Shalin Polanco — OGILVIE

Shalin PolancoOF Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 168 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION236 act + 157 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .224 / .289

PA157

HR4

K%38

BB%6

BABIP243

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	176	164	18	3	1	1	11	69	0	6	2	110	166	159	324	49	179	39	6	154	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	176	157	32	6	3	3	18	44	0	6	2	204	286	338	623	134	261	25	10	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	148	136	23	4	0	2	8	51	3	7	4	169	231	243	474	74	250	34	5	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	148	132	33	7	0	3	12	40	3	7	4	250	327	371	698	121	333	27	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	303	272	60	16	0	10	21	115	4	17	7	221	286	390	676	169	333	38	7	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	303	264	64	16	0	12	29	87	4	17	7	242	327	439	766	197	310	29	10	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	432	395	51	12	2	7	31	200	4	11	9	129	200	223	423	94	232	46	7	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	432	382	73	19	3	11	44	134	4	11	9	191	281	343	624	152	259	31	10	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	350	318	57	6	3	9	23	119	2	9	7	179	239	302	541	123	249	34	7	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	350	306	64	8	4	13	35	88	2	9	7	209	294	389	683	180	245	25	10	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	PIT	—	236	215	34	4	3	5	15	99	1	6	3	158	216	274	491	116	252	42	6	214	22	-21	+0	+0	-1	+7	-1.6
YTD	22	A+	PIT	—	236	207	41	5	4	6	23	75	1	6	3	198	281	348	629	150	269	32	10	278	71	-8	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
ROS	22	A+	PIT	0%	157	145	24	4	1	4	10	60	1	3	2	165	224	289	513	124	241	38	6	227	32	-12	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.9
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						240	0	0	222	28	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	PIT	—	237	216	34	4	3	5	15	99	1	6	3	157	216	273	489	116	250	42	6	214	22	-21	+0	+0	-1	+7	-1.6
TOT	22	A+	PIT	—	393	360	58	8	4	9	25	159	2	9	5	161	219	280	500	119	248	40	6	219	26	-33	-0	+0	-2	+11	-2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PIT	35%	429	393	69	11	4	11	30	155	3	7	4	176	239	308	547	132	249	36	7	244	45	-27	-0	+0	-3	+12	-1.8
2028	24	MLB	PIT	46%	475	434	79	13	4	13	35	165	3	8	5	182	248	320	568	138	254	35	7	255	53	-25	-0	+0	-3	+13	-1.5
2029	25	MLB	PIT	52%	498	455	85	14	4	15	37	169	3	9	5	187	253	334	587	147	256	34	7	261	58	-24	-0	+0	-3	+14	-1.3
2030	26	MLB	PIT	54%	511	463	87	14	4	15	39	172	4	9	5	188	257	333	590	145	257	34	8	264	60	-23	-0	+0	-3	+14	-1.2
2031	27	MLB	PIT	58%	513	465	87	14	4	15	39	173	4	9	5	187	256	331	587	144	257	34	8	264	60	-23	-0	+0	-3	+15	-1.2
2027	23	MLB	PIT	35%	148	136	24	4	1	4	10	53	1	3	1	176	238	309	547	132	248	36	7	238	41	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	24	MLB	PIT	46%	220	201	37	6	2	6	16	77	1	4	2	184	248	323	571	139	253	35	7	249	49	-13	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.8
2029	25	MLB	PIT	52%	257	234	43	7	2	7	19	87	2	4	3	184	251	321	571	137	255	34	7	255	53	-14	-0	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
2030	26	MLB	PIT	54%	277	252	47	8	2	8	21	93	2	5	3	187	255	329	584	143	256	34	8	258	56	-14	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
2031	27	MLB	PIT	58%	299	272	50	8	2	9	23	101	2	5	3	184	253	327	580	143	256	34	8	258	56	-15	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1202	1096	201	33	9	34	89	411	8	21	12	183	250	323	573	140	255	34	7	253	52	-65	-1	+0	-7	+34	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	109	18	5	18	48	222	4	11	6	184	250	322	572	138	256	34	7	253	52	-35	-0	+0	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	3992	3640	640	111	27	102	284	1448	31	95	55	176	241	305	547	129	255	36	7	245	45	-246	-3	+0	-24	+113	-16.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	104	18	4	17	46	236	5	15	9	175	241	305	546	130	253	36	7	245	45	-40	-1	+0	-4	+18	-2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	176	157	32	6	3	3	18	44	0	6	2	204	286	338	623	134	261	25	10	281	73	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	148	132	33	7	0	3	12	40	3	7	4	250	327	371	698	121	333	27	8	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	303	264	64	16	0	12	29	87	4	17	7	242	327	439	766	197	310	29	10	334	114	+5	+1	—	—	+9	1.4
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	432	382	73	19	3	11	44	134	4	11	9	191	281	343	624	152	259	31	10	282	74	-13	-1	—	—	+12	-0.2
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	350	306	64	8	4	13	35	88	2	9	7	209	294	389	683	180	245	25	10	300	88	-5	-1	—	—	+10	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,203	35	21	186	250	329	-7	+0	-3.3	-1.7
	/162	664	19	12	186	250	329	-4.0	+0.0	-1.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shalin Polanco (OGILVIE)	22	30	50	45	40	161/219/280	119	248	9	9	40%	6%	26	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustin Ruiz 2022 · AA	22	34→33	47→50	42→40	37	183/242/306	123	272	16	4	38%	6%	48	-1.9	187/257/332	145	265	18	4	36%	7%	62	-0.9	168/245/307	139	232	18	2	35%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35	44→55	47→40	36	180/242/297	117	280	12	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	192/259/343	151	301	19	4	41%	7%	66	-0.6	184/257/346	162	273	22	3	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	40	-2.4	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Aaron Bracho 2023 · A	22	30→37	41→50	44→40	38	156/224/248	92	251	9	4	40%	7%	25	-3.5	196/259/332	136	263	17	5	31%	7%	62	-0.9	193/255/337	144	244	19	4	29%	7%	59	-0.6
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A	22	38	42→40	44→40	39	189/254/293	104	286	10	7	36%	7%	50	-1.8	194/259/289	95	310	7	6	37%	7%	50	-1.8	160/232/251	91	264	6	3	39%	8%	26	-1.1
✕Ignacio Valdez 2017 · A	22	31	46→45	45→50	36	168/230/294	126	256	14	4	39%	6%	40	-2.4	176/236/285	109	324	11	4	46%	6%	40	-2.4	124/152/185	60	246	4	0	50%	3%	-26	-1.3
✕Ramon Marcelino 2019 · A	22	33→26	50	42→45	30	186/212/332	147	247	19	4	34%	2%	41	-2.3	173/217/295	122	268	13	5	40%	3%	34	-2.8	130/179/248	118	209	11	3	43%	2%	6	-3.3
✕Fernando Perez 2016 · A	22	38→40	46→50	44→30	37	197/243/321	124	272	14	3	33%	5%	52	-1.6	204/247/347	143	276	18	3	32%	5%	60	-1.0	219/258/374	155	276	21	1	29%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	37	45	45	45	191/261/313	122	256	13	6	30%	8%	58	-1.2	198/263/314	116	276	10	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	148/219/198	51	212	4	5	30%	8%	7	-1.0
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	35→27	41→45	46→40	41	174/249/277	103	262	8	5	35%	8%	43	-2.2	190/252/309	119	267	13	5	32%	7%	53	-1.5	168/232/286	119	228	14	3	32%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Brandon Dulin 2015 · A	22	36→30	42→45	51→40	35	184/234/285	101	260	9	7	32%	4%	38	-2.6	197/245/314	117	277	13	4	33%	5%	50	-1.7	189/240/316	127	261	17	1	34%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	36→32	47→50	48→50	38	189/248/323	134	278	14	6	36%	7%	55	-1.4	185/241/292	107	322	11	8	43%	6%	43	-2.2	157/213/246	90	292	9	9	47%	5%	18	-3.1
✕Ademar Rifaela 2017 · A	22	38→46	47→50	44→45	37	200/245/331	130	275	15	5	33%	5%	54	-1.4	215/261/342	127	316	13	5	35%	5%	64	-0.8	211/258/336	125	313	13	3	35%	5%	60	-0.8
✕Yeicok Calderon 2014 · A	22	36	46→45	45	34	183/234/306	123	295	14	5	42%	6%	43	-2.2	211/256/328	117	339	12	7	39%	5%	58	-1.2	211/247/333	122	338	13	5	40%	4%	54	-0.5
✕Reynaldo Rivera 2019 · A	22	37→32	43→50	46→30	36	186/234/296	110	285	10	4	37%	6%	40	-2.4	183/239/316	133	308	15	4	43%	6%	50	-1.8	156/220/315	159	266	22	1	48%	6%	39	-1.4
✕Albert Fabian 2023 · A	21	36→34	50	40	36	190/250/338	149	288	19	5	40%	6%	60	-1.0	203/260/341	138	270	17	5	30%	6%	64	-0.8	212/269/333	121	257	14	6	23%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A	22	33→43	38→45	48→50	35	168/205/246	79	240	6	10	32%	4%	14	-4.2	207/271/306	99	322	8	8	35%	8%	59	-1.1	198/273/303	105	310	9	6	36%	9%	57	-0.9
✕Daniel Cabrera 2022 · AA	23	39→40	47→45	48→45	37	204/247/342	138	280	15	8	33%	5%	58	-1.2	209/266/316	107	274	9	7	26%	7%	59	-1.1	206/270/300	94	265	7	7	24%	8%	55	-0.9