Hector Hernandez

OF DSL White Sox

Age 18 L/L ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKCWS	180	.310/.446/.472	3	16	74	—	.208/.333/.289
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBCWS	290	.217/.294/.306	3	9	72	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBCWS	81	.222/.300/.321	1	3	77	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBCWS	177	.226/.305/.333	3	6	82	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA86

Speed84

wRC+80

ISO70

Z-Con%65

K%62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 18) · Estevan Florial (age 18) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 151 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .292 / .303

PA151

HR1

SB5

K%25

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	180	142	44	8	3	3	24	34	11	16	9	310	446	472	918	162	387	19	13	407	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	180	149	31	5	2	1	17	41	11	16	9	208	333	289	622	81	264	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	180	149	31	5	2	1	17	41	11	16	9	208	333	289	622	81	278	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	180	142	44	8	3	3	24	34	11	16	9	310	446	472	918	162	387	19	13	407	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	180	150	31	5	2	1	17	41	11	16	9	207	333	287	620	80	264	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	180	150	31	5	2	1	17	41	11	16	9	207	333	287	620	80	264	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	290	260	56	9	3	3	22	73	6	9	1	217	294	306	600	89	288	25	8	275	72	-10	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	237	212	47	8	2	3	18	59	5	8	2	221	300	319	619	98	290	25	8	282	77	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	366	325	73	12	4	5	29	90	9	12	3	225	304	331	636	106	292	25	8	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	463	412	93	16	4	7	37	113	11	16	4	228	308	342	649	114	293	24	8	294	85	-8	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	531	472	108	18	5	9	42	129	12	18	4	231	310	350	661	120	294	24	8	299	88	-7	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	578	514	119	20	5	11	46	139	13	20	5	233	312	358	670	125	295	24	8	302	91	-6	+2	+0	-3	+13	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	608	540	126	21	5	12	49	146	14	21	5	234	313	362	675	127	296	24	8	304	92	-6	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	625	556	131	22	6	13	50	150	14	21	5	235	314	364	678	129	296	24	8	305	93	-5	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	633	563	132	22	6	13	51	152	14	21	5	235	314	366	680	131	295	24	8	306	93	-5	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	633	563	132	22	6	13	51	153	14	21	5	234	313	363	676	129	295	24	8	305	92	-6	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	629	559	130	22	5	13	51	153	14	21	5	232	311	358	669	126	294	24	8	302	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	619	552	126	21	5	12	49	153	13	20	5	230	308	352	660	122	292	25	8	298	88	-9	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	608	542	122	20	5	11	48	152	13	19	5	226	304	344	648	117	290	25	8	293	85	-11	+2	-2	-4	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	81	73	17	3	1	1	6	20	2	3	1	222	300	321	621	99	291	25	7	283	77	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	177	157	36	6	2	3	14	44	4	6	1	226	305	333	638	108	293	25	8	290	82	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	251	223	51	9	2	4	20	61	6	9	2	229	308	344	652	115	294	24	8	295	85	-4	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	301	267	61	10	3	5	24	73	7	10	2	232	311	353	664	121	295	24	8	300	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	333	296	70	12	3	7	27	80	7	11	3	234	313	360	673	126	295	24	8	303	91	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	347	308	72	12	3	7	28	83	8	12	3	235	314	364	678	129	296	24	8	305	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	354	315	74	13	3	7	28	85	8	12	3	236	315	367	681	131	297	24	8	307	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	358	318	76	13	3	8	29	86	8	12	3	236	315	368	683	132	296	24	8	307	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	351	312	72	12	3	7	28	85	8	12	3	235	314	365	679	131	296	24	8	306	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	345	307	71	12	3	7	28	84	7	11	3	233	312	361	672	128	295	24	8	303	90	-4	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	331	295	68	11	3	7	26	82	7	11	3	230	309	354	663	124	293	25	8	299	88	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	347	310	70	12	3	6	27	87	7	11	3	227	305	346	651	119	291	25	8	294	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3576	3181	738	125	32	69	285	870	79	120	30	232	311	356	667	124	296	24	8	301	88	-46	+12	-2	-21	+77	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	135	23	6	13	52	158	14	22	5	234	312	362	674	128	297	24	8	301	88	-8	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6861	6095	1399	234	62	124	549	1668	160	239	63	230	310	349	659	120	294	24	8	299	88	-90	+23	-4	-40	+145	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	133	22	6	12	52	158	15	23	6	231	310	352	662	121	295	24	8	299	88	-9	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Isbell'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,483 PA	6.8	4,483	13	250	248*	300*	403*	-42	+24	9.5	10.1
/162	664	2	37	-6.2	+3.6	1.4	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#4Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.6	3,728	69	124	232	307	354	-22	+0	4.4	4.0
/162	664	12	22	-4.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	215/292/303	88	288	1	5	25%	8%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Franchy Cordero 2014 · A	19	44→54	38→55	58→50	41	207/265/293	86	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	208/250/287	79	323	5	13	35%	5%	51	-2.3	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Taylor Trammell 2017 · A	19	47→48	37→55	55	39	218/270/298	80	323	4	18	32%	6%	61	-1.5	216/285/315	99	312	8	20	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/300/386	173	283	21	17	31%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Telmito Agustin 2015 · A	18	43→42	39→45	58→50	51	204/287/303	99	262	4	18	22%	9%	70	-0.9	223/268/319	96	306	6	15	27%	5%	65	-1.2	228/261/337	108	324	10	12	32%	4%	64	-0.7
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	39→49	35→45	51→50	49	181/267/242	60	233	1	15	21%	8%	49	-2.4	230/301/328	98	278	6	10	19%	7%	80	-0.1	252/334/373	121	281	11	9	14%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	45→52	36→60	49→50	49	208/274/278	70	270	2	11	22%	8%	58	-1.7	218/278/323	105	286	7	11	25%	8%	70	-0.8	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	44→52	36→40	52→50	49	201/280/270	69	241	3	17	17%	7%	60	-1.6	235/288/308	73	291	3	12	19%	5%	70	-0.8	236/286/309	73	301	3	13	21%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9

Hector Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps