Blake Sabol

C Durham Bulls

Age 29 L/R 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

Overview

AAAArb-2FA 2029

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	MLBSF	38	.312/.421/.375	0	0	125	1.0
2025	27	MLBBOS	18	.125/.176/.188	0	0	-11	0.2
2026	28	AAATB	367	.244/.321/.387	11	11	53	—	.201/.258/.295
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBTB	35	.222/.290/.355	1	1	82	0.1
2028PROJ33% MLB	30	MLBTB	124	.219/.287/.347	3	2	79	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	31	MLBTB	162	.215/.282/.337	4	2	75	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service4.000First FA2029

2027Arb-2$2M2028Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Barrel%68

Bat Spd56

Avg EV50

Speed47

Chase%46

xwOBA28

CompsJohnny Monell (age 29) · Zack Short (age 29) · César Salazar (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .290 / .355

PA35

HR1

K%29

BB%9

BABIP293

ISO125

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT30

Whiff%

1016.9%

xAVG

100.199

POWER45

Barrel%

6810.9

Avg EV

5089.2

Bat Spd

5672.0

EYE55

Chase%

4632.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

4727.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	229	199	59	12	3	11	27	72	1	6	0	296	383	553	936	256	407	31	12	404	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	59	46	17	2	0	2	12	12	1	0	2	370	508	543	1.052	174	469	20	20	468	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	101	81	24	3	1	5	17	22	2	1	0	296	430	543	973	247	345	22	17	424	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	412	366	103	23	5	14	38	107	2	9	2	281	352	486	839	205	355	26	9	364	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	55	47	11	2	0	1	7	15	1	1	1	234	345	340	686	106	323	27	13	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	73	10	0	13	24	117	6	4	2	235	303	394	696	158	330	34	7	309	101	+0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.2
2024	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	38	32	10	2	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	312	421	375	796	62	435	24	13	369	125	+1	+0	-0	+8	+1	1.0
2024	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	403	345	85	14	1	11	48	98	3	11	1	246	343	388	732	142	308	24	12	326	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	125	176	188	364	62	200	39	6	160	-11	-2	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.2
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	253	218	40	11	1	6	30	76	5	7	2	183	296	326	622	142	250	30	12	288	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	367	328	80	14	0	11	34	105	3	11	2	244	321	387	708	143	324	29	9	318	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	400	358	85	13	0	13	30	133	7	4	2	237	309	383	692	145	335	33	8	308	95	-3	+0	-3	+19	+9	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	229	208	49	10	3	7	18	95	1	6	0	236	300	413	713	178	373	41	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	59	51	15	2	0	1	7	17	1	0	2	294	390	392	782	98	423	29	12	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	101	86	22	3	1	4	12	27	2	1	0	256	360	453	813	198	313	27	12	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	412	378	92	21	4	10	26	134	2	9	2	243	296	399	695	156	334	33	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	75	10	0	14	24	117	6	4	2	242	309	410	719	168	330	34	7	317	101	+0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.2
2024	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	38	33	10	2	0	0	4	9	1	0	0	303	395	364	758	61	435	24	11	353	125	+1	+0	-0	+8	+1	1.0
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	403	360	81	12	1	8	33	109	3	11	1	225	295	331	626	106	284	27	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	125	176	188	364	62	200	39	6	152	-11	-2	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.2
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	253	227	32	9	1	3	21	92	5	7	2	141	229	229	458	88	218	36	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	367	339	68	11	0	7	23	126	3	11	2	201	258	295	553	94	291	34	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	259	64	12	3	8	25	112	2	6	2	247	318	409	727	162	397	39	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	288	245	76	14	3	13	39	84	2	6	2	310	409	551	960	241	420	29	14	417	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	568	514	126	26	6	15	42	178	5	11	3	245	308	407	715	161	338	31	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	568	494	138	28	6	20	62	144	5	11	3	279	365	482	847	202	350	25	11	370	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	75	10	0	14	24	117	6	4	2	242	309	410	719	168	337	34	7	317	101	+0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.2
2023	25	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	73	10	0	13	24	117	6	4	2	235	303	394	696	158	330	34	7	309	101	+0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.2
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	393	91	14	1	8	37	118	4	11	1	232	304	333	637	102	306	27	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	441	377	95	16	1	11	53	107	4	11	1	252	350	387	737	135	319	24	12	330	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	243	34	10	1	3	22	99	5	7	2	140	226	226	452	86	218	37	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	271	234	42	12	1	6	31	83	5	7	2	179	289	316	605	137	247	31	11	279	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	367	339	68	11	0	7	23	126	3	11	2	201	258	295	553	94	295	34	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	367	328	80	14	0	11	34	105	3	11	2	244	321	387	708	143	324	29	9	318	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	259	64	12	3	8	25	112	2	6	2	247	318	409	727	162	383	39	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	568	516	126	26	6	15	42	178	5	11	3	244	308	405	713	161	330	31	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	344	311	75	10	0	14	24	117	6	4	2	241	309	408	717	167	330	34	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	397	91	14	1	8	37	118	4	11	1	229	304	330	634	101	297	27	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	242	34	10	1	3	22	99	5	7	2	140	226	227	453	87	217	37	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	367	338	68	11	0	7	23	126	3	11	2	201	258	296	553	95	291	34	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	397	91	14	1	8	37	118	4	11	1	229	304	330	634	101	297	27	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	242	34	10	1	3	22	99	5	7	2	140	226	227	453	87	217	37	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	367	338	68	11	0	7	23	126	3	11	2	201	258	296	553	95	291	34	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TB	10%	380	344	76	14	1	10	29	110	4	9	2	221	289	357	646	136	290	29	8	289	82	-8	+1	-2	+7	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	TB	10%	35	32	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	222	290	355	646	133	293	29	9	290	82	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TB	33%	380	344	75	14	1	10	29	111	4	7	2	218	285	349	634	131	288	29	8	285	79	-10	+1	-4	+7	+8	0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	TB	46%	354	321	69	13	1	9	26	105	4	4	2	214	281	339	619	125	285	30	7	279	75	-11	+0	-5	+6	+8	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	TB	33%	124	113	24	4	0	3	9	36	1	2	1	219	287	347	634	128	291	29	7	285	79	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	TB	46%	162	147	32	6	0	4	12	48	2	2	1	215	282	337	619	122	288	30	7	279	75	-5	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	686	618	141	23	0	20	51	217	10	8	4	228	297	362	660	134	313	32	7	297	78	-11	+0	-7	+24	+15	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	134	22	0	19	48	206	9	8	4	229	297	363	661	135	314	32	7	297	78	-10	+0	-6	+23	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3363	3039	672	123	14	83	255	1067	37	69	18	221	289	353	642	132	308	32	8	283	78	-30	+1	-14	+38	+32	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	130	24	3	16	49	206	7	13	3	221	289	354	643	133	309	32	8	283	78	-13	+1	-6	+17	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#2Charlie Berry'25-'38 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,217 PA	3.3	2,217	23	13	240*	296*	377*	+40	+0	6.3	6.4
/162	664	7	4	+11.9	+0.0	1.9	pk7: 6
#3Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#4Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Harry Chiti'50-'62 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,649 PA	2.5	1,649	41	4	234*	288*	377*	+29	+0	3.4	3.8
/162	664	17	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	666	21	9	227	291	371	+12	-2	1.9	1.9
/162	664	21	9	+11.9	-2.3	1.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Sabol (OGILVIE)	29	30	45	50	55	219/287/353	134	290	9	8	29%	8%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johnny Monell 2015 · AAA	29	43	47→50	48→45	45	217/279/353	136	278	14	8	27%	8%	78	-0.3	230/281/350	120	280	13	7	22%	6%	78	-0.3	228/278/340	112	282	12	4	23%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Zack Short 2024 · MLB	29	37→39	46→50	48→45	51	192/284/322	130	260	15	10	30%	11%	74	-0.5	184/277/294	110	254	11	9	30%	11%	65	-1.2	162/262/256	94	224	9	7	30%	11%	50	-1.3
✕César Salazar 2024 · MLB	28	41→40	44→45	48→45	46	204/287/320	116	243	13	9	22%	7%	75	-0.5	213/307/323	110	252	11	7	19%	9%	83	+0.1	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1
✕J.C. Escarra 2024 · AAA	29	44→45	44→45	52→45	45	216/287/331	115	279	11	11	26%	7%	76	-0.4	224/292/345	121	261	11	6	18%	8%	81	-0.1	220/289/338	117	255	10	3	17%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Michael Pérez 2022 · MLB	29	34	50	40	46	188/261/337	149	236	18	4	29%	8%	68	-1.0	185/257/314	129	236	17	4	28%	8%	61	-1.5	167/242/278	111	213	15	1	29%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Jason Smith 2007 · MLB	30	44→33	48→55	53→50	39	224/268/373	149	293	16	14	29%	5%	78	-0.3	201/237/345	144	284	17	8	35%	4%	60	-1.6	173/202/300	127	246	16	7	37%	3%	35	-1.9
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	42→45	53→50	53	218/303/322	104	272	10	15	22%	10%	80	-0.1	228/308/345	117	295	11	12	25%	10%	87	+0.4	218/301/316	98	287	9	12	25%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	46→50	49→50	42	216/272/344	128	288	14	11	30%	6%	74	-0.6	203/269/353	150	324	19	14	41%	7%	75	-0.5	141/210/279	138	225	21	18	47%	7%	34	-1.3
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→44	51→55	49→40	45	220/282/377	157	268	20	6	26%	7%	85	+0.2	213/271/374	161	270	20	6	28%	7%	80	-0.1	203/262/367	164	253	21	4	29%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Matt Lloyd 2024 · AA	28	43→42	48→45	48→50	41	214/281/353	139	307	16	9	34%	7%	79	-0.2	214/281/334	120	287	12	12	28%	8%	74	-0.5	205/275/320	116	273	13	12	28%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→39	46→50	48→55	46	212/288/340	128	295	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	208/284/349	141	269	16	13	28%	9%	80	-0.2	197/279/342	145	247	18	16	27%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Jordan Procyshen 2022 · AA	29	38	47→40	49→40	43	199/268/330	131	255	16	6	28%	7%	69	-0.9	206/283/321	115	290	12	9	31%	8%	73	-0.6	171/255/291	120	234	16	10	33%	8%	54	-0.4
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	42	221/286/360	139	264	16	6	23%	5%	83	+0.1	204/268/340	136	268	17	5	30%	5%	72	-0.7	168/232/283	116	225	17	0	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Shane Matheny 2024 · AAA	28	42	45	51→50	47	205/290/326	122	308	13	11	36%	10%	77	-0.3	210/287/332	122	313	11	11	34%	9%	76	-0.4	178/257/297	119	272	7	4	35%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2024 · MLB	28	40→42	47→55	49→50	46	204/276/339	135	275	15	12	31%	9%	74	-0.6	196/275/323	127	279	14	14	32%	9%	70	-0.8	141/233/249	109	200	13	15	35%	10%	38	-1.6
✕Landon Powell 2011 · MLB	29	42→41	49→50	46→30	53	217/300/357	141	264	17	5	25%	11%	87	+0.4	210/278/312	102	269	12	4	25%	9%	68	-1.0	201/265/278	76	258	10	0	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Brian Serven 2024 · MLB	29	36	46→50	47→30	40	192/246/313	121	248	15	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/280/315	106	300	11	4	32%	8%	70	-0.8	212/290/326	114	302	11	1	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Drew Ellis 2024 · MLB	28	36→38	51→55	46→40	50	195/285/358	163	247	18	6	29%	10%	82	+0.0	197/281/341	144	252	18	6	28%	9%	77	-0.3	166/258/293	127	202	19	3	28%	10%	55	-0.6
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	48→40	50	54→50	44	242/302/395	153	302	18	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	228/296/341	113	317	11	10	29%	8%	82	-0.0	217/293/302	86	317	6	5	31%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Kellin Deglan 2021 · AAA	29	43→35	45→50	49→40	36	210/269/331	121	315	13	6	36%	6%	70	-0.9	191/255/289	98	292	9	9	36%	6%	55	-2.0	156/241/247	91	246	11	4	39%	7%	39	-0.7

Blake Sabol

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps