Brian Schales
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | A+MIA | 419 | .251/.334/.351 | 6 | 0 | 55 | — | .200/.274/.280 |
| 2018 | 22 | AAMIA | 490 | .258/.356/.403 | 10 | 4 | 87 | — | .238/.300/.368 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+3 orgs | 212 | .188/.297/.354 | 6 | 0 | 42 | — | .155/.234/.289 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 200 | 173 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 243 | 325 | 306 | 631 | 64 | 277 | 14 | 8 | 285 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 497 | 443 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 260 | 332 | 348 | 680 | 88 | 303 | 15 | 8 | 307 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 424 | 371 | 72 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 77 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 194 | 285 | 224 | 508 | 30 | 244 | 18 | 9 | 241 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 419 | 367 | 92 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 95 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 251 | 334 | 351 | 686 | 101 | 316 | 23 | 9 | 310 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 490 | 422 | 109 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 57 | 108 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 258 | 356 | 403 | 759 | 145 | 322 | 22 | 12 | 341 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 64 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 194 | 288 | 482 | 136 | 233 | 45 | 3 | 209 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 112 | 89 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 369 | 438 | 808 | 225 | 357 | 39 | 17 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 36 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 250 | 242 | 492 | 61 | 273 | 31 | 8 | 230 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 200 | 179 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 196 | 258 | 246 | 504 | 50 | 226 | 20 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 497 | 454 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 106 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 285 | 291 | 576 | 64 | 284 | 21 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 424 | 378 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 111 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 180 | 258 | 209 | 467 | 29 | 246 | 26 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 419 | 375 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 136 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 200 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 80 | 282 | 32 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 490 | 446 | 106 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 125 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 238 | 300 | 368 | 668 | 130 | 308 | 26 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 64 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 145 | 233 | 378 | 117 | 218 | 55 | 2 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 112 | 95 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 297 | 347 | 645 | 168 | 319 | 46 | 12 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 36 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 194 | 206 | 400 | 59 | 267 | 47 | 6 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 200 | 179 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 196 | 258 | 246 | 504 | 50 | 239 | 20 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 200 | 173 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 243 | 325 | 306 | 631 | 64 | 277 | 14 | 8 | 285 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 497 | 454 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 106 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 285 | 291 | 576 | 64 | 289 | 21 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 497 | 443 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 260 | 332 | 348 | 680 | 88 | 303 | 15 | 8 | 307 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 424 | 378 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 111 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 180 | 258 | 209 | 467 | 29 | 254 | 26 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 424 | 371 | 72 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 77 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 194 | 285 | 224 | 508 | 30 | 244 | 18 | 9 | 241 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 419 | 375 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 136 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 200 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 80 | 292 | 32 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 419 | 367 | 92 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 95 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 251 | 334 | 351 | 686 | 101 | 316 | 23 | 9 | 310 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 490 | 446 | 106 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 125 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 238 | 300 | 368 | 668 | 130 | 310 | 26 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 490 | 422 | 109 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 57 | 108 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 258 | 356 | 403 | 759 | 145 | 322 | 22 | 12 | 341 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 212 | 189 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 153 | 234 | 286 | 520 | 132 | 289 | 49 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 212 | 181 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 84 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 297 | 354 | 650 | 166 | 298 | 40 | 11 | 293 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 200 | 183 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 191 | 258 | 240 | 498 | 49 | 226 | 20 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 497 | 457 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 106 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 285 | 289 | 574 | 63 | 284 | 21 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 424 | 381 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 111 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 178 | 258 | 207 | 466 | 29 | 246 | 26 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 419 | 378 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 136 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 198 | 274 | 278 | 551 | 79 | 282 | 32 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 490 | 447 | 106 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 125 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 237 | 300 | 367 | 667 | 130 | 308 | 26 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 212 | 190 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 153 | 234 | 284 | 519 | 132 | 280 | 49 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2242 | 2021 | 416 | 81 | 9 | 21 | 150 | 622 | 40 | 12 | 15 | 206 | 274 | 286 | 560 | 80 | 283 | 28 | 7 | 251 | 56 | -118 | -4 | +0 | +8 | +49 | -6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 120 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 180 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 205 | 273 | 285 | 558 | 80 | 281 | 28 | 7 | 251 | 56 | -34 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 112 PAwOBA .355 → .283 (−71)K% 39.3% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.29% | ÷1.027 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.96% | ÷1.028 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 11.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.78% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 17.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.160 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 10.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 7.30% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 94, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 105, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .355 → .283; ISO .225 → .184; BABIP .357 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAARochester Red Wings · 64 PAwOBA .210 → .172 (−38)K% 45.3% → 54.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 45.31% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 54.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.12% | ÷1.095 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 16.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.958 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 6.14% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 96, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .210 → .172; ISO .136 → .109; BABIP .233 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 36 PAwOBA .224 → .171 (−53)K% 30.6% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.56% | ÷0.939 | ×1.420 | — | — | 46.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.019 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.908 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.998 | 9.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.362 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 95, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 88, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .224 → .171; ISO .061 → .050; BABIP .273 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 490 PAwOBA .331 → .297 (−34)K% 22.0% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.04% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.82% | ÷1.122 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.29% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.042 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.60% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.001 | ×1.042 | 9.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.001 | ×1.042 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.18% | ÷1.041 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.55% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 75, 3B 80, K 110, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .331 → .297; ISO .145 → .141; BABIP .322 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 419 PAwOBA .305 → .250 (−56)K% 22.7% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.67% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.07% | ÷0.947 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.74% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 23.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.78% | ÷1.094 | ×0.960 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.131 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.21% | ÷0.944 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.11% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 126, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .305 → .250; ISO .101 → .082; BABIP .316 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 424 PAwOBA .236 → .215 (−21)K% 18.2% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.16% | ÷0.987 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷0.933 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.042 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.042 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.09% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 21.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.06% | ÷1.003 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 3.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .236 → .215; ISO .030 → .029; BABIP .244 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 497 PAwOBA .301 → .257 (−45)K% 15.3% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.29% | ÷0.962 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.65% | ÷0.973 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.71% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.045 | 22.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.72% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×1.045 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×1.045 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.391 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 0.67% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 92, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .301 → .257; ISO .088 → .069; BABIP .303 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Marlins · 200 PAwOBA .284 → .219 (−64)K% 14.0% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 19.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.55% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .284 → .219; ISO .064 → .048; BABIP .277 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).