Carlos Sanchez — OGILVIE

Carlos SanchezC Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 23 R/R A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .309 / .324

PA68

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	48	35	8	1	1	0	9	5	3	5	3	229	426	314	740	86	258	10	19	350	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	48	38	8	1	1	0	6	7	3	5	3	211	362	289	651	79	235	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	48	38	8	1	1	0	6	7	3	5	3	211	362	289	651	79	250	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	48	35	8	1	1	0	9	5	3	5	3	229	426	314	740	86	258	10	19	350	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	48	39	8	1	1	0	6	7	3	5	3	205	362	282	644	77	235	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	48	39	8	1	1	0	6	7	3	5	3	205	362	282	644	77	235	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	158	139	31	5	2	2	14	38	4	5	1	223	312	327	639	104	290	24	9	292	84	-3	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	161	142	32	5	2	2	14	38	4	5	1	226	313	334	647	108	291	24	9	295	86	-3	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	262	231	52	8	3	4	23	62	6	8	1	227	314	339	653	112	291	24	9	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	332	292	66	10	4	5	30	78	7	10	1	228	314	343	657	115	291	23	9	298	88	-5	+2	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	370	326	74	12	4	6	33	88	8	11	2	228	313	344	657	116	291	24	9	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	392	346	78	13	4	6	35	93	8	10	2	227	312	342	654	116	290	24	9	297	87	-6	+1	-1	+7	+8	1.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	398	352	79	13	4	6	35	96	8	8	1	224	309	336	645	112	288	24	9	293	84	-7	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.8
2034	30	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	400	354	78	12	4	6	35	98	8	7	1	221	305	328	633	107	286	24	9	288	81	-9	+1	-2	+7	+9	0.6
2035	31	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	380	337	73	11	4	5	33	94	7	3	1	217	300	318	618	101	283	25	9	282	77	-10	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	354	314	67	10	4	4	30	90	7	1	0	211	294	306	600	94	279	25	8	275	72	-12	+0	-4	+6	+8	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	48	43	10	1	1	1	4	11	1	2	0	229	316	341	657	112	295	23	8	298	86	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	116	102	24	4	1	2	10	27	3	4	1	230	317	346	663	116	295	23	9	301	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	168	147	34	5	2	3	15	40	4	5	1	231	317	350	667	119	295	24	9	302	88	-2	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	194	171	39	6	2	3	17	46	4	6	1	231	316	351	667	120	295	24	9	302	88	-3	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	209	184	42	7	2	3	19	50	4	5	1	230	315	350	664	119	294	24	9	301	87	-3	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	209	185	42	7	2	3	18	50	4	4	1	228	312	343	655	115	292	24	9	297	84	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	208	184	41	7	2	3	18	51	4	3	1	224	308	335	643	110	290	25	9	292	81	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	197	174	39	6	2	3	17	49	4	2	0	220	303	324	627	104	287	25	9	286	77	-5	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	183	162	34	5	2	2	16	46	3	0	0	214	297	311	608	97	283	25	9	278	72	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1532	1352	305	48	16	23	134	370	31	31	6	226	310	336	646	110	292	24	9	295	83	-31	+4	-5	+27	+33	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	129	20	7	10	57	157	13	13	3	225	309	336	645	111	290	24	9	295	83	-13	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3165	2792	621	97	35	45	280	760	68	70	13	222	309	331	639	108	287	24	9	291	83	-63	+9	-10	+56	+68	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	127	20	7	9	58	156	14	14	3	222	309	328	637	106	287	24	9	291	83	-13	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,601	23	34	224	305	333	+29	+20	4.4	4.1
/162	664	9	14	+11.9	+8.3	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Sanchez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	221/309/324	103	290	1	2	24%	9%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Toups 2016 · A	23	49→50	41→45	56→50	46	234/295/343	109	305	7	17	25%	7%	81	-0.1	217/279/332	115	309	9	16	31%	7%	73	-0.6	206/271/319	113	301	10	16	33%	7%	64	-0.9
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2010 · A	23	49→50	42→45	55→60	49	236/311/356	119	289	8	19	20%	8%	91	+0.6	229/288/337	108	289	6	27	22%	6%	77	-0.3	225/286/341	117	286	11	26	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	48→49	42→50	55	53	232/307/339	107	284	9	20	21%	10%	85	+0.2	227/290/330	103	280	8	20	21%	8%	76	-0.4	245/294/375	130	284	13	21	18%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Hoy Park 2019 · A	23	46→52	39→45	55	51	220/302/306	86	289	6	17	25%	10%	76	-0.4	234/313/331	97	308	7	16	24%	10%	85	+0.2	217/305/329	112	291	12	18	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jeron Williams 2024 · A	23	46	38→50	57→60	50	216/300/293	77	293	6	20	26%	9%	72	-0.7	215/268/325	110	275	9	29	24%	6%	67	-1.1	212/259/325	114	264	9	36	23%	5%	62	-0.6
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	46→45	41→45	52→70	47	220/294/323	104	279	8	25	24%	8%	77	-0.3	220/322/335	115	284	11	35	24%	11%	91	+0.7	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→50	55	47	220/297/341	122	293	11	22	27%	8%	82	+0.0	215/267/326	111	279	11	19	26%	5%	67	-1.1	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Jack Blomgren 2022 · A	23	53	38→40	58→60	46	238/323/324	86	348	4	26	30%	8%	88	+0.4	229/308/335	106	339	8	21	32%	8%	85	+0.2	190/278/292	102	256	7	30	26%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2024 · A	23	42→49	39→40	51→60	53	197/301/281	84	282	6	16	29%	12%	71	-0.8	218/307/294	76	305	4	26	27%	10%	76	-0.4	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Garrett Hampson 2018 · A	23	53→57	38→45	59→60	47	252/301/339	87	309	5	28	20%	6%	82	-0.0	247/300/356	109	317	9	27	23%	7%	85	+0.2	244/299/360	116	315	10	29	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Tyler Goeddel 2016 · AA	23	49→52	43→45	56→55	43	236/290/355	119	308	9	19	26%	6%	82	-0.0	220/282/323	103	282	8	14	24%	7%	72	-0.7	204/271/293	89	262	6	12	23%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Taylor Walls 2019 · A	23	52→54	40→45	52→60	50	245/310/343	98	306	6	17	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/299/353	123	299	10	20	25%	9%	85	+0.2	200/286/326	126	261	11	20	26%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	48	42→45	57→55	50	227/304/340	113	301	7	21	26%	9%	84	+0.2	218/283/329	111	294	9	18	27%	8%	74	-0.6	209/274/311	102	283	9	19	28%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Dru Baker 2023 · A	23	49→57	44→40	58→60	45	236/301/356	120	326	11	24	30%	8%	86	+0.3	240/293/333	93	336	8	32	29%	6%	78	-0.3	239/291/316	77	338	6	36	29%	5%	70	-0.7
✕Clay Fuller 2010 · A	23	43→46	42→45	56→55	46	208/288/316	108	299	9	20	31%	9%	73	-0.6	213/273/328	115	291	12	16	30%	7%	70	-0.8	210/264/327	117	279	14	16	29%	5%	63	-0.8
✕Connor Charping 2024 · A	25	46	39→50	55→50	42	215/303/299	84	313	7	18	31%	7%	76	-0.4	234/326/310	76	302	4	14	22%	9%	86	+0.3	238/337/319	82	303	5	15	21%	9%	90	+0.2
✕Sean Godfrey 2015 · A	23	51→47	41→45	57→55	37	244/278/350	106	313	7	17	24%	3%	76	-0.4	227/255/323	96	293	7	13	24%	3%	61	-1.5	223/246/314	91	284	7	13	24%	3%	51	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps