Michalle Mercedes

SS DSL Mets Orange

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	195	.260/.337/.399	3	11	32	—	.169/.238/.237
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	305	.220/.278/.309	3	9	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	85	.224/.284/.322	1	3	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	182	.228/.290/.334	3	6	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed88

K%72

Whiff%69

Z-Con%62

ISO61

wOBA32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCeddanne Rafaela (age 18) · Juan Villavicencio (age 18) · Jett Williams (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 165 proj PA

wRC+66

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .276 / .306

PA165

HR1

SB5

K%24

BB%6

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	195	173	45	5	5	3	12	33	8	11	1	260	337	399	736	139	302	17	6	328	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	195	177	30	3	3	1	8	40	8	11	1	169	238	237	476	68	206	21	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	195	177	30	3	3	1	8	40	8	11	1	169	238	237	476	68	210	21	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	195	173	45	5	5	3	12	33	8	11	1	260	337	399	736	139	302	17	6	328	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	195	177	30	3	3	1	8	40	8	11	1	169	238	237	476	68	206	21	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	195	177	30	3	3	1	8	40	8	11	1	169	238	237	476	68	206	21	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	305	280	62	9	4	3	17	74	5	9	2	220	278	309	586	89	286	24	6	265	66	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	248	227	51	7	3	3	15	59	4	8	2	224	284	322	607	98	288	24	6	274	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	375	342	78	11	5	5	23	89	7	13	4	228	290	334	624	106	290	24	6	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	470	429	100	15	6	8	29	110	9	17	5	231	294	344	639	114	291	23	6	287	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	536	487	114	17	6	10	34	125	10	19	5	234	297	353	651	120	292	23	6	292	84	-10	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	582	528	125	19	7	11	38	135	11	21	6	236	300	361	661	125	293	23	7	296	86	-9	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	612	556	132	20	7	12	40	142	11	22	6	237	301	365	666	128	294	23	7	298	88	-9	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	626	569	135	20	7	13	41	145	11	22	6	238	302	367	669	130	294	23	7	299	89	-8	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	633	575	136	20	7	13	42	147	11	22	6	238	302	369	671	131	294	23	7	300	89	-8	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	634	576	136	20	7	13	42	148	11	22	6	237	301	367	668	130	293	23	7	299	88	-9	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	572	135	20	7	13	41	148	11	21	6	235	299	362	662	127	293	24	7	296	87	-10	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	619	563	131	19	7	12	40	147	11	21	6	233	297	356	653	123	292	24	6	293	84	-12	+2	-1	+7	+13	0.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	609	555	128	19	7	11	39	147	10	20	7	230	293	349	642	119	290	24	6	288	81	-14	+1	-2	+7	+13	0.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	594	541	122	18	6	10	38	146	10	19	7	226	289	340	628	114	287	25	6	283	77	-16	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	56%	576	526	117	17	6	9	36	144	9	17	8	221	283	328	611	107	284	25	6	275	72	-19	+0	-4	+6	+12	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	85	78	18	3	1	1	5	20	2	3	1	224	284	322	607	98	288	24	6	274	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	182	166	38	5	2	3	11	43	3	6	2	228	290	334	624	106	290	24	6	281	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	255	232	54	8	3	4	16	60	5	9	2	231	294	344	639	114	291	24	6	287	80	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	303	275	65	10	4	5	19	71	6	11	3	234	297	353	651	120	292	23	6	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	335	304	72	11	4	6	22	78	6	12	3	236	300	361	661	125	293	23	7	296	86	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	349	317	75	11	4	7	23	81	6	12	3	237	301	365	666	128	294	23	7	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	355	323	76	11	4	7	23	82	6	13	4	238	302	367	669	130	294	23	6	299	89	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	358	325	78	12	4	8	24	83	6	13	4	238	302	369	671	131	294	23	7	300	89	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	352	320	75	11	4	7	23	82	6	12	4	237	301	367	668	130	293	23	7	299	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	313	74	11	4	7	23	81	6	12	4	235	299	362	662	127	293	23	7	296	87	-6	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	331	300	70	10	4	6	22	79	6	11	3	233	297	356	653	123	292	24	7	293	84	-6	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	321	292	68	10	4	6	21	78	5	10	4	230	293	349	642	119	290	24	7	288	81	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	310	282	63	9	3	5	20	76	5	10	4	226	289	340	628	114	287	25	6	283	77	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	56%	324	296	65	9	3	5	20	81	5	10	5	221	283	328	611	107	284	25	6	275	72	-11	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4205	3823	891	131	48	77	272	995	73	144	46	233	297	353	649	120	293	24	6	292	82	-82	+10	-6	+45	+91	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	137	20	7	12	42	154	11	22	7	232	295	350	645	118	291	24	6	292	82	-13	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	8103	7375	1703	250	93	145	515	1912	147	280	82	231	294	349	643	118	291	24	6	289	82	-161	+21	-10	+85	+171	10.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	136	20	7	12	41	153	12	22	7	230	293	348	641	118	288	24	6	289	82	-13	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#3Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.6	4,370	80	149	233	293	354	+47	+24	9.0	7.8
/162	664	12	23	+7.1	+3.6	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michalle Mercedes (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	218/276/306	88	286	1	5	24%	6%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	40→50	37→55	51→55	42	190/239/259	69	241	4	16	23%	5%	40	-3.0	201/251/309	108	253	10	14	24%	5%	57	-1.8	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Tito Polo 2013 · A	18	44→54	37→45	50→60	44	206/288/282	76	276	4	18	25%	7%	66	-1.1	203/265/282	79	275	4	22	26%	6%	56	-1.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
●Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	40→50	38→45	53→50	45	192/255/278	86	256	4	11	26%	7%	51	-2.2	206/244/285	79	280	4	10	26%	4%	48	-2.5	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Dixon Machado 2010 · A	18	38→48	36→45	53→55	52	174/248/232	58	203	4	19	16%	8%	39	-3.1	199/255/242	43	252	2	17	20%	7%	42	-2.9	254/310/331	78	304	5	12	17%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	39→49	37→50	52→50	44	188/256/263	75	240	4	13	23%	6%	49	-2.4	204/253/296	92	279	8	9	29%	4%	55	-2.0	252/302/391	139	320	16	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Echedry Vargas 2023 · A	18	42→47	39→50	51→55	44	199/257/296	97	235	5	12	18%	5%	57	-1.8	207/255/330	123	280	12	16	30%	5%	64	-1.3	218/259/369	151	284	19	13	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Wilder Dalis 2024 · A	18	42→51	35→45	51→55	44	199/258/257	57	266	2	15	25%	6%	47	-2.5	225/298/325	100	294	8	17	24%	9%	78	-0.3	235/311/365	130	312	13	19	27%	9%	91	+0.4

Michalle Mercedes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps