Sebastian Mireles

C DSL Arizona Red

Age 18 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Arizona R…	57	.163/.368/.186	0	2	22	—	.109/.281/.130
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	167	.216/.305/.282	1	2	71	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	52	.220/.309/.294	0	1	75	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	145	.223/.312/.304	1	2	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%94

Z-Con%94

Chase%84

BB%76

K%69

Speed46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWelbyn Francisca (age 18) · Thayron Liranzo (age 19) · Enrique Jimenez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+71

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .302 / .280

PA59

HR0

K%25

BB%9

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	57	43	7	1	0	0	11	10	3	2	0	163	368	186	554	23	212	18	19	291	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	57	46	5	1	0	0	8	12	3	2	0	109	281	130	411	22	142	21	14	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	57	46	5	1	0	0	8	12	3	2	0	109	281	130	411	22	147	21	14	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	57	43	7	1	0	0	11	10	3	2	0	163	368	186	554	23	212	18	19	291	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	57	46	5	1	0	0	8	12	3	2	0	109	281	130	411	22	142	21	14	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	57	46	5	1	0	0	8	12	3	2	0	109	281	130	411	22	142	21	14	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	167	147	32	5	1	1	15	41	3	2	1	216	305	282	587	66	290	25	9	273	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	152	134	30	5	1	1	14	37	3	2	1	220	309	294	603	74	292	24	9	279	75	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	299	262	59	9	2	3	28	72	7	5	2	223	312	304	617	82	293	24	9	285	79	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	413	363	83	13	3	5	38	99	9	6	2	225	315	314	629	88	294	24	9	289	82	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	495	435	99	16	3	6	46	118	11	8	3	228	317	322	639	94	295	24	9	293	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	456	105	17	3	7	48	123	11	8	3	230	318	329	647	99	296	24	9	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	456	106	17	3	8	48	123	11	8	3	231	319	332	651	101	296	24	9	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	456	106	17	3	8	48	123	11	8	3	231	319	333	653	102	296	24	9	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	456	106	17	3	8	48	123	11	8	3	231	319	334	653	103	296	24	9	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	456	105	17	3	8	48	124	11	7	3	230	318	331	649	101	296	24	9	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	456	104	17	3	7	48	125	11	6	3	228	316	326	642	98	294	24	9	294	85	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	457	103	16	3	7	48	126	10	4	2	226	313	320	633	94	293	24	9	290	83	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	457	102	16	3	6	48	128	10	2	2	222	309	312	621	89	291	25	9	286	79	-13	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	443	97	15	2	6	46	126	10	2	2	218	305	301	606	83	288	25	9	279	75	-15	-0	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	56%	489	433	92	14	2	5	44	124	9	1	1	213	298	289	587	76	284	25	9	272	70	-17	-0	-4	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	52	46	10	2	0	0	5	13	1	1	0	220	309	294	603	74	292	25	10	279	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	145	128	28	4	1	1	13	35	3	2	1	223	312	304	617	82	293	24	9	285	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	224	196	44	7	1	3	21	54	5	3	1	225	315	314	629	88	294	24	9	289	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	280	246	57	9	2	4	26	67	6	4	2	228	317	322	639	94	295	24	9	293	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	263	61	10	2	4	28	71	6	5	2	230	318	329	647	99	296	24	9	296	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	261	60	10	2	4	27	70	6	5	2	231	319	332	651	101	296	24	9	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	260	60	10	2	4	27	70	6	5	2	231	319	333	653	102	296	24	9	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	259	60	10	2	4	27	69	6	4	2	231	319	334	653	103	296	23	9	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	254	58	9	2	4	27	69	6	4	2	230	318	331	649	101	296	24	9	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	251	57	9	2	4	27	69	6	3	2	228	316	326	642	98	294	24	9	294	85	-5	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	244	56	9	2	4	26	67	6	2	1	226	313	320	633	94	293	24	9	290	83	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	242	52	8	1	3	25	67	5	1	1	222	309	312	621	89	291	24	9	286	79	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	232	50	8	1	3	24	66	5	1	1	218	305	301	606	83	288	25	9	279	75	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	56%	275	243	52	8	1	3	25	70	5	1	1	213	298	289	587	76	284	25	9	272	70	-10	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3550	3125	705	113	21	45	328	857	72	41	20	226	313	318	632	93	295	24	9	291	82	-72	+0	-6	+63	+77	6.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	129	21	4	8	60	157	13	8	4	226	313	318	631	93	296	24	9	291	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6628	5819	1313	209	37	85	613	1598	139	78	33	226	314	318	632	92	294	24	9	290	82	-136	+2	-10	+117	+142	11.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	128	20	4	8	60	157	14	8	3	224	313	315	628	91	293	24	9	290	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bill Rariden'09-'20 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,305 PA	5.0	3,305	7	47	232*	319*	351*	+59	+0	11.8	12.1
/162	664	1	9	+11.8	+0.1	2.4	pk7: 12
#4Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,609	47	42	227	311	321	+64	+32	9.2	7.8
/162	664	9	8	+11.9	+5.9	1.7	pk7: 6
#5Mike Tresh'38-'49 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,637 PA	5.5	3,637	2	19	239*	319*	306*	+65	+0	6.9	6.6
/162	664	0	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Mireles (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	214/302/280	66	290	0	1	25%	9%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Enrique Jimenez 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	48→45	48	198/271/282	84	258	3	6	23%	8%	59	-1.7	199/279/318	119	281	12	6	31%	10%	70	-0.8	186/279/321	135	256	16	4	32%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Sergio Alcántara 2014 · A	18	45→55	35→45	48→50	55	207/299/274	66	283	2	5	25%	11%	68	-1.0	200/269/254	54	275	2	6	25%	8%	51	-2.3	215/291/325	109	290	12	4	28%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Chace Numata 2011 · A	18	44	37→40	47→40	43	206/272/276	70	309	4	7	32%	8%	57	-1.8	210/271/284	74	276	5	7	24%	7%	59	-1.7	248/299/320	71	292	3	2	15%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Jose Herrera 2015 · A	18	43	34→40	49→40	45	199/271/255	55	289	2	4	30%	8%	53	-2.1	211/272/289	78	275	6	3	24%	7%	60	-1.6	214/297/304	90	284	9	3	26%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Eliezer Alfonzo 2018 · A	18	47→51	34→40	50→40	54	216/293/268	53	255	2	8	15%	9%	63	-1.3	232/299/301	69	275	3	8	15%	8%	73	-0.6	243/291/332	89	261	9	3	11%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Omar Alfonzo 2022 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	55	191/300/261	69	279	4	4	30%	13%	66	-1.1	194/282/281	87	288	8	4	32%	10%	63	-1.3	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Ronald Hernandez 2022 · A	18	38→48	37→40	50	51	181/269/259	78	240	4	6	25%	10%	53	-2.1	197/282/278	81	287	6	6	30%	9%	63	-1.4	202/287/277	75	306	7	5	33%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	43→48	38→45	46→40	50	204/277/287	83	255	5	5	21%	9%	62	-1.4	233/285/320	87	295	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jonathan Mejía 2023 · A	18	40	40→45	47→50	50	192/295/293	101	272	6	6	29%	10%	72	-0.7	178/265/265	87	292	6	13	37%	9%	53	-2.1	169/262/280	111	278	11	16	40%	10%	54	-0.9

Sebastian Mireles

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps