Gabriel Arias

SS Chicago Cubs
Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 217 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202424MLBCLE161.222/.256/.3533569-0.2
202525MLBCLE471.220/.277/.363118771.0
202626MLBCHC149.243/.284/.37154810.4
2027PROJ27MLBCHC330.217/.269/.389127820.6
2028PROJ92% MLB28MLBCHC331.215/.267/.384126800.4
2029PROJ92% MLB29MLBCHC337.213/.264/.379125780.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028
2027Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd90
Barrel%64
Avg EV62
Chase%37
Speed36
xwOBA27
CompsStone Garrett (age 27) · Travis Demeritte (age 27) · René Pinto (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8482vR 74
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .269 / .389
PA330
HR12
SB7
K%35
BB%5
BABIP299
ISO170
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +3.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +7.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.80.40.20.1272830
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT35
Whiff%
1017.5%
xAVG
100.216
POWER55
Barrel%
6410.3
Avg EV
6289.9
Bat Spd
9076.3
EYE30
Chase%
3734.3%
SPEED50
Sprint
3626.8
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 657 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
200
457
—
wRC+
84
73
◀L
wOBA
292
277
◀L
ISO
184
129
◀◀L
BABIP
332
315
◀L
K%
36.5%
33.3%
▶R
BB%
4.5%
5.5%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2022
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$4M+0.8$3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201717 AFort Wayne TinCaps — 6462 15100 2160 10 242266258524 16326 253 240 24 — — — — — —
201717 ROKAZL Padres 2 — 168153 42630 10513 46 275331353684 78408 306 307 32 — — — — — —
201717 INTLCanberra Cavalry — 114107 29615 5331 10 271310486796 215348 294 345 120 — — — — — —
201818 AFort Wayne TinCaps — 504455 1092736 411491 33 240304352655 112340 308 292 44 — — — — — —
201818 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 6659 15200 6150 20 254323288611 34341 239 281 76 — — — — — —
201919 A+Lake Elsinore Storm — 511477 14421417 251284 84 302342470811 168378 255 355 84 — — — — — —
202121 AAAColumbus Clippers — 483436 12429313 391105 51 284350454804 170351 238 355 100 — — — — — —
202222 MLBCleveland Guardians — 5747 9111 8161 10 191321319641 128267 2814 293 88 -1 +0 -3 +2 +1 -0.1
202222 AAAColumbus Clippers — 323288 699013 25786 51 240313406720 167279 248 319 78 — — — — — —
202222 ROKACL Guardians — 1713 3100 371 10 231412308719 77500 4118 348 24 — — — — — —
202222 INTLCangrejeros de Santurce — 110104 21401 5281 11 202245269515 67267 255 236 46 — — — — — —
202323 MLBCleveland Guardians — 345315 6615010 281131 34 210276352629 143290 338 282 77 -10 -1 +4 +5 +7 0.6
202323 INTLCangrejeros de Santurce — 118112 24900 3262 22 214248295543 80279 223 243 51 — — — — — —
202424 MLBCleveland Guardians — 161153 34913 6531 52 222256353609 131316 334 269 69 -6 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.2
202424 AAAColumbus Clippers — 178167 531056 8403 110 317360545904 228388 224 394 116 — — — — — —
202424 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 118106 31906 10222 21 292364547912 255321 198 398 156 — — — — — —
202525 MLBCleveland Guardians — 471432 9525211 271627 84 220277363640 144319 346 284 77 -13 +0 +5 +7 +10 1.0
202525 AAAColumbus Clippers — 1613 4001 330 01 308438538976 231333 1919 431 114 — — — — — —
202525 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 180156 44719 20492 72 282371513884 231350 2711 384 146 — — — — — —
202626 MLBChicago Cubs — 149140 34305 8600 40 243284371655 129382 405 291 81 -3 +1 +2 +2 +3 0.4
202626 AAAColumbus Clippers — 1815 5003 231 00 3334449331.378 600222 1711 566 173 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 11831087 23853430 7740410 2110 219277358635 139315 347 283 78 -32 +0 +6 +17 +26 1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201717 A MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 6463 14100 1220 10 222234238472 16333 342 203 24 — — — — — —
201717 ROK MLEAZL Padres 2 — 168157 31420 6733 46 197241248489 51354 434 215 32 — — — — — —
201818 A MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 504467 942134 292031 33 201249285534 84330 406 233 44 — — — — — —
201919 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 511485 12217317 171744 84 252283404687 153344 343 292 84 — — — — — —
202121 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 483447 1212739 281325 51 271321405726 134359 276 316 100 — — — — — —
202222 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 5747 9111 8161 10 191321319641 128267 2814 298 88 -1 +0 -3 +2 +1 -0.1
202222 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 323294 67809 19906 51 228288347635 119286 286 283 78 — — — — — —
202222 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 1714 2100 2101 10 143294214508 71376 5912 203 24 — — — — — —
202323 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 345315 6615010 281131 34 210276352629 143290 338 281 77 -10 -1 +4 +5 +7 0.6
202424 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 161153 34913 6531 52 222256353609 131316 334 270 69 -6 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.2
202424 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 178170 50964 5513 110 294326488814 194393 293 339 116 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 471433 9525211 261627 84 219275363637 143319 346 283 77 -13 +0 +5 +7 +10 1.0
202525 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 1614 4001 240 01 286375500875 214310 2512 336 114 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 149141 34305 7600 40 241277369646 128382 405 288 81 -3 +1 +2 +2 +3 0.4
202626 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 1816 4002 141 00 250333625958 375192 226 424 173 — — — — — —
201717 ROK MLE3 teams — 346328 66730 111434 66 201236241477 40355 413 212 29 — — — — — —
201717 ROK RAW3 teams — 346322 861345 171004 66 267312379691 112372 295 307 29 — — — — — —
201818 A MLE2 teams — 570528 1042334 332301 53 197246275520 78337 406 233 44 — — — — — —
201818 A RAW2 teams — 570514 1242936 471641 53 241306344650 103340 298 291 44 — — — — — —
201919 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 511485 12217317 171744 84 252283404687 153352 343 292 84 — — — — — —
201919 A+ RAWLake Elsinore Storm — 511477 14421417 251284 84 302342470811 168378 255 355 84 — — — — — —
202121 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 483447 1212739 281325 51 271321405726 134362 276 316 100 — — — — — —
202121 AAA RAWColumbus Clippers — 483436 12429313 391105 51 284350454804 170351 238 355 100 — — — — — —
202222 AAA MLE4 teams — 507456 10012213 371499 82 219291340631 121292 297 282 77 — — — — — —
202222 AAA RAW4 teams — 507452 10215115 411299 82 226303363666 137279 258 299 77 — — — — — —
202323 MLB MLE2 teams — 463420 8820013 381523 56 210280350630 140293 338 281 77 -13 -1 +4 +5 +10 0.5
202323 MLB RAW2 teams — 463427 9024010 311393 56 211269337606 126287 307 272 77 -13 -1 +4 +5 +10 0.5
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 457435 1122499 151406 183 257292416708 159359 313 306 93 — — — — — —
202424 AAA RAW3 teams — 457426 11828615 241156 183 277325477801 200347 255 351 93 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLE3 teams — 667612 13534316 392279 157 221277364642 144317 346 284 79 -17 +0 +5 +7 +14 1.0
202525 MLB RAW3 teams — 667601 14332321 502149 157 238306406712 168328 327 315 79 -17 +0 +5 +7 +14 1.0
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 167157 38307 8641 40 242283395678 153356 385 303 91 -2 +1 +2 +2 +4 0.6
202626 MLB RAW2 teams — 167155 39308 10631 40 252301426727 174365 386 321 91 -2 +1 +2 +2 +4 0.6
201717 ROK MLE3 teams — 346328 66730 111434 66 201236241477 40348 413 212 29 — — — — — —
201818 A MLE2 teams — 570531 1042334 332301 53 196246273519 77330 406 233 44 — — — — — —
201919 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 511485 12217317 171744 84 252283404687 153344 343 292 84 — — — — — —
202121 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 483447 1212739 281325 51 271321405726 134359 276 316 100 — — — — — —
202222 AAA MLE4 teams — 507456 10012213 371499 82 219291340631 121287 297 282 77 — — — — — —
202323 MLB MLE2 teams — 463419 8820013 381523 56 210280351631 141290 338 281 77 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 457433 1122499 151406 183 259292418710 159357 313 306 93 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLE3 teams — 667614 13534316 392279 157 220277363640 143319 346 284 79 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 167156 38307 8641 40 244283397681 154361 385 303 91 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 457433 1122499 151406 183 259292418710 159357 313 306 93 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLE3 teams — 667614 13534316 392279 157 220277363640 143319 346 284 79 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 167156 38307 8641 40 244283397681 154361 385 303 91 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLECHC 100% 330305 6712213 181154 72 216268389657 173296 355 289 82 -7 +1 +1 +4 +7 0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXCHC 100% 330305 6612212 181154 72 217269389657 172299 355 289 82 -7 +1 +1 +4 +7 0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLECHC 92% 360334 7113213 191264 72 214266385651 171295 355 287 80 -8 +1 +1 +4 +8 0.4
202929 MLB MLECHC 92% 366339 7213213 201304 62 212263379642 167294 365 283 78 -10 +0 -0 +4 +8 0.3
203030 MLB MLECHC 92% 370343 7213213 201324 42 209260372631 163292 365 279 75 -11 +0 -1 +4 +8 0.0
202828 MLB CTXCHC 92% 331306 6612212 181164 62 215267384651 169298 355 287 80 -8 +0 +1 +4 +7 0.4
202929 MLB CTXCHC 92% 337312 6712212 181194 52 213264379643 166297 355 283 78 -9 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.2
203030 MLB CTXCHC 92% 340315 6712212 181214 41 210260371632 161295 365 279 75 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21912020 438891066 13176022 3615 217272369641 152308 356 283 76 -58 +1 +6 +28 +47 2.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650599 13026320 392257 114 217273371643 154307 356 283 76 -17 +0 +2 +8 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 55975189 116821834140 303191458 9840 225275361637 136325 345 280 76 -68 +2 +7 +33 +57 3.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 13525416 352227 115 224275358633 134322 345 280 76 -17 +0 +2 +8 +14 0.8