Player 842065 — OGILVIE

Player 8420651B DSL Cubs Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .296 / .366

PA62

HR1

K%24

BB%5

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	24	20	6	2	1	1	1	2	3	5	0	300	417	650	1.067	350	294	8	4	457	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	24	20	3	1	1	0	1	2	3	5	0	150	292	300	592	150	180	8	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	24	20	3	1	1	0	1	2	3	5	0	150	292	300	592	150	167	8	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	24	20	6	2	1	1	1	2	3	5	0	300	417	650	1.067	350	294	8	4	457	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	24	20	3	1	1	0	1	2	3	5	0	150	292	300	592	150	180	8	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	24	20	3	1	1	0	1	2	3	5	0	150	292	300	592	150	180	8	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	200	180	42	10	4	3	10	47	8	9	1	228	298	369	667	141	291	24	5	298	88	-3	+1	+0	-4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	107	96	22	5	2	2	6	25	4	5	0	228	299	371	670	143	290	23	6	299	89	-1	+1	+0	-2	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	221	199	45	10	4	3	12	52	8	10	1	229	300	373	673	144	290	24	5	301	90	-3	+2	+0	-4	+5	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	306	275	63	14	5	5	17	72	11	13	1	230	301	375	675	145	290	24	6	302	90	-4	+2	+0	-5	+7	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	369	332	76	17	6	6	21	86	13	16	1	230	301	376	678	146	289	23	6	303	91	-4	+3	+0	-7	+8	0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	414	373	86	19	7	7	24	97	14	17	1	231	302	378	680	147	289	23	6	303	91	-4	+3	+0	-7	+9	0.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	446	402	93	21	7	8	26	104	15	18	1	231	302	378	679	147	289	23	6	303	91	-5	+3	+0	-8	+10	0.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	470	424	98	22	7	9	28	110	15	19	1	230	302	377	679	147	288	23	6	303	91	-5	+3	+0	-8	+10	0.0
2035	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	488	440	102	23	8	9	29	114	16	20	1	230	301	377	678	147	288	23	6	303	91	-5	+4	+0	-9	+11	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	233	303	382	685	149	297	—	—	305	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	233	304	383	687	150	297	—	—	306	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	234	305	385	689	151	296	—	—	307	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	234	305	386	691	151	296	—	—	308	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	235	306	387	692	152	295	—	—	308	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	235	305	387	692	152	295	—	—	308	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	234	305	386	691	152	294	—	—	308	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2035	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	234	305	386	691	152	294	—	—	308	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2907	2618	601	135	48	50	167	677	101	126	7	230	301	375	676	146	289	23	6	302	91	-32	+21	+0	-51	+62	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	134	30	11	11	37	151	23	28	2	229	301	374	675	145	289	23	6	302	91	-7	+5	+0	-12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.3	2,883	50	121	231	299	378	-31	+0	4.1	4.0
/162	664	12	28	-7.2	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 842065 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	226/296/366	140	291	1	3	24%	5%	88	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Christian 2006 · A	26	52→54	44→45	61→65	48	253/309/382	130	289	10	32	16%	6%	95	+1.0	248/292/350	102	291	7	41	17%	5%	80	-0.1	250/305/367	117	278	9	30	13%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	51→55	43→45	59→55	48	244/303/364	120	295	8	21	20%	7%	88	+0.5	256/317/349	93	320	6	20	20%	7%	91	+0.6	262/325/343	81	331	5	21	21%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Archie Gilbert 2008 · A	25	50→56	42→45	57→55	48	242/298/353	112	270	9	26	15%	6%	84	+0.2	237/301/338	101	271	7	24	15%	7%	82	+0.0	247/310/354	107	276	10	28	14%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	46→51	40→45	59→60	44	218/293/312	94	290	7	32	26%	7%	74	-0.5	228/318/339	111	308	10	25	27%	9%	90	+0.6	225/322/333	108	305	10	22	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	44→45	55→70	47	217/293/337	119	284	11	29	27%	8%	80	-0.2	222/326/336	114	285	11	41	24%	11%	93	+0.8	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Eugenio Velez 2007 · A	25	51→60	47→50	65	40	252/288/410	157	307	12	29	22%	4%	93	+0.8	260/298/384	124	317	7	36	19%	5%	91	+0.6	266/304/382	116	320	6	39	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2012 · MLB	25	49→50	41→45	61→60	45	231/288/339	108	286	6	27	21%	6%	78	-0.3	217/266/318	101	279	7	32	23%	5%	64	-1.3	225/286/341	117	286	11	26	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕John Raynor 2008 · A	24	54→57	46→45	61→60	47	258/327/395	137	336	12	28	25%	8%	105	+1.7	241/304/357	116	331	10	27	28%	7%	88	+0.4	236/299/341	105	327	9	28	28%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Leo German 2017 · AAA	24	51→57	43→45	61→55	40	246/294/361	115	315	9	28	24%	5%	84	+0.2	272/309/356	84	356	6	22	24%	4%	88	+0.5	288/324/364	77	371	6	19	23%	4%	92	+0.5
✕Connor Charping 2024 · A	25	46	39→50	55→50	42	215/303/299	84	313	7	18	31%	7%	76	-0.4	234/326/310	76	302	4	14	22%	9%	86	+0.3	238/337/319	82	303	5	15	21%	9%	90	+0.2
✕Chad Hinshaw 2016 · AA	25	48→42	42→45	57→55	43	228/304/339	111	319	9	28	29%	7%	84	+0.2	200/268/298	98	296	8	19	33%	6%	61	-1.5	168/236/258	91	253	8	18	35%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Dairon Blanco 2019 · A	26	50	37→45	61→70	41	233/275/316	84	317	3	20	27%	5%	66	-1.1	213/262/321	108	307	8	27	31%	6%	63	-1.3	263/323/391	128	344	13	90	26%	6%	101	+0.7
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	45	55	45	206/291/337	132	285	12	21	30%	8%	80	-0.2	224/302/339	115	292	10	19	25%	8%	84	+0.1	226/306/338	113	291	10	20	24%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Garrett Hampson 2020 · MLB	25	51→57	42→45	59→60	46	247/299/357	111	310	9	28	23%	7%	86	+0.3	224/280/343	119	294	11	22	26%	7%	76	-0.4	237/300/344	108	310	8	22	25%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Shane Sasaki 2024 · A	24	49→56	43→45	58→60	42	234/293/349	116	334	10	25	32%	7%	82	-0.0	215/279/295	80	320	5	28	31%	8%	64	-1.3	203/273/269	66	307	2	34	32%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	48→54	43→45	58→60	40	233/287/346	113	307	10	29	27%	5%	79	-0.2	223/272/325	102	292	8	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	220/248/307	87	284	3	25	23%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	44→41	47→50	60→55	50	220/298/364	144	263	13	19	22%	8%	88	+0.4	211/278/320	109	284	8	11	27%	7%	70	-0.8	207/276/315	108	283	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→51	45→50	55	48	208/287/330	123	255	12	25	23%	8%	76	-0.4	232/299/367	135	291	13	22	24%	7%	88	+0.5	240/304/385	144	304	14	21	24%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Dru Baker 2024 · AA	24	50→57	45→40	63→60	41	240/298/365	124	331	13	32	30%	6%	88	+0.4	237/286/315	78	336	6	30	29%	5%	71	-0.8	235/283/299	64	337	4	32	30%	5%	63	-0.9
✕Ryan Bliss 2024 · AAA	24	45→51	46→50	59→60	44	224/286/356	132	289	12	32	26%	7%	81	-0.1	231/299/360	129	304	11	38	26%	8%	87	+0.4	223/291/342	119	294	9	40	25%	7%	79	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps