J.J. D'Orazio — OGILVIE

J.J. D'OrazioC Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs AA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION165 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .250 / .263

PA20

HR0

K%25

BB%5

BABIP266

ISO53

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	164	46	8	1	0	9	47	1	3	4	280	322	341	663	61	390	27	5	299	89	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.0
2021	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	45	41	6	0	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	146	205	220	424	73	179	29	7	193	17	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	77	67	19	1	1	1	9	21	0	0	0	284	368	373	742	90	391	27	12	334	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	263	58	18	0	2	39	70	3	0	2	221	328	312	640	91	286	23	13	294	85	-6	-1	—	—	+7	0.0
2023	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	145	138	30	6	1	1	4	33	0	0	0	217	239	297	537	80	274	23	3	235	45	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	296	260	80	17	3	8	31	56	1	2	0	308	382	488	871	181	362	19	10	381	144	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	284	256	57	12	0	5	23	61	2	0	1	223	292	328	620	105	271	21	8	280	76	-8	-0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2024	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	49	44	13	0	1	1	4	9	0	0	0	295	354	409	763	114	343	18	8	336	113	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	147	139	31	5	0	2	6	37	1	1	0	223	260	302	562	79	287	25	4	253	58	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	88	77	21	3	1	0	9	20	2	0	1	273	364	338	701	65	368	23	10	325	106	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	23	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	65	57	17	5	0	3	6	12	0	1	1	298	365	544	909	246	326	18	9	385	146	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	167	31	5	1	0	6	68	1	3	4	186	218	228	446	42	296	39	3	190	15	-18	-1	—	—	+4	-1.5
2021	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	45	42	5	0	0	1	2	17	0	0	0	119	159	190	350	71	170	38	4	157	-8	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	77	70	15	1	1	1	6	31	0	0	0	214	276	300	576	86	313	40	8	227	40	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	275	53	16	0	2	27	94	3	0	2	193	272	273	545	80	269	30	9	245	52	-18	-1	—	—	+7	-1.2
2023	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	145	139	26	5	1	0	3	40	0	0	0	187	204	237	442	50	246	28	2	195	18	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	296	273	67	13	3	7	19	79	1	2	0	245	297	392	689	147	311	27	6	295	86	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2024	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	284	264	53	11	0	3	15	73	2	0	1	201	249	277	526	76	259	26	5	234	45	-19	-0	—	—	+6	-1.3
2025	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	147	141	25	4	0	1	4	46	1	1	0	177	205	227	432	50	244	31	3	188	13	-15	+0	—	—	+3	-1.2
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	88	81	17	2	1	0	5	28	2	0	1	210	273	259	532	49	320	32	6	240	49	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	167	31	5	1	0	6	68	1	3	4	186	218	228	446	42	310	39	3	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	164	46	8	1	0	9	47	1	3	4	280	322	341	663	61	390	27	5	299	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	122	112	19	1	1	1	8	47	0	0	0	170	225	223	448	54	273	39	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	122	108	25	1	1	2	12	34	0	0	0	231	308	315	623	83	311	28	10	282	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	275	53	16	0	2	27	94	3	0	2	193	272	273	545	80	277	30	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	263	58	18	0	2	39	70	3	0	2	221	328	312	640	91	286	23	13	294	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	412	92	18	3	7	22	119	1	2	0	223	264	333	597	109	292	27	5	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	441	398	110	23	4	9	35	89	1	2	0	276	336	422	758	146	331	20	8	333	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	333	309	63	13	0	4	18	86	2	0	1	204	252	285	537	81	266	26	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	333	300	70	12	1	6	27	70	2	0	1	233	301	340	641	107	282	21	8	288	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	300	282	53	8	1	1	12	95	3	2	2	188	229	234	463	46	277	32	4	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	300	273	69	13	1	5	21	69	3	2	2	253	313	363	676	110	318	23	7	303	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	175	166	31	5	1	0	6	68	1	3	4	187	218	229	447	42	296	39	3	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	122	113	19	1	1	1	8	47	0	0	0	168	225	221	446	53	260	39	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	310	277	53	16	0	2	27	94	3	0	2	191	272	271	543	79	269	30	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	415	92	18	3	7	22	119	1	2	0	222	264	330	594	108	290	27	5	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	333	310	63	13	0	4	18	86	2	0	1	203	252	284	536	81	259	26	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	300	282	53	8	1	1	12	95	3	2	2	188	229	234	463	46	272	32	4	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	415	92	18	3	7	22	119	1	2	0	222	264	330	594	108	290	27	5	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	333	310	63	13	0	4	18	86	2	0	1	203	252	284	536	81	259	26	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	300	282	53	8	1	1	12	95	3	2	2	188	229	234	463	46	272	32	4	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	LAA	—	165	151	32	3	0	5	9	43	2	1	1	212	265	331	597	119	255	26	5	263	64	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	LAA	—	165	147	36	3	0	7	13	35	2	1	1	245	315	408	723	163	269	21	8	318	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	LAA	2%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	267	25	5	248	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	LAA	—	185	170	36	4	0	5	10	48	2	1	1	212	264	324	587	112	258	26	5	261	63	-8	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	31%	291	271	58	9	1	6	16	75	2	2	1	214	263	321	584	107	269	26	5	260	62	-13	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	45%	352	326	69	11	1	7	20	90	3	2	1	212	264	316	580	104	271	26	6	265	66	-14	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	49%	378	349	75	12	1	8	23	96	3	3	2	215	269	324	593	109	272	25	6	269	68	-14	-0	+0	+7	+8	0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	393	363	78	13	1	8	24	100	3	3	2	215	269	322	592	107	272	25	6	269	68	-15	-0	-1	+7	+9	-0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	395	364	78	13	1	8	25	102	3	3	2	214	270	321	592	107	271	26	6	267	67	-16	-0	-1	+7	+9	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	395	364	78	13	1	8	25	103	3	3	2	214	270	321	592	107	269	26	6	264	65	-16	-0	-2	+7	+9	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAA	31%	90	84	18	3	0	2	5	23	1	1	0	214	267	321	588	107	269	26	6	253	62	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	45%	157	146	30	5	0	3	9	40	1	1	1	205	256	301	558	96	270	25	6	259	66	-6	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	49%	186	171	37	6	1	4	11	47	2	1	1	216	272	333	605	117	271	25	6	262	68	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	203	186	41	7	1	4	13	52	2	2	1	220	279	333	612	113	271	26	6	263	68	-8	+0	-0	+4	+4	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	204	187	40	6	1	4	13	52	2	2	1	214	272	321	593	107	270	25	6	261	67	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	203	186	40	6	1	4	13	53	2	2	1	215	274	323	596	108	269	26	6	258	65	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1043	960	206	33	4	21	64	267	10	9	5	215	271	323	594	108	273	26	6	260	56	-42	-0	-2	+19	+23	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	128	21	2	13	40	166	6	6	3	214	270	321	591	107	273	26	6	260	56	-26	-0	-1	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3905	3613	751	133	12	60	227	1080	27	23	19	208	260	301	561	93	276	28	6	251	56	-90	-1	-4	+40	+48	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	125	22	2	10	38	180	4	4	3	208	259	301	560	93	276	28	6	251	56	-26	-0	-1	+12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,047	22	8	215	267	324	+19	+12	0.5	0.5
/162	664	14	5	+11.9	+7.6	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.J. D'Orazio (OGILVIE)	24	39	37	43	39	204/251/294	89	267	4	1	27%	5%	54	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rocky Gale 2012 · AA	24	38→46	37→40	41→30	40	186/234/250	64	246	5	5	26%	5%	36	-3.3	204/236/261	57	250	4	4	19%	4%	39	-3.1	255/282/304	49	309	1	1	17%	3%	63	-0.6
✕Grayson Greiner 2017 · AA	24	44	40→45	48→30	37	210/255/297	87	305	7	3	33%	5%	55	-1.9	211/271/320	109	285	10	3	28%	7%	67	-1.1	200/270/288	88	295	9	0	33%	8%	58	-0.8
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	43	36→40	43→30	46	202/277/267	66	268	4	5	25%	8%	58	-1.7	217/296/304	87	281	6	4	23%	8%	74	-0.6	216/301/298	83	274	6	2	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→40	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	42	-2.9	197/247/275	78	277	6	4	29%	5%	47	-2.5	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Jeremy Dowdy 2014 · A	24	43	37→40	45→30	40	205/249/276	71	284	4	5	28%	6%	48	-2.5	223/277/300	77	281	5	4	21%	7%	64	-1.3	225/284/301	76	272	5	1	18%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Chadwick Tromp 2018 · AA	23	45	39→45	46→40	41	216/259/303	87	274	7	4	24%	5%	58	-1.7	224/282/336	112	280	11	5	23%	6%	75	-0.5	214/271/337	122	266	14	0	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	42	41→45	48→40	41	205/261/298	93	274	8	7	28%	6%	58	-1.7	216/265/299	83	272	6	5	22%	5%	59	-1.6	220/288/344	124	255	13	2	19%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Alex Lavisky 2015 · AA	24	44	41→45	44→30	39	216/255/310	94	280	9	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	206/259/301	95	257	9	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	134/206/199	64	156	8	0	20%	7%	14	-1.3
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2013 · A	24	45	37→30	46→30	42	216/262/286	70	276	5	4	23%	5%	55	-1.9	210/253/268	58	258	3	4	19%	5%	47	-2.5	196/234/232	36	232	0	1	15%	3%	31	-1.0
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Martin Cervenka 2017 · A	24	43→48	38→45	45→40	41	206/252/281	74	282	5	3	28%	6%	50	-2.3	219/265/328	109	297	11	3	29%	6%	66	-1.1	215/261/327	111	290	12	2	29%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	40	39→45	51→50	37	195/234/284	88	271	5	9	29%	4%	44	-2.8	228/283/306	78	309	5	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	235/296/303	67	318	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Riccio Torrez 2014 · AA	24	41→35	40	47→45	40	199/257/291	92	247	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	205/257/299	94	273	7	8	27%	4%	57	-1.8	159/183/231	72	226	4	4	31%	2%	8	-1.0
✕Jose Gil 2010 · AA	23	41	39→45	45	38	203/238/288	85	266	6	7	26%	4%	47	-2.6	217/267/335	118	268	12	7	23%	6%	69	-0.9	213/267/332	119	253	13	6	21%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Richard Mercado 2007 · A	24	40	37→45	45→30	41	195/242/273	78	270	4	5	29%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/296	85	276	6	4	24%	6%	58	-1.7	210/263/287	77	267	6	0	23%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2022 · AA	23	43	43→40	47→45	40	214/258/320	106	272	11	5	26%	5%	62	-1.4	224/278/317	93	261	9	8	17%	6%	69	-0.9	220/282/315	95	243	11	8	14%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Adelaido Martinez 2013 · AAA	24	42	40	45→40	37	206/243/301	95	259	7	8	24%	3%	51	-2.2	222/255/305	83	268	7	9	19%	3%	57	-1.8	223/250/276	53	264	4	4	17%	2%	45	-0.8
✕Audry Pérez 2013 · AA	24	47	41→40	47→40	37	231/251/327	95	273	10	3	20%	2%	60	-1.6	219/239/305	86	258	8	3	19%	2%	50	-2.3	251/283/357	107	291	13	0	19%	3%	76	-0.2
✕Osvaldo Abreu 2018 · AA	24	46→48	39→40	44→50	40	219/267/304	85	294	6	9	27%	5%	61	-1.5	197/248/289	92	284	8	7	32%	5%	51	-2.2	173/229/259	86	259	7	6	34%	6%	35	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps