J.J. D'Orazio — OGILVIE

J.J. D'OrazioC Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 96 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .250 / .300

PA96

HR2

K%28

BB%5

BABIP262

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	167	31	5	1	0	6	68	1	3	4	186	218	228	446	42	310	39	3	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	164	46	8	1	0	9	47	1	3	4	280	322	341	663	61	390	27	5	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	—	122	112	19	1	1	1	8	47	0	0	0	170	225	223	448	54	273	39	7	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	—	122	108	25	1	1	2	12	34	0	0	0	231	308	315	623	83	311	28	10	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	276	54	17	0	2	26	94	3	0	2	196	272	279	551	83	281	30	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	263	58	18	0	2	39	70	3	0	2	221	328	312	640	91	286	23	13	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	441	413	93	19	4	7	21	123	1	2	0	225	264	341	606	116	299	28	5	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	441	398	110	23	4	9	35	89	1	2	0	276	336	422	758	146	331	20	8	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	333	309	63	13	0	4	18	89	2	0	1	204	252	285	537	81	269	27	5	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	333	300	70	12	1	6	27	70	2	0	1	233	301	340	641	107	282	21	8	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	300	282	50	7	1	1	12	100	3	2	2	177	219	220	439	43	268	33	4	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	300	273	69	13	1	5	21	69	3	2	2	253	313	363	676	110	318	23	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	LAA	—	144	131	28	2	0	5	8	41	2	1	1	214	270	344	613	130	261	28	6	270	65	-6	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
YTD	24	AA	LAA	—	144	128	32	2	0	6	11	32	2	1	1	250	319	406	725	156	280	22	8	319	102	+0	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
ROS	24	AA	LAA	2%	96	90	18	3	0	2	5	27	1	1	0	200	250	300	550	100	268	28	5	245	46	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	LAA	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						267	50	0	237	40	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	LAA	—	146	133	28	2	0	5	8	42	2	1	1	211	266	338	604	128	258	29	5	270	64	-6	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
TOT	24	AA	LAA	—	240	221	46	5	0	7	13	68	3	2	1	208	262	326	587	118	262	28	5	260	57	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAA	31%	292	271	57	9	1	6	16	80	3	2	1	210	262	317	579	107	272	27	5	257	55	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	LAA	45%	352	326	69	11	1	7	20	95	3	3	2	212	264	316	580	104	273	27	6	264	60	-16	-0	+0	+6	+10	0.0
2029	27	MLB	LAA	49%	379	349	74	12	1	8	23	102	4	3	2	212	269	321	590	109	274	27	6	267	62	-16	-0	+0	+7	+11	0.1
2030	28	MLB	LAA	52%	394	363	77	13	1	8	24	106	4	3	2	212	269	320	588	107	274	27	6	267	63	-17	-0	-1	+7	+11	0.1
2031	29	MLB	LAA	52%	395	364	77	13	1	8	24	107	4	3	2	212	268	319	587	107	273	27	6	265	61	-17	-0	-1	+7	+11	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	LAA	31%	91	85	18	3	0	2	5	25	1	1	0	212	264	318	581	106	271	27	5	250	49	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	LAA	45%	157	146	30	5	0	3	9	42	1	1	1	205	256	301	558	96	273	27	6	255	54	-8	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	LAA	49%	186	171	37	6	1	4	11	50	2	1	1	216	272	333	605	117	273	27	6	258	56	-9	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	LAA	52%	203	187	39	6	1	4	12	55	2	2	1	209	264	316	579	107	273	27	6	259	56	-10	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.1
2031	29	MLB	LAA	52%	204	187	39	6	1	4	13	55	2	2	1	209	267	316	583	107	272	27	6	257	55	-10	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	843	778	163	26	3	17	50	228	8	7	4	210	264	316	581	107	272	27	6	257	55	-43	-0	-1	+15	+24	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	125	20	2	13	39	176	6	5	3	208	264	313	577	105	271	27	6	257	55	-33	-0	-1	+12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	3589	3322	682	123	12	54	203	1038	29	22	18	205	257	298	555	93	278	29	6	248	48	-209	-3	-2	+64	+102	-5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	123	22	2	10	37	188	5	4	3	204	256	297	554	93	276	29	6	248	48	-38	-0	-0	+12	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	164	46	8	1	0	9	47	1	3	4	280	322	341	663	61	390	27	5	299	87	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2021	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	45	41	6	0	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	146	205	220	424	73	179	29	7	193	6	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	77	67	19	1	1	1	9	21	0	0	0	284	368	373	742	90	391	27	12	334	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	263	58	18	0	2	39	70	3	0	2	221	328	312	640	91	286	23	13	294	83	-6	-1	—	—	+9	0.2
2023	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	145	138	30	6	1	1	4	33	0	0	0	217	239	297	537	80	274	23	3	235	38	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	296	260	80	17	3	8	31	56	1	2	0	308	382	488	871	181	362	19	10	381	150	+17	+0	—	—	+8	2.6
2024	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	284	256	57	12	0	5	23	61	2	0	1	223	292	328	620	105	271	21	8	280	72	-9	-0	—	—	+8	-0.1
2024	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	49	44	13	0	1	1	4	9	0	0	0	295	354	409	763	114	343	18	8	336	115	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	147	139	31	5	0	2	6	37	1	1	0	223	260	302	562	79	287	25	4	253	52	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	88	77	21	3	1	0	9	20	2	0	1	273	364	338	701	65	368	23	10	325	107	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	23	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	65	57	17	5	0	3	6	12	0	1	1	298	365	544	909	246	326	18	9	385	152	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	845	18	7	213	265	323	+15	+8	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	14	5	213	265	323	+11.9	+6.3	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.J. D'Orazio (OGILVIE)	24	35	38	43	39	208/262/326	118	262	7	2	28%	5%	57	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→45	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	34	-2.8	196/247/275	79	277	6	4	30%	5%	40	-2.4	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Braeden Schlehuber 2012 · AA	24	38	40→45	44→40	40	187/233/279	92	227	8	5	22%	4%	37	-2.7	206/252/318	112	249	12	5	22%	4%	55	-1.4	200/245/309	108	234	12	3	20%	3%	47	-0.8
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Rocky Gale 2012 · AA	24	37→45	37→40	41→30	40	184/232/251	67	245	5	5	27%	5%	27	-3.3	204/235/262	58	251	4	4	20%	4%	30	-3.1	251/279/300	49	306	2	1	18%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Richard Mercado 2007 · A	24	40	37→45	45→30	41	195/242/273	78	270	4	5	29%	6%	37	-2.6	211/263/296	85	276	6	4	24%	6%	53	-1.5	210/263/287	77	267	6	0	23%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Grayson Greiner 2017 · AA	24	43	40→45	48→30	36	207/250/295	88	306	8	3	34%	5%	47	-1.9	210/269/322	112	286	11	3	29%	7%	63	-0.9	204/275/302	97	298	10	0	33%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Riccio Torrez 2014 · AA	24	39→33	40	47→45	40	193/253/283	89	242	8	5	23%	4%	46	-2.0	204/256/297	93	274	7	8	27%	5%	50	-1.7	159/184/229	69	228	4	4	32%	2%	-3	-1.0
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	39	38→45	51→50	36	191/230/276	85	272	5	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	230/285/310	80	316	5	8	27%	7%	66	-0.6	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Alex Lavisky 2015 · AA	24	42	42→40	44→30	38	211/251/309	98	276	10	4	27%	4%	51	-1.7	205/260/306	101	257	11	6	24%	6%	55	-1.4	137/211/209	72	158	10	0	21%	7%	9	-1.2
✕Adelaido Martinez 2013 · AAA	24	41	41→40	44→40	36	202/236/297	95	252	8	8	24%	3%	41	-2.3	221/250/306	85	265	8	9	19%	3%	50	-1.8	224/250/283	59	262	6	4	17%	2%	40	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Jeremy Dowdy 2014 · A	24	43	37→40	45→30	41	206/252/277	72	284	4	5	28%	6%	43	-2.2	226/279/305	79	285	5	4	21%	7%	62	-0.9	229/288/312	82	278	6	1	19%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Dennis Ortega 2021 · A	24	40	39→45	46→45	41	195/242/275	80	253	7	6	25%	5%	38	-2.6	200/251/280	80	312	6	7	36%	6%	43	-2.2	185/236/252	67	297	6	5	38%	6%	26	-1.0
✕David Vidal 2014 · AA	24	41→45	41→45	43→30	39	202/252/300	98	284	9	3	31%	6%	50	-1.8	204/262/298	94	295	7	5	31%	7%	53	-1.5	212/272/321	108	271	11	2	25%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	45	197/271/262	65	269	3	5	26%	7%	49	-1.8	214/294/304	90	284	7	4	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/299/301	87	276	6	2	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕John Murrian 2012 · AAA	24	39	43→45	47→45	35	198/238/307	109	283	11	5	33%	4%	45	-2.1	197/250/301	104	268	9	5	29%	5%	49	-1.8	153/226/253	100	200	10	0	28%	6%	26	-1.0
✕Mitch Abeita 2010 · A	24	41	40	49→30	44	201/265/292	91	270	8	4	27%	7%	53	-1.5	220/293/308	88	312	5	3	28%	9%	69	-0.4	225/305/305	80	322	3	0	28%	10%	70	-0.2