Israel Alfonse

2B DSL Giants Orange

Age 18 L/R ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Giants Or…	28	.321/.321/.571	2	2	18	—	.214/.214/.357
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSF	138	.204/.239/.297	2	3	48	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSF	46	.204/.243/.298	1	1	53	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsFreili Encarnacion (age 18) · Jhonny Severino (age 19) · Shalin Polanco (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .237 / .294

PA44

HR1

K%33

BB%4

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	28	28	9	1	0	2	0	10	0	2	0	321	321	571	893	250	438	36	0	388	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	28	28	6	1	0	1	0	12	0	2	0	214	214	357	571	143	274	43	0	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	28	28	6	1	0	1	0	12	0	2	0	214	214	357	571	143	333	43	0	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	28	28	9	1	0	2	0	10	0	2	0	321	321	571	893	250	438	36	0	388	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	28	28	6	1	0	1	0	12	0	2	0	214	214	357	571	143	274	43	0	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	28	28	6	1	0	1	0	12	0	2	0	214	214	357	571	143	274	43	0	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SF	0%	138	131	27	4	1	2	5	46	1	3	0	204	239	297	536	93	291	33	4	240	48	-8	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SF	34%	135	127	26	4	1	2	6	44	1	3	1	207	247	306	552	98	293	33	4	247	53	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	SF	34%	46	44	9	1	0	1	2	15	0	1	0	204	243	298	541	94	288	33	4	242	53	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	44	9	1	0	1	2	15	0	1	0	205	239	295	535	91	286	33	4	242	48	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	622	127	14	0	14	28	212	0	14	0	204	238	294	533	90	285	33	4	242	48	-36	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	207	197	40	6	1	4	8	71	1	6	1	203	238	305	542	102	293	34	4	239	48	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	619	126	19	3	13	25	223	3	19	3	204	238	307	545	103	293	34	4	239	48	-37	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Israel Alfonse (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	202/237/294	93	291	1	1	33%	4%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Freili Encarnacion 2023 · A	18	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	183/247/256	72	292	5	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	193/247/276	83	300	7	11	36%	4%	48	-2.5	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Jhonny Severino 2024 · A	19	38→31	44→55	55→50	37	195/245/309	114	272	12	14	32%	5%	55	-2.0	196/242/348	152	258	18	11	31%	5%	63	-1.3	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→24	39→45	47→50	39	177/234/257	80	265	6	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	185/244/305	120	287	13	12	38%	7%	54	-2.0	169/229/296	127	253	15	12	38%	7%	45	-1.6
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2011 · A	18	38	43→45	53→45	28	190/221/303	113	310	10	7	42%	3%	44	-2.8	197/233/308	111	316	13	5	40%	4%	50	-2.3	193/231/301	107	309	13	4	41%	4%	45	-1.4
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	34	38→40	50	39	169/229/246	77	248	5	6	33%	6%	34	-3.5	162/235/226	64	222	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	42→33	43→45	53→50	41	206/262/319	113	294	11	15	33%	7%	63	-1.3	193/263/293	100	293	9	12	34%	8%	59	-1.7	190/258/306	116	276	13	12	34%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Danyer Sanabria 2021 · A	19	36	40→45	44→45	37	181/215/270	88	234	8	7	26%	4%	34	-3.5	190/235/276	86	309	6	6	38%	5%	43	-2.8	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Marcos Torres 2024 · A	19	36→39	42→45	54→55	42	177/262/280	103	265	9	18	34%	8%	56	-1.9	180/252/283	103	293	9	19	39%	8%	52	-2.2	177/246/289	112	279	10	24	38%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Luis Paredes 2022 · A	18	42	40	47→50	44	205/269/298	93	280	8	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	170/237/243	73	289	6	6	40%	7%	37	-3.3	92/161/125	33	198	3	3	51%	7%	-19	-1.9
✕Jose Perez 2024 · A	19	35	39→45	47→50	42	175/245/252	77	261	7	10	34%	8%	42	-2.9	175/252/249	74	295	5	15	39%	8%	45	-2.7	150/234/232	82	267	7	18	43%	9%	33	-1.0
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	37	38→45	48→45	45	176/263/256	80	259	5	6	32%	8%	51	-2.3	191/259/271	80	288	6	4	33%	8%	52	-2.2	190/257/269	80	283	7	3	33%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Andres Valor 2024 · A	18	40→36	39→45	51→60	41	193/247/280	87	271	6	18	30%	6%	49	-2.4	186/258/281	95	301	7	29	38%	7%	54	-2.0	166/252/269	102	286	9	37	41%	8%	48	-1.6
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	41→38	39→45	53→40	44	198/266/282	84	282	6	11	30%	8%	57	-1.8	195/246/322	127	253	14	6	28%	6%	59	-1.7	185/240/312	128	238	14	4	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Lean Marrero 2016 · A	18	39	39→30	50	41	192/248/273	81	280	6	11	32%	7%	47	-2.5	208/250/289	81	273	6	10	25%	5%	51	-2.2	216/254/286	70	276	6	11	23%	4%	48	-0.6
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Deward Tovar 2024 · A	18	40→32	36→50	47→40	44	188/257/254	67	280	3	7	32%	8%	47	-2.5	183/259/279	96	306	9	6	39%	9%	54	-2.0	168/247/288	120	280	14	4	42%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Kyle Skipworth 2009 · A	19	37→38	42→50	44→30	36	187/232/284	97	283	10	5	37%	5%	44	-2.8	186/229/289	103	301	11	3	40%	5%	44	-2.8	149/211/277	128	251	17	1	46%	6%	34	-1.2
✕Luis Mendez 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	48→50	38	185/243/284	99	267	9	10	33%	6%	49	-2.4	188/253/267	79	273	5	11	31%	7%	49	-2.4	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Gleider Figuereo 2023 · A	19	37→38	45→50	52→45	45	191/262/317	126	251	13	8	29%	8%	63	-1.3	185/247/297	112	277	13	6	36%	7%	53	-2.1	173/235/308	135	231	19	6	34%	7%	49	-2.0