Elvin Jean

OF DSL Rays

Age 22 L/L ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ROKTB	125	.242/.390/.303	1	7	44	—	.171/.293/.219
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBTB	235	.224/.301/.294	2	4	72	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBTB	60	.230/.306/.307	1	1	75	-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBTB	133	.232/.308/.316	1	2	78	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%97

Whiff%90

Chase%61

BB%49

Z-Con%48

wRC+44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsClark Elliott (age 23) · JT Schwartz (age 22) · Kier Meredith (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .298 / .292

PA105

HR1

K%22

BB%8

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	ROK	DSL Rays	—	125	99	24	3	0	1	19	11	5	7	3	242	390	303	693	61	258	9	15	328	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	125	105	18	2	0	1	13	13	5	7	3	171	293	219	512	48	180	10	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	125	105	18	2	0	1	13	13	5	7	3	171	293	219	512	48	183	10	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	125	99	24	3	0	1	19	11	5	7	3	242	390	303	693	61	258	9	15	328	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	125	106	18	2	0	1	13	13	5	7	3	170	293	217	510	47	180	10	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	125	106	18	2	0	1	13	13	5	7	3	170	293	217	510	47	180	10	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TB	0%	235	210	47	7	1	2	19	53	4	4	1	224	301	294	595	70	288	23	8	274	72	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	34%	176	157	36	5	1	2	14	39	3	3	1	227	303	305	608	78	289	22	8	279	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	TB	46%	289	258	59	9	2	3	24	64	5	5	1	229	305	315	620	85	290	22	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	TB	52%	359	320	74	11	2	5	30	80	6	7	1	231	307	323	629	92	290	22	8	287	80	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	TB	54%	405	362	84	13	2	6	34	90	6	7	1	232	308	329	637	97	290	22	8	290	82	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	TB	54%	427	383	88	14	2	6	35	96	6	8	2	232	307	330	638	99	290	22	8	290	82	-9	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	TB	54%	438	393	89	14	2	6	36	99	6	8	2	230	305	325	631	96	289	23	8	287	81	-10	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	34%	60	54	13	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	230	306	307	613	77	293	22	8	281	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TB	46%	133	119	27	4	1	1	11	30	2	2	0	232	308	316	624	84	294	23	8	285	78	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	TB	52%	185	165	39	6	1	2	15	41	3	3	1	234	309	324	633	90	294	22	8	289	80	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	TB	54%	220	197	46	7	1	3	18	49	3	4	1	235	310	330	640	95	294	22	8	291	82	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	TB	54%	232	208	48	7	1	3	19	52	3	4	1	234	310	331	641	97	293	22	8	291	82	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	TB	54%	238	213	48	7	1	3	20	54	3	4	1	232	308	327	634	94	292	23	8	289	81	-6	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1068	956	221	33	5	13	88	239	15	18	4	231	306	317	623	86	293	22	8	289	78	-25	+2	-0	-6	+23	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	134	20	3	8	54	145	9	11	2	230	305	316	622	86	292	22	8	289	78	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2324	2071	470	71	12	30	195	504	39	47	11	227	305	316	622	89	284	22	8	284	78	-52	+5	-1	-13	+48	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	131	20	3	8	55	141	11	13	3	226	306	313	619	86	283	22	8	284	78	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,173	15	21	231	303	323	-7	+0	0.0	0.1
/162	664	9	12	-4.0	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elvin Jean (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	222/298/292	69	288	1	2	22%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Clark Elliott 2024 · A	23	42→40	36→45	51→50	49	196/281/257	61	262	4	12	25%	9%	57	-1.8	207/307/309	102	286	9	13	28%	10%	80	-0.2	198/314/306	108	278	10	16	29%	12%	80	-0.1
✕JT Schwartz 2022 · A	22	43→47	38→45	51→45	49	204/278/288	84	254	5	9	21%	8%	63	-1.4	224/284/326	102	285	8	6	23%	7%	74	-0.6	223/296/332	109	270	9	6	20%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/266/263	67	278	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/305/278	70	291	4	26	27%	9%	72	-0.7	223/339/272	49	296	2	35	22%	11%	80	-0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	43→40	37→45	49→55	47	202/280/276	75	285	5	6	29%	9%	61	-1.5	191/285/298	107	268	9	9	29%	11%	69	-0.9	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	39	37→55	47→45	45	186/259/261	75	246	3	10	25%	7%	50	-2.3	209/272/362	153	261	19	5	27%	6%	78	-0.3	203/264/381	178	246	25	2	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Thomas Milone 2017 · A	22	41→46	36→45	48→55	40	194/252/257	63	282	3	14	31%	6%	45	-2.7	215/268/303	88	304	4	12	29%	6%	61	-1.5	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Chris Pieters 2017 · A	22	48	39→45	54→55	48	225/305/313	88	293	6	17	24%	8%	79	-0.2	206/264/295	89	290	5	12	29%	6%	58	-1.7	195/251/286	91	274	5	13	29%	6%	49	-0.9
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2024 · A	22	44→45	38→45	46→50	51	208/290/285	76	270	6	6	24%	9%	67	-1.1	218/275/329	111	256	11	12	19%	6%	71	-0.8	220/279/347	127	253	14	13	19%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Jace Jung 2023 · A	22	45→44	39→50	50→40	51	211/295/304	92	294	6	7	28%	11%	73	-0.6	220/306/378	158	292	18	4	29%	10%	94	+0.9	214/306/374	160	280	19	3	29%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Luis González 2018 · A	22	42→51	39→45	45→50	49	201/275/291	90	266	5	5	25%	9%	62	-1.4	226/279/341	115	290	10	9	24%	6%	74	-0.5	233/309/345	112	298	11	22	24%	9%	86	+0.1
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→48	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	200/279/308	108	281	9	5	30%	9%	68	-1.0	213/297/336	123	282	13	4	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	40	39→45	50→40	40	193/257/281	88	286	5	5	33%	7%	53	-2.1	202/288/313	111	362	10	4	42%	10%	73	-0.6	187/282/297	110	342	11	2	44%	11%	65	-0.7
✕Vimael Machín 2016 · A	22	40→50	37→45	49→50	47	193/254/262	69	248	4	7	23%	8%	47	-2.5	222/283/311	89	282	8	6	22%	8%	70	-0.9	240/306/341	101	285	7	3	17%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Caleb Roberts 2022 · A	22	44→46	39→50	51→50	42	201/280/292	91	316	6	9	35%	8%	65	-1.2	210/292/338	128	310	11	12	33%	9%	80	-0.2	207/291/346	138	297	13	12	32%	9%	79	-0.2
✕Ryan Aguilar 2017 · A	22	43→40	38→45	50	47	202/272/284	81	282	5	10	28%	9%	59	-1.6	181/248/257	76	283	6	7	35%	8%	45	-2.7	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Javi Vaz 2023 · A	22	46→50	40	47→55	52	219/293/316	97	267	6	10	20%	9%	75	-0.5	227/301/321	94	255	7	18	14%	9%	78	-0.3	224/300/308	85	249	7	20	12%	9%	73	-0.6
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8

Elvin Jean

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps