Yordalin Peña — OGILVIE

Yordalin PeñaOF Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 177 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION283 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .246 / .315

PA188

HR4

SB8

K%37

BB%6

BABIP274

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	170	30	6	2	2	7	58	5	8	0	176	231	271	501	94	250	32	4	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	167	43	8	4	3	10	39	5	8	0	257	319	407	726	150	315	21	5	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	176	161	25	4	2	2	10	53	4	7	1	155	223	242	465	87	215	30	6	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	176	156	41	9	4	2	15	34	4	7	1	263	343	410	753	147	322	19	9	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	194	176	32	6	2	2	15	58	3	11	5	182	258	273	530	91	259	30	8	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	194	165	40	9	2	2	26	42	3	11	5	242	356	358	713	115	314	22	13	328	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	412	376	71	21	4	5	27	154	4	20	10	189	251	306	556	117	297	37	7	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	412	368	84	21	5	6	35	108	4	20	10	228	302	361	664	133	301	26	8	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	STL	—	283	255	51	16	1	9	17	116	6	17	2	200	266	376	643	176	311	41	6	283	75	-8	+3	+0	-2	+8	0.1
YTD	21	A	STL	—	283	248	67	20	2	12	23	82	6	17	2	270	345	512	857	242	346	29	8	368	140	+13	+3	+0	-2	+8	2.2
ROS	21	A	STL	0%	188	171	31	9	1	4	12	70	3	8	2	181	246	315	561	134	263	37	6	246	47	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
ROS	21	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		263	—	—	235	38	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	A	STL	—	283	256	51	16	1	9	17	116	6	17	2	199	266	375	641	176	309	41	6	283	75	-8	+3	+0	-2	+8	0.1
TOT	21	A	STL	—	471	426	82	25	2	13	29	186	9	25	4	192	258	352	610	159	295	39	6	268	64	-19	+3	+0	-3	+13	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	495	452	84	22	3	12	33	175	7	14	4	186	252	327	579	142	268	35	7	260	57	-24	+1	+0	-3	+14	-1.2
2028	23	MLB	STL	48%	539	489	94	24	3	14	37	184	8	15	4	192	260	339	600	147	271	34	7	269	64	-22	+1	+0	-3	+15	-0.8
2029	24	MLB	STL	53%	568	514	100	25	3	15	41	189	8	16	4	195	265	342	607	148	273	33	7	275	69	-20	+2	+0	-3	+16	-0.6
2030	25	MLB	STL	55%	583	527	104	26	3	16	42	191	9	17	4	197	268	349	617	152	274	33	7	279	72	-19	+2	+0	-3	+17	-0.4
2031	26	MLB	STL	56%	590	533	106	26	3	17	43	193	9	17	4	199	270	355	625	156	274	33	7	280	72	-19	+2	+0	-4	+17	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	170	154	29	8	1	4	11	60	3	5	1	188	256	331	587	143	268	35	6	249	48	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2028	23	MLB	STL	48%	261	237	47	12	2	7	18	89	4	7	2	198	266	354	621	156	271	34	7	258	56	-13	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
2029	24	MLB	STL	53%	299	272	53	13	2	8	21	99	4	9	2	195	263	346	608	151	273	33	7	264	61	-13	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
2030	25	MLB	STL	55%	319	288	58	14	2	9	23	105	5	9	2	201	272	358	630	156	274	33	7	268	63	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2031	26	MLB	STL	56%	328	296	59	15	2	9	24	108	5	9	2	199	271	355	625	155	274	33	7	269	64	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1377	1248	246	62	9	37	97	461	21	39	9	197	267	350	617	153	276	33	7	263	60	-63	+4	+0	-8	+39	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	115	29	4	17	46	218	10	18	4	195	265	345	610	149	275	34	7	263	60	-30	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	3929	3569	677	169	26	89	267	1325	60	133	38	190	258	326	584	137	270	34	7	261	58	-186	+11	+0	-24	+111	-8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	112	28	4	15	44	219	10	22	6	190	258	327	585	137	269	34	7	261	58	-31	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	167	43	8	4	3	10	39	5	8	0	257	319	407	726	150	315	21	5	320	103	+1	+2	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	176	156	41	9	4	2	15	34	4	7	1	263	343	410	753	147	322	19	9	336	115	+3	+1	—	—	+5	0.9
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	194	165	40	9	2	2	26	42	3	11	5	242	356	358	713	115	314	22	13	328	110	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	412	368	84	21	5	6	35	108	4	20	10	228	302	361	664	133	301	26	8	296	85	-7	+0	—	—	+12	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,698	42	48	190	256	334	-10	+0	-3.4	-1.7
	/162	664	16	19	190	256	334	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yordalin Peña (OGILVIE)	21	30	35	50	35	192/258/352	159	295	13	25	39%	6%	64	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	15	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	52	-1.6	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	73	-0.0
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	39	40	48→50	38	191/241/288	97	267	7	9	30%	5%	42	-2.3	214/267/304	90	282	5	10	24%	6%	56	-1.3	223/275/315	92	285	5	14	22%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	39	-2.5	197/273/307	110	309	10	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Gabriel Rosa 2014 · A	21	35	40	51→50	38	177/237/265	88	260	9	12	34%	6%	35	-2.8	188/252/281	93	273	8	12	32%	6%	45	-2.1	143/210/234	90	200	9	18	32%	6%	14	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	23	-3.6	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	52	-1.6	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	45	-2.1	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	58	-0.2