Isaias Acosta

P DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	11	8	36	7.25	5.29	15.8%	18.1%	—	K 10.8% · BB 22.6% · FIP 6.36
2027PROJ	18	MLBTEX	5	5	21	6.08	6.08	18.2%	19.8%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLBTEX	4	4	17	5.69	5.54	19.5%	16.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJefferson Jean (age 19) · Jose Pena Jr. (age 19) · Brailin Rodriguez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 132

ERA6.08

FIP6.08

K%18.2%

BB%19.8%

K-BB%-1.6%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	11	8	36	177	28	32	3	73%	3.3	10.8%	22.6%	-11.8%	2.4%	7.25	6.36	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	11	8	36	177	28	32	3	73%	3.3	10.8%	22.6%	-11.8%	2.4%	7.25	6.36	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	11	8	36	177	28	32	3	73%	3.3	15.8%	18.1%	-2.3%	1.7%	7.25	5.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	TEX	5	5	21	89	16	18	3	100%	4.2	18.2%	19.8%	-1.6%	3.0%	6.08	6.08	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	8	8	34	144	28	24	4	100%	4.2	19.5%	16.7%	2.8%	2.9%	5.69	5.54	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	4	4	17	72	14	12	2	100%	4.2	19.5%	16.7%	2.8%	2.9%	5.69	5.54	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	17	71	14	12	2	100%	4.2	19.5%	16.7%	2.8%	2.9%	5.69	5.16	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		44	44	200	844	168	144	24	100%	4.5	19.5%	16.7%	2.8%	2.9%	5.69	5.16	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		11	8	36	177	19	40	4	73%	3.3	10.8%	22.6%	-11.8%	2.4%	7.25	6.36	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	44	200	983	106	222	23	73%	3.3	10.8%	22.6%	-11.8%	2.4%	7.25	6.36	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Isaias Acosta (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.08	18.2%	19.8%	3.0%	—	5.54	19.5%	2.8%	34	-0.54	—	—	—
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	88
Jose Pena Jr. R 2022 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP-	5.48	15.0%	18.7%	2.3%	.269	4.62	19.2%	3.1%	124	-0.86	3.48	176	87
Brailin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	15.8%	17.8%	2.1%	.322	4.82	16.8%	2.1%	76	-0.37	4.15	168	87
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	87
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	87
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	86
Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 4.89 FIP	18	SP-	4.89	16.2%	18.6%	1.4%	.312	5.29	12.2%	-5.4%	46	+0.40	3.40	126	85
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	85
Yerlin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	19	SP-	5.73	20.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.378	4.63	19.9%	0.7%	112	-1.10	3.84	244	84
Luis Rodriguez R 2018 · 5.85 FIP	18	SP-	5.85	14.2%	20.7%	2.4%	.286	4.96	12.8%	0.3%	61	-0.89	4.96	111	83
Sandy Mejia R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	18	SP-	5.10	16.5%	20.0%	1.6%	.264	4.52	22.7%	6.3%	99	-0.58	2.86	140	83
Dennis Santana R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP	5.67	15.3%	20.0%	2.4%	.319	3.48	20.3%	8.8%	268	-2.19	2.82	782	83
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	82
Jean Munoz R 2021 · 4.96 FIP	18	SP	4.96	16.1%	16.1%	2.2%	.292	3.91	17.3%	2.4%	82	-1.05	3.23	215	82
Ronny Oliver R 2022 · 5.86 FIP	18	SP-	5.86	13.8%	15.2%	3.6%	.323	4.25	16.1%	-1.3%	102	-1.61	3.67	167	82
Alejandro Melean R 2018 · 6.65 FIP	17	SP-	6.65	13.5%	17.6%	4.5%	.316	5.23	18.0%	6.9%	82	-1.42	4.77	258	82
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	81
Yonael Dominguez R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	17	SP-	5.15	14.0%	18.9%	1.5%	.308	3.64	14.1%	8.2%	99	-1.51	3.21	140	80
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	80
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	19.0%	17.9%	1.14	5.84
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*