Jordan Luplow

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1993-09-26

Age (2027)33

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	28	AAAARI	48	.289/.333/.756	6	0	111	—	.196/.229/.500
2022	28	MLBARI	234	.176/.275/.361	11	5	80	-0.1
2023	29	AAATOR	222	.242/.353/.430	8	2	68	—	.190/.275/.323
2023	29	MLBMIN	90	.208/.322/.325	2	2	84	-0.3
2024	30	AAAPHI	254	.255/.347/.450	10	12	71	—	.209/.275/.348
2025	31	No MLB games played
2026	32	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023

Speed52

Barrel%51

xwOBA40

Bat Spd37

Avg EV19

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	465	390	103	36	3	12	59	67	6	11	2	264	369	464	833	200	289	14	13	363	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	425	354	90	23	3	10	60	78	4	6	2	254	368	421	789	167	294	18	14	350	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	87	78	16	3	1	3	6	22	2	0	1	205	279	385	664	179	241	25	7	293	88	-1	-0	-2	-6	+2	-0.8
2017	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	182	160	52	7	1	7	16	36	5	4	1	325	403	512	916	187	381	20	9	404	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	288	254	73	15	0	16	29	45	4	1	3	287	369	535	905	248	294	16	10	395	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	103	92	17	1	3	3	10	18	1	2	2	185	272	359	631	174	197	17	10	283	81	-2	-0	+2	-5	+2	-0.3
2018	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	357	314	90	25	3	8	39	64	2	7	2	287	369	462	831	175	336	18	11	367	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	261	225	62	15	1	15	33	61	2	3	2	276	373	551	924	276	313	23	13	401	157	+18	-0	+2	-3	+6	2.2
2019	25	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	57	45	14	3	0	2	10	14	2	2	1	311	456	511	967	200	414	25	18	432	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	92	78	15	5	1	2	12	19	1	0	1	192	308	359	667	167	224	21	13	300	91	-1	-0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
2021	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	193	163	33	8	0	11	28	57	2	1	2	202	326	454	780	252	232	30	15	346	123	+5	-1	-2	+1	+4	0.8
2021	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	55	45	10	5	0	2	10	10	0	0	1	222	364	467	830	244	242	18	18	369	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	234	205	36	5	0	11	25	60	3	5	1	176	275	361	636	185	185	26	11	287	80	-6	+1	+2	-3	+5	-0.1
2022	28	AAA	Reno Aces	—	48	45	13	3	0	6	2	9	1	0	0	289	333	756	1.089	467	233	19	4	460	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	90	77	16	3	0	2	12	27	1	2	0	208	322	325	647	117	292	30	13	301	84	-2	+0	-1	-3	+2	-0.3
2023	29	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	222	186	45	11	0	8	27	37	5	2	1	242	353	430	783	188	255	17	12	346	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	254	220	56	13	0	10	28	52	3	12	2	255	347	450	797	195	286	20	11	351	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1060	918	195	40	6	47	126	264	12	13	9	212	315	423	738	210	242	25	12	328	108	+10	-1	+1	-21	+23	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	465	412	90	30	3	9	37	89	6	11	2	218	292	371	664	153	244	19	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	425	372	78	20	3	8	42	111	4	6	2	210	297	344	641	134	259	26	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	87	78	16	3	1	3	6	22	2	0	1	205	279	385	664	179	241	25	7	298	88	-1	-0	-2	-6	+2	-0.8
2017	23	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	182	165	50	6	1	7	11	42	5	4	1	303	365	479	843	176	361	23	6	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	288	264	64	14	0	12	19	56	4	1	3	242	303	432	735	189	266	19	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	103	92	17	1	3	3	10	18	1	2	2	185	272	359	631	174	197	17	10	288	81	-2	-0	+2	-5	+2	-0.3
2018	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	357	323	82	20	3	7	30	72	2	7	2	254	321	399	721	146	302	20	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	261	225	62	15	1	15	33	61	2	3	2	276	373	551	924	276	313	23	13	401	157	+18	-0	+2	-3	+6	2.2
2019	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	57	49	14	3	0	2	6	17	2	2	1	286	386	469	855	184	387	30	11	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	92	78	15	5	1	2	12	19	1	0	1	192	308	359	667	167	224	21	13	302	91	-1	-0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
2021	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	193	163	33	8	0	11	28	57	2	1	2	202	326	454	780	252	232	30	15	350	123	+5	-1	-2	+1	+4	0.8
2021	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	55	48	8	4	0	1	7	12	0	0	1	167	273	312	585	146	201	22	13	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	234	206	36	4	0	12	24	60	3	5	1	175	270	369	639	194	185	26	10	286	80	-6	+1	+2	-3	+5	-0.1
2022	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	48	46	9	2	0	4	1	11	1	0	0	196	229	500	729	304	190	23	2	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	90	78	16	3	0	2	11	27	1	2	0	205	311	321	632	115	292	30	12	293	84	-2	+0	-1	-3	+2	-0.3
2023	29	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	222	195	37	8	0	6	18	46	5	2	1	190	275	323	598	133	205	21	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	254	230	48	11	0	7	18	61	3	12	2	209	275	348	623	139	244	24	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	465	412	90	30	3	9	37	89	6	11	2	218	292	371	664	153	255	19	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	465	390	103	36	3	12	59	67	6	11	2	264	369	464	833	200	289	14	13	363	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	425	372	78	20	3	8	42	111	4	6	2	210	297	344	641	134	270	26	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	425	354	90	23	3	10	60	78	4	6	2	254	368	421	789	167	294	18	14	350	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	557	507	131	23	2	23	36	120	11	5	5	258	321	448	769	189	294	22	6	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	557	492	141	25	2	26	51	103	11	5	5	287	366	504	870	217	314	18	9	382	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	415	99	21	6	10	40	90	3	9	4	239	310	390	700	152	281	20	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	460	406	107	26	6	11	49	82	3	9	4	264	347	438	786	175	305	18	11	348	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	318	274	75	17	1	17	39	78	4	5	3	274	372	529	901	255	322	25	12	394	153	+20	-0	+2	-3	+7	2.5
2019	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	318	270	76	18	1	17	43	75	4	5	3	281	388	544	932	263	330	24	14	406	153	+20	-0	+2	-3	+7	2.5
2020	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	92	78	15	5	1	2	12	19	1	0	1	192	308	359	667	167	224	21	13	302	91	-1	-0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
2020	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	92	78	15	5	1	2	12	19	1	0	1	192	308	359	667	167	224	21	13	300	91	-1	-0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
2021	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	248	211	42	12	0	13	35	69	2	1	3	199	319	441	759	242	225	28	14	333	112	+3	-1	-2	+1	+5	0.7
2021	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	248	208	43	13	0	13	38	67	2	1	3	207	335	457	791	250	234	27	15	351	112	+3	-1	-2	+1	+5	0.7
2022	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	282	252	46	7	0	16	25	71	4	5	1	183	267	401	668	218	181	25	9	294	85	-5	+1	+2	-3	+6	0.0
2022	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	282	250	49	8	0	17	27	69	4	5	1	196	285	432	717	236	194	24	10	316	85	-5	+1	+2	-3	+6	0.0
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	312	273	53	11	0	8	29	73	6	4	1	194	286	322	608	128	230	23	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	312	263	61	14	0	10	39	64	6	4	1	232	344	399	743	167	264	21	12	333	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	254	230	48	11	0	7	18	61	3	12	2	209	275	348	623	139	248	24	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	254	220	56	13	0	10	28	52	3	12	2	255	347	450	797	195	286	20	11	351	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	465	419	90	30	3	9	37	89	6	11	2	215	292	365	657	150	244	19	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	425	376	78	20	3	8	42	111	4	6	2	207	297	340	637	133	259	26	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	557	505	131	23	2	23	36	120	11	5	5	259	321	450	771	190	293	22	6	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	414	99	21	6	10	40	90	3	9	4	239	310	391	701	152	279	20	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	318	272	75	17	1	17	39	78	4	5	3	276	372	533	905	257	327	25	12	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	92	79	15	5	1	2	12	19	1	0	1	190	308	354	662	165	224	21	13	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	248	209	42	12	0	13	35	69	2	1	3	201	319	445	764	244	225	28	14	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	282	251	46	7	0	16	25	71	4	5	1	183	267	402	669	219	186	25	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	312	274	53	11	0	8	29	73	6	4	1	193	286	321	607	128	230	23	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	254	231	48	11	0	7	18	61	3	12	2	208	275	346	621	139	244	24	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	30	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	254	231	48	11	0	7	18	61	3	12	2	208	275	346	621	139	244	24	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1060	918	195	40	6	47	126	264	12	13	9	212	315	423	738	210	242	25	12	328	95	+10	-1	+1	-21	+23	1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	121	25	4	29	77	162	7	8	6	215	316	428	744	213	246	25	12	328	95	+6	-1	+0	-13	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3413	3024	677	157	16	113	313	781	44	58	24	224	306	398	704	175	262	23	9	308	95	+10	-1	+1	-21	+23	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	129	30	3	22	60	149	8	11	5	224	306	401	707	177	261	23	9	308	95	+6	-1	+0	-13	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 254 PAwOBA .346 → .273 (−73)K% 20.5% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.47%	÷1.022	×1.200	—	—	24.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.02%	÷1.021	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.16%
HBP% /PA	1.18%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.07%
Singles /BIP	19.64%	÷0.985	×0.930	×0.982	×0.962	17.51%
Doubles /BIP	7.74%	÷0.960	×0.830	×0.982	×0.962	6.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.982	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.95%	÷0.989	×0.700	—	×0.962	4.05%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .346 → .273; ISO .195 → .144; BABIP .286 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAABuffalo Bisons · 222 PAwOBA .343 → .269 (−75)K% 16.7% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.973	×1.200	—	—	20.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.16%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×0.972	8.29%
HBP% /PA	2.25%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	2.06%
Singles /BIP	17.45%	÷1.018	×0.930	×0.950	×0.972	14.73%
Doubles /BIP	7.38%	÷1.033	×0.830	×0.950	×0.972	5.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.37%	÷0.916	×0.700	—	×0.972	3.99%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .343 → .269; ISO .188 → .144; BABIP .255 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAReno Aces · 48 PAwOBA .445 → .332 (−114)K% 18.8% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	22.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.17%	÷1.020	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.77%
HBP% /PA	2.08%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.92%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.025	×0.930	—	×0.982	9.90%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.996	×0.830	—	×0.982	6.82%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.100	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	16.67%	÷0.965	×0.700	—	×0.982	11.88%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 120, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .445 → .332; ISO .467 → .330; BABIP .233 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAADurham Bulls · 55 PAwOBA .360 → .275 (−85)K% 18.2% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.18%	÷1.029	×1.200	—	—	21.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.18%	÷1.016	×0.690	—	×0.992	12.25%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	8.57%	÷0.945	×0.930	—	×0.992	8.37%
Doubles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.067	×0.830	—	×0.992	11.02%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.71%	÷1.059	×0.700	—	×0.992	3.75%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 89, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .360 → .275; ISO .244 → .181; BABIP .242 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAColumbus Clippers · 57 PAwOBA .421 → .361 (−61)K% 24.6% → 29.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.56%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	29.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.54%	÷1.089	×0.690	—	×1.018	11.31%
HBP% /PA	3.51%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	3.36%
Singles /BIP	29.03%	÷0.970	×0.930	—	×1.018	28.35%
Doubles /BIP	9.68%	÷0.995	×0.830	—	×1.018	8.22%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.45%	÷0.985	×0.840	—	×1.018	5.60%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 99, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .421 → .361; ISO .200 → .176; BABIP .414 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 357 PAwOBA .358 → .315 (−43)K% 17.9% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.93%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	20.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.36%	÷0.890	×0.690	—	×1.033	8.30%
HBP% /PA	0.56%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.54%
Singles /BIP	21.60%	÷0.984	×0.930	×0.967	×1.033	20.38%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.040	×0.830	×0.967	×1.033	7.96%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.967	×1.033	1.29%
Home runs /BIP	3.20%	÷1.041	×0.840	—	×1.033	2.67%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 113, BB 78 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .358 → .315; ISO .175 → .150; BABIP .336 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAltoona Curve · 288 PAwOBA .383 → .321 (−62)K% 15.6% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.62%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	19.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.38%	÷1.008	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.59%
HBP% /PA	1.39%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	1.19%
Singles /BIP	20.10%	÷1.060	×0.970	×0.987	×1.012	18.37%
Doubles /BIP	7.18%	÷0.909	×0.860	×0.987	×1.012	6.78%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.987	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.66%	÷1.035	×0.780	—	×1.012	5.84%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 112, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .383 → .321; ISO .248 → .200; BABIP .294 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 182 PAwOBA .394 → .365 (−28)K% 19.8% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.78%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	23.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.24%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	×1.048	6.26%
HBP% /PA	2.75%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	2.71%
Singles /BIP	29.84%	÷0.950	×0.930	×0.950	×1.048	29.10%
Doubles /BIP	5.65%	÷1.046	×0.830	×0.950	×1.048	4.46%
Triples /BIP	0.81%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×1.048	0.68%
Home runs /BIP	5.65%	÷0.850	×0.840	—	×1.048	5.85%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 90, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 106, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .394 → .365; ISO .188 → .181; BABIP .381 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).