) · proj .219

HR/BB7.4%▼6.9% over 131 BBE (60d) · proj 8.1%

BABIP.278·.270 over 122 BIP (60d) · proj .279

SLASH.242/.317/.457·proj .235/.311/.454

Platoon Splits2026 · 105 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

166

◀◀L

wOBA

414

307

◀◀L

ISO

150

192

▶▶R

BABIP

429

275

◀◀L

21.7%

35.4%

◀◀L

BB%

13.0%

11.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+0.2	$0.7M	-$0.5M
2027	Ext	$15M	+1.8	$13M	-$0.2M
2028	Ext	$15M	+1.4	$10M	-$3M
2029	Ext	$15M	+0.7	$2M	-$9M
Totals		$46M		$26M	-$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	130	109	28	8	0	0	13	21	3	0	2	257	352	330	682	73	308	16	10	305	93	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	20	INTL MLE	Gigantes de Carolina	—	130	109	28	8	0	0	13	21	3	0	2	257	352	330	682	73	308	16	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	INTL RAW	Gigantes de Carolina	—	130	109	28	8	0	0	13	21	3	0	2	257	352	330	682	73	308	16	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	30	MLB MLE	TOR	—	584	523	123	24	0	31	52	172	6	1	1	235	312	459	770	224	285	29	9	334	112	+8	-0	-1	+2	+13	2.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	TOR	—	584	523	123	24	0	31	52	172	6	1	1	235	312	459	770	224	285	29	9	338	112	+8	-0	-1	+2	+13	2.2
YTD	30	MLB RAW	TOR	—	584	523	123	24	0	31	52	172	6	1	1	235	312	459	770	224	285	29	9	338	115	+10	-0	-1	+2	+13	2.5
ROS	30	MLB MLE	TOR	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		282	33	11	337	114	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	TOR	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		283	33	11	330	114	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	TOR	—	593	531	124	24	0	31	53	175	6	1	1	234	310	454	764	220	284	30	9	338	112	+9	-0	-1	+2	+13	2.3
TOT	30	MLB MLE	TOR	—	593	531	124	24	0	31	53	175	6	1	1	234	310	454	764	220	284	30	9	334	112	+9	-0	-1	+2	+13	2.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TOR	100%	623	556	129	25	0	32	56	181	6	2	1	232	309	450	759	218	278	29	9	332	111	+8	+0	-6	+2	+13	1.8
2028	32	MLB MLE	TOR	100%	610	545	122	23	0	30	54	179	6	1	1	224	301	431	732	207	274	29	9	326	107	+5	-0	-7	+2	+13	1.4
2029	33	MLB MLE	TOR	100%	526	469	103	19	0	25	47	157	5	1	1	220	298	420	718	200	267	30	9	318	101	+1	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.7
2030	34	MLB MLE	TOR	96%	445	399	85	15	0	21	39	136	4	1	0	213	290	409	698	195	259	31	9	307	94	-3	+0	-7	+2	+10	0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	TOR	100%	623	556	129	25	0	32	56	181	6	2	1	232	309	450	759	218	279	29	9	326	111	+8	+0	-6	+2	+13	1.8
2028	32	MLB CTX	TOR	100%	610	545	123	23	0	30	54	179	6	1	1	226	302	433	736	207	275	29	9	319	107	+5	-0	-7	+2	+13	1.4
2029	33	MLB CTX	TOR	100%	526	469	103	19	0	25	47	157	5	1	1	220	298	420	718	200	268	30	9	311	101	+1	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.7
2030	34	MLB CTX	TOR	96%	425	381	81	14	0	20	37	130	4	1	0	213	289	407	696	194	260	31	9	301	94	-3	+0	-7	+2	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2193	1959	437	81	0	107	195	650	21	5	3	223	300	428	729	205	272	30	9	316	92	+11	-0	-27	+8	+48	4.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	130	24	0	32	58	193	6	1	1	224	301	430	731	207	273	30	9	316	92	+3	-0	-8	+2	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2343	2086	468	90	0	108	210	677	24	5	5	224	303	423	725	198	274	29	9	304	92	+11	-0	-27	+8	+48	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	130	25	0	30	58	188	7	1	1	225	303	423	726	199	274	29	9	304	92	+3	-0	-8	+2	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#2Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#3Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17
#4Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#5Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	4.0	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
/162	664	28	5	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.1	3,387	170	9	229	303	443	+12	-4	12.8	12.8
/162	664	33	2	+2.4	-0.8	2.5	pk7: 13
#6Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	5.0	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
/162	664	33	3	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kazuma Okamoto (OGILVIE)	30	35	65	44	80	234/310/453	220	282	32	2	29%	9%	114	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Hunter Renfroe 2022 · MLB	30	42→47	64→65	44→45	48	239/303/479	240	264	33	4	25%	8%	117	+2.6	243/306/447	204	276	27	2	23%	8%	110	+2.1	237/303/428	191	269	25	1	22%	8%	102	+1.2
●Chris Carter 2017 · MLB	30	37→47	66→65	43→45	51	218/316/469	250	264	35	4	32%	11%	119	+2.7	209/302/434	225	276	31	3	35%	11%	106	+1.8	195/296/423	228	254	32	1	36%	11%	100	+0.9
✕David Ross 2007 · MLB	30	43	61→60	47→45	51	235/318/461	225	271	29	3	26%	10%	118	+2.6	225/311/416	191	271	24	3	26%	11%	105	+1.7	271/363/467	196	346	20	0	25%	12%	133	+1.0
✕Gary Sánchez 2022 · MLB	29	35→45	61→65	44→45	51	208/302/427	219	239	31	2	29%	11%	105	+1.7	212/297/399	187	259	25	3	28%	9%	97	+1.1	222/329/414	192	258	26	0	25%	11%	109	+0.8
✕Jordan Luplow 2023 · MLB	29	36→46	61→65	45→50	53	209/302/427	218	232	30	8	26%	11%	105	+1.7	215/295/375	160	256	20	13	24%	9%	90	+0.6	204/286/341	136	246	16	15	24%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Pedro Álvarez 2017 · MLB	30	44→47	62→65	47→45	51	245/319/469	224	283	31	5	26%	10%	120	+2.8	225/279/399	174	277	23	3	27%	7%	89	+0.5	212/260/369	157	261	22	1	28%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Adam Duvall 2020 · MLB	31	39→45	61→70	44→45	44	221/288/444	223	252	30	4	27%	7%	103	+1.6	229/290/472	243	265	35	4	29%	7%	111	+2.1	225/285/472	247	272	35	4	32%	7%	107	+1.3
✕Chris Snyder 2011 · MLB	30	42→44	55	46→30	60	221/331/402	181	261	23	2	24%	14%	109	+2.0	225/320/378	153	281	19	3	25%	12%	99	+1.3	214/300/347	133	274	17	0	27%	10%	81	-0.0
●Eugenio Suárez 2022 · MLB	31	36→46	63→65	42→50	50	214/304/445	231	249	32	3	29%	10%	109	+2.0	232/320/435	203	298	27	2	30%	10%	113	+2.3	236/315/461	225	290	32	2	29%	8%	115	+2.7
●Matt Chapman 2023 · MLB	30	42→52	59→65	42→50	52	227/321/435	208	283	27	3	30%	11%	113	+2.3	242/331/446	204	302	23	8	26%	11%	119	+2.7	243/336/451	208	299	23	10	25%	11%	119	+2.6
✕Marcus Thames 2007 · MLB	30	46	66→70	45→40	50	255/326/511	256	283	34	4	24%	9%	132	+3.7	247/304/492	245	279	35	4	26%	7%	120	+2.8	248/312/461	213	289	32	0	26%	8%	113	+1.2
●Jesús Aguilar 2020 · MLB	30	48→50	58→60	45→40	53	252/334/456	204	295	27	2	24%	10%	122	+3.0	255/326/439	184	291	24	2	21%	9%	116	+2.5	250/314/425	175	283	23	0	20%	8%	104	+1.1
✕Travis Shaw 2020 · MLB	30	41→51	57→60	47→45	57	225/327/421	196	259	26	6	25%	12%	112	+2.2	217/304/386	169	270	22	4	27%	10%	96	+1.0	214/296/384	170	265	21	0	27%	10%	90	+0.2
✕Mike Zunino 2022 · MLB	31	34→44	72→65	47→30	43	217/296/501	283	260	42	3	35%	8%	120	+2.8	212/286/420	208	297	28	4	37%	8%	97	+1.1	163/236/306	144	247	19	0	41%	8%	51	-0.5
●Jorge Soler 2022 · MLB	30	43→53	62→70	45	53	236/326/468	231	270	31	2	25%	11%	122	+3.0	238/327/461	223	280	29	2	26%	11%	121	+2.9	240/334/470	229	282	30	1	25%	11%	122	+2.4
●Mitch Garver 2021 · MLB	30	47	63→70	47→40	50	254/335/491	237	302	32	3	27%	10%	131	+3.6	243/335/456	213	300	28	4	28%	11%	123	+3.0	241/341/454	213	289	29	1	26%	12%	121	+1.4
✕Donnie Murphy 2013 · MLB	30	42→41	57→65	48→45	44	227/293/431	204	269	24	5	26%	7%	102	+1.5	212/277/371	159	266	20	6	28%	6%	82	+0.0	197/263/338	141	247	18	4	28%	6%	67	-0.5
●Rhys Hoskins 2022 · MLB	29	44→53	62→60	43→45	58	239/345/481	242	272	29	5	24%	13%	132	+3.6	237/324/447	210	284	27	4	26%	10%	117	+2.6	227/319/418	190	278	25	3	27%	11%	106	+1.5
✕Patrick Wisdom 2023 · MLB	31	40→45	64→70	45→50	45	222/306/464	242	295	33	9	36%	10%	114	+2.4	219/298/467	248	284	34	10	35%	9%	113	+2.3	198/273/466	267	234	40	8	36%	8%	101	+0.7
✕Todd Frazier 2018 · MLB	32	40→50	60	45→50	55	224/320/440	216	241	29	9	22%	11%	114	+2.4	232/320/417	185	269	24	7	23%	10%	109	+2.0	234/316/409	175	275	22	6	23%	9%	103	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps