Juan Alonso — OGILVIE

Juan AlonsoOF Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 196 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .278 / .268

PA196

HR2

K%31

BB%10

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	133	122	22	5	0	1	8	43	3	6	6	180	248	246	494	66	269	32	6	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	133	117	28	6	0	1	13	32	3	6	6	239	331	316	647	77	321	24	10	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	214	174	33	8	1	2	29	91	9	13	3	190	335	282	617	92	373	43	14	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	214	159	44	10	1	3	44	62	9	13	3	277	458	409	866	132	427	29	21	398	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	172	149	22	4	2	0	15	92	7	2	4	148	257	201	459	54	379	53	9	212	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	172	144	31	6	3	0	20	65	7	2	4	215	339	299	638	83	388	38	12	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	405	343	50	11	3	4	41	200	15	4	4	146	266	230	496	85	317	49	10	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	405	332	76	16	4	6	52	140	15	4	4	229	358	355	714	127	365	35	13	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	LAA	—	196	171	32	7	1	2	19	61	4	3	1	187	284	275	558	88	270	31	10	257	55	-10	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	LAA	34%	207	181	35	7	1	3	20	62	4	4	1	193	288	293	581	99	274	30	10	270	65	-8	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	LAA	46%	334	293	60	12	2	6	32	98	6	6	2	205	296	321	617	116	276	29	10	278	71	-11	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	LAA	52%	417	367	75	15	2	8	40	120	7	8	3	204	295	322	616	117	277	29	10	283	75	-12	+0	+0	-3	+12	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	LAA	34%	71	63	11	2	0	1	7	21	1	1	0	175	268	254	522	79	273	30	10	255	53	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	LAA	46%	154	135	27	5	1	3	15	45	3	3	1	200	294	319	613	119	275	29	10	264	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	LAA	52%	215	188	39	8	1	4	21	62	4	4	1	207	300	324	625	117	276	29	10	268	64	-9	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	440	386	77	15	2	8	43	128	8	8	2	199	293	311	604	111	274	29	10	265	61	-20	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	114	22	3	12	64	189	12	12	3	200	294	312	606	112	274	29	10	265	61	-29	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2078	1800	329	69	12	26	204	767	55	46	24	183	286	278	563	95	296	37	10	256	54	-107	-0	+0	-12	+59	-6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	103	22	4	8	64	240	17	14	8	183	286	279	565	96	297	37	10	256	54	-33	-0	+0	-4	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	133	117	28	6	0	1	13	32	3	6	6	239	331	316	647	77	321	24	10	301	89	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2022	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	40	34	8	3	0	1	4	15	2	1	1	235	350	412	762	176	389	38	10	345	122	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	174	125	36	7	1	2	40	47	7	12	2	288	483	408	891	120	436	27	23	410	172	+14	+2	—	—	+5	2.1
2023	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	155	129	26	4	2	0	20	60	5	2	3	202	331	264	595	62	371	39	13	284	76	-4	-1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2023	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	17	15	5	2	1	0	0	5	2	0	1	333	412	600	1.012	267	500	29	0	439	194	+2	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	20	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	58	52	12	2	0	0	4	26	2	1	0	231	310	269	580	38	462	45	7	274	68	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	347	280	64	14	4	6	48	114	13	3	4	229	367	371	738	143	349	33	14	335	114	+6	-1	—	—	+10	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	637	10	11	198	287	303	-4	+0	-0.9	-0.5
	/162	664	10	11	198	287	303	-4.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Alonso (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	34→39	45→50	62	183/278/268	85	270	2	3	31%	10%	55	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	37	-2.6	210/276/290	80	306	5	7	30%	7%	57	-1.2	212/285/293	81	313	4	8	31%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Kyler Fedko 2022 · A	22	45→42	38→50	51→55	44	210/281/290	80	314	5	10	33%	8%	59	-1.1	205/288/317	112	276	10	10	27%	10%	70	-0.3	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Rigoberto Rangel 2011 · A	22	40	37→45	48→40	40	192/252/263	71	277	4	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	196/258/268	72	296	4	8	33%	7%	43	-2.2	156/229/203	46	231	3	10	31%	7%	12	-1.0
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	45→35	39→45	52→50	40	217/270/299	82	292	6	11	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/247/252	62	266	2	10	28%	6%	35	-2.8	164/223/206	43	232	0	12	27%	6%	13	-3.3
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	46→40	49	188/272/256	68	260	4	5	27%	9%	47	-1.9	179/261/246	67	253	4	6	28%	9%	40	-2.4	73/187/105	32	93	4	2	26%	12%	-25	-1.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5