David García
C Wisconsin Timber Rattlers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | ACarolina Mudc… | 336 | .233/.396/.286 | 0 | 2 | 58 | — | .185/.312/.228 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+MIL | 22 | .105/.227/.105 | 0 | 0 | -30 | — | .050/.136/.050 |
| 2026 | 26 | AA/A+MIL | 174 | .205/.283/.308 | 4 | 1 | 26 | — | .161/.220/.235 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBMIL | 224 | .214/.280/.328 | 4 | 3 | 72 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 28 | MLBMIL | 34 | .211/.278/.325 | 1 | 0 | 72 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ37% MLB | 29 | MLBMIL | 60 | .210/.277/.323 | 1 | 1 | 71 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 222 | 186 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 327 | 280 | 607 | 65 | 279 | 22 | 11 | 282 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 129 | 119 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 320 | 361 | 682 | 92 | 337 | 20 | 7 | 306 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 328 | 301 | 77 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 299 | 349 | 648 | 93 | 324 | 24 | 5 | 288 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 262 | 237 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 296 | 346 | 642 | 118 | 293 | 25 | 7 | 290 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 471 | 417 | 887 | 167 | 333 | 18 | 24 | 412 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 150 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 342 | 270 | 613 | 74 | 306 | 33 | 15 | 295 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 412 | 600 | 588 | 1.188 | 176 | 438 | 4 | 12 | 528 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 262 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 396 | 286 | 683 | 53 | 308 | 20 | 18 | 329 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 22 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 227 | 105 | 333 | 200 | 41 | 9 | 179 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 58 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 241 | 315 | 556 | 130 | 216 | 26 | 7 | 251 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 116 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 304 | 304 | 608 | 88 | 282 | 26 | 10 | 280 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 222 | 194 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 230 | 170 | 401 | 31 | 184 | 27 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 129 | 122 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 250 | 287 | 537 | 74 | 287 | 29 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 328 | 308 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 244 | 273 | 517 | 68 | 290 | 32 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 262 | 242 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 80 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 258 | 298 | 555 | 95 | 277 | 31 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 294 | 214 | 508 | 71 | 238 | 24 | 12 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 150 | 128 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 59 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 172 | 289 | 242 | 531 | 70 | 282 | 39 | 11 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 333 | 520 | 500 | 1.020 | 167 | 328 | 8 | 8 | 391 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 281 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 90 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 312 | 228 | 540 | 43 | 260 | 27 | 12 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 22 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 136 | 50 | 186 | 176 | 55 | 5 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 58 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 207 | 291 | 498 | 127 | 194 | 31 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 116 | 106 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 226 | 208 | 434 | 47 | 241 | 33 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 222 | 194 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 230 | 170 | 401 | 31 | 196 | 27 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 222 | 186 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 327 | 280 | 607 | 65 | 279 | 22 | 11 | 282 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 129 | 122 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 250 | 287 | 537 | 74 | 298 | 29 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 129 | 119 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 320 | 361 | 682 | 92 | 337 | 20 | 7 | 306 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 328 | 308 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 244 | 273 | 517 | 68 | 292 | 32 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 328 | 301 | 77 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 299 | 349 | 648 | 93 | 324 | 24 | 5 | 288 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 279 | 255 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 84 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 264 | 298 | 562 | 98 | 280 | 30 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 279 | 249 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 69 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 307 | 349 | 656 | 120 | 295 | 25 | 8 | 297 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 175 | 147 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 190 | 316 | 272 | 588 | 82 | 306 | 35 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 175 | 139 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 223 | 379 | 309 | 689 | 86 | 330 | 29 | 15 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 281 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 90 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 312 | 228 | 540 | 43 | 268 | 27 | 12 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 262 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 396 | 286 | 683 | 53 | 308 | 20 | 18 | 329 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 22 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 136 | 50 | 186 | 125 | 55 | 5 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 22 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 227 | 105 | 333 | 200 | 41 | 9 | 179 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 174 | 161 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 220 | 236 | 456 | 75 | 223 | 32 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 174 | 156 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 283 | 308 | 591 | 103 | 259 | 26 | 9 | 271 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 222 | 197 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 137 | 230 | 168 | 398 | 30 | 184 | 27 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 129 | 122 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 250 | 287 | 537 | 74 | 287 | 29 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 328 | 309 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 244 | 272 | 516 | 68 | 290 | 32 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 279 | 255 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 84 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 264 | 298 | 562 | 98 | 275 | 30 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 175 | 146 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 192 | 316 | 274 | 590 | 82 | 289 | 35 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 281 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 90 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 312 | 228 | 540 | 43 | 260 | 27 | 12 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 22 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 136 | 50 | 186 | 176 | 55 | 5 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 174 | 160 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 220 | 237 | 457 | 75 | 225 | 32 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 281 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 90 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 312 | 228 | 540 | 43 | 260 | 27 | 12 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 22 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 136 | 50 | 186 | 176 | 55 | 5 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 174 | 160 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 220 | 237 | 457 | 75 | 225 | 32 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 0% | 224 | 203 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 114 | 277 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 26% | 131 | 119 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 280 | 327 | 608 | 114 | 277 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 37% | 164 | 149 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 280 | 325 | 604 | 112 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 26% | 34 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 278 | 325 | 604 | 114 | 272 | 26 | 9 | 273 | 72 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 37% | 60 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 277 | 323 | 600 | 113 | 272 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 71 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 94 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 287 | 318 | 605 | 106 | 276 | 27 | 9 | 272 | 49 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 125 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 55 | 173 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 213 | 288 | 320 | 607 | 107 | 277 | 27 | 8 | 272 | 49 | -22 | +1 | -5 | +12 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2054 | 1842 | 351 | 63 | 5 | 22 | 153 | 610 | 40 | 11 | 2 | 191 | 267 | 266 | 533 | 75 | 268 | 30 | 7 | 240 | 49 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +8 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 112 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 193 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 192 | 269 | 269 | 538 | 77 | 271 | 30 | 7 | 240 | 49 | -22 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 116 PAwOBA .276 → .213 (−62)K% 25.9% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 7.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.968 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.986 | ×0.968 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.986 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .276 → .213; ISO .088 → .065; BABIP .282 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 58 PAwOBA .244 → .194 (−51)K% 25.9% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 16.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 2.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.05% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .244 → .194; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .216 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 22 PAwOBA .176 → .124 (−51)K% 40.9% → 55.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.91% | ÷0.943 | ×1.270 | — | — | 55.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.965 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 3.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 17.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.246 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 89, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .176 → .124; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 336 PAwOBA .324 → .254 (−70)K% 19.9% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.94% | ÷1.013 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.56% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 12.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.10% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.980 | 20.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.18% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×0.980 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.101 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .324 → .254; ISO .053 → .045; BABIP .308 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 150 PAwOBA .290 → .240 (−50)K% 32.7% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.67% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.33% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 11.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.03% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 23.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.11% | ÷0.875 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.074 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.974 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 106, 2B 75, 3B 115, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .290 → .240; ISO .074 → .063; BABIP .306 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rangers · 25 PAwOBA .516 → .391 (−125)K% 4.0% → 6.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.00% | ÷0.940 | ×1.440 | — | — | 6.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 20.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 13.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 24.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.032 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.114 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .516 → .391; ISO .176 → .128; BABIP .438 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 262 PAwOBA .283 → .247 (−36)K% 25.2% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.19% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.87% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.042 | 20.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.43% | ÷1.030 | ×0.840 | ×1.015 | ×1.042 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.015 | ×1.042 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷0.915 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .283 → .247; ISO .118 → .103; BABIP .293 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 17 PAwOBA .403 → .276 (−127)K% 17.6% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 14.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 8.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 15.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .403 → .276; ISO .167 → .119; BABIP .333 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).