Jesus Chavez

OF DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	140	.245/.394/.400	2	1	45	—	.155/.285/.250
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTEX	250	.213/.290/.304	2	4	70	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTEX	71	.217/.296/.318	1	1	75	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO67

Z-Con%59

wOBA55

K%53

Chase%53

wRC+49

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAldo Gaxiola (age 18) · Jorge Alcantara (age 18) · Robert Calaz (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 117 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .288 / .302

PA117

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	140	110	27	9	1	2	20	29	7	1	0	245	394	400	794	155	305	21	14	357	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	140	116	18	6	1	1	14	35	7	1	0	155	285	250	535	95	188	25	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	140	116	18	6	1	1	14	35	7	1	0	155	285	250	535	95	205	25	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	140	110	27	9	1	2	20	29	7	1	0	245	394	400	794	155	305	21	14	357	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	140	118	18	6	1	1	14	35	7	1	0	153	285	246	530	93	188	25	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	140	118	18	6	1	1	14	35	7	1	0	153	285	246	530	93	188	25	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	250	223	47	10	2	2	20	66	5	4	2	213	290	304	595	92	288	26	8	272	70	-9	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	207	184	40	8	2	2	17	54	4	4	2	217	296	317	613	100	290	26	8	279	75	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	71	64	15	3	1	1	6	18	1	1	1	217	296	318	614	101	289	25	8	280	75	-2	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	71	64	15	3	1	1	6	18	1	1	1	234	310	359	669	125	311	25	8	280	65	-2	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	137	27	9	9	55	165	9	9	9	234	309	357	666	123	311	25	8	280	65	-19	-2	+0	-4	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	464	405	81	19	4	4	40	120	13	7	3	200	293	296	589	96	269	26	9	264	65	-10	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	115	27	6	6	56	168	18	10	4	203	294	303	598	101	273	26	9	264	65	-21	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Chavez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	211/288/302	91	288	1	2	26%	8%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	42	41→45	52→50	43	206/268/305	99	267	8	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	203/274/291	88	258	5	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Arnaldo Lantigua 2024 · A	18	37→43	42→50	47→40	47	184/259/284	100	247	10	8	28%	9%	55	-1.9	194/272/317	123	257	13	6	28%	9%	68	-1.0	193/275/323	131	258	14	4	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	37	39→45	48→55	47	181/266/266	84	243	7	9	27%	8%	54	-2.0	205/279/326	121	260	13	15	25%	8%	72	-0.7	200/278/339	139	242	16	20	24%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Yimy Tovar 2024 · A	18	46	39→45	51→55	48	218/287/307	89	276	7	8	23%	8%	70	-0.8	202/282/280	78	263	4	13	23%	9%	63	-1.4	199/276/278	79	257	5	16	23%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	39	40	43→50	51	188/286/281	93	255	8	6	27%	10%	65	-1.2	182/306/271	89	242	7	9	25%	12%	72	-0.7	150/310/235	85	193	7	11	23%	15%	67	-0.3
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	39→42	42→50	48→45	49	195/266/302	107	235	9	7	22%	8%	62	-1.4	203/281/341	138	272	16	7	30%	9%	77	-0.3	198/273/349	151	259	19	6	31%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Carlos Caro 2024 · A	19	44	41→45	48→55	46	210/298/307	97	285	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	196/272/275	79	283	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.7	182/259/257	76	270	7	19	33%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Pedro Ibarguen 2024 · A	18	44	37→40	43→55	51	206/298/277	72	275	4	10	24%	9%	69	-0.9	194/283/263	69	293	4	16	32%	10%	59	-1.6	188/283/258	70	283	6	21	32%	11%	57	-0.7
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	37→47	39→45	47→50	49	179/246/266	87	218	6	13	20%	8%	46	-2.6	190/247/278	88	283	7	8	33%	7%	48	-2.5	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Braylin Morel 2024 · A	18	44	43→50	49→40	42	212/271/332	120	299	8	5	31%	7%	70	-0.9	201/252/316	115	306	10	8	36%	5%	59	-1.7	181/225/291	111	278	10	9	38%	4%	41	-0.9
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	45	48	183/272/267	84	278	5	7	33%	10%	56	-1.9	171/272/262	91	324	7	5	44%	11%	56	-1.9	141/253/223	82	287	7	3	47%	12%	39	-1.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4