Kendry Chirinos
3B Vancouver Canadians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKTOR | 164 | .300/.402/.443 | 2 | 7 | 63 | — | .212/.299/.315 |
| 2025 | 20 | ATOR | 382 | .255/.363/.370 | 6 | 0 | 63 | — | .210/.292/.293 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+TOR | 195 | .194/.290/.294 | 3 | 0 | 28 | — | .154/.233/.229 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBTOR | 1 | .192/.268/.273 | 0 | 0 | 54 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBTOR | 54 | .198/.275/.293 | 1 | 0 | 61 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBTOR | 109 | .203/.280/.307 | 2 | 1 | 66 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | — | 177 | 133 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 377 | 278 | 655 | 98 | 267 | 27 | 20 | 318 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 15 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 33 | 33 | 233 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 138 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 198 | 438 | 260 | 698 | 63 | 347 | 33 | 27 | 350 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 164 | 140 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 300 | 402 | 443 | 845 | 143 | 412 | 25 | 10 | 382 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 382 | 322 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 49 | 97 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 363 | 370 | 733 | 115 | 339 | 25 | 13 | 332 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 195 | 170 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 290 | 294 | 584 | 100 | 275 | 31 | 10 | 269 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 177 | 144 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 269 | 160 | 428 | 49 | 175 | 33 | 14 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 47 | 20 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 138 | 110 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 66 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 136 | 307 | 164 | 470 | 27 | 308 | 48 | 17 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 164 | 146 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 212 | 299 | 315 | 614 | 103 | 332 | 36 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 382 | 338 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 136 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 292 | 293 | 585 | 83 | 320 | 36 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 195 | 175 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 229 | 462 | 74 | 259 | 42 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 177 | 144 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 269 | 160 | 428 | 49 | 182 | 33 | 14 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Blue Jays | — | 177 | 133 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 377 | 278 | 655 | 98 | 267 | 27 | 20 | 318 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 122 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 73 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 123 | 296 | 148 | 444 | 25 | 286 | 48 | 17 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 153 | 106 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 51 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 428 | 236 | 663 | 57 | 315 | 33 | 27 | 338 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 164 | 146 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 212 | 299 | 315 | 614 | 103 | 341 | 36 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Blue Jays | — | 164 | 140 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 300 | 402 | 443 | 845 | 143 | 412 | 25 | 10 | 382 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 382 | 338 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 136 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 292 | 293 | 585 | 83 | 330 | 36 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 382 | 322 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 49 | 97 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 363 | 370 | 733 | 115 | 339 | 25 | 13 | 332 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 195 | 175 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 229 | 462 | 74 | 266 | 42 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Vancouver Canadians | — | 195 | 170 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 290 | 294 | 584 | 100 | 275 | 31 | 10 | 269 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 177 | 144 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 269 | 160 | 428 | 49 | 175 | 33 | 14 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 122 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 73 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 123 | 296 | 148 | 444 | 25 | 278 | 48 | 17 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 164 | 145 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 214 | 299 | 317 | 616 | 103 | 332 | 36 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 382 | 340 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 136 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 292 | 291 | 583 | 82 | 320 | 36 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 195 | 175 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 229 | 462 | 74 | 259 | 42 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 164 | 145 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 214 | 299 | 317 | 616 | 103 | 332 | 36 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 382 | 340 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 136 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 292 | 291 | 583 | 82 | 320 | 36 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 195 | 175 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 229 | 462 | 74 | 259 | 42 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | TOR | 0% | 324 | 291 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 116 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 191 | 267 | 272 | 539 | 80 | 299 | 36 | 8 | 249 | 54 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | TOR | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 268 | 273 | 541 | 81 | 301 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 54 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | TOR | 35% | 157 | 141 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 274 | 291 | 565 | 94 | 300 | 34 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | TOR | 46% | 235 | 211 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 279 | 305 | 584 | 103 | 300 | 34 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | TOR | 52% | 298 | 268 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 282 | 314 | 596 | 109 | 300 | 33 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | TOR | 35% | 54 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 275 | 293 | 567 | 94 | 301 | 35 | 7 | 260 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | TOR | 46% | 109 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 280 | 307 | 586 | 103 | 302 | 34 | 8 | 267 | 66 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | TOR | 52% | 154 | 138 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 283 | 316 | 598 | 109 | 301 | 33 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 317 | 284 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 107 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 208 | 286 | 320 | 606 | 113 | 306 | 34 | 8 | 268 | 56 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 121 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 219 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 208 | 285 | 320 | 604 | 112 | 307 | 34 | 8 | 268 | 56 | -25 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1881 | 1653 | 305 | 48 | 13 | 21 | 172 | 683 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 185 | 277 | 267 | 545 | 83 | 295 | 36 | 9 | 250 | 56 | -34 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +18 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 105 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 59 | 236 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 184 | 276 | 264 | 541 | 81 | 294 | 36 | 9 | 250 | 56 | -27 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 195 PAwOBA .266 → .210 (−55)K% 30.8% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 41.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 21.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 2.29% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .210; ISO .100 → .076; BABIP .275 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 382 PAwOBA .328 → .261 (−67)K% 25.4% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.39% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.57% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 25.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.78% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.284 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.69% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .328 → .261; ISO .115 → .083; BABIP .339 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 164 PAwOBA .372 → .261 (−111)K% 25.0% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.009 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷1.042 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.29% | ÷1.016 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×0.995 | 24.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.08% | ÷1.012 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×0.995 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×0.995 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.69% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .372 → .261; ISO .143 → .097; BABIP .412 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 138 PAwOBA .346 → .243 (−103)K% 33.3% → 47.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.006 | ×1.440 | — | — | 47.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 16.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 30.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.13% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 108, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .346 → .243; ISO .062 → .045; BABIP .347 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADunedin Blue Jays · 15 PAwOBA .230 → .156 (−74)K% 33.3% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.018 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 22.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.279 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 122, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .230 → .156; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 177 PAwOBA .315 → .214 (−101)K% 27.1% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.12% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.77% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 13.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.95% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.29% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | ×1.001 | ×1.008 | 10.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.960 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×1.008 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.130 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.49% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .315 → .214; ISO .098 → .060; BABIP .267 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).