Alejandro Melean
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 175 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%21.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 9 | 7 | 33 | 156 | 31 | 22 | 5 | 78% | 3.6 | 13.5% | 17.6% | -4.1% | 4.5% | 4.68 | 6.65 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 9 | 7 | 33 | 156 | 31 | 22 | 5 | 78% | 3.6 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 5.21 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 14 | 82 | 382 | 92 | 36 | 12 | 61% | 3.6 | 18.0% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.16 | 5.26 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 14 | 82 | 382 | 92 | 36 | 12 | 61% | 3.6 | 24.1% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 5.16 | 4.08 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 62 | 255 | 59 | 25 | 7 | 76% | 3.6 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 3.34 | 4.77 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 62 | 255 | 59 | 25 | 7 | 76% | 3.6 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 3.34 | 3.87 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 25 | 6 | 63 | 289 | 64 | 35 | 8 | 24% | 2.5 | 17.9% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.41 | 5.09 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 25 | 6 | 63 | 289 | 64 | 35 | 8 | 24% | 2.5 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.38 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 8 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 2.2 | 10.4% | 12.7% | -2.3% | 3.6% | 7.50 | 5.79 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 8 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 2.2 | 12.8% | 11.5% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 7.50 | 5.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 17 | 0 | 18 | 74 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.17 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 91 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 40 | 258 | 1160 | 196 | 146 | 44 | 49% | 3.1 | 16.9% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.64 | 5.33 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 31 | 200 | 899 | 152 | 113 | 34 | 49% | 3.1 | 16.9% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.64 | 5.33 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alejandro Melean (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.55 | 21.9% | 12.0% | 20 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 82 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 80 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 79 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 78 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 78 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 78 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 77 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 76 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 76 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 76 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 76 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 74 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 74 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 74 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 74 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 73 |
| Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 72 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 72 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 72 |