Connor CharpingC Arkansas Travelers
Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 210 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION120 act + 80 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .338 / .319
PA80
HR1
K%24
BB%10
BABIP306
ISO87
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +3.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +5.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.70.80.90.7+$23M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT60
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $5M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202223 ROKACL Mariners — 1512 2000 142 10 167333167500 250 277 216 24 — — — — — —
202223 ROKACL Mariners — 1511 2000 232 10 182400182582 250 2013 312 97 — — — — — —
202324 ROKACL Mariners — 5343 9001 4166 101 209358279638 70308 308 274 68 — — — — — —
202324 ROKACL Mariners — 5341 11001 6116 101 268434341775 73345 2111 372 143 — — — — — —
202425 A2 teams — 284239 581011 265914 124 243351305657 63310 219 295 84 — — — — — —
202425 A2 teams — 284225 621321 404314 124 276416364780 89328 1514 359 133 — — — — — —
202526 AAArkansas Travelers — 176150 44210 20315 81 293394320714 27367 1811 327 108 — — — — — —
202526 AAArkansas Travelers — 176144 43210 26275 81 299423326749 28364 1515 353 129 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD27 AASEA — 120100 27714 12298 21 270392480872 210343 2410 357 131 +4 +0 +0 +2 +3 1.0
YTD27 AASEA — 12095 29814 17228 21 305450537987 232362 1814 437 192 +13 +0 +0 +2 +3 1.8
ROS27 AASEA 2% 8069 16301 8193 21 232338319656 87310 2410 309 95 -0 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.3
ROS27 MLBSEA 2% 22 0000 000 00 308 00 284 75 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL27 AASEA — 122102 27714 12298 21 265385471856 206333 2410 356 131 +4 +0 +0 +2 +3 1.0
TOT27 AASEA — 200169 431015 204811 42 254370414784 160328 2410 338 117 +4 +0 +0 +4 +6 1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728 MLBSEA 33% 213184 42812 21506 41 228327315642 87303 2310 304 91 -2 +0 -1 +4 +6 0.7
202829 MLBSEA 46% 266230 531013 27627 52 230330322651 91302 2310 304 90 -3 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.8
202930 MLBSEA 54% 303263 611214 30727 62 232327331657 99300 2410 302 89 -4 +0 -2 +5 +9 0.9
203031 MLBSEA 58% 297259 591114 29717 52 228322324646 97298 2410 298 87 -5 +0 -3 +5 +8 0.7
202728 MLBSEA 33% 7162 14301 7172 10 226324323647 97301 2410 282 74 -2 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.1
202829 MLBSEA 46% 123107 25511 12293 21 234328327655 93299 2410 283 74 -4 +0 -1 +2 +3 0.2
202930 MLBSEA 54% 163142 33612 16394 31 232327331658 99298 2410 282 74 -5 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.2
203031 MLBSEA 58% 173150 34612 17414 31 227322320642 93295 2410 278 71 -6 +0 -2 +3 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 532463 1062036 5212613 93 229324324648 95299 2410 281 73 -16 +1 -4 +10 +15 0.5
/ 162G— — 650566 1292447 6415416 114 228324322646 94298 2410 281 73 -20 +1 -4 +12 +18 0.7
Career— — 16871449 34456616 16638457 5314 237339317657 80309 2310 302 89 -21 +5 -7 +30 +48 5.7
/ 162G— — 650558 1322226 6414822 205 237339315654 79309 2310 302 89 -8 +2 -3 +12 +18 2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202223 ROKACL Mariners — 1511 2000 232 10 182400182582 250 2013 312 97 -0 +0 — — +0 0.1
202324 ROKACL Mariners — 5341 11001 6116 101 268434341775 73345 2111 372 143 +3 +2 — — +2 0.6
202425 A+Everett AquaSox — 9174 19200 12124 23 257389284673 27302 1313 322 104 +0 -1 — — +3 0.2
202425 AModesto Nuts — 193151 431121 283110 101 285429404833 119341 1615 376 146 +10 +2 — — +5 1.7
202526 AAArkansas Travelers — 176144 43210 26275 81 299423326749 28364 1515 353 129 +6 +1 — — +5 1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA
81,6393522225325344+29+5912.412.5
/162664149+11.9+23.85.0pk7: 13
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Rubén Tejadalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,387 PA
82,3871016251325318+21+226.66.7
/16266434+5.7+6.11.8pk7: 7
#5Jack Hannahanlast yr '14
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA
71,867296232315348+6+296.26.2
/162664102+2.0+10.42.2pk7: 6
#6Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2533610232325330+10+81.81.8
/162664813+11.9+10.02.2pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Connor Charping (OGILVIE) 27 60 20 55 60 254/370/414 160328 54 24% 10% 117 +1.3 ————————— —————————
✕Jake Elmore
2014 · MLB 		27 54→62 39→40 52→55 53 253/323/345 91298 521 16% 8% 91 +1.1 235/306/301 66282 416 17% 9% 72 -0.2 240/302/3107029131018%7%71-0.2
✕Roy Morales
2022 · AA 		27 56 36→30 44→45 49 263/322/328 65317 38 17% 7% 85 +0.7 258/322/358 100305 1010 18% 8% 94 +1.3 280/352/38210231713915%8%111+0.9
✕Luis Martinez
2012 · MLB 		27 54→62 38→40 48→40 46 254/313/339 86332 56 24% 7% 85 +0.7 235/290/331 96306 54 23% 6% 73 -0.1 229/285/324952934022%6%66-0.3
✕Paco Figueroa
2010 · AA 		27 54→56 37→40 54→55 49 252/311/341 89308 217 18% 7% 84 +0.6 242/297/322 80297 313 18% 7% 73 -0.1 247/301/3136630121117%6%70-0.2
✕Daniel Figueroa
2010 · AA 		27 53 36→30 54→55 48 241/328/308 67335 321 26% 9% 85 +0.7 223/307/293 70296 314 24% 8% 72 -0.2 197/290/2374026301422%8%48-1.0
✕James Tomlin
2010 · AA 		27 58→64 38→40 47→50 48 271/324/358 87331 314 19% 7% 94 +1.3 238/285/326 88300 611 21% 6% 69 -0.4 223/263/298762795921%5%51-1.4
✕Greg Garcia
2017 · MLB 		27 53→54 39→40 47→50 52 247/329/334 87313 510 21% 10% 91 +1.1 244/341/339 95309 77 21% 11% 98 +1.6 242/351/334923096321%13%98+0.8
✕Alden Carrithers
2012 · AA 		27 58→62 36→40 53→55 55 268/336/337 69308 216 13% 9% 94 +1.3 256/325/325 69296 318 13% 9% 86 +0.8 257/332/3135729731913%9%83+0.3
✕Mike McCoy
2008 · AAA 		27 48→58 36→40 51→60 51 224/296/287 63285 419 22% 9% 65 -0.7 248/316/333 85302 625 18% 9% 84 +0.6 259/329/3458631053117%9%92+0.8
✕Jemile Weeks
2014 · MLB 		27 53→63 38→45 57→55 52 247/319/339 92299 417 18% 9% 87 +0.8 229/300/324 95285 415 19% 8% 76 +0.0 220/291/3159526721317%8%66-0.3
✕Derrik Gibson
2017 · AAA 		27 51→54 37→40 50→55 48 237/299/310 72296 312 20% 7% 71 -0.3 207/263/306 99279 612 26% 7% 56 -1.3 183/238/28710525351129%6%38-1.2
✕Jason Donald
2012 · MLB 		27 53→55 40→50 51→50 44 251/311/352 101323 615 23% 6% 88 +0.9 225/275/324 99309 711 28% 5% 65 -0.7 207/255/300922936830%5%47-1.0
✕Domingo Castro
2007 · AAA 		27 55→61 35→40 48→50 50 258/304/316 58284 316 10% 6% 74 -0.1 255/289/312 57290 311 13% 4% 66 -0.6 289/323/358683213510%4%89+0.6
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2022 · MLB 		27 55→56 40 52→55 46 262/308/355 93296 816 15% 5% 87 +0.8 257/308/346 89296 819 15% 6% 85 +0.7 264/305/3538930871816%4%83+0.3
✕Chris Gutierrez
2011 · AAA 		27 53→58 36→40 47→45 48 241/314/312 71340 39 28% 9% 79 +0.3 223/299/297 74296 36 23% 9% 69 -0.4 213/291/285712763422%9%60-0.8
✕Jamie Johnson
2014 · AAA 		27 53→55 36→40 51→50 55 246/322/314 68297 316 17% 10% 82 +0.5 232/303/322 90269 613 15% 9% 76 +0.1 223/292/313902496912%9%66-0.5
✕Bryson Brigman
2022 · AAA 		27 52→59 41→40 48→50 48 249/307/352 103305 710 20% 7% 85 +0.7 231/282/328 97295 811 23% 6% 69 -0.4 229/286/3027328561221%6%61-0.5
✕Justin Henry
2012 · AAA 		27 54→62 36→40 53→55 53 252/318/329 77303 120 16% 8% 84 +0.6 239/295/308 69290 216 17% 7% 69 -0.4 233/288/2925828221517%7%59-0.7
✕Josh Labandeira
2006 · AAA 		27 51→52 38→40 45 48 237/307/322 85302 412 22% 8% 79 +0.3 238/295/312 74294 49 19% 6% 71 -0.3 236/292/299632934619%6%63-0.4
✕Ramon Soto
2014 · AAA 		26 52 37→30 50→45 47 243/295/313 69287 49 17% 6% 70 -0.3 249/299/335 86310 610 20% 6% 78 +0.2 302/344/370673790719%5%103+0.5