Cesar Nivar

OF DSL CLE Goryl

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	129	.172/.359/.182	0	7	17	—	.112/.258/.121
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	239	.210/.295/.271	1	5	65	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	68	.214/.300/.286	1	2	70	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%93

BB%81

Whiff%76

Speed53

K%52

Z-Con%44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDashyll Tejeda (age 18) · Yordany De Los Santos (age 18) · Robert Gonzalez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA

wRC+65

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .293 / .269

PA108

HR1

K%26

BB%10

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	129	99	17	1	0	0	26	27	3	7	0	172	359	182	541	10	233	21	20	280	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	129	107	12	1	0	0	18	33	3	7	0	112	258	121	379	9	155	26	14	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	129	107	12	1	0	0	18	33	3	7	0	112	258	121	379	9	160	26	14	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	129	99	17	1	0	0	26	27	3	7	0	172	359	182	541	10	233	21	20	280	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	129	107	12	1	0	0	18	33	3	7	0	112	258	121	379	9	155	26	14	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	129	107	12	1	0	0	18	33	3	7	0	112	258	121	379	9	155	26	14	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	239	211	44	6	1	1	23	62	3	5	1	210	295	271	566	61	288	26	10	264	65	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	199	175	38	5	1	2	19	51	3	5	1	214	300	286	586	71	290	26	10	272	70	-7	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	68	61	13	2	0	1	6	18	1	2	0	214	300	286	586	71	290	26	9	272	70	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	61	13	2	0	1	6	18	1	2	0	213	294	295	589	82	286	26	9	272	53	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	125	19	0	10	57	172	10	19	0	214	295	298	594	84	287	26	9	272	53	-23	+4	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	436	378	71	9	2	3	47	112	7	14	1	188	289	246	535	58	256	26	11	246	53	-12	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	105	13	3	4	70	167	10	21	1	186	287	241	528	55	254	26	11	246	53	-25	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Nivar (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	208/293/269	61	288	1	2	26%	10%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	37	39→45	48→55	47	181/266/266	84	243	7	9	27%	8%	54	-2.0	205/279/326	121	260	13	15	25%	8%	72	-0.7	200/278/339	139	242	16	20	24%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	37	38→40	53→45	42	178/244/257	79	264	5	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/268	81	287	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	189/276/283	93	254	3	8	24%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	40→37	36→40	43→50	42	189/253/255	66	268	3	10	29%	7%	45	-2.7	186/285/263	77	351	4	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	162/274/240	78	346	5	7	47%	10%	51	-1.0
✕Angel Aponte 2018 · A	18	41	38→40	53→55	45	194/268/276	82	256	4	13	24%	7%	57	-1.8	195/257/280	85	262	6	19	26%	6%	53	-2.1	204/262/297	93	286	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Kendry Chirinos 2023 · A	18	37	36→40	47→50	50	173/283/243	70	269	3	4	33%	11%	57	-1.8	188/290/262	74	322	5	5	38%	11%	63	-1.4	190/285/262	72	323	6	3	38%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Juan Baez 2023 · A	18	40→41	35→40	49→50	46	190/240/247	58	229	3	15	18%	6%	38	-3.2	228/274/309	81	268	4	13	16%	5%	65	-1.2	226/279/295	69	263	2	11	14%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	41→30	35→45	51→50	46	190/266/254	63	262	2	14	26%	8%	51	-2.3	188/258/264	76	289	5	16	34%	8%	50	-2.3	199/264/331	132	310	13	17	38%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	41→38	39→45	53→40	44	198/266/282	84	282	6	11	30%	8%	57	-1.8	195/246/322	127	253	14	6	28%	6%	59	-1.7	185/240/312	128	238	14	4	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	38	35→40	46→60	41	182/244/236	54	260	2	9	29%	6%	38	-3.2	188/248/259	71	238	6	19	22%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	39	36→40	52→55	45	184/248/252	68	235	3	13	22%	6%	43	-2.8	196/262/276	80	267	6	17	27%	7%	54	-2.0	194/268/275	82	258	8	24	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	38→37	38→55	55	39	186/236/267	80	251	5	10	27%	5%	41	-3.0	181/241/265	84	255	5	12	29%	6%	43	-2.8	184/241/311	127	279	12	17	37%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Willy Montero 2023 · A	18	39→40	36→40	48→50	47	183/277/247	64	282	4	13	33%	10%	54	-2.0	205/261/277	72	294	5	9	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/250/271	68	286	5	8	29%	5%	45	-1.3