Juan Cespedes

SS DSL Angels

Age 18 L/R ROK K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP40OGV rank#379ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKLAA	211	.314/.460/.384	0	68	76	—	.228/.347/.275
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBLAA	321	.240/.318/.317	2	16	83	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBLAA	70	.242/.321/.326	1	3	87	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBLAA	169	.245/.325/.337	2	7	91	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%97

Whiff%97

Z-Con%86

Speed86

wOBA79

Chase%78

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsNelson Rada (age 18) · Justin Crawford (age 20) · Carlos Jorge (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 112 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .315 / .314

PA112

HR1

SB6

K%21

BB%9

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$74M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 77 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT77

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$8M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.6M
Totals		$27M		$36M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	211	159	50	9	1	0	39	19	4	68	8	314	460	384	844	69	350	9	18	377	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	211	171	39	6	1	0	27	23	4	68	8	228	347	275	621	47	244	11	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	211	171	39	6	1	0	27	23	4	68	8	228	347	275	621	47	258	11	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	211	159	50	9	1	0	39	19	4	68	8	314	460	384	844	69	350	9	18	377	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	211	178	39	6	1	0	27	23	4	68	8	219	347	264	611	45	244	11	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	211	178	39	6	1	0	27	23	4	68	8	219	347	264	611	45	244	11	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	321	286	68	11	2	2	29	66	3	16	1	240	318	317	635	77	302	21	9	291	83	-7	+3	+0	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	LAA	43%	162	144	35	6	1	1	15	33	2	7	1	243	323	329	652	86	304	20	9	297	87	-2	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	LAA	61%	278	247	61	10	2	3	25	57	4	11	1	246	326	340	666	94	304	21	9	303	91	-3	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2030	21	MLB MLE	LAA	68%	393	349	86	14	3	5	36	80	5	15	2	248	328	349	677	101	305	20	9	307	94	-3	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	LAA	71%	473	420	104	17	3	7	43	96	7	18	2	249	329	356	685	106	305	20	9	310	96	-2	+3	+0	+5	+10	1.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	LAA	72%	526	466	117	20	4	8	48	107	7	20	2	251	330	362	692	111	305	20	9	313	98	-1	+3	+0	+6	+11	1.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	LAA	72%	560	496	125	21	4	9	51	113	8	21	2	252	331	364	696	113	306	20	9	314	99	-1	+3	+0	+6	+12	2.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	LAA	71%	578	512	130	22	4	10	53	117	8	21	3	252	332	366	697	114	306	20	9	315	99	-1	+3	+0	+6	+13	2.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	LAA	71%	590	523	132	22	4	10	54	119	8	21	3	252	332	366	698	114	306	20	9	315	99	-0	+3	+0	+6	+13	2.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	LAA	70%	590	523	132	22	4	10	54	120	8	21	3	251	331	364	695	113	306	20	9	314	98	-1	+3	+0	+6	+13	2.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	LAA	69%	582	515	128	21	4	9	54	120	8	19	2	250	329	359	688	110	305	21	9	311	97	-2	+3	-1	+6	+13	1.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	LAA	67%	565	501	125	20	4	9	52	118	7	18	2	247	326	354	680	106	304	21	9	308	95	-4	+3	-1	+6	+12	1.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	LAA	66%	552	490	120	20	3	8	50	117	7	17	2	245	323	346	669	101	303	21	9	304	92	-5	+3	-2	+6	+12	1.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	LAA	71%	534	475	115	19	3	7	48	115	6	15	2	241	319	337	656	96	301	22	9	298	88	-8	+2	-3	+6	+12	0.9
2041	32	MLB MLE	LAA	74%	511	455	108	17	3	6	45	113	6	13	2	236	313	325	638	89	298	22	9	291	83	-10	+2	-4	+5	+11	0.5
2042	33	MLB MLE	LAA	77%	475	426	99	15	3	5	41	108	5	12	2	230	306	311	617	81	294	23	9	283	77	-13	+2	-4	+5	+10	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	LAA	43%	70	63	15	2	0	1	6	14	1	3	0	242	321	326	648	85	302	20	9	296	87	-1	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	LAA	61%	169	150	37	6	1	2	15	34	2	7	1	245	325	337	662	93	302	20	9	301	91	-2	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.5
2030	21	MLB CTX	LAA	68%	268	237	59	9	2	4	25	54	4	10	1	247	327	346	673	100	303	20	9	306	94	-2	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	LAA	71%	336	297	74	12	2	5	31	68	5	13	2	248	328	354	682	106	303	20	9	309	96	-2	+2	+0	+4	+7	1.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	LAA	72%	380	337	85	14	3	6	35	77	5	14	2	249	329	360	689	110	303	20	9	311	98	-1	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	LAA	72%	401	356	89	14	3	7	37	81	5	15	2	250	330	362	692	112	304	20	9	313	99	-1	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	LAA	71%	411	364	92	15	3	7	38	83	6	15	2	251	330	364	694	113	304	20	9	313	99	-0	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	LAA	71%	419	371	93	15	3	7	39	85	6	15	2	251	330	364	695	114	304	20	9	314	99	-0	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	LAA	70%	410	364	92	15	3	7	38	84	5	15	2	250	329	362	691	112	304	20	9	312	98	-1	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	LAA	69%	400	355	89	14	3	7	37	82	5	13	2	248	328	357	685	109	303	20	9	310	97	-2	+2	-0	+4	+9	1.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	LAA	67%	378	335	82	13	2	6	35	79	5	12	1	246	325	351	677	105	302	21	9	307	95	-2	+2	-1	+4	+8	1.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	LAA	66%	363	323	78	12	2	5	33	77	4	11	1	243	322	344	666	101	301	21	9	302	92	-4	+2	-1	+4	+8	0.9
2040	31	MLB CTX	LAA	71%	379	338	81	13	2	5	34	82	4	11	1	240	318	335	652	95	299	22	9	297	88	-5	+2	-2	+4	+8	0.7
2041	32	MLB CTX	LAA	74%	380	339	80	12	2	5	34	84	4	10	2	235	312	323	635	88	296	22	9	290	83	-8	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.3
2042	33	MLB CTX	LAA	77%	365	326	75	11	2	4	32	83	4	9	2	229	305	309	614	80	292	23	9	281	77	-10	+1	-3	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5129	4555	1121	177	33	78	469	1067	65	173	23	246	325	351	676	105	304	21	9	305	93	-40	+25	-11	+55	+111	14.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	142	22	4	10	59	135	8	22	3	246	324	350	674	104	303	21	9	305	93	-5	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7692	6813	1681	276	51	108	706	1579	101	323	39	247	327	350	676	103	304	21	9	305	93	-59	+39	-15	+80	+162	21.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	141	23	4	9	60	133	9	27	3	245	327	345	672	101	301	20	9	305	93	-5	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Angels · 211 PAwOBA .372 → .280 (−93)K% 9.0% → 11.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.00%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	10.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.01%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	12.61%
HBP% /PA	1.90%	—	×0.700	—	—	1.33%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.050	—	20.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.43%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	—	4.05%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	—	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .372 → .280; ISO .069 → .049; BABIP .350 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#4Ivan de Jesus'74-'88 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,193 PA	7.8	5,193	21	194	248*	320*	350*	+55	+68	16.1	16.8
/162	664	3	25	+7.0	+8.7	2.1	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.9	5,242	75	178	247	323	351	+56	+33	18.4	15.1
/162	664	10	23	+7.1	+4.2	2.3	pk7: 12
#5Harold Reynolds'83-'94 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,398 PA	8.1	5,398	21	250	255*	325*	359*	+18	+53	13.8	14.7
/162	664	3	31	+2.3	+6.6	1.7	pk7: 16
#6Horace Clarke'65-'74 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,242 PA	7.9	5,242	27	151	264*	314*	351*	+20	+26	13.3	13.4
/162	664	3	19	+2.6	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Cespedes (OGILVIE)	18	72→77	28→33	80	70	238/315/314	76	302	1	6	21%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
●Justin Crawford 2024 · A	20	59→69	39→45	63→60	43	273/321/373	100	362	4	32	25%	6%	97	+1.1	283/327/387	104	364	7	33	23%	6%	102	+1.5	289/335/390	101	364	7	35	21%	6%	103	+1.2
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Dylan O'Rae 2024 · A	20	58	34→30	59→65	57	262/357/316	53	339	2	32	21%	12%	99	+1.2	229/325/288	59	315	2	41	25%	11%	81	-0.1	228/328/288	59	314	2	53	24%	11%	78	-0.2
✕José Peraza 2014 · A	20	53→63	36→45	61→65	44	248/288/316	68	295	2	33	17%	4%	71	-0.8	275/301/357	82	318	4	36	14%	3%	85	+0.2	275/311/366	91	307	8	25	13%	4%	91	+0.7
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	49	38→45	60→65	58	225/314/315	90	253	4	32	13%	10%	82	+0.0	225/310/318	93	284	5	23	21%	9%	82	-0.0	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2010 · A	20	50→60	36→45	60	48	231/280/301	69	273	2	31	16%	6%	65	-1.2	252/300/346	94	295	7	24	16%	6%	83	+0.1	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	51→61	37→40	58→65	45	236/287/321	86	279	2	18	16%	5%	72	-0.7	295/340/373	78	336	2	30	12%	5%	103	+1.6	313/360/382	69	352	2	36	11%	6%	109	+1.5
✕Marcus Sanders 2006 · A	20	54→57	39→30	60	50	252/327/340	88	333	6	31	24%	9%	93	+0.8	220/291/289	69	295	3	28	24%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/255	53	273	0	32	23%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	47→56	42→45	61→65	45	227/292/330	103	308	9	36	28%	8%	77	-0.3	238/310/344	106	319	7	37	26%	8%	87	+0.4	239/317/344	105	318	6	38	24%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Gorkys Hernández 2008 · A	20	54→60	39→45	58→55	43	258/294/347	89	308	6	27	18%	4%	81	-0.1	254/299/337	83	336	4	18	24%	6%	80	-0.1	252/308/366	115	311	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Emaarion Boyd 2024 · A	20	53→55	36→40	60→65	46	243/321/307	64	309	3	36	21%	7%	83	+0.1	217/282/294	77	289	5	35	25%	6%	65	-1.2	205/269/282	76	279	5	40	26%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	50	38→30	54→70	43	233/296/306	73	313	5	25	26%	6%	74	-0.6	213/291/269	56	284	2	28	24%	7%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
●Ozzie Albies 2016 · A	19	59→62	36→60	57→55	47	275/321/355	80	335	2	20	18%	6%	93	+0.8	266/312/393	127	321	9	19	19%	6%	98	+1.2	273/321/453	180	310	18	16	18%	6%	116	+2.9
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4

Juan Cespedes

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps