Manuel Aguilar

OF DSL NYY Yankees

Age 17 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	16	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	104	.266/.442/.443	1	9	61	—	.141/.298/.212
2027PROJ0% MLB	17	MLBNYY	214	.195/.285/.285	2	7	64	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	18	MLBNYY	63	.199/.288/.297	1	2	68	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed86

wOBA83

wRC+77

ISO77

BB%75

Chase%73

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDashyll Tejeda (age 18) · Keiberg Camacaro (age 17) · Andres Valor (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .283 / .283

PA90

HR1

K%32

BB%9

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	104	79	21	7	2	1	20	34	5	9	3	266	442	443	885	177	455	33	19	403	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	104	85	12	4	1	0	14	41	5	9	3	141	298	212	510	71	289	39	13	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	104	85	12	4	1	0	14	41	5	9	3	141	298	212	510	71	273	39	13	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	16	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	104	79	21	7	2	1	20	34	5	9	3	266	442	443	885	177	455	33	19	403	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	104	84	12	4	1	0	14	41	5	9	3	143	298	214	512	71	289	39	13	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	104	84	12	4	1	0	14	41	5	9	3	143	298	214	512	71	289	39	13	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	17	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	214	188	37	8	2	2	20	68	4	7	1	195	285	285	570	90	290	32	9	263	64	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	18	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	184	162	33	7	2	2	17	57	3	6	1	198	288	295	583	97	291	31	9	268	68	-7	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	18	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	63	56	11	2	1	1	6	20	1	2	0	199	288	297	585	98	291	32	10	269	68	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	63	56	11	2	1	1	6	20	1	2	0	196	286	321	607	125	286	32	10	269	65	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	113	21	10	10	62	206	10	21	0	196	285	318	603	123	285	32	10	269	65	-25	+4	+0	-4	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	378	327	61	14	4	3	39	126	10	18	4	187	293	281	574	95	291	33	10	264	65	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	105	24	7	5	67	217	17	31	7	187	293	281	574	94	292	33	10	264	65	-26	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Aguilar (OGILVIE)	17	—	—	—	—	193/283/283	90	290	1	3	32%	9%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Andres Valor 2024 · A	18	40→36	39→45	51→60	41	193/247/280	87	271	6	18	30%	6%	49	-2.4	186/258/281	95	301	7	29	38%	7%	54	-2.0	166/252/269	102	286	9	37	41%	8%	48	-1.6
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	41→38	39→45	53→40	44	198/266/282	84	282	6	11	30%	8%	57	-1.8	195/246/322	127	253	14	6	28%	6%	59	-1.7	185/240/312	128	238	14	4	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Gilbert Gomez 2010 · A	18	40→39	37→40	55→50	53	190/284/262	72	256	4	23	25%	11%	60	-1.6	199/264/283	84	277	5	13	28%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/293	88	287	6	10	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Jhonny Severino 2023 · A	18	39→31	37→55	52→50	37	186/240/258	72	286	4	11	35%	6%	41	-3.0	195/244/329	134	266	15	12	32%	5%	59	-1.6	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Freili Encarnacion 2023 · A	18	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	183/247/256	72	292	5	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	193/247/276	83	300	7	11	36%	4%	48	-2.5	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Yasser Mercedes 2023 · A	18	45→36	40→45	59→60	42	217/266/312	95	287	6	27	26%	6%	63	-1.4	191/250/306	115	267	11	21	31%	7%	56	-1.9	160/233/276	115	224	13	24	34%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Angel Aponte 2018 · A	18	41	38→40	53→55	45	194/268/276	82	256	4	13	24%	7%	57	-1.8	195/257/280	85	262	6	19	26%	6%	53	-2.1	204/262/297	93	286	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	37	39→45	48→55	47	181/266/266	84	243	7	9	27%	8%	54	-2.0	205/279/326	121	260	13	15	25%	8%	72	-0.7	200/278/339	139	242	16	20	24%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Brando Mayea 2024 · A	18	43	37→40	53→50	48	201/270/270	69	256	4	22	22%	8%	55	-1.9	205/267/275	70	313	5	19	34%	7%	55	-1.9	209/270/277	68	333	8	19	37%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6