Kazuma Okamoto — OGILVIE

Kazuma Okamoto3B Toronto Blue Jays

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION382 act + 254 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†122

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .317 / .456

PA254

HR14

K%29

BB%9

BABIP281

ISO222

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 33 / POW 68

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT33

xwOBA

690.330

POWER68

Barrel%

9014.8

Avg EV

8591.5

Bat Spd

6973.3

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED43

Sprint

2626.3

Platoon Splits2026 · 105 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

175

◀◀L

wOBA

414

307

◀◀L

ISO

150

192

▶▶R

BABIP

429

275

◀◀L

21.7%

35.4%

◀◀L

BB%

13.0%

11.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$6M	+1.4	$12M	+$6M
2027	Ext	$15M	+3.0	$22M	+$9M
2028	Ext	$15M	+2.6	$18M	+$6M
2029	Ext	$15M	+1.8	$11M	+$0.5M
Totals		$51M		$63M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	130	109	28	8	0	0	13	21	3	0	2	257	352	330	682	73	308	16	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	130	109	28	8	0	0	13	21	3	0	2	257	352	330	682	73	308	16	10	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	TOR	—	382	339	81	12	0	22	36	118	5	0	0	239	321	469	790	230	294	31	9	343	121	+9	+0	-1	+1	+11	2.1
YTD	30	MLB	TOR	—	382	339	81	12	0	22	36	118	5	0	0	239	321	469	790	230	294	31	9	347	124	+10	+0	-1	+1	+11	2.2
ROS	30	MLB	TOR	100%	254	225	53	8	0	14	24	74	3	1	0	235	317	456	773	222	287	29	9	345	122	+6	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.5
ROS	30	MLB	TOR	100%	255	226	53	8	0	14	24	74	3	1	0	235	316	456	772	221	288	29	9	336	115	+4	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.3
FULL	30	MLB	TOR	—	637	565	134	20	0	36	60	192	8	1	0	237	319	464	783	227	288	30	9	340	119	+13	+0	-1	+2	+18	3.4
TOT	30	MLB	TOR	—	636	564	134	20	0	36	60	192	8	1	0	237	319	464	783	227	289	30	9	344	121	+15	+0	-1	+2	+18	3.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	TOR	100%	624	552	131	20	1	34	59	184	8	2	1	237	320	462	782	225	284	29	9	341	119	+14	+0	-3	+2	+18	3.1
2028	32	MLB	TOR	100%	611	540	125	19	1	32	58	183	8	2	1	231	315	448	763	217	281	30	9	335	115	+10	+0	-4	+2	+17	2.7
2029	33	MLB	TOR	100%	527	466	105	15	1	27	50	160	6	1	0	225	308	436	744	210	276	30	9	328	109	+5	+0	-4	+2	+15	1.9
2030	34	MLB	TOR	96%	446	396	86	12	0	22	42	138	5	1	0	217	300	414	714	197	269	31	9	319	102	+1	+0	-5	+2	+13	1.1
2031	35	MLB	TOR	91%	376	334	70	9	0	18	35	120	4	0	0	210	292	398	690	189	262	32	9	308	94	-3	+0	-6	+1	+11	0.4
2032	36	MLB	TOR	82%	247	220	44	6	0	11	22	80	3	0	0	200	282	377	659	177	255	32	9	297	85	-4	+0	-6	+1	+7	-0.3
2033	37	MLB	TOR	73%	185	164	32	4	0	8	17	62	2	0	0	195	279	366	645	171	248	34	9	285	76	-5	+0	-7	+1	+5	-0.6
2027	31	MLB	TOR	100%	624	552	131	20	1	34	59	184	8	2	1	237	320	462	782	225	286	29	9	332	113	+9	+0	-3	+2	+18	2.7
2028	32	MLB	TOR	100%	611	540	126	19	1	32	58	183	8	2	1	233	317	450	767	217	282	30	9	327	108	+6	+0	-4	+2	+17	2.2
2029	33	MLB	TOR	100%	527	466	106	15	1	27	50	160	6	1	0	227	310	438	748	210	277	30	9	320	103	+2	+0	-4	+2	+15	1.5
2030	34	MLB	TOR	96%	426	378	83	12	0	21	40	132	5	1	0	220	303	418	721	198	270	31	9	311	96	-2	+0	-5	+2	+12	0.7
2031	35	MLB	TOR	91%	342	303	63	8	0	16	32	109	4	0	0	208	292	393	685	185	263	32	9	300	88	-5	+0	-5	+1	+10	0.1
2032	36	MLB	TOR	82%	203	181	37	5	0	9	18	66	2	0	0	204	284	381	665	177	257	33	9	289	80	-5	+0	-5	+1	+6	-0.3
2033	37	MLB	TOR	73%	135	121	24	3	0	6	12	45	1	0	0	198	276	372	648	174	249	33	9	277	70	-5	+0	-5	+0	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3123	2767	623	90	3	159	293	953	37	7	2	225	308	432	740	207	278	31	9	318	101	+5	+1	-31	+11	+88	7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	130	19	1	33	61	198	8	1	0	226	309	434	743	208	279	30	9	318	101	+1	+0	-6	+2	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	3400	3006	674	101	3	166	320	1022	42	7	4	224	308	425	733	201	276	30	9	312	97	-11	-0	-34	+12	+96	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	129	19	1	32	61	195	8	1	1	224	307	428	735	203	276	30	9	312	97	-2	-0	-7	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	130	109	28	8	0	0	13	21	3	0	2	257	352	330	682	73	308	16	10	305	92	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,870	201	11	228	307	441	+7	-5	15.3	15.3
	/162	664	34	2	228	307	441	+1.1	-0.9	2.6	pk7: 15
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#4Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	7	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
	/162	664	28	5	239	322	441	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
#5Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#6Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	8	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
	/162	664	33	3	235	309	447	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kazuma Okamoto (OGILVIE)	30	33	68	43	80	237/319/464	227	289	36	1	30%	9%	121	+3.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Hunter Renfroe 2022 · MLB	30	41→47	64→70	44→45	48	236/301/475	239	260	33	4	25%	8%	118	+3.0	244/307/453	209	276	28	2	23%	8%	113	+2.6	240/305/438	198	270	26	1	22%	8%	107	+1.8
●Chris Carter 2017 · MLB	30	37→47	66→65	43→45	51	220/317/474	254	265	35	4	32%	11%	123	+3.3	216/309/466	250	279	35	3	35%	11%	118	+3.0	203/306/465	262	256	38	1	37%	12%	115	+1.9
✕Gary Sánchez 2022 · MLB	29	35→45	61→65	44→45	51	207/302/424	217	238	31	2	29%	11%	105	+2.1	214/299/407	193	261	26	3	28%	9%	98	+1.6	224/310/436	212	260	32	1	27%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Jordan Luplow 2023 · MLB	29	36→46	60→65	44→50	53	208/301/422	214	231	29	8	26%	11%	104	+2.0	220/299/392	172	259	22	13	24%	9%	95	+1.4	212/293/370	158	249	20	15	24%	9%	84	+0.3
●Mitch Garver 2021 · MLB	30	47→45	63→70	47→40	50	254/334/490	236	302	32	3	27%	10%	134	+4.1	243/335/458	215	300	28	4	28%	11%	126	+3.5	241/342/458	217	288	30	1	26%	12%	126	+1.7
●Eugenio Suárez 2022 · MLB	31	36→46	64→65	42→50	50	215/305/449	234	247	33	3	29%	10%	112	+2.6	234/321/437	203	301	27	2	30%	10%	115	+2.8	237/316/462	225	292	31	2	29%	8%	117	+3.3
●Adam Duvall 2020 · MLB	31	39→44	65→70	44→45	44	227/291/473	246	254	34	4	27%	7%	113	+2.6	231/291/485	254	266	37	4	29%	7%	116	+2.8	223/283/468	245	269	35	4	31%	7%	106	+1.5
●Jorge Soler 2022 · MLB	30	43→53	62→70	45	53	237/327/468	231	271	31	2	26%	11%	126	+3.5	239/328/461	222	281	29	2	26%	11%	124	+3.4	241/335/470	229	282	30	1	25%	11%	125	+2.8
✕Marcus Thames 2007 · MLB	30	46	67→70	45→40	49	258/329/523	265	284	36	4	24%	9%	141	+4.5	248/304/494	246	280	36	4	26%	7%	124	+3.4	248/312/462	213	289	32	0	26%	8%	115	+1.4
✕David Ross 2007 · MLB	30	43	61→60	47→45	51	235/318/461	225	271	29	3	26%	10%	120	+3.1	225/311/417	192	271	25	3	26%	11%	106	+2.2	270/362/461	191	345	19	0	25%	12%	135	+1.1
●Jesús Aguilar 2020 · MLB	30	48→50	60→65	45→40	53	256/338/471	215	296	29	2	24%	10%	131	+3.9	255/327/440	185	290	24	2	21%	9%	118	+3.0	249/313/419	170	282	23	0	20%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Miguel Sanó 2022 · MLB	29	41→51	66→70	43→45	48	229/314/483	253	305	35	3	36%	11%	124	+3.4	221/304/412	191	310	25	6	35%	10%	102	+1.8	181/271/315	135	266	19	3	37%	9%	61	-0.2
✕Travis Shaw 2020 · MLB	30	42→52	59→60	47→45	57	229/330/437	208	262	28	6	25%	12%	119	+3.1	217/304/389	172	269	22	4	27%	10%	96	+1.5	213/295/382	170	262	22	0	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Pedro Álvarez 2017 · MLB	30	44→46	61→60	47→45	51	243/317/462	219	281	30	5	26%	10%	120	+3.1	234/288/432	198	282	28	3	27%	7%	100	+1.7	224/273/415	191	267	28	1	28%	6%	86	+0.6
●Matt Chapman 2023 · MLB	30	42→52	58→65	42→50	52	226/320/431	205	282	27	3	30%	11%	113	+2.6	243/332/448	205	304	23	8	26%	11%	122	+3.3	246/339/455	209	302	24	10	25%	11%	123	+3.3
✕Mark Reynolds 2013 · MLB	29	38→48	59→65	40→50	55	213/321/428	215	268	28	5	31%	13%	113	+2.6	218/308/402	184	276	25	5	29%	11%	102	+1.8	232/318/389	157	302	19	2	28%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Mike Zunino 2022 · MLB	31	34→44	73→65	47→30	43	219/297/509	290	259	43	3	35%	8%	125	+3.5	213/287/424	211	298	29	4	37%	8%	98	+1.6	163/236/309	146	246	19	0	41%	8%	45	-0.5
●Rhys Hoskins 2022 · MLB	29	44→54	63→65	43→45	58	239/345/486	247	271	30	5	24%	13%	137	+4.3	239/325/456	217	284	28	4	26%	10%	121	+3.2	231/322/431	200	280	27	3	27%	11%	112	+2.2
✕Donnie Murphy 2013 · MLB	30	43→40	58→65	48→45	44	232/297/443	211	273	26	5	26%	7%	107	+2.2	209/274/366	157	263	19	6	28%	6%	77	+0.1	192/258/327	135	242	17	4	28%	6%	58	-0.6
★Khris Davis 2018 · MLB	30	44→51	70	46→45	49	252/329/531	279	289	40	4	28%	10%	143	+4.7	243/321/492	249	281	36	2	27%	9%	130	+3.8	235/311/488	253	263	38	0	27%	9%	119	+2.4