Braylin Morel — OGILVIE

Braylin MorelOF Hickory Crawdads

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .234 / .295

PA110

HR2

K%30

BB%4

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE36

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	204	180	62	17	8	7	21	50	2	2	2	344	419	644	1.063	300	444	25	10	454	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	182	153	47	10	5	7	21	43	6	12	2	307	411	575	986	268	381	24	12	424	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	97	90	21	3	1	2	5	26	1	0	1	233	281	356	637	122	302	27	5	283	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	149	142	38	11	1	3	5	40	2	3	0	268	302	423	725	155	354	27	3	321	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	81	77	14	4	0	2	2	27	0	1	0	182	203	312	514	130	240	33	2	221	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	28	27	7	2	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	259	286	333	619	74	333	21	4	278	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	204	187	38	10	4	3	14	62	2	2	2	203	266	348	614	144	283	30	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	182	160	34	7	3	5	14	62	6	12	2	212	300	388	688	175	294	34	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	97	92	17	2	1	1	3	36	1	0	1	185	219	261	480	76	284	37	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	149	144	25	6	1	2	3	59	2	3	0	174	201	271	472	97	271	40	2	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	81	78	11	3	0	1	1	37	0	1	0	141	152	218	370	77	225	46	1	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	28	27	5	1	0	0	1	9	0	1	0	185	214	222	437	37	262	32	4	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	204	187	38	10	4	3	14	62	2	2	2	203	266	348	614	144	285	30	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	204	180	62	17	8	7	21	50	2	2	2	344	419	644	1.063	300	444	25	10	454	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	182	160	34	7	3	5	14	62	6	12	2	212	300	388	688	175	305	34	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	182	153	47	10	5	7	21	43	6	12	2	307	411	575	986	268	381	24	12	424	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	246	235	42	9	1	3	7	95	3	3	1	179	212	264	476	85	283	39	3	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	246	232	59	14	2	5	10	66	3	3	1	254	294	397	690	142	333	27	4	306	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	105	15	4	0	1	2	45	0	2	0	143	159	210	368	67	230	41	2	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	109	104	21	6	0	2	3	33	0	2	0	202	224	317	542	115	268	30	3	236	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	204	186	38	10	4	3	14	62	2	2	2	204	266	349	615	145	283	30	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	182	160	34	7	3	5	14	62	6	12	2	212	300	388	688	175	294	34	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	246	234	42	9	1	3	7	95	3	3	1	179	212	265	477	85	276	39	3	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	106	15	4	0	1	2	45	0	2	0	142	159	208	366	66	235	41	2	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	182	160	34	7	3	5	14	62	6	12	2	212	300	388	688	175	294	34	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	246	234	42	9	1	3	7	95	3	3	1	179	212	265	477	85	276	39	3	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	106	15	4	0	1	2	45	0	2	0	142	159	208	366	66	235	41	2	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	219	206	40	8	1	4	9	66	2	4	1	195	236	297	533	102	264	30	4	239	48	-14	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	207	194	39	8	1	4	9	61	2	4	1	200	243	310	553	110	266	29	4	247	53	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.8
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	71	67	13	3	0	1	3	21	1	1	0	200	244	314	557	113	265	30	4	249	53	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	71	67	13	3	0	1	3	21	1	1	0	194	239	284	523	90	267	30	4	249	49	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	613	118	27	0	9	27	192	9	9	0	192	237	281	518	88	265	30	4	249	49	-36	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1058	984	189	42	10	18	51	358	14	25	6	192	242	310	552	118	278	34	5	241	49	-18	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	116	26	6	11	31	220	9	15	4	192	242	309	551	117	277	34	5	241	49	-38	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braylin Morel (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	37→42	45→50	36	193/234/295	101	264	2	2	30%	4%	48	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	39→26	40→45	50	39	190/272/284	94	273	6	12	31%	5%	61	-1.5	170/238/291	121	318	15	12	49%	5%	49	-2.4	137/207/253	116	269	16	13	53%	5%	27	-1.7
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→41	42→45	45	39	187/239/300	113	260	9	5	31%	6%	51	-2.3	205/255/326	121	270	13	6	28%	6%	63	-1.4	198/253/321	123	239	15	9	24%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Jesus Feliz 2021 · A	21	38	41→50	47→45	37	192/235/296	103	254	8	8	27%	4%	48	-2.5	202/251/320	118	295	13	6	35%	4%	60	-1.6	179/229/314	135	250	20	5	37%	3%	47	-0.9
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Orlando Sandoval 2007 · A	21	37	38→40	46→50	36	181/230/261	81	267	5	9	33%	5%	38	-3.2	199/233/277	78	317	5	8	37%	3%	42	-2.9	209/253/309	99	321	7	9	35%	3%	54	-1.0
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A	21	35	44→40	51→50	37	181/235/289	108	264	12	7	36%	6%	47	-2.6	192/240/283	91	267	10	11	31%	5%	47	-2.5	183/230/260	77	248	9	15	29%	5%	36	-1.5
✕Gabriel Rosa 2014 · A	21	35	40	51→50	38	178/237/265	88	260	9	12	34%	6%	42	-2.9	186/250/277	91	276	8	12	33%	6%	50	-2.3	137/205/222	84	200	8	18	34%	6%	19	-1.3
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Angel Aguilar 2016 · A	21	38	40→45	51→50	36	190/233/283	93	273	7	11	32%	4%	44	-2.8	191/227/293	102	269	10	9	32%	4%	44	-2.8	183/216/287	104	252	10	9	31%	3%	36	-2.1
✕Justin Twine 2016 · A	20	36→33	38→40	48→50	29	179/209/257	78	263	5	7	34%	2%	28	-3.9	191/230/268	77	296	5	8	36%	3%	39	-3.1	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Cristopher Cespedes 2019 · A	21	39→35	38→45	46→40	40	189/239/272	83	252	5	6	27%	5%	44	-2.8	203/252/316	113	305	10	6	35%	5%	59	-1.7	192/247/316	124	283	13	4	36%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Edgardo Fermin 2019 · A	21	37→32	40	46→45	39	185/232/282	96	255	7	7	30%	5%	43	-2.8	198/248/296	98	310	7	10	36%	5%	53	-2.1	189/249/277	88	322	6	11	41%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Maikol Escotto 2024 · A	22	35	41→45	47→50	35	179/230/275	96	276	10	12	38%	5%	42	-2.9	190/232/297	107	275	12	16	34%	4%	47	-2.5	179/219/283	104	251	14	22	34%	4%	37	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	39	38→45	49→50	45	189/262/271	82	256	4	11	26%	7%	53	-2.1	189/262/284	95	312	7	8	38%	8%	56	-1.9	153/243/273	121	268	13	9	44%	10%	46	-1.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	39→36	40	49→55	34	191/235/284	93	286	8	9	35%	4%	45	-2.7	178/229/269	91	272	8	12	36%	5%	40	-3.1	151/206/232	81	230	8	13	37%	5%	21	-2.3