Jordan LuplowLF Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 32 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 304 proj PA
wRC+†102
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .308 / .405
PA304
HR11
SB8
K%23
BB%9
ISO174
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +0.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +8.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.50.2-0.12628
Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 52
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023
CONTACT47
Whiff%
3113.1%
xwOBA
400.296
POWER52
Barrel%
518.3
Avg EV
1986.7
Bat Spd
3770.0
EYE60
Chase%
7327.3%
SPEED56
Sprint
5227.6
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2017
Service   9.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$2M+0.0$0.1M-$2M
Totals $2M $0.1M -$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201521 AWest Virginia Power 465412 883038 37886 112 214288359647 146250 198 279 72
201521 AWest Virginia Power 465390 10336312 59676 112 264369464833 200289 1413 363 136
201622 A+Bradenton Marauders 425373 761937 411124 62 204289327617 123265 2610 276 69
201622 A+Bradenton Marauders 425354 9023310 60784 62 254368421789 167294 1814 350 126
201723 AA3 teams 557507 13124225 3612411 55 258321462783 203294 226 335 115
201723 AA3 teams 557492 14125226 5110311 55 287366504870 217314 189 382 150
201824 AAA2 teams 460412 962069 43863 94 233310376686 143273 199 305 92
201824 AAA2 teams 460406 10726611 49823 94 264347438786 175305 1811 348 125
201925 MLB2 teams 318274 7618117 39784 53 277375536912 259328 2512 390 156 +20 -0 +2 -3 +9 2.8
201925 MLB2 teams 318270 7618117 43754 53 281388544932 263330 2414 406 169 +25 -0 +2 -3 +9 3.3
202026 MLBCleveland Indians 9278 15512 12191 01 192308359667 167224 2113 297 85 -2 -0 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
202026 MLBCleveland Indians 9278 15512 12191 01 192308359667 167224 2113 300 88 -1 -0 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
202127 MLB2 teams 248211 4212013 35682 13 199319441759 242223 2714 334 114 +4 -1 -2 +1 +7 0.9
202127 MLB2 teams 248208 4313013 38672 13 207335457791 250234 2715 351 127 +8 -1 -2 +1 +7 1.3
202228 MLB2 teams 282251 457015 26724 51 179267386653 207182 269 288 79 -7 +1 +2 -3 +8 0.1
202228 MLB2 teams 282250 498017 27694 51 196285432717 236194 2410 316 100 +0 +1 +2 -3 +8 0.8
202329 AAA2 teams 312271 5411010 31746 41 199295351646 151230 2410 290 80
202329 AAA2 teams 312263 6114010 39646 41 232344399743 167264 2112 333 113
202430 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs 254229 531209 19603 122 231299402701 170270 247 300 88
202430 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs 254220 5613010 28523 122 255347450797 195286 2011 351 127
▸ 2026 Season
202632 MLBPHI 304271 6413111 26714 82 236312413726 177274 239 319 102 +1 +1 +0 -3 +9 0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733 MLBPHI 33% 274246 5711110 23663 51 232305407712 175268 248 310 96 -1 +1 -4 -3 +8 0.0
202834 MLBPHI 28% 231206 46818 20573 31 223301388690 165259 259 299 87 -3 +0 -5 -2 +7 -0.4
202733 MLBPHI 33% 9081 18403 8221 20 222300383683 160270 249 304 90 -1 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.0
202834 MLBPHI 28% 6559 12202 5161 10 203277339616 136262 258 293 82 -1 +0 -1 -1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 12151058 22546652 13930214 169 213312415727 202244 2511 324 106 +9 -0 -2 -22 +34 1.9
/ 162G 650566 12125328 741627 95 214312417729 203246 2511 324 106 +5 -0 -1 -12 +18 1.0
Career 42223741 84319019144 38897554 7428 225307402709 176264 239 310 95 -23 +4 -7 -42 +120 5.2
/ 162G 650576 12929322 601508 114 224306399705 175262 239 310 95 -4 +1 -1 -6 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201521 AWest Virginia Power 465390 10336312 59676 112 264369464833 200289 1413 363 136 +19 +1 +13 3.4
201622 A+Bradenton Marauders 425354 9023310 60784 62 254368421789 167294 1814 350 126 +13 +0 +12 2.6
201723 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 8778 16313 6222 01 205279385664 179241 257 293 83 -2 -0 -2 -6 +2 -0.8
201723 AAAIndianapolis Indians 182160 52717 16365 41 325403512916 187381 209 404 167 +14 +0 +5 2.0
201723 AAAltoona Curve 288254 7315016 29454 13 287369535905 248294 1610 395 160 +20 -1 +8 2.7
201824 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 10392 17133 10181 22 185272359631 174197 1710 283 75 -3 -0 +2 -5 +3 -0.3
201824 AAAIndianapolis Indians 357314 902538 39642 72 287369462831 175336 1811 367 139 +16 +1 +10 2.7
201925 MLBCleveland Indians 261225 6215115 33612 32 276373551924 276313 2313 401 165 +19 -0 +2 -3 +7 2.5
201925 AAAColumbus Clippers 5745 14302 10142 21 311456511967 200414 2518 432 188 +6 +0 +2 0.7
202026 MLBCleveland Indians 9278 15512 12191 01 192308359667 167224 2113 300 88 -1 -0 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
202127 MLBTampa Bay Rays 193163 338011 28572 12 202326454780 252232 3015 346 123 +5 -1 -2 +1 +5 0.9
202127 AAADurham Bulls 5545 10502 10100 01 222364467830 244242 1818 369 140 +3 -0 +2 0.4
202228 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 234205 365011 25603 51 176275361636 185185 2611 287 77 -6 +1 +2 -3 +7 0.0
202228 AAAReno Aces 4845 13306 291 00 2893337561.089 467233 194 460 210 +6 +0 +1 0.7
202329 MLBMinnesota Twins 9077 16302 12271 20 208322325647 117292 3013 301 88 -1 +0 -1 -3 +3 -0.2
202329 AAABuffalo Bisons 222186 451108 27375 21 242353430783 188255 1712 346 123 +6 +0 +6 1.2
202430 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs 254220 5613010 28523 122 255347450797 195286 2011 351 127 +8 +2 +7 1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1060918 19540647 12626412 139 212315423738 210242 2512 328 109 +11 -1 +1 -21 +30 2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Doug Mirabellilast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,509 PA
81,509563231316412+11+87.27.1
/162664251+4.8+3.63.2pk7: 7
#2Ricky Ledeelast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA
71,8975221239323404-8-65.05.0
/162664187-2.9-2.11.7pk7: 5
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
81,2455316216312421-13+12.82.9
/162664289-7.1+0.61.5pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
#5John Mabrylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA
71,560542243309416-15-161.61.6
/162664231-6.5-6.70.7pk7: 2
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jordan Luplow (OGILVIE) 32 47 52 56 60 232/308/405 173274 118 23% 9% 102 +1.0
Chad Huffman
2017 · AAA
32 47→52 53→55 49→45 49 241/318/422 181279 2112 22% 8% 110 +2.4 227/303/386 159280 186 25% 8% 95 +1.4 213/295/36315126518126%8%82+0.3
Brooks Conrad
2012 · MLB
32 46→44 51→55 53→50 47 233/307/399 166301 1913 28% 9% 99 +1.7 227/290/424 197302 265 32% 8% 98 +1.6 188/249/35016224421132%7%62-0.5
Chris Aguila
2010 · MLB
31 45→54 53→55 49→50 44 235/291/404 169290 2212 27% 7% 94 +1.3 224/282/377 153295 177 29% 7% 82 +0.5 219/280/36614729017529%7%76+0.0
Chris Young
2016 · MLB
32 45→49 53→60 48→55 50 234/305/412 178267 2010 21% 9% 102 +1.8 238/314/414 176281 209 22% 9% 106 +2.2 225/309/40217726620823%10%99+0.6
Darnell McDonald
2012 · MLB
33 50→56 51→55 49→55 47 251/309/421 169298 1812 22% 7% 105 +2.1 212/275/330 118259 1210 22% 8% 68 -0.5 191/254/281912378922%7%44-1.1
Rafael Ortega
2022 · MLB
31 49→54 53→55 49→55 49 254/317/429 176298 2117 23% 8% 111 +2.5 232/319/365 133283 1420 22% 11% 95 +1.4 217/315/340123267132422%12%85+0.4
Cody Ransom
2009 · MLB
33 39→42 54→55 48→50 44 213/277/392 179263 2311 29% 7% 85 +0.7 220/281/396 176280 2110 29% 7% 88 +0.9 216/283/39918329024733%8%87+0.6
J.C. Linares
2017 · AAA
32 47→52 50→55 51→40 47 240/306/396 156288 179 23% 7% 98 +1.6 229/291/373 144265 1610 20% 7% 85 +0.7 214/289/36715322420316%9%82+0.1
John Mayberry Jr.
2015 · MLB
31 44→48 51→55 44→50 49 226/296/394 168267 195 23% 8% 93 +1.3 214/280/366 152263 167 25% 8% 79 +0.3 160/214/28112120011426%6%28-0.9
Scott Hairston
2012 · MLB
32 46→51 54→60 49→50 49 239/306/421 182269 2210 21% 8% 105 +2.1 240/289/449 209272 2710 23% 6% 105 +2.1 239/280/472234258321022%5%107+1.0
Tim Beckham
2022 · MLB
32 45→55 54→55 45→50 40 235/281/415 180297 236 29% 6% 92 +1.2 261/311/409 148342 199 28% 6% 103 +1.9 321/370/45113143419628%6%132+1.1
Hector Luna
2012 · MLB
32 48→49 51→55 49→50 48 248/304/406 158279 198 19% 7% 99 +1.7 239/284/377 138279 158 20% 5% 83 +0.6 242/280/37213028114319%4%78+0.1
Taylor Motter
2022 · MLB
32 44→50 52→55 47→55 51 228/308/399 171279 204 26% 10% 99 +1.7 221/290/397 176278 228 28% 9% 92 +1.2 202/272/37517425023829%9%77+0.1
Justin Leone
2009 · AAA
32 40→41 50 52→55 50 209/290/363 154264 1818 27% 10% 83 +0.6 194/263/323 129274 1413 32% 8% 61 -1.0 130/199/223931949637%8%8-1.9
Kevin Pillar
2021 · MLB
32 51→60 51→55 50→55 43 258/296/427 169281 1813 16% 4% 102 +1.8 243/291/428 185272 249 20% 5% 100 +1.7 233/278/42819425827822%4%94+0.5
Kevin Young
2001 · MLB
32 49→50 53→55 46→50 47 255/311/430 174280 229 18% 6% 109 +2.4 242/315/406 164285 1811 21% 8% 105 +2.1 237/316/400163280171121%9%99+1.4
Hernán Pérez
2022 · MLB
31 48→55 50→55 52→55 43 245/291/393 149305 1815 26% 6% 90 +1.0 229/274/359 130290 1620 26% 5% 74 -0.1 214/259/339125268162026%5%61-0.5
Matt Carson
2013 · MLB
32 48→50 52→60 49→50 41 246/290/417 171301 1912 25% 5% 97 +1.5 224/275/350 126295 1414 28% 5% 72 -0.2 209/266/319110278131528%5%59-0.6
Marshall McDougall
2011 · AAA
32 47→56 51→55 52→45 46 243/284/397 154257 1911 15% 5% 89 +0.9 273/321/450 177300 227 17% 6% 118 +3.0 290/341/47618531624416%7%128+1.8
Mario Lisson
2015 · AAA
31 45→49 53→55 47→55 44 233/300/405 173283 2112 26% 7% 98 +1.6 228/292/366 138298 178 28% 7% 85 +0.7 214/282/33712228515629%8%71-0.1